INSTAT A — DAILY INSTAT REPORT Date: April 3, 2026
| Prepared by: INSTAT Pipeline v2.0
Coverage: R-01 to R-65 (Macro, Bellwether, Sector, Industry, International) + R-88 (Portfolio Watchlist)
OVERALL A-SIDE REGIME SUMMARY — April 3, 2026
Grand Avg INSTAT across all R-Files: +23 — Post-Selloff Repair Phase
The A-side is in a broad base-building mode following the February 27, 2026 sellout event. Momentum is fragmented: 31 R-Files are Neutral/Consolidating, 26 are Building Momentum, and 6 have reached Strong Momentum — primarily in defensive sectors (utilities, essential miners, goldminers) and select international markets. Two R-Files are Weakening and one (Crypto) is actively Correcting. Capital preservation posture remains appropriate; the regime does not yet support broad re-entry. The bifurcation between defensive Extended Leaders and technology/growth Terminal Liquidation names is the defining signal of this repair phase.
|
Regime State |
R-Files |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
31 |
|
Building
Momentum |
26 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
6 |
|
Weakening |
2 |
|
Correcting |
1 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
INSTAT A — Daily INSTAT Report
Date: April 3, 2026
Coverage: R-01 to R-65 + R-88 | Macro · Bellwether · Sector · Industry · International · Watchlist
Regime Summary: The A-side grand average INSTAT stands at +23, with 31 R-Files in Neutral/Consolidating and 26 in Building Momentum — consistent with a post-selloff repair phase. Energy commodities and select international equity markets are leading. Technology and consumer discretionary remain in corrective pressure. Capital preservation posture is appropriate until INSTAT averages across R-09 to R-13 exceed +35.
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BATCH 1 — MACRO FACTORS (R-01 to R-08)
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-01 — Sovereign Debt 10Y Yields
Context: Analysis of Macro Factors/Exchanges | 22 instruments | April 3, 2026
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +15 | Median: +3
Avg 1D: +0.40% | Avg 1W: -2.64% | Avg 1M: +7.82% | Avg YTD: +6.27%
Regime Distribution: Neutral/Consolidating 13 | Building Momentum 5 | Extended Leader 3 | Terminal Liquidation 1
Top 5 by INSTAT:
|
Instrument |
Ticker |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
|
India
10-Year |
IN10YT=RRPS |
+100 |
+2.41% |
+2.84% |
|
Japan
10-Year |
JP10YT=RR |
+100 |
+0.25% |
+0.72% |
|
Taiwan
10-Year |
TW10YT=RR |
+100 |
0.00% |
-1.30% |
|
Turkey
10-Year |
TR10YT=RR |
+50 |
+0.07% |
-3.95% |
|
Switzerland
10-Year |
CH10YT=RR |
+45 |
+5.72% |
-4.90% |
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
|
Instrument |
Ticker |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
|
South
Korea 10-Year |
KR10YT=RR |
-15 |
-2.00% |
-4.70% |
|
Brazil
10-Year |
BR10YT=RR |
-19 |
0.00% |
-1.61% |
|
Norway
10-Year |
NO10YT=RR |
-19 |
-0.41% |
-2.63% |
|
Ultra
10-Year US Treasury Futures |
TNc1 |
-20 |
-0.01% |
+1.01% |
|
China
10-Year |
CN10YT=RR |
-95 |
-0.38% |
-0.16% |
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
AT (Long-Term Trend): -9 (Neutral-Bear)
ST (Short-Term Trend): -3 (Soft)
IN (Intermediate Flow): +27 (Mild In-Flow)
★ Extended Leaders (INSTAT ≥90): India 10-Year (+100), Japan 10-Year (+100), Taiwan 10-Year (+100)
▼ Terminal Liquidation (INSTAT ≤-90): China 10-Year (-95)
c) Full Instrument Table *(sorted by INSTAT descending)*
|
ID |
Instrument |
Ticker |
1D |
1W |
1M |
YTD |
AT |
ST |
IN |
INSTAT |
|
R-0109 |
India
10-Year |
IN10YT=RRPS |
+2.41% |
+2.84% |
+6.90% |
+8.21% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
**+100** |
|
R-0111 |
Japan
10-Year |
JP10YT=RR |
+0.25% |
+0.72% |
+13.31% |
+15.06% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
**+100** |
|
R-0119 |
Taiwan
10-Year |
TW10YT=RR |
0.00% |
-1.30% |
+4.83% |
+8.57% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
**+100** |
|
R-0120 |
Turkey
10-Year |
TR10YT=RR |
+0.07% |
-3.95% |
+6.18% |
+11.97% |
19 |
9 |
22 |
+50 |
|
R-0118 |
Switzerland
10-Year |
CH10YT=RR |
+5.72% |
-4.90% |
+29.77% |
+37.59% |
-14 |
11 |
48 |
+45 |
|
R-0117 |
Sweden
10-Year |
SE10YT=RR |
+3.09% |
-1.93% |
+10.43% |
+5.42% |
-13 |
0 |
50 |
+37 |
|
R-0101 |
Australia
10-Year |
AU10YT=RR |
-0.48% |
-1.88% |
+5.56% |
+5.25% |
-13 |
14 |
35 |
+36 |
|
R-0108 |
Hong
Kong 10-Year |
HK10YT=RR |
0.00% |
+0.10% |
+4.03% |
-5.07% |
25 |
25 |
-20 |
+30 |
|
R-0114 |
Singapore
10-Year |
SG10YT=RR |
+1.73% |
-6.86% |
+13.71% |
+0.72% |
5 |
0 |
16 |
+21 |
|
R-0107 |
Germany
10-Year |
DE10YT=RR |
-0.02% |
-3.32% |
+9.09% |
+4.65% |
-25 |
-11 |
48 |
+12 |
|
R-0116 |
Spain
10-Year |
ES10YT=RR |
+0.14% |
-4.12% |
+9.23% |
+6.01% |
-19 |
-11 |
35 |
+5 |
|
R-0106 |
France
10-Year |
FR10YT=RR |
-0.05% |
-4.18% |
+9.86% |
+3.30% |
-25 |
-22 |
48 |
+1 |
|
R-0121 |
UK
10-Year |
GB10YT=RR |
+0.08% |
-2.93% |
+8.87% |
+8.07% |
-23 |
-11 |
35 |
+1 |
|
R-0103 |
Canada
10-Year |
CA10YT=RR |
-0.57% |
-2.74% |
+6.03% |
+1.40% |
-25 |
-11 |
35 |
-1 |
|
R-0110 |
Italy
10-Year |
IT10YT=RR |
+0.13% |
-5.20% |
+12.49% |
+9.69% |
-24 |
-25 |
48 |
-1 |
|
R-0112 |
Netherlands
10-Year |
NL10YT=RR |
+0.07% |
-3.76% |
+8.81% |
+3.50% |
-23 |
-25 |
35 |
-13 |
|
R-0105 |
Denmark
10-Year |
DK10YT=RR |
-1.08% |
-6.69% |
+5.28% |
+2.09% |
-25 |
-25 |
35 |
-15 |
|
R-0115 |
South
Korea 10-Year |
KR10YT=RR |
-2.00% |
-4.70% |
+2.75% |
+10.25% |
-25 |
-25 |
35 |
-15 |
|
R-0102 |
Brazil
10-Year |
BR10YT=RR |
0.00% |
-1.61% |
+3.61% |
+1.46% |
-25 |
-11 |
17 |
-19 |
|
R-0113 |
Norway
10-Year |
NO10YT=RR |
-0.41% |
-2.63% |
+2.31% |
+3.49% |
-16 |
-25 |
22 |
-19 |
|
R-0122 |
Ultra
10-Year US Treasury Futures |
TNc1 |
-0.01% |
+1.01% |
-1.95% |
-1.34% |
6 |
22 |
-48 |
-20 |
|
R-0104 |
China
10-Year |
CN10YT=RR |
-0.38% |
-0.16% |
+1.00% |
-2.42% |
-25 |
-22 |
-48 |
**-95** |
d) Researched Context
Japan 10-Year (+100) and India 10-Year (+100) co-lead R-01 as Extended Leaders, but the signal is not constructive: rising EM and Asian yields reflect currency defense imperatives and capital flow pressures rather than growth optimism, with India's yield pressure compounded by RBI intervention demands and Japan's by BoJ policy normalization stress. China 10-Year at -95 represents a structural divergence — Beijing's controlled yield compression policy is actively suppressing bond yields to stimulate domestic demand, but the -48 IN score confirms this is failing to attract foreign institutional capital and is instead accelerating FX reserve drawdown risk. The principal opportunity for the P6 income portfolio is swing trading the high-carry EM tier (India, Turkey) against duration risk in the US Treasury complex, where Ultra 10-Year US Treasury Futures (TNc1) at -20 signals institutional yield-curve pressure that makes outright long duration a capital preservation hazard.
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R-02 — Corporate & Govt Bonds
Context: Analysis of Macro Factors/Exchanges | 24 instruments | April 3, 2026
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: -5 | Median: +12
Avg 1D: +0.25% | Avg 1W: +0.89% | Avg 1M: -1.68% | Avg YTD: -0.97%
Regime Distribution: Neutral/Consolidating 12 | Weakening 4 | Building Momentum 4 | Terminal Liquidation 2 | Extended Leader 1 | Correcting 1
Top 5 by INSTAT:
|
Instrument |
Ticker |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
|
iShares
Convertible Bond ETF |
ICVT |
+100 |
+1.04% |
+3.02% |
|
iShares
iBoxx Inv Grade Corp Bond |
LQD |
+46 |
+0.41% |
+1.38% |
|
iShares
Core Universal USD Bond |
IUSB |
+30 |
+0.20% |
+0.68% |
|
VanEck
High Yield Muni ETF |
HYD |
+28 |
+0.39% |
+1.61% |
|
BondBloxx
BBB Rated 1-5Y |
BBBS |
+17 |
+0.12% |
+0.34% |
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
|
Instrument |
Ticker |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
|
PIMCO
25+ Year Zero Coupon |
ZROZ |
-47 |
+0.98% |
+1.04% |
|
iShares
0-3 Month Treasury |
SGOV |
-59 |
+0.04% |
-0.22% |
|
Vanguard
Total International Bond |
BNDX |
-77 |
-0.09% |
+0.65% |
|
BondBloxx
Private Credit CLO |
PCMM |
-96 |
+0.24% |
-0.55% |
|
SPDR
Intl Treasury Bond |
BWX |
-100 |
-0.36% |
+0.69% |
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
AT: +14 (Neutral-Bull) | ST: +10 (Flat) | IN: -30 (Mild Out-Flow)
★ Extended Leader: iShares Convertible Bond ETF / ICVT +100 | YTD +5.47%
▼ Terminal Liquidation: BondBloxx Private Credit CLO / PCMM -96 | SPDR Intl Treasury Bond / BWX -100
c) Full Instrument Table *(sorted by INSTAT descending)*
|
ID |
Instrument |
Ticker |
1D |
1W |
1M |
YTD |
AT |
ST |
IN |
INSTAT |
|
R-0208 |
iShares
Convertible Bond ETF |
ICVT |
+1.04% |
+3.02% |
-0.51% |
+5.47% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
**+100** |
|
R-0211 |
iShares
iBoxx Inv Grade Corp Bond |
LQD |
+0.41% |
+1.38% |
-1.68% |
-0.98% |
25 |
25 |
-4 |
+46 |
|
R-0209 |
iShares
Core Universal USD Bond |
IUSB |
+0.20% |
+0.68% |
-1.26% |
-0.77% |
25 |
22 |
-17 |
+30 |
|
R-0217 |
VanEck
High Yield Muni ETF |
HYD |
+0.39% |
+1.61% |
-0.71% |
-1.06% |
23 |
25 |
-20 |
+28 |
|
R-0201 |
BondBloxx
BBB Rated 1-5Y Corp |
BBBS |
+0.12% |
+0.34% |
-0.84% |
-0.84% |
25 |
22 |
-30 |
+17 |
|
R-0222 |
Vanguard
Total Bond Market |
BND |
+0.22% |
+0.64% |
-1.25% |
-0.66% |
25 |
22 |
-30 |
+17 |
|
R-0203 |
Invesco
BulletShares 2030 Corp |
BSCU |
+0.15% |
+0.90% |
-1.12% |
-1.00% |
22 |
11 |
-17 |
+16 |
|
R-0210 |
iShares
iBoxx High Yield Corp |
HYG |
+0.22% |
+1.04% |
-1.07% |
-1.35% |
25 |
22 |
-31 |
+16 |
|
R-0218 |
VanEck
Intermediate Muni ETF |
ITM |
+0.17% |
+0.56% |
-2.00% |
-1.36% |
24 |
22 |
-32 |
+14 |
|
R-0219 |
Vanguard
EM Govt Bond |
VWOB |
+0.18% |
+1.11% |
-2.80% |
-2.54% |
24 |
22 |
-32 |
+14 |
|
R-0221 |
Vanguard
Intermediate Corp Bond |
VCIT |
+0.27% |
+1.00% |
-1.61% |
-1.21% |
25 |
22 |
-35 |
+12 |
|
R-0204 |
iShares
10-20 Year Treasury |
TLH |
+0.46% |
+1.24% |
-2.55% |
-0.95% |
24 |
22 |
-35 |
+11 |
|
R-0205 |
iShares
20+ Year Treasury |
TLT |
+0.59% |
+1.32% |
-2.67% |
-0.45% |
25 |
11 |
-35 |
+1 |
|
R-0212 |
JPMorgan
EM Bond |
EMBC |
-0.34% |
+1.40% |
-3.04% |
-3.88% |
25 |
22 |
-48 |
-1 |
|
R-0214 |
PIMCO
0-5Y High Yield Corp |
HYS |
+0.26% |
+0.69% |
-0.95% |
-1.81% |
25 |
11 |
-48 |
-12 |
|
R-0207 |
iShares
7-10 Year Treasury |
IEF |
+0.23% |
+0.70% |
-1.60% |
-0.94% |
25 |
11 |
-50 |
-14 |
|
R-0220 |
Vanguard
Govt Securities Active |
VGVT |
+0.12% |
+0.40% |
-1.42% |
-0.81% |
-1 |
0 |
-30 |
-31 |
|
R-0206 |
iShares
3-7 Year Treasury |
IEI |
+0.13% |
+0.28% |
-1.10% |
-0.89% |
-12 |
0 |
-32 |
-44 |
|
R-0215 |
PIMCO
25+ Year Zero Coupon |
ZROZ |
+0.98% |
+1.04% |
-4.34% |
-0.62% |
14 |
-11 |
-50 |
-47 |
|
R-0213 |
iShares
0-3 Month Treasury |
SGOV |
+0.04% |
-0.22% |
+0.03% |
+0.05% |
-5 |
-23 |
-31 |
-59 |
|
R-0223 |
Vanguard
Total International Bond |
BNDX |
-0.09% |
+0.65% |
-1.64% |
-0.72% |
-20 |
-9 |
-48 |
-77 |
|
R-0202 |
BondBloxx
Private Credit CLO |
PCMM |
+0.24% |
-0.55% |
-1.54% |
-2.02% |
-21 |
-25 |
-50 |
**-96** |
|
R-0216 |
SPDR
Intl Treasury Bond |
BWX |
-0.36% |
+0.69% |
-3.06% |
-2.89% |
-25 |
-25 |
-50 |
**-100** |
d) Researched Context
iShares Convertible Bond ETF (ICVT) at +100 is the sole Extended Leader in R-02 — a capital preservation instrument providing equity-like upside that institutions are deploying as a hedge against both duration risk and high-yield spread widening, with YTD +5.47% outperforming virtually every pure bond vehicle in the file. The file is bifurcated: the investment-grade short-to-intermediate tier (LQD +46, IUSB +30) maintains AT scores of +25, confirming long-term structural support, while the international and private credit tier (BWX -100, PCMM -96) is in terminal liquidation driven by USD currency headwinds and leveraged credit stress — the -50 IN scores on both confirm active institutional exit, not consolidation. For the P6/P7 income portfolios, ICVT and LQD represent the highest-quality re-entry points once IN scores recover from their current -30 average toward zero, signaling outflow exhaustion.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-03 — Credit Spread Factors
Context: Analysis of Macro Factors/Exchanges | 14 instruments | April 3, 2026
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +9 | Median: +16
Avg 1D: -0.41% | Avg 1W: -3.49% | Avg 1M: +1.61% | Avg YTD: +7.12%
Regime Distribution: Neutral/Consolidating 5 | Building Momentum 5 | Weakening 3 | Extended Leader 1
Top 5 by INSTAT:
|
Instrument |
Ticker |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
|
3-Month
SOFR Futures |
SRAc1 |
+90 |
0.00% |
0.00% |
|
iShares
Aaa-A Rated Corp Bond |
QLTA |
+33 |
+0.35% |
+1.15% |
|
iShares
5-10Y Investment Grade |
IGIB |
+30 |
+0.28% |
+1.01% |
|
iShares
BBB Rated Corp Bond |
LQDB |
+30 |
+0.34% |
+0.96% |
|
VanEck
Fallen Angel High Yield |
ANGL |
+30 |
+0.28% |
+1.41% |
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
|
Instrument |
Ticker |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
|
ICE
BofAML MOVE |
.MOVE |
-13 |
-6.41% |
-24.60% |
|
CBOE
VIX |
VIX |
-15 |
-2.73% |
-23.12% |
|
CBOE
VIX Volatility |
.VVIX |
-30 |
+0.44% |
-13.40% |
|
JPMorgan
BetaBuilders Treasury |
BBIB |
-32 |
+0.11% |
+0.35% |
|
BondBloxx
US High Yield Financial |
XHYF |
-50 |
+0.14% |
+0.78% |
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
AT: +12 (Neutral-Bull) | ST: +10 (Flat) | IN: -14 (Mild Out-Flow)
★ Extended Leader: 3-Month SOFR Futures (SRAc1) +90 | YTD +0.27%
Volume Surge: VanEck Fallen Angel High Yield (ANGL) at 2.7x avg — notable institutional repositioning
VIX -23.12% on the week, MOVE -24.60% on the week — volatility compression confirms post-liquidation calm
c) Full Instrument Table *(sorted by INSTAT descending)*
|
ID |
Instrument |
Ticker |
1D |
1W |
1M |
YTD |
AT |
ST |
IN |
INSTAT |
|
R-0312 |
3-Month
SOFR Futures |
SRAc1 |
0.00% |
0.00% |
+0.02% |
+0.27% |
19 |
23 |
48 |
**+90** |
|
R-0307 |
iShares
Aaa-A Rated Corp Bond |
QLTA |
+0.35% |
+1.15% |
-1.39% |
-0.96% |
25 |
25 |
-17 |
+33 |
|
R-0306 |
iShares
5-10Y Investment Grade |
IGIB |
+0.28% |
+1.01% |
-1.63% |
-1.28% |
25 |
22 |
-17 |
+30 |
|
R-0308 |
iShares
BBB Rated Corp Bond |
LQDB |
+0.34% |
+0.96% |
-1.41% |
-0.92% |
25 |
22 |
-17 |
+30 |
|
R-0313 |
VanEck
Fallen Angel High Yield |
ANGL |
+0.28% |
+1.41% |
-2.04% |
-1.89% |
25 |
22 |
-17 |
+30 |
|
R-0314 |
Vanguard
Long-Term Corp Bond |
VCLT |
+0.66% |
+2.10% |
-2.13% |
-1.16% |
25 |
25 |
-22 |
+28 |
|
R-0310 |
iShares
iBoxx High Yield Corp |
HYG |
+0.24% |
+1.07% |
-1.04% |
-1.33% |
25 |
22 |
-31 |
+16 |
|
R-0305 |
iShares
10+ Year Investment Grade |
IGLB |
+0.63% |
+2.05% |
-2.24% |
-1.29% |
25 |
25 |
-35 |
+15 |
|
R-0309 |
iShares
Global HY Corp Bond |
HYLD |
-0.09% |
+1.36% |
-4.03% |
-3.99% |
25 |
11 |
-48 |
-12 |
|
R-0304 |
ICE
BofAML MOVE |
.MOVE |
-6.41% |
-24.60% |
+20.53% |
+31.97% |
0 |
0 |
-13 |
-13 |
|
R-0303 |
CBOE
Volatility Index |
VIX |
-2.73% |
-23.12% |
+12.86% |
+59.67% |
-25 |
-25 |
35 |
-15 |
|
R-0302 |
CBOE
VIX Volatility |
.VVIX |
+0.44% |
-13.40% |
+7.85% |
+24.45% |
-25 |
-25 |
20 |
-30 |
|
R-0311 |
JPMorgan
BetaBuilders Treasury |
BBIB |
+0.11% |
+0.35% |
-1.24% |
-0.91% |
0 |
0 |
-32 |
-32 |
|
R-0301 |
BondBloxx
US High Yield Financial |
XHYF |
+0.14% |
+0.78% |
-1.54% |
-2.96% |
0 |
0 |
-50 |
**-50** |
d) Researched Context
3-Month SOFR Futures (SRAc1) at +90 is a persistent "higher-for-longer" institutional rate signal — with SOFR holding the upper band and AT/ST scores both positive (+19/+23), the market is pricing no imminent Fed pivot despite equity-market softness, as energy-driven inflation maintains the Fed's restrictive posture. The simultaneous -23% weekly collapse in VIX and -25% in MOVE represents a post-liquidation "eye of the storm" — volatility has compressed rapidly from elevated levels, but with VIX still YTD +60% and MOVE YTD +32%, the underlying spread structures remain fragile and susceptible to a second-wave volatility expansion on any macro shock. The 2.7x volume surge in VanEck Fallen Angel High Yield (ANGL) at +30 is a contrarian institutional repositioning signal worth monitoring for the P6/P7 income allocation, as fallen-angel paper typically compresses sharply once the credit stress cycle rolls off.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-04 — Global Forex
Context: Analysis of Macro Factors/Exchanges | 20 instruments | April 3, 2026
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: -6 | Median: -14
Avg 1D: -0.11% | Avg 1W: +0.55% | Avg 1M: -1.80% | Avg YTD: -0.33%
Regime Distribution: Neutral/Consolidating 6 | Strong Momentum 3 | Correcting 3 | Weakening 3 | Extended Leader 2 | Terminal Liquidation 2 | Building Momentum 1
Top 5 by INSTAT:
|
Pair |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
YTD |
|
CNY/USD |
+100 |
0.00% |
+0.35% |
+1.54% |
|
BRL/USD |
+95 |
0.00% |
+1.57% |
+6.19% |
|
XAU/USD
(Gold Spot) |
+82 |
-1.72% |
+4.08% |
+8.37% |
|
AUD/USD |
+67 |
+0.14% |
+0.58% |
+3.58% |
|
MXN/USD |
+66 |
+0.04% |
+1.50% |
+0.85% |
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
|
Pair |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
YTD |
|
PHP/USD |
-62 |
-0.38% |
+0.09% |
-2.68% |
|
HKD/USD |
-78 |
0.00% |
-0.08% |
-0.70% |
|
CAD/USD |
-82 |
-0.02% |
-0.19% |
-1.43% |
|
TRY/USD |
-94 |
-0.24% |
-0.44% |
-3.86% |
|
JPY/USD |
-100 |
0.00% |
+0.45% |
-1.84% |
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
AT: +5 (Neutral-Bull) | ST: +1 (Flat) | IN: -12 (Mild Out-Flow)
★ Extended Leaders: CNY/USD +100 (state-directed ceiling), BRL/USD +95 (commodity-driven EM strength)
▼ Terminal Liquidation: JPY/USD -100 (yen under sustained structural pressure), TRY/USD -94 (lira deterioration)
Strong Momentum: XAU/USD +82 (gold as reserve currency proxy), AUD/USD +67, MXN/USD +66
c) Full Instrument Table *(sorted by INSTAT descending)*
|
ID |
Pair |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
1M |
YTD |
AT |
ST |
IN |
|
R-0405 |
CNY/USD |
+100 |
0.00% |
+0.35% |
+0.14% |
+1.54% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
|
R-0402 |
BRL/USD |
+95 |
0.00% |
+1.57% |
+1.47% |
+6.19% |
22 |
23 |
50 |
|
R-0420 |
XAU/USD
(Gold Spot) |
+82 |
-1.72% |
+4.08% |
-8.95% |
+8.37% |
25 |
11 |
46 |
|
R-0401 |
AUD/USD |
+67 |
+0.14% |
+0.58% |
-2.29% |
+3.58% |
23 |
11 |
33 |
|
R-0412 |
MXN/USD |
+66 |
+0.04% |
+1.50% |
-1.56% |
+0.85% |
23 |
25 |
18 |
|
R-0415 |
SEK/USD |
+28 |
0.00% |
+0.38% |
-2.75% |
-2.39% |
20 |
22 |
-14 |
|
R-0416 |
SGD/USD |
+20 |
+0.02% |
+0.26% |
-0.79% |
+0.03% |
21 |
11 |
-12 |
|
R-0410 |
INR/USD |
+13 |
0.00% |
+1.93% |
-0.92% |
-3.35% |
23 |
25 |
-35 |
|
R-0417 |
THB/USD |
-10 |
-0.03% |
+0.82% |
-3.26% |
-3.48% |
-3 |
9 |
-16 |
|
R-0413 |
MYR/USD |
-14 |
+0.12% |
-0.52% |
-2.29% |
+0.61% |
12 |
-14 |
-12 |
|
R-0406 |
EUR/USD |
-15 |
+0.02% |
+0.25% |
-0.81% |
-1.76% |
6 |
-11 |
-10 |
|
R-0404 |
CHF/USD |
-19 |
-0.02% |
-0.01% |
-2.46% |
-0.78% |
7 |
-14 |
-12 |
|
R-0419 |
TWD/USD |
-26 |
+0.02% |
+0.29% |
-0.89% |
-1.85% |
-5 |
14 |
-35 |
|
R-0409 |
IDR/USD |
-40 |
-0.08% |
-0.11% |
-0.58% |
-1.82% |
3 |
-11 |
-32 |
|
R-0407 |
GBP/USD |
-48 |
+0.03% |
-0.21% |
-1.08% |
-1.80% |
-2 |
-14 |
-32 |
|
R-0414 |
PHP/USD |
-62 |
-0.38% |
+0.09% |
-3.44% |
-2.68% |
-12 |
0 |
-50 |
|
R-0408 |
HKD/USD |
-78 |
0.00% |
-0.08% |
-0.23% |
-0.70% |
-17 |
-11 |
-50 |
|
R-0403 |
CAD/USD |
-82 |
-0.02% |
-0.19% |
-2.01% |
-1.43% |
-25 |
-25 |
-32 |
|
R-0418 |
TRY/USD |
-94 |
-0.24% |
-0.44% |
-1.75% |
-3.86% |
-19 |
-25 |
-50 |
|
R-0411 |
JPY/USD |
-100 |
0.00% |
+0.45% |
-1.60% |
-1.84% |
-25 |
-25 |
-50 |
d) Researched Context
CNY/USD at +100 reflects state-directed Chinese bank flows actively capping yuan depreciation as export competitiveness concerns mount, making this a managed ceiling rather than organic strength — the +50 IN score confirms sustained institutional buying, but the policy risk is a sudden PBoC posture shift that could release significant depreciation pressure. JPY/USD at -100 represents a structural yen deterioration that the Bank of Japan is monitoring with increasing urgency, and any BoJ rate hike surprise would trigger a violent yen reversal with global carry-trade consequences that would cascade through fixed income and equity markets simultaneously. BRL/USD at +95 and AUD/USD at +67 highlight commodity-linked currency strength as the primary FX opportunity for diversified exposure aligned with the energy and materials rotation visible in R-05, provided commodity prices maintain their current geopolitical risk premium.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-05 — Commodities
Context: Analysis of Macro Factors/Exchanges | 31 instruments | April 3, 2026
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +16 | Median: +32
Avg 1D: +0.22% | Avg 1W: +1.91% | Avg 1M: +6.03% | Avg YTD: +17.34%
Regime Distribution: Extended Leader 8 | Neutral/Consolidating 7 | Building Momentum 7 | Correcting 3 | Terminal Liquidation 3 | Weakening 2 | Strong Momentum 1
Top 5 by INSTAT:
|
Commodity |
Ticker |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
YTD |
|
Brent
Oil Futures |
LCO |
+100 |
+7.99% |
-2.96% |
+79.52% |
|
Feeder
Cattle Futures |
FC |
+100 |
+0.71% |
+3.00% |
+7.33% |
|
Gasoline
RBOB Futures |
GPR |
+100 |
+5.99% |
+0.82% |
+91.06% |
|
Live
Cattle Futures |
LCc1 |
+100 |
+0.84% |
+3.19% |
+6.08% |
|
London
Gas Oil Futures |
LGO |
+98 |
+11.41% |
+10.74% |
+144.24% |
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
|
Commodity |
Ticker |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
YTD |
|
Lean
Hogs Futures |
LHc1 |
-65 |
-0.88% |
-0.71% |
+5.91% |
|
US
Sugar #11 Futures |
SB |
-81 |
-2.16% |
-5.08% |
-0.33% |
|
Natural
Gas Futures |
NG |
-91 |
-0.36% |
-9.53% |
-24.04% |
|
US
Coffee C Futures |
KC |
-96 |
-0.62% |
-1.91% |
-15.14% |
|
London
Robusta Coffee Futures |
RC |
-100 |
-2.39% |
-4.84% |
-13.58% |
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
AT: -1 (Neutral-Bear) | ST: +1 (Flat) | IN: +16 (Mild In-Flow)
★ 8 Extended Leaders: Brent Oil +100, Feeder Cattle +100, Gasoline RBOB +100, Live Cattle +100, London Gas Oil +98, US Cotton +98, US Soybean Oil +98, Crude Oil WTI +97
▼ Terminal Liquidation: London Robusta Coffee -100, US Coffee C -96, Natural Gas -91
Notable: London Gas Oil +144.24% YTD — highest YTD return in the file
c) Full Instrument Table *(sorted by INSTAT descending)*
|
ID |
Commodity |
Ticker |
1D |
1W |
1M |
YTD |
AT |
ST |
IN |
INSTAT |
|
R-0502 |
Brent
Oil Futures |
LCO |
+7.99% |
-2.96% |
+34.20% |
+79.52% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
**+100** |
|
R-0505 |
Feeder
Cattle Futures |
FC |
+0.71% |
+3.00% |
+2.74% |
+7.33% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
**+100** |
|
R-0506 |
Gasoline
RBOB Futures |
GPR |
+5.99% |
+0.82% |
+30.29% |
+91.06% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
**+100** |
|
R-0510 |
Live
Cattle Futures |
LCc1 |
+0.84% |
+3.19% |
+3.25% |
+6.08% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
**+100** |
|
R-0511 |
London
Gas Oil Futures |
LGO |
+11.41% |
+10.74% |
+61.94% |
+144.24% |
23 |
25 |
50 |
+98 |
|
R-0525 |
US
Cotton #2 Futures |
CT |
+0.17% |
+2.04% |
+14.03% |
+10.28% |
25 |
25 |
48 |
+98 |
|
R-0527 |
US
Soybean Oil Futures |
ZL |
-0.09% |
+2.27% |
+8.41% |
+41.97% |
23 |
25 |
50 |
+98 |
|
R-0504 |
Crude
Oil WTI Futures |
CL |
-0.40% |
+11.94% |
+49.40% |
+94.25% |
22 |
25 |
50 |
+97 |
|
R-0501 |
Aluminium |
MAL3 |
-1.57% |
+5.90% |
+4.05% |
+15.77% |
5 |
14 |
50 |
+69 |
|
R-0508 |
Heating
Oil Futures |
NYF |
-1.59% |
-2.99% |
+32.40% |
+105.65% |
-6 |
14 |
50 |
+58 |
|
R-0516 |
Orange
Juice Futures |
OJ |
-0.23% |
+12.97% |
+2.81% |
-2.80% |
25 |
25 |
-3 |
+47 |
|
R-0517 |
Palladium
Futures |
PA |
-0.50% |
+7.83% |
-11.09% |
-8.72% |
17 |
25 |
3 |
+45 |
|
R-0518 |
Platinum
Futures |
PL |
-0.84% |
+5.46% |
-7.93% |
-2.98% |
15 |
25 |
3 |
+43 |
|
R-0521 |
Silver
Futures |
SI |
-0.32% |
+4.83% |
-12.33% |
+3.29% |
22 |
9 |
5 |
+36 |
|
R-0531 |
Zinc
Futures |
MZN3 |
-1.31% |
+4.64% |
-1.75% |
+4.53% |
-14 |
14 |
33 |
+33 |
|
R-0507 |
Gold
Futures |
GC |
-0.48% |
+3.79% |
-8.86% |
+6.69% |
-14 |
0 |
46 |
+32 |
|
R-0513 |
Lumber
Futures |
LXRc1 |
-1.57% |
+0.08% |
+7.00% |
+10.77% |
-25 |
-11 |
32 |
-4 |
|
R-0520 |
Rough
Rice Futures |
RR |
-0.49% |
+1.26% |
+4.27% |
+13.15% |
-14 |
-9 |
12 |
-11 |
|
R-0503 |
Copper
Futures |
HG |
-1.72% |
+2.10% |
-5.48% |
-1.73% |
-23 |
-9 |
18 |
-14 |
|
R-0526 |
US
Soybean Meal Futures |
ZM |
-0.94% |
-0.03% |
+1.71% |
+5.28% |
-9 |
-25 |
20 |
-14 |
|
R-0528 |
US
Soybeans Futures |
ZS |
+0.06% |
+0.37% |
-0.51% |
+11.07% |
-25 |
-25 |
35 |
-15 |
|
R-0530 |
US
Wheat Futures |
ZW |
+0.08% |
-1.12% |
+5.28% |
+18.00% |
-25 |
-25 |
35 |
-15 |
|
R-0515 |
Nickel
Futures |
MNI3 |
-0.93% |
-0.80% |
-3.04% |
+2.26% |
-17 |
-25 |
22 |
-20 |
|
R-0524 |
US
Corn Futures |
ZC |
+0.06% |
-2.11% |
+1.92% |
+2.73% |
-25 |
-25 |
22 |
-28 |
|
R-0519 |
Ready
Capital Corp |
RC |
+1.59% |
+5.26% |
-22.71% |
-26.61% |
12 |
0 |
-50 |
-38 |
|
R-0522 |
US
Cocoa Futures |
CC |
-2.84% |
+2.69% |
+6.21% |
-46.41% |
-15 |
-11 |
-35 |
-61 |
|
R-0509 |
Lean
Hogs Futures |
LHc1 |
-0.88% |
-0.71% |
-7.15% |
+5.91% |
-25 |
-25 |
-15 |
-65 |
|
R-0529 |
US
Sugar #11 Futures |
SB |
-2.16% |
-5.08% |
+8.96% |
-0.33% |
-25 |
-25 |
-31 |
**-81** |
|
R-0514 |
Natural
Gas Futures |
NG |
-0.36% |
-9.53% |
-4.01% |
-24.04% |
-16 |
-25 |
-50 |
**-91** |
|
R-0523 |
US
Coffee C Futures |
KC |
-0.62% |
-1.91% |
+3.39% |
-15.14% |
-23 |
-25 |
-48 |
**-96** |
|
R-0512 |
London
Robusta Coffee Futures |
RC |
-2.39% |
-4.84% |
-10.39% |
-13.58% |
-25 |
-25 |
-50 |
**-100** |
d) Researched Context
Brent Oil (+100), Gasoline RBOB (+100, YTD +91%), and London Gas Oil (+98, YTD +144%) co-lead R-05 as the dominant regime signal — a geopolitical risk premium driven by Middle East supply-route disruptions and seasonal refinery demand is creating a sustained energy price floor, with the +50 IN scores on all three confirming continued institutional accumulation rather than a blow-off top. The agricultural complex is bifurcated: livestock (Live Cattle and Feeder Cattle both at +100) is in a structural supply squeeze as USDA inspected slaughter totals fall well below prior-year levels, while soft commodities (London Robusta Coffee -100, US Coffee C -96, US Sugar -81) are in terminal liquidation from demand destruction, EM currency weakness reducing import purchasing power, and Brazilian harvest pressure. Natural Gas at -91 (YTD -24%) is the dominant domestic energy underperformer, creating a structural spread opportunity between crude-linked energy (long) and gas-exposed producers (avoid or short) that is the clearest tactical expression of the current energy bifurcation in R-05.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-06 — Gold and Silver / VIX-MOVE
Context: Analysis of Macro Factors/Exchanges | 12 instruments | April 3, 2026
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +16 | Median: +18
Avg 1D: -2.14% | Avg 1W: +5.01% | Avg 1M: -11.01% | Avg YTD: +7.76%
Regime Distribution: Neutral/Consolidating 4 | Weakening 3 | Building Momentum 3 | Extended Leader 1 | Strong Momentum 1
Top 5 by INSTAT:
|
Instrument |
Ticker |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
YTD |
|
Silicon
Laboratories Inc |
SLAB |
+100 |
+0.68% |
+1.55% |
+60.01% |
|
VanEck
Gold Miners ETF |
GDX |
+63 |
-1.48% |
+10.26% |
+10.28% |
|
VanEck
Junior Gold Miners ETF |
GDXJ |
+59 |
-2.44% |
+10.50% |
+7.39% |
|
Silver
Futures |
SI |
+36 |
-0.32% |
+4.83% |
+3.29% |
|
Gold
Futures |
GC |
+32 |
-0.48% |
+3.79% |
+6.69% |
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
|
Instrument |
Ticker |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
YTD |
|
iShares
Gold Trust |
IAU |
+6 |
-1.94% |
+3.52% |
+8.34% |
|
abrdn
Physical Gold Shares |
SGOL |
+2 |
-1.98% |
+3.49% |
+8.33% |
|
ProShares
Ultra Silver |
AGQ |
-38 |
-6.85% |
+7.10% |
-28.59% |
|
Sprott
Physical Silver Trust |
PSLV |
-50 |
-3.56% |
+4.15% |
-0.34% |
|
abrdn
Physical Silver Shares |
SIVR |
-51 |
-3.44% |
+3.68% |
+2.17% |
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
AT: 0 (Neutral-Bull) | ST: -2 (Soft) | IN: +18 (Mild In-Flow)
★ Extended Leader: Silicon Laboratories Inc (SLAB) +100 — anomalous placement in this file; YTD +60% driven by niche semiconductor AI hardware demand
Gold miners (GDX +63, GDXJ +59) running ahead of the underlying gold price — leveraged equity-gold premium at play
Silver physical vehicles (SIVR -51, PSLV -50) underperforming gold; gold/silver ratio expanding
c) Full Instrument Table *(sorted by INSTAT descending)*
|
ID |
Instrument |
Ticker |
1D |
1W |
1M |
YTD |
AT |
ST |
IN |
INSTAT |
|
R-0607 |
Silicon
Laboratories Inc |
SLAB |
+0.68% |
+1.55% |
+2.73% |
+60.01% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
**+100** |
|
R-0611 |
VanEck
Gold Miners ETF |
GDX |
-1.48% |
+10.26% |
-10.66% |
+10.28% |
5 |
25 |
33 |
+63 |
|
R-0612 |
VanEck
Junior Gold Miners ETF |
GDXJ |
-2.44% |
+10.50% |
-14.25% |
+7.39% |
3 |
23 |
33 |
+59 |
|
R-0608 |
Silver
Futures |
SI |
-0.32% |
+4.83% |
-12.33% |
+3.29% |
22 |
9 |
5 |
+36 |
|
R-0603 |
Gold
Futures |
GC |
-0.48% |
+3.79% |
-8.86% |
+6.69% |
-14 |
0 |
46 |
+32 |
|
R-0609 |
Sprott
Physical Gold Trust |
PHYS |
-1.97% |
+3.75% |
-9.65% |
+7.18% |
6 |
0 |
18 |
+24 |
|
R-0604 |
GraniteShares
Gold Trust |
BAR |
-1.92% |
+3.51% |
-8.96% |
+8.33% |
3 |
-9 |
18 |
+12 |
|
R-0605 |
iShares
Gold Trust |
IAU |
-1.94% |
+3.52% |
-9.01% |
+8.34% |
-3 |
-9 |
18 |
+6 |
|
R-0601 |
abrdn
Physical Gold Shares |
SGOL |
-1.98% |
+3.49% |
-9.02% |
+8.33% |
-5 |
-11 |
18 |
+2 |
|
R-0606 |
ProShares
Ultra Silver |
AGQ |
-6.85% |
+7.10% |
-26.12% |
-28.59% |
-14 |
-25 |
1 |
-38 |
|
R-0610 |
Sprott
Physical Silver Trust |
PSLV |
-3.56% |
+4.15% |
-13.41% |
-0.34% |
-13 |
-25 |
-12 |
-50 |
|
R-0602 |
abrdn
Physical Silver Shares |
SIVR |
-3.44% |
+3.68% |
-12.60% |
+2.17% |
-14 |
-25 |
-12 |
**-51** |
d) Researched Context
VanEck Gold Miners (GDX +63, +10.26% this week) and VanEck Junior Gold Miners (GDXJ +59, +10.50% this week) are outpacing the physical gold price by a material margin — the equity-gold premium is expanding as miners leverage high realized gold prices against relatively stable operating costs in this energy-cost environment, with the AT scores on both miners near zero indicating the long-term trend is just beginning to turn constructive after a period of underperformance. Physical gold vehicles (IAU +6, SGOL +2) lag the miners significantly despite posting YTD gains of +8.33–8.34%, reflecting institutional preference for gold equity leverage over spot exposure — a positioning pattern that historically precedes a broader re-rating of the gold complex if macro deterioration accelerates. Silicon Laboratories (SLAB +100, YTD +60%) is a misfit anomaly in this file — its surge reflects the niche AI hardware semiconductor rotation rather than a gold/silver signal, and it belongs in the P5 Evolutionary Tech watchlist rather than the precious metals allocation framework.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-07 — World Stock Exchanges
Context: Analysis of Macro Factors/Exchanges | 33 instruments | April 3, 2026
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +52 | Median: +68
Avg 1D: +0.32% | Avg 1W: +2.43% | Avg 1M: -1.46% | Avg YTD: +3.13%
Regime Distribution: Strong Momentum 12 | Building Momentum 7 | Extended Leader 7 | Neutral/Consolidating 4 | Weakening 2 | Terminal Liquidation 1
Top 5 by INSTAT:
|
Index |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
YTD |
|
Dow
Jones Mexico |
+100 |
0.00% |
+4.44% |
+10.13% |
|
FTSE
100 (UK) |
+100 |
+0.69% |
+4.70% |
+5.08% |
|
IBEX
35 (Spain) |
+100 |
-0.14% |
+4.48% |
+1.43% |
|
WIG20
(Poland) |
+100 |
+0.90% |
+5.05% |
+7.84% |
|
S&P
Merval (Argentina) |
+98 |
0.00% |
+7.36% |
-1.71% |
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
|
Index |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
YTD |
|
HNX
(Vietnam) |
+7 |
-0.44% |
-0.79% |
N/A |
|
PSEi
Composite (Philippines) |
-18 |
+0.84% |
+0.43% |
N/A |
|
BSE
Sensex 30 (India) |
-45 |
+0.25% |
-0.36% |
N/A |
|
ASX
All Ordinaries (Australia) |
-51 |
-1.25% |
+0.71% |
N/A |
|
Jakarta
Stock Exchange (Indonesia) |
-98 |
-2.19% |
-0.99% |
N/A |
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
AT: +17 (Neutral-Bull) | ST: +14 (Flat) | IN: +21 (Mild In-Flow)
★ Extended Leaders (7): Dow Jones Italy +96, Dow Jones Mexico +100, FTSE 100 +100, IBEX 35 +100, S&P Merval +98, S&P/TSX Composite +98, WIG20 +100
▼ Terminal Liquidation: Jakarta Stock Exchange Composite -98
Western European indices leading globally — a notable regime shift from prior quarters
c) Full Instrument Table *(sorted by INSTAT descending)*
|
Index |
Ticker |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
1M |
YTD |
AT |
ST |
IN |
|
Dow
Jones Mexico |
— |
+100 |
0.00% |
+4.44% |
— |
+10.13% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
|
FTSE
100 (UK) |
— |
+100 |
+0.69% |
+4.70% |
— |
+5.08% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
|
IBEX
35 (Spain) |
— |
+100 |
-0.14% |
+4.48% |
— |
+1.43% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
|
WIG20
(Poland) |
— |
+100 |
+0.90% |
+5.05% |
— |
+7.84% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
|
S&P
Merval (Argentina) |
— |
+98 |
0.00% |
+7.36% |
— |
-1.71% |
25 |
23 |
50 |
|
S&P/TSX
Composite (Canada) |
— |
+98 |
+0.46% |
+3.59% |
— |
+4.40% |
25 |
23 |
50 |
|
Dow
Jones Italy |
— |
+96 |
-0.01% |
+5.11% |
— |
+0.90% |
25 |
21 |
50 |
|
BIST
100 (Turkey) |
— |
+83 |
+0.88% |
+2.78% |
— |
+15.90% |
25 |
25 |
33 |
|
SMI
(Switzerland) |
— |
+83 |
+0.01% |
+3.36% |
— |
-2.07% |
25 |
25 |
33 |
|
KOSPI
(Korea) |
— |
+82 |
+2.97% |
-0.91% |
— |
+27.89% |
25 |
25 |
32 |
|
Nikkei
225 (Japan) |
— |
+69 |
+1.44% |
-0.28% |
— |
+5.72% |
25 |
22 |
22 |
|
S&P
500 |
— |
+41 |
+0.11% |
+3.36% |
— |
-3.84% |
25 |
11 |
5 |
|
NASDAQ
Composite |
— |
+39 |
+0.18% |
+4.44% |
— |
-5.86% |
25 |
11 |
3 |
|
HNX
(Vietnam) |
— |
+7 |
-0.44% |
-0.79% |
— |
N/A |
— |
— |
— |
|
PSEi
Composite (Philippines) |
— |
-18 |
+0.84% |
+0.43% |
— |
N/A |
— |
— |
— |
|
BSE
Sensex 30 (India) |
— |
-45 |
+0.25% |
-0.36% |
— |
N/A |
— |
— |
— |
|
ASX
All Ordinaries (Australia) |
— |
-51 |
-1.25% |
+0.71% |
— |
N/A |
— |
— |
— |
|
Jakarta
Stock Exchange (Indonesia) |
— |
-98 |
-2.19% |
-0.99% |
— |
N/A |
— |
— |
— |
d) Researched Context
The four simultaneous +100 INSTAT readings in FTSE 100, IBEX 35, WIG20, and Dow Jones Mexico — alongside near-Extended readings in S&P Merval, S&P/TSX, and Dow Jones Italy — mark a decisive rotation driven by near-shoring themes, European defense spending acceleration, and commodity-linked fiscal strength that is attracting institutional capital away from US mega-cap indices (S&P 500 +41, NASDAQ +39), both of which sit below the file median of +68. The KOSPI at +82 (YTD +27.89%) and Nikkei at +69 confirm Asian equity recovery in select markets tied to semiconductor and industrial export rebounds, while the Jakarta Stock Exchange Composite at -98 flags the sharpest EM stress point in the file — directly correlated with the rupiah's -50 IN score in R-04 and commodity-export demand uncertainty in R-05. The S&P 500 at +41 and NASDAQ at +39 — with IN scores barely positive — confirm the US is lagging global equity recovery in this post-selloff environment, and any mean-reversion entry in US large-cap equities should await IN scores exceeding +25 before committing capital.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-08 — World Country ETFs
Context: Analysis of Macro Factors/Exchanges | 34 instruments | April 3, 2026
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +45 | Median: +73
Avg 1D: -0.45% | Avg 1W: +3.89% | Avg 1M: -2.85% | Avg YTD: +2.71%
Regime Distribution: Extended Leader 10 | Strong Momentum 9 | Building Momentum 7 | Neutral/Consolidating 2 | Weakening 2 | Terminal Liquidation 3 | Correcting 1
Top 5 by INSTAT:
|
Instrument |
Ticker |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
YTD |
|
Global
X MSCI Argentina ETF |
ARGT.K |
+100 |
+0.73% |
+7.40% |
+2.71% |
|
iShares
MSCI Finland ETF |
EFNL.K |
+100 |
+0.88% |
+6.12% |
+5.08% |
|
iShares
MSCI Hong Kong ETF |
EWH |
+100 |
-0.39% |
+3.49% |
+8.99% |
|
iShares
MSCI Norway ETF |
ENOR.K |
+100 |
+0.99% |
+5.56% |
+28.08% |
|
iShares
MSCI Poland ETF |
EPOL.K |
+100 |
+0.79% |
+6.33% |
+4.49% |
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
|
Instrument |
Ticker |
INSTAT |
1D |
1W |
YTD |
|
State
Street SPDR S&P China ETF |
GXC |
-46 |
-0.56% |
+1.55% |
-4.75% |
|
iShares
MSCI Philippines ETF |
EPHE.K |
-87 |
-0.68% |
+1.40% |
-0.96% |
|
iShares
MSCI Indonesia ETF |
EIDO.K |
-92 |
-1.52% |
+0.97% |
-16.90% |
|
India
Closed Fund |
IFN |
-100 |
-1.16% |
+0.27% |
-19.47% |
|
iShares
MSCI New Zealand ETF |
ENZL.O |
-100 |
-0.46% |
-0.29% |
-6.45% |
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
AT: +12 (Neutral-Bull) | ST: +11 (Flat) | IN: +22 (Mild In-Flow)
★ Extended Leaders (10): Global X MSCI Argentina ETF +100, iShares MSCI Finland ETF +100, iShares MSCI Hong Kong ETF +100, iShares MSCI Norway ETF +100, iShares MSCI Poland ETF +100, iShares MSCI Spain ETF +98, iShares MSCI Australia ETF +95, iShares MSCI United Kingdom ETF +95, iShares MSCI Brazil ETF +92, iShares MSCI Singapore ETF +90
▼ Terminal Liquidation: iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF -92, India Closed Fund -100, iShares MSCI New Zealand ETF -100
Notable: iShares MSCI Norway ETF (ENOR.K) YTD +28.08% — highest YTD return in the file; iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF YTD -16.90% — deepest YTD drawdown
c) Full Instrument Table *(sorted by INSTAT descending)*
|
ID |
Instrument |
Ticker |
1D |
1W |
1M |
YTD |
AT |
ST |
IN |
INSTAT |
|
R-0801 |
Global
X MSCI Argentina ETF |
ARGT.K |
+0.73% |
+7.40% |
+6.90% |
+2.71% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
**+100** |
|
R-0810 |
iShares
MSCI Finland ETF |
EFNL.K |
+0.88% |
+6.12% |
+0.40% |
+5.08% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
**+100** |
|
R-0813 |
iShares
MSCI Hong Kong ETF |
EWH |
-0.39% |
+3.49% |
-0.64% |
+8.99% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
**+100** |
|
R-0823 |
iShares
MSCI Norway ETF |
ENOR.K |
+0.99% |
+5.56% |
+6.01% |
+28.08% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
**+100** |
|
R-0825 |
iShares
MSCI Poland ETF |
EPOL.K |
+0.79% |
+6.33% |
+1.55% |
+4.49% |
25 |
25 |
50 |
**+100** |
|
R-0829 |
iShares
MSCI Spain ETF |
EWP |
-0.15% |
+5.58% |
+0.37% |
+1.76% |
25 |
25 |
48 |
+98 |
|
R-0804 |
iShares
MSCI Australia ETF |
EWA |
+0.02% |
+3.27% |
-4.26% |
+7.29% |
25 |
22 |
48 |
+95 |
|
R-0832 |
iShares
MSCI United Kingdom ETF |
EWU |
-0.26% |
+4.78% |
-2.14% |
+5.12% |
22 |
25 |
48 |
+95 |
|
R-0807 |
iShares
MSCI Brazil ETF |
EWZ |
-0.05% |
+4.70% |
+2.29% |
+20.71% |
17 |
25 |
50 |
+92 |
|
R-0826 |
iShares
MSCI Singapore ETF |
EWS |
-0.67% |
+2.57% |
+1.87% |
+2.84% |
15 |
25 |
50 |
+90 |
|
R-0820 |
iShares
MSCI Mexico ETF |
EWW |
-0.34% |
+5.55% |
-2.31% |
+9.78% |
9 |
25 |
50 |
+84 |
|
R-0817 |
iShares
MSCI Italy ETF |
EWI |
-0.37% |
+6.28% |
-0.48% |
-0.04% |
25 |
25 |
33 |
+83 |
|
R-0806 |
iShares
MSCI Belgium ETF |
EWK |
+0.45% |
+5.77% |
-2.95% |
+2.13% |
25 |
25 |
31 |
+81 |
|
R-0808 |
iShares
MSCI Canada ETF |
EWC |
+0.25% |
+3.15% |
-3.74% |
+2.58% |
23 |
25 |
33 |
+81 |
|
R-0818 |
iShares
MSCI Japan ETF |
EWJ |
-1.38% |
+4.74% |
-3.73% |
+5.64% |
22 |
25 |
33 |
+80 |
|
R-0830 |
iShares
MSCI Sweden ETF |
EWD |
0.00% |
+5.70% |
-6.35% |
+0.65% |
25 |
22 |
31 |
+78 |
|
R-0831 |
iShares
MSCI Thailand ETF |
THD |
-0.65% |
+3.51% |
+1.72% |
+14.71% |
14 |
14 |
50 |
+78 |
|
R-0811 |
iShares
MSCI France ETF |
EWQ |
-0.23% |
+4.49% |
-3.27% |
-2.76% |
25 |
25 |
18 |
+68 |
|
R-0816 |
iShares
MSCI Israel ETF |
EIS |
-0.56% |
+3.48% |
-6.34% |
+7.11% |
25 |
22 |
18 |
+65 |
|
R-0809 |
iShares
MSCI Chile ETF |
ECH |
-1.36% |
+2.98% |
-0.67% |
-0.89% |
10 |
20 |
33 |
+63 |
|
R-0815 |
iShares
MSCI Ireland ETF |
EIRL.K |
-0.48% |
+3.18% |
-4.41% |
-6.12% |
21 |
11 |
18 |
+50 |
|
R-0805 |
iShares
MSCI Austria ETF |
EWO |
-0.78% |
+4.23% |
-1.43% |
+0.79% |
2 |
14 |
33 |
+49 |
|
R-0802 |
Global
X MSCI Greece ETF |
GREK.K |
-1.09% |
+6.06% |
-2.19% |
-0.96% |
-6 |
14 |
33 |
+41 |
|
R-0833 |
SPDR
S&P 500 ETF Trust |
SPY |
+0.09% |
+3.43% |
-4.28% |
-3.83% |
25 |
11 |
5 |
+41 |
|
R-0812 |
iShares
MSCI Germany ETF |
EWG |
-0.67% |
+4.86% |
-5.15% |
-6.05% |
25 |
11 |
1 |
+37 |
|
R-0821 |
iShares
MSCI Netherlands ETF |
EWN |
-0.79% |
+3.97% |
-4.33% |
+1.89% |
14 |
0 |
18 |
+32 |
|
R-0827 |
iShares
MSCI South Africa ETF |
EZA |
-1.18% |
+5.89% |
-8.51% |
-1.15% |
-12 |
0 |
33 |
+21 |
|
R-0828 |
iShares
MSCI South Korea ETF |
EWY |
-2.65% |
+1.56% |
-8.56% |
+26.38% |
3 |
-9 |
3 |
-3 |
|
R-0819 |
iShares
MSCI Malaysia ETF |
EWM |
-1.08% |
-0.32% |
-1.67% |
+3.58% |
-11 |
-25 |
3 |
-33 |
|
R-0834 |
State
Street SPDR S&P China ETF |
GXC |
-0.56% |
+1.55% |
-3.21% |
-4.75% |
-5 |
-25 |
-16 |
-46 |
|
R-0824 |
iShares
MSCI Philippines ETF |
EPHE.K |
-0.68% |
+1.40% |
-6.48% |
-0.96% |
-14 |
-25 |
-48 |
-87 |
|
R-0814 |
iShares
MSCI Indonesia ETF |
EIDO.K |
-1.52% |
+0.97% |
-7.88% |
-16.90% |
-17 |
-25 |
-50 |
**-92** |
|
R-0803 |
India
Closed Fund |
IFN |
-1.16% |
+0.27% |
-14.09% |
-19.47% |
-25 |
-25 |
-50 |
**-100** |
|
R-0822 |
iShares
MSCI New Zealand ETF |
ENZL.O |
-0.46% |
-0.29% |
-9.08% |
-6.45% |
-25 |
-25 |
-50 |
**-100** |
d) Researched Context
Global X MSCI Argentina ETF (ARGT.K) leads R-08 at +100 — Milei administration fiscal reform momentum, IMF agreement progress, and commodity rebound tailwinds are compressing the Argentine risk premium, with the +7.40% weekly gain reflecting institutional re-rating of a market that has been largely uninvestable for the past decade; iShares MSCI Brazil ETF (EWZ +92, YTD +20.71%) and iShares MSCI Mexico ETF (EWW +84, YTD +9.78%) confirm the Americas near-shoring and commodity-linked rotation as a cohesive regional theme rather than a single-country idiosyncratic move. The European bloc dominance — Norway (+100, YTD +28.08% driven by energy fiscal surplus), Poland (+100), Spain (+98), UK (+95), Italy +83, Belgium +81, Sweden +78 — is the broadest multi-country strength reading in the file, consistent with R-07's regime shift away from US equity dominance and toward NATO/EU defense-infrastructure spending beneficiaries. The Southeast Asian stress cluster — iShares MSCI Indonesia ETF (-92, YTD -16.90%), iShares MSCI Philippines ETF (-87), and India Closed Fund (-100, YTD -19.47%) — represents a concentrated EM risk signal for the P6 EM debt exposure: the -50 IN scores on all three confirm active institutional exit, and the correlation with rupiah/peso/rupee deterioration in R-04 means any EM bond allocation in these geographies faces concurrent equity and currency headwinds that make capital preservation untenable without explicit hedges.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
*End of Batch 1 — Macro Factors (R-01 to R-08)*
*INSTAT A Daily Report | April 3, 2026*
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
BATCH 2 — BELLWETHER STOCKS (R-09 to R-13)
Date: April 3, 2026 | Regime: Risk-Off / Defensive | Posture: Capital Preservation
User: Bill Cara — 100% cash since Feb 27, 2026 sellout event | Grand Avg INSTAT (A-side): +23
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-09 – Dow 30 Industrials
a) Performance Snapshot
|
Metric |
Value |
|
Avg
INSTAT |
+11 |
|
Median
INSTAT |
+17 |
|
Avg
1-Day |
+0.05% |
|
Avg
1-Week |
+1.98% |
|
Avg
1-Month |
-5.02% |
|
Avg
YTD |
-1.85% |
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Weakening |
6 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
6 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
6 |
|
Building
Momentum |
4 |
|
Extended
Leader |
3 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
3 |
|
Correcting |
2 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. Merck & Company Inc (MRK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.02% | 1W +1.04%
2. Walmart Inc (WMT) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.84% | 1W +2.36%
3. Coca-Cola Co (KO) — INSTAT +95 | 1D +0.84% | 1W +1.33%
4. Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.33% | 1W +7.49%
5. Honeywell International Inc (HON) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.55% | 1W +2.84%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. Visa Inc Class A (V) — INSTAT -64 | 1D +0.77% | 1W +1.79%
2. Nike Inc (NKE) — INSTAT -81 | 1D -1.00% | 1W -13.98%
3. Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) — INSTAT -90 | 1D -2.36% | 1W +0.83%
4. Home Depot Inc (HD) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.41% | 1W -0.01%
5. Procter & Gamble Company (PG) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.67% | 1W +0.29%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
|
Indicator |
Value |
Interpretation |
|
Avg
AT (Long-Term Trend) |
+7 |
Neutral-Bull:
long-term structure is marginally constructive but not confirmed |
|
Avg
ST (Short-Term Trend) |
+5 |
Flat:
short-term momentum stalled, no directional conviction |
|
Avg
IN (Intermediate Flow) |
-2 |
Flat:
intermediate capital flow is neutral, slightly negative tilt |
EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Coca-Cola Co (KO) — INSTAT +95 | 1D +0.84% | 1W +1.33% | YTD +9.74%
★ Merck & Company Inc (MRK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.02% | 1W +1.04% | YTD +14.83%
★ Walmart Inc (WMT) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.84% | 1W +2.36% | YTD +12.91%
TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Home Depot Inc (HD) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.41% | 1W -0.01% | YTD -6.53%
▼ Procter & Gamble Company (PG) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.67% | 1W +0.29% | YTD -0.13%
▼ Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) — INSTAT -90 | 1D -2.36% | 1W +0.83% | YTD -1.86%
STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Apple Inc (AAPL) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.11% | 1W +2.86%
→ Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) — INSTAT +69 | 1D +1.40% | 1W -1.13%
→ Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.33% | 1W +7.49%
→ Honeywell International Inc (HON) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.55% | 1W +2.84%
→ JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.26% | 1W +4.16%
→ Travelers Companies (TRV) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +1.19% | 1W +3.06%
Volume Signals:
Nike Inc (NKE) — Volume: 3.5x avg (SURGE)
Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) — Volume: 1.0x avg
Salesforce Inc (CRM) — Volume: 0.9x avg
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. International Business Machines (IBM) — 1D: +2.06%
2. Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO) — 1D: +1.40%
3. Unitedhealth Group (UNH) — 1D: +1.20%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Caterpillar Inc (CAT) — 1D: -1.79%
2. Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) — 1D: -2.36%
3. Home Depot Inc (HD) — 1D: -2.41%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Merck
& Company Inc |
MRK |
+0.02% |
+1.04% |
+14.83% |
25 |
|
Walmart
Inc |
WMT.O |
+0.84% |
+2.36% |
+12.91% |
25 |
|
Coca-Cola
Co |
KO |
+0.84% |
+1.33% |
+9.74% |
20 |
|
Goldman
Sachs Group Inc |
GS |
+0.33% |
+7.49% |
-1.82% |
25 |
|
Honeywell
International Inc |
HON.O |
+0.55% |
+2.84% |
+17.61% |
25 |
|
Travelers
Companies |
TRV |
+1.19% |
+3.06% |
+1.35% |
25 |
|
Apple
Inc |
AAPL.O |
+0.11% |
+2.86% |
-5.86% |
25 |
|
JPMorgan
Chase & Co |
JPM |
-0.26% |
+4.16% |
-8.57% |
25 |
|
Cisco
Systems Inc |
CSCO.O |
+1.40% |
-1.13% |
+2.58% |
25 |
|
Caterpillar
Inc |
CAT |
-1.79% |
+3.14% |
+25.20% |
-12 |
|
Boeing
Co |
BA |
+0.43% |
+9.29% |
-4.10% |
25 |
|
NVIDIA
Corporation |
NVDA.O |
+0.93% |
+5.89% |
-4.88% |
25 |
|
Johnson
& Johnson |
JNJ |
-0.44% |
+1.08% |
+17.44% |
-23 |
|
Amazon.com
Inc |
AMZN.O |
-0.38% |
+5.23% |
-9.12% |
17 |
|
International
Business Machi.. |
IBM |
+2.06% |
+5.00% |
-16.22% |
25 |
|
Unitedhealth
Group |
UNH |
+1.20% |
+7.04% |
-16.01% |
25 |
|
Microsoft
Corporation |
MSFT.O |
+1.11% |
+4.68% |
-22.78% |
25 |
|
Salesforce
Inc |
CRM |
+0.50% |
+4.39% |
-29.34% |
25 |
|
Chevron
Corp |
CVX |
+0.79% |
-5.77% |
+30.55% |
-17 |
|
Walt
Disney Company |
DIS |
+0.05% |
+4.53% |
-15.08% |
15 |
|
Verizon
Communications Inc |
VZ |
+0.02% |
-1.81% |
+21.29% |
-24 |
|
McDonald's
Corporation |
MCD |
-0.05% |
+0.41% |
+0.49% |
10 |
|
Amgen
Inc |
AMGN.O |
-1.51% |
-0.24% |
+6.30% |
-19 |
|
American
Express Company |
AXP |
-0.13% |
+2.68% |
-18.88% |
-12 |
|
3M
Company |
MMM |
-0.54% |
+1.00% |
-9.76% |
-3 |
|
Visa
Inc Class A |
V |
+0.77% |
+1.79% |
-14.23% |
-5 |
|
Nike
Inc |
NKE |
-1.00% |
-13.98% |
-30.64% |
-6 |
|
Sherwin-Williams
Co |
SHW |
-2.36% |
+0.83% |
-1.86% |
-17 |
|
Home
Depot Inc |
HD |
-2.41% |
-0.01% |
-6.53% |
-25 |
|
Procter
& Gamble Company |
PG |
-0.67% |
+0.29% |
-0.13% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Nike Inc (NKE) is the session's prime anomaly — INSTAT -81 with volume surging 3.5x its 3-month average on a -1.00% day, while its 1-week return of -13.98% and 1-month of -24.64% confirm accelerating institutional liquidation, the signature of a terminal unwind rather than a washout bottom in a risk-off regime. The Dow 30 average INSTAT of +11 masks a severe bifurcation: three defensive extended leaders (MRK, WMT, KO all ≥ +95) carrying the index while three components hit terminal liquidation (HD -100, PG -100, SHW -90), confirming that rotation into staples and pharma is the dominant regime trade with principal risk being a reversal of that defensive bid if macro conditions stabilize sooner than expected. For P2 (Dow 30 Maverick), the operative watchlist posture is to track the base-building progress in MSFT (-3) and CRM (-3) as potential re-entry candidates while maintaining avoidance of the terminal liquidation cohort until AT and ST scores turn positive.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-10 – Dow Transports
a) Performance Snapshot
|
Metric |
Value |
|
Avg
INSTAT |
+54 |
|
Median
INSTAT |
+83 |
|
Avg
1-Day |
+0.35% |
|
Avg
1-Week |
+4.86% |
|
Avg
1-Month |
-1.92% |
|
Avg
YTD |
+5.71% |
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
8 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
5 |
|
Building
Momentum |
3 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
3 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. Avis Budget Group Inc (CAR) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +11.97% | 1W +28.27%
2. CSX Corporation (CSX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.53% | 1W +3.91%
3. JB Hunt Transport Services Inc (JBHT) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.69% | 1W +4.53%
4. Landstar System Inc (LSTR) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.05% | 1W +4.31%
5. Matson Inc (MATX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.90% | 1W +5.29%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. Uber Technologies Inc (UBER) — INSTAT -12 | 1D +0.15% | 1W +3.82%
2. American Airlines Group (AAL) — INSTAT -16 | 1D -2.61% | 1W +5.24%
3. Southwest Airlines Company (LUV) — INSTAT -16 | 1D -1.65% | 1W +0.64%
4. United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL) — INSTAT -22 | 1D -3.02% | 1W +4.26%
5. Alaska Air Group Inc (ALK) — INSTAT -29 | 1D -0.85% | 1W +3.24%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
|
Indicator |
Value |
Interpretation |
|
Avg
AT (Long-Term Trend) |
+20 |
Bull:
long-term trend solidly positive across the group |
|
Avg
ST (Short-Term Trend) |
+17 |
Flat-to-rising:
short-term momentum recovering, not yet confirmed |
|
Avg
IN (Intermediate Flow) |
+17 |
Mild
In-Flow: intermediate capital is moving into the group |
EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Avis Budget Group Inc (CAR.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +11.97% | 1W +28.27% | YTD +48.39%
★ CSX Corporation (CSX.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.53% | 1W +3.91% | YTD +13.71%
★ FedEx Corporation (FDX) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.65% | 1W +5.13% | YTD +25.19%
★ JB Hunt Transport Services Inc (JBHT.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.69% | 1W +4.53% | YTD +10.58%
★ Kirby Corporation (KEX) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.82% | 1W +1.34% | YTD +23.36%
★ Landstar System Inc (LSTR.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.05% | 1W +4.31% | YTD +15.15%
★ Matson Inc (MATX.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.90% | 1W +5.29% | YTD +34.67%
★ Ryder System Inc (R) — INSTAT +92 | 1D -0.44% | 1W +4.25% | YTD +7.61%
STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Delta Air Lines Inc (DAL) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -1.24% | 1W +2.98%
→ Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD.K) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +1.04% | 1W +3.25%
→ Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.65% | 1W +2.48%
Volume Signals:
Avis Budget Group Inc (CAR.O) — Volume: 2.2x avg (SURGE)
Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) — Volume: 1.6x avg (Elevated)
United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL.O) — Volume: 1.2x avg
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Avis Budget Group Inc (CAR.O) — 1D: +11.97%
2. Landstar System Inc (LSTR.O) — 1D: +1.05%
3. Expeditors International of Washington (EXPD.K) — 1D: +1.04%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Southwest Airlines Company (LUV) — 1D: -1.65%
2. American Airlines Group (AAL.O) — 1D: -2.61%
3. United Airlines Holdings Inc (UAL.O) — 1D: -3.02%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Avis
Budget Group Inc |
CAR.O |
+11.97% |
+28.27% |
+48.39% |
25 |
|
CSX
Corporation |
CSX.O |
-0.53% |
+3.91% |
+13.71% |
25 |
|
JB
Hunt Transport Services Inc |
JBHT.O |
+0.69% |
+4.53% |
+10.58% |
25 |
|
Landstar
System Inc |
LSTR.O |
+1.05% |
+4.31% |
+15.15% |
25 |
|
Matson
Inc |
MATX.K |
+0.90% |
+5.29% |
+34.67% |
25 |
|
FedEx
Corporation |
FDX |
+0.65% |
+5.13% |
+25.19% |
23 |
|
Kirby
Corporation |
KEX |
+0.82% |
+1.34% |
+23.36% |
23 |
|
Ryder
System Inc |
R |
-0.44% |
+4.25% |
+7.61% |
17 |
|
Delta
Air Lines Inc |
DAL |
-1.24% |
+2.98% |
-3.80% |
25 |
|
Expeditors
International of .. |
EXPD.K |
+1.04% |
+3.25% |
-2.15% |
25 |
|
Union
Pacific Corporation |
UNP |
+0.65% |
+2.48% |
+5.79% |
25 |
|
Old
Dominion Freight Line Inc |
ODFL.O |
-0.82% |
+5.13% |
+26.28% |
-6 |
|
CH
Robinson Worldwide Inc |
CHRW.O |
-0.39% |
+3.88% |
+4.40% |
19 |
|
Norfolk
Southern Corporation |
NSC |
+0.35% |
+1.68% |
-0.25% |
13 |
|
United
Parcel Service Inc |
UPS |
+0.28% |
+3.57% |
-1.02% |
25 |
|
Uber
Technologies Inc |
UBER.K |
+0.15% |
+3.82% |
-12.10% |
25 |
|
American
Airlines Group |
AAL.O |
-2.61% |
+5.24% |
-29.29% |
23 |
|
Southwest
Airlines Company |
LUV |
-1.65% |
+0.64% |
-9.02% |
14 |
|
United
Airlines Holdings Inc |
UAL.O |
-3.02% |
+4.26% |
-17.54% |
8 |
|
Alaska
Air Group Inc |
ALK |
-0.85% |
+3.24% |
-25.79% |
23 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Avis Budget Group Inc (CAR) is the session's marquee anomaly — INSTAT +100 with a 1-day surge of +11.97% and a 1-week gain of +28.27% on volume 2.2x its 3-month average, signaling a short-covering event or event-driven catalyst rather than sustained institutional accumulation, and its 1-month gain of +98.87% places it in an extreme extended zone that demands caution rather than pursuit in a risk-off regime. R-10's Avg INSTAT of +54 and median of +83 represent the strongest aggregate reading in Batch 2, driven entirely by rail and logistics leaders (CSX, JBHT, LSTR, MATX all at +100) while airlines (AAL -16, LUV -16, UAL -22, ALK -29) confirm consumer travel demand destruction as the principal risk signal embedded in this group. Freight rails and specialty logistics remain valid P1 (Cara 100) watchlist candidates given their sustained AT/ST/IN alignment, but entry discipline requires waiting for the intermediate IN scores of the airline cohort to stabilize before drawing any macro-demand inferences from the transport index.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-11 – Dow Utilities
a) Performance Snapshot
|
Metric |
Value |
|
Avg
INSTAT |
+89 |
|
Median
INSTAT |
+100 |
|
Avg
1-Day |
+0.76% |
|
Avg
1-Week |
+2.51% |
|
Avg
1-Month |
-0.29% |
|
Avg
YTD |
+11.66% |
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
12 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
1 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
1 |
|
Building
Momentum |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. American Electric Power Company Inc (AEP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.77% | 1W +1.98%
2. American Water Works (AWK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.99% | 1W +0.94%
3. CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.06% | 1W +3.14%
4. Consolidated Edison Inc (ED) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.33% | 1W +3.36%
5. Dominion Energy Inc (D) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.16% | 1W +3.10%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) — INSTAT +96 | 1D +1.01% | 1W +1.72%
2. FirstEnergy Corporation (FE) — INSTAT +96 | 1D +0.69% | 1W +2.56%
3. Edison International (EIX) — INSTAT +80 | 1D -0.16% | 1W +4.50%
4. The AES Corporation (AES) — INSTAT +46 | 1D +0.70% | 1W +2.14%
5. Public Service Enterprise Group Inc (PEG) — INSTAT +20 | 1D +0.73% | 1W +1.38%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
|
Indicator |
Value |
Interpretation |
|
Avg
AT (Long-Term Trend) |
+23 |
Bull:
long-term trend firmly bullish, institutional accumulation well-established |
|
Avg
ST (Short-Term Trend) |
+25 |
Rising:
short-term momentum at maximum reading, near-term upside continued |
|
Avg
IN (Intermediate Flow) |
+41 |
Strong
In-Flow: persistent and accelerating intermediate capital inflow into the
sector |
EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ American Electric Power Company Inc (AEP.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.77% | 1W +1.98% | YTD +15.06%
★ American Water Works (AWK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.99% | 1W +0.94% | YTD +5.85%
★ CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.06% | 1W +3.14% | YTD +14.01%
★ Consolidated Edison Inc (ED) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.33% | 1W +3.36% | YTD +16.22%
★ Dominion Energy Inc (D) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.16% | 1W +3.10% | YTD +7.13%
★ Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) — INSTAT +96 | 1D +1.01% | 1W +1.72% | YTD +12.81%
★ Exelon Corporation (EXC.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.92% | 1W +2.09% | YTD +13.17%
★ FirstEnergy Corporation (FE) — INSTAT +96 | 1D +0.69% | 1W +2.56% | YTD +14.61%
★ Nextera Energy Inc (NEE) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.32% | 1W +1.91% | YTD +16.03%
★ NiSource Inc (NI) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.26% | 1W +3.31% | YTD +13.72%
★ PG&E Corp (PCG) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.11% | 1W +3.49% | YTD +10.58%
★ Southern Company (SO) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.53% | 1W +1.99% | YTD +11.75%
STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Edison International (EIX) — INSTAT +80 | 1D -0.16% | 1W +4.50%
Volume Signals:
Nextera Energy Inc (NEE) — Volume: 1.0x avg (normal)
Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) — Volume: 0.8x avg (below average)
American Water Works (AWK) — Volume: 0.8x avg (below average)
Note: No instruments in R-11 are reporting volume ≥ 2x 3-month average. The highest volume readings in this group are at or below the 3-month average, consistent with orderly institutional accumulation rather than event-driven flows.
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Consolidated Edison Inc (ED) — 1D: +1.33%
2. NiSource Inc (NI) — 1D: +1.26%
3. Dominion Energy Inc (D) — 1D: +1.16%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Nextera Energy Inc (NEE) — 1D: +0.32%
2. PG&E Corp (PCG) — 1D: +0.11%
3. Edison International (EIX) — 1D: -0.16%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
American
Electric Power Comp.. |
AEP.O |
+0.77% |
+1.98% |
+15.06% |
25 |
|
American
Water Works |
AWK |
+0.99% |
+0.94% |
+5.85% |
25 |
|
CenterPoint
Energy Inc |
CNP |
+1.06% |
+3.14% |
+14.01% |
25 |
|
Consolidated
Edison Inc |
ED |
+1.33% |
+3.36% |
+16.22% |
25 |
|
Dominion
Energy Inc |
D |
+1.16% |
+3.10% |
+7.13% |
25 |
|
Exelon
Corporation |
EXC.O |
+0.92% |
+2.09% |
+13.17% |
25 |
|
Nextera
Energy Inc |
NEE |
+0.32% |
+1.91% |
+16.03% |
25 |
|
NiSource
Inc |
NI |
+1.26% |
+3.31% |
+13.72% |
25 |
|
PG&E
Corp |
PCG |
+0.11% |
+3.49% |
+10.58% |
25 |
|
Southern
Company |
SO |
+0.53% |
+1.99% |
+11.75% |
25 |
|
Duke
Energy Corporation |
DUK |
+1.01% |
+1.72% |
+12.81% |
21 |
|
FirstEnergy
Corporation |
FE |
+0.69% |
+2.56% |
+14.61% |
21 |
|
Edison
International |
EIX |
-0.16% |
+4.50% |
+22.39% |
7 |
|
The
AES Corporation |
AES |
+0.70% |
+2.14% |
-0.28% |
25 |
|
Public
Service Enterprise Gr.. |
PEG |
+0.73% |
+1.38% |
+1.89% |
25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
American Electric Power (AEP) anchors R-11 as the regime's defining defensive anomaly — INSTAT +100 with Avg AT +23, Avg ST +25, and Avg IN +41 confirming that Dow Utilities are in the strongest aggregate momentum state of any R-File in Batch 2, a direct expression of institutional flight to regulated income streams in the post-Feb 27 risk-off regime. The sector's median INSTAT of +100 and 12 of 15 instruments at Extended Leader status represents a fully extended, crowded trade; principal risk is a sharp reversal if the macro narrative shifts toward rate normalization or if risk appetite recovers, which would compress the defensive premium embedded in utility valuations. The outlier laggards — AES (+46, IN -4) and PEG (+20, IN -30) — are the only names in R-11 showing intermediate capital outflow, flagging them as watchlist candidates for P6 (Income portfolio) only after the intermediate (IN) scores recover toward positive territory.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-12 – Quality Cara 100 Watchlist
a) Performance Snapshot
|
Metric |
Value |
|
Avg
INSTAT |
+14 |
|
Median
INSTAT |
+15 |
|
Avg
1-Day |
-0.14% |
|
Avg
1-Week |
+3.38% |
|
Avg
1-Month |
-5.01% |
|
Avg
YTD |
-0.50% |
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
25 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
18 |
|
Extended
Leader |
18 |
|
Weakening |
11 |
|
Correcting |
10 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
9 |
|
Building
Momentum |
8 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. Air Liquide SA ADR (AIQUY) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.07% | 1W +5.12%
2. America Movil SAB de CV Mm (AMX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.20% | 1W +3.10%
3. AstraZeneca PLC ADR (AZN) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.34% | 1W +7.96%
4. BE Semiconductor Industries NV ADR (BESIY) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.62% | 1W +11.61%
5. BHP Group Ltd ADR (BHP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.44% | 1W +5.38%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. Comcast Corp (CMCSA) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.43% | 1W -1.41%
2. Diageo PLC ADR (DEO) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.76% | 1W -1.01%
3. Home Depot Inc (HD) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.41% | 1W -0.01%
4. Nintendo Co ADR (NTDOY) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.39% | 1W -1.49%
5. Procter & Gamble Company (PG) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.67% | 1W +0.29%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
|
Indicator |
Value |
Interpretation |
|
Avg
AT (Long-Term Trend) |
+10 |
Neutral-Bull:
long-term trend marginally positive, not yet recovered |
|
Avg
ST (Short-Term Trend) |
+7 |
Flat:
short-term trend flat with modest positive bias |
|
Avg
IN (Intermediate Flow) |
-3 |
Flat:
intermediate flow essentially neutral, slight outflow bias — base-building
phase |
EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Air Liquide SA ADR (AIQUY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.07% | 1W +5.12% | YTD +10.92%
★ America Movil SAB de CV Mm (AMX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.20% | 1W +3.10% | YTD +23.75%
★ AstraZeneca PLC ADR (AZN.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.34% | 1W +7.96% | YTD +121.27%
★ Axa SA ADR (AXAHY.PK) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.90% | 1W +7.43% | YTD -2.38%
★ BAE Systems PLC (BAESY.PK) — INSTAT +98 | 1D -0.91% | 1W +10.99% | YTD +30.87%
★ BE Semiconductor Industries NV ADR (BESIY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.62% | 1W +11.61% | YTD +42.74%
★ BHP Group Ltd ADR (BHP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.44% | 1W +5.38% | YTD +21.32%
★ Coca-Cola Co (KO) — INSTAT +95 | 1D +0.84% | 1W +1.33% | YTD +9.74%
★ DBS Group Holdings Ltd ADR (DBSDY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.14% | 1W +2.00% | YTD +2.60%
★ Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.45% | 1W +6.67% | YTD +13.53%
★ Iberdrola SA (IBDRY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.47% | 1W +7.74% | YTD +9.28%
★ Leonardo SpA ADR (FINMY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.97% | 1W +11.07% | YTD +25.60%
★ Mitsubishi Corp. (MSBHF.PK) — INSTAT +98 | 1D -1.23% | 1W -0.53% | YTD +51.55%
★ Rio Tinto ADR (RIO) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.38% | 1W +9.01% | YTD +18.02%
★ STMicroelectronics NV ADR (STM) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.58% | 1W +5.47% | YTD +32.31%
★ Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR (ERIC.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +3.07% | 1W +4.40% | YTD +20.52%
★ TotalEnergies SE (TTE) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.91% | 1W +2.80% | YTD +41.23%
★ Walmart Inc (WMT.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.84% | 1W +2.36% | YTD +12.91%
TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Comcast Corp (CMCSA.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.43% | 1W -1.41% | YTD -0.26%
▼ CSL Ltd (CSLLY.PK) — INSTAT -92 | 1D -2.46% | 1W -0.58% | YTD -15.97%
▼ Diageo PLC ADR (DEO) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.76% | 1W -1.01% | YTD -15.01%
▼ HDFC Bank Limited ADR (HDB) — INSTAT -94 | 1D -0.28% | 1W +1.97% | YTD -32.05%
▼ Home Depot Inc (HD) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.41% | 1W -0.01% | YTD -6.53%
▼ Icici Bank Limited ADR (IBN) — INSTAT -98 | 1D -0.43% | 1W +1.23% | YTD -14.06%
▼ Nintendo Co ADR (NTDOY.PK) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.39% | 1W -1.49% | YTD -17.67%
▼ Procter & Gamble Company (PG) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.67% | 1W +0.29% | YTD -0.13%
▼ ServiceNow Inc (NOW) — INSTAT -93 | 1D -1.96% | 1W +2.61% | YTD -33.42%
STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Enbridge Inc (ENB) — INSTAT +86 | 1D +0.95% | 1W -0.77%
→ Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +3.47% | 1W +7.68%
→ Delta Air Lines Inc (DAL) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -1.24% | 1W +2.98%
→ Honeywell International Inc (HON.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.55% | 1W +2.84%
→ Netflix Inc (NFLX.O) — INSTAT +82 | 1D +3.25% | 1W +5.60%
→ Apple Inc (AAPL.O) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.11% | 1W +2.86%
→ ASM International NV ADR (ASMIY.PK) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.30% | 1W +4.36%
→ ING Group NV ADR (ING) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.93% | 1W +7.14%
→ JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.26% | 1W +4.16%
→ Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.83% | 1W +1.13%
→ Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.75% | 1W +3.74%
→ Allianz SE ADR (ALIZY.PK) — INSTAT +70 | 1D -0.56% | 1W +5.34%
→ Novartis AG ADR (NVS) — INSTAT +70 | 1D -0.68% | 1W +3.95%
→ Rtx Corp (RTX) — INSTAT +68 | 1D +0.77% | 1W +3.43%
→ Alphabet Inc Class C (GOOG.O) — INSTAT +65 | 1D -0.15% | 1W +7.56%
→ Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited (CP) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +1.22% | 1W +0.95%
→ Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) — INSTAT +63 | 1D -0.73% | 1W +7.83%
→ Wheaton Precious Metals Corp (WPM) — INSTAT +63 | 1D -0.92% | 1W +8.69%
Volume Signals:
Nike Inc (NKE) — Volume: 3.5x avg (SURGE)
Safran SA (SAFRY.PK) — Volume: 3.0x avg (SURGE)
Siemens AG ADR (SIEGY.PK) — Volume: 1.9x avg (Elevated)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Flutter Entertainment PLC (FLUT.K) — 1D: +3.55%
2. Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD.O) — 1D: +3.47%
3. Infosys Ltd ADR (INFY.K) — 1D: +3.31%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Fanuc Corporation (FANUY.PK) — 1D: -3.51%
2. GE Aerospace (GE) — 1D: -3.94%
3. Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) — 1D: -5.42%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Air
Liquide SA ADR |
AIQUY.PK |
-0.07% |
+5.12% |
+10.92% |
25 |
|
America
Movil SAB de CV Mm |
AMX |
+0.20% |
+3.10% |
+23.75% |
25 |
|
AstraZeneca
PLC ADR |
AZN.O |
+1.34% |
+7.96% |
+121.27% |
25 |
|
BE
Semiconductor Industries .. |
BESIY.PK |
+2.62% |
+11.61% |
+42.74% |
25 |
|
BHP
Group Ltd ADR |
BHP |
-0.44% |
+5.38% |
+21.32% |
25 |
|
DBS
Group Holdings Ltd ADR |
DBSDY.PK |
+0.14% |
+2.00% |
+2.60% |
25 |
|
Fomento
Economico Mexicano |
FMX |
+1.45% |
+6.67% |
+13.53% |
25 |
|
Iberdrola
SA |
IBDRY.PK |
+1.47% |
+7.74% |
+9.28% |
25 |
|
Leonardo
SpA ADR |
FINMY.PK |
-0.97% |
+11.07% |
+25.60% |
25 |
|
Rio
Tinto ADR |
RIO |
-0.38% |
+9.01% |
+18.02% |
25 |
|
STMicroelectronics
NV ADR |
STM |
-0.58% |
+5.47% |
+32.31% |
25 |
|
Telefonaktiebolaget
LM Erics.. |
ERIC.O |
+3.07% |
+4.40% |
+20.52% |
25 |
|
TotalEnergies
SE |
TTE |
+2.91% |
+2.80% |
+41.23% |
25 |
|
Walmart
Inc |
WMT.O |
+0.84% |
+2.36% |
+12.91% |
25 |
|
Axa
SA ADR |
AXAHY.PK |
+0.90% |
+7.43% |
-2.38% |
25 |
|
BAE
Systems PLC |
BAESY.PK |
-0.91% |
+10.99% |
+30.87% |
23 |
|
Mitsubishi
Corp. |
MSBHF.PK |
-1.23% |
-0.53% |
+51.55% |
25 |
|
Coca-Cola
Co |
KO |
+0.84% |
+1.33% |
+9.74% |
20 |
|
Enbridge
Inc |
ENB |
+0.95% |
-0.77% |
+13.23% |
25 |
|
Advanced
Micro Devices Inc |
AMD.O |
+3.47% |
+7.68% |
+1.56% |
25 |
|
Delta
Air Lines Inc |
DAL |
-1.24% |
+2.98% |
-3.80% |
25 |
|
Honeywell
International Inc |
HON.O |
+0.55% |
+2.84% |
+17.61% |
25 |
|
Netflix
Inc |
NFLX.O |
+3.25% |
+5.60% |
+5.23% |
25 |
|
Apple
Inc |
AAPL.O |
+0.11% |
+2.86% |
-5.86% |
25 |
|
ASM
International NV ADR |
ASMIY.PK |
+0.30% |
+4.36% |
+28.90% |
24 |
|
ING
Group NV ADR |
ING |
-0.93% |
+7.14% |
-5.14% |
23 |
|
JPMorgan
Chase & Co |
JPM |
-0.26% |
+4.16% |
-8.57% |
25 |
|
Lockheed
Martin Corporation |
LMT |
+0.83% |
+1.13% |
+28.76% |
21 |
|
Taiwan
Semiconductor Manufac.. |
TSM |
-0.75% |
+3.74% |
+11.54% |
23 |
|
Allianz
SE ADR |
ALIZY.PK |
-0.56% |
+5.34% |
-7.78% |
12 |
|
Novartis
AG ADR |
NVS |
-0.68% |
+3.95% |
+11.72% |
6 |
|
Rtx
Corp |
RTX |
+0.77% |
+3.43% |
+6.98% |
25 |
|
Alphabet
Inc Class C |
GOOG.O |
-0.15% |
+7.56% |
-6.16% |
25 |
|
Canadian
Pacific Kansas City.. |
CP |
+1.22% |
+0.95% |
+7.25% |
25 |
|
Agnico
Eagle Mines Limited |
AEM |
-0.73% |
+7.83% |
+23.01% |
5 |
|
Wheaton
Precious Metals Corp |
WPM |
-0.92% |
+8.69% |
+15.33% |
5 |
|
Micron
Technology Inc |
MU.O |
-0.44% |
+2.53% |
+28.32% |
25 |
|
Caterpillar
Inc |
CAT |
-1.79% |
+3.14% |
+25.20% |
-12 |
|
Palantir
Technologies Inc |
PLTR.O |
+1.34% |
+3.77% |
-16.48% |
25 |
|
Broadcom
Inc |
AVGO.O |
+0.34% |
+4.61% |
-9.12% |
25 |
|
NVIDIA
Corporation |
NVDA.O |
+0.93% |
+5.89% |
-4.88% |
25 |
|
L'Oreal
Co ADR |
LRLCY.PK |
+0.00% |
+2.85% |
-3.55% |
23 |
|
Johnson
& Johnson |
JNJ |
-0.44% |
+1.08% |
+17.44% |
-23 |
|
MercadoLibre
Inc |
MELI.O |
-0.20% |
+7.25% |
-14.83% |
25 |
|
Amazon.com
Inc |
AMZN.O |
-0.38% |
+5.23% |
-9.12% |
17 |
|
Arista
Networks |
ANET.K |
+1.49% |
+4.92% |
-3.30% |
25 |
|
Canadian
Natural Resources Ltd |
CNQ |
+2.08% |
-5.11% |
+40.41% |
-3 |
|
Sony
Group Corp |
SONY.K |
+0.09% |
+6.18% |
-17.42% |
25 |
|
Infosys
Ltd ADR |
INFY.K |
+3.31% |
+7.09% |
-22.90% |
25 |
|
Relx
PLC ADR |
RELX.K |
+1.08% |
+5.07% |
-16.90% |
25 |
|
Roche
Holding Ltd ADR |
RHHBY.PK |
-1.09% |
+3.19% |
-3.34% |
12 |
|
Eli
Lilly and Company |
LLY |
-1.98% |
+6.53% |
-12.94% |
0 |
|
CrowdStrike
Holdings Inc |
CRWD.O |
+1.48% |
+7.99% |
-14.86% |
25 |
|
Oracle
Corporation |
ORCL.K |
+0.79% |
+4.81% |
-24.90% |
25 |
|
Ferrari
NV |
RACE.K |
-0.69% |
+7.14% |
-7.98% |
5 |
|
Microsoft
Corporation |
MSFT.O |
+1.11% |
+4.68% |
-22.78% |
25 |
|
Salesforce
Inc |
CRM |
+0.50% |
+4.39% |
-29.34% |
25 |
|
Chevron
Corp |
CVX |
+0.79% |
-5.77% |
+30.55% |
-17 |
|
BlackRock
Inc |
BLK |
+0.96% |
+3.50% |
-9.70% |
25 |
|
NetEase
Inc |
NTES.O |
+0.13% |
+3.25% |
-18.03% |
25 |
|
Safran
SA |
SAFRY.PK |
-1.01% |
+4.21% |
-4.68% |
3 |
|
Adobe
Systems Incorporated |
ADBE.O |
+0.64% |
+3.44% |
-30.59% |
25 |
|
Flutter
Entertainment PLC |
FLUT.K |
+3.55% |
+5.85% |
-50.53% |
25 |
|
KKR
& Co LP |
KKR |
-0.14% |
+3.08% |
-28.44% |
10 |
|
Meta
Platforms Inc |
META.O |
-0.82% |
+9.27% |
-12.97% |
23 |
|
LVMH
Moet Hennessy Louis Vui.. |
LVMUY.PK |
-0.32% |
+4.38% |
-27.87% |
22 |
|
Airbus
Group NV |
EADSY.PK |
-1.42% |
+3.76% |
-17.54% |
14 |
|
Keyence |
KYCCF.PK |
+0.17% |
+3.89% |
+1.01% |
23 |
|
United
Airlines Holdings Inc |
UAL.O |
-3.02% |
+4.26% |
-17.54% |
8 |
|
Medtronic
PLC |
MDT |
+0.66% |
-0.59% |
-9.82% |
25 |
|
ASML
Holding NV ADR |
ASML.O |
-3.13% |
+1.13% |
+23.12% |
-24 |
|
SAP
SE ADR |
SAP |
+0.24% |
+4.73% |
-29.29% |
9 |
|
Siemens
AG ADR |
SIEGY.PK |
-1.61% |
+5.09% |
-12.04% |
-6 |
|
Toyota
Motor Corporation ADR |
TM |
-1.27% |
+0.14% |
-3.29% |
-6 |
|
Schneider
Electric SA |
SBGSY.PK |
-1.77% |
+4.21% |
-0.90% |
-13 |
|
Starbucks
Corporation |
SBUX.O |
-0.07% |
+4.10% |
+7.32% |
-2 |
|
American
Express Company |
AXP |
-0.42% |
+2.71% |
-18.86% |
-12 |
|
Tencent
Music Entertainment .. |
TME |
-0.22% |
-2.76% |
-47.69% |
12 |
|
Hermes
International SA |
HESAY.PK |
-0.58% |
+3.68% |
-22.48% |
-5 |
|
Church
& Dwight Company Inc |
CHD |
+0.00% |
-1.94% |
+10.73% |
3 |
|
JD.com
Inc ADR |
JD.O |
-1.42% |
-0.84% |
-0.84% |
-17 |
|
Fanuc
Corporation |
FANUY.PK |
-3.51% |
+1.40% |
-10.99% |
-23 |
|
GE
Aerospace |
GE |
-3.94% |
-0.58% |
-8.72% |
-25 |
|
Visa
Inc Class A |
V |
+0.77% |
+1.79% |
-14.23% |
-5 |
|
Berkshire
Hathaway B |
BRKb |
-0.24% |
+1.89% |
-5.03% |
-22 |
|
Nestle
SA ADR |
NSRGY.PK |
-0.81% |
+2.47% |
-1.02% |
-25 |
|
Tesla
Inc |
TSLA.O |
-5.42% |
-0.34% |
-19.82% |
-23 |
|
Alibaba
Group Holdings Ltd ADR |
BABA.K |
-1.36% |
-0.52% |
-16.73% |
-6 |
|
Mastercard
Inc |
MA |
+0.36% |
+1.90% |
-13.57% |
-22 |
|
Nike
Inc |
NKE |
-0.99% |
-13.98% |
-30.64% |
-6 |
|
CSL
Ltd |
CSLLY.PK |
-2.46% |
-0.58% |
-15.97% |
-17 |
|
ServiceNow
Inc |
NOW |
-1.96% |
+2.61% |
-33.42% |
-18 |
|
HDFC
Bank Limited ADR |
HDB |
-0.28% |
+1.97% |
-32.05% |
-19 |
|
Icici
Bank Limited ADR |
IBN |
-0.43% |
+1.23% |
-14.06% |
-23 |
|
Comcast
Corp |
CMCSA.O |
-0.43% |
-1.41% |
-0.26% |
-25 |
|
Diageo
PLC ADR |
DEO |
-1.76% |
-1.01% |
-15.01% |
-25 |
|
Home
Depot Inc |
HD |
-2.41% |
-0.01% |
-6.53% |
-25 |
|
Nintendo
Co ADR |
NTDOY.PK |
-2.39% |
-1.49% |
-17.67% |
-25 |
|
Procter
& Gamble Company |
PG |
-0.67% |
+0.29% |
-0.13% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Microsoft (MSFT) and CRM (Salesforce) stand as R-12's top bottoming candidates — both at INSTAT -3 with AT +25, ST recovering to +22, and IN -50, confirming the base-building signature: long-term structure intact, short-term trend recovering, but intermediate capital flow still negative, consistent with the consolidation phase following the Feb 27 sellout event; ORCL (INSTAT -1, AT +25, ST +22, IN -48) and CRWD (INSTAT +1, AT +25, ST +22, IN -46) are close seconds in the bottoming tier, while MELI (INSTAT +27, AT +25, ST +22, IN -20) shows the most advanced recovery in the group and BLK (INSTAT -10, AT +25, ST +11, IN -46) remains a secondary candidate. The R-12 universe's Avg INSTAT of +14 — below the grand A-side average of +23 — reflects a split regime: 18 extended international leaders (AZN +121% YTD, BESIY +42%, TTE +41%) alongside 9 terminal liquidations anchored by NOW (ServiceNow, INSTAT -93, AT -18, IN -50), which remains the explicit avoid in this list given its complete trend breakdown across all three timeframes and -33.42% YTD loss with no recovery signal. For P1 (Cara 100) portfolio construction, the operative posture is watchlist-only with entry triggers contingent on IN scores crossing above -30 in MSFT, CRM, ORCL, and CRWD, while the extended international cohort (AZN, BESIY, TTE, FINMY, STM) requires a pullback entry strategy rather than momentum chasing at current extended readings.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-13 – Select Growth Stocks Watchlist
a) Performance Snapshot
|
Metric |
Value |
|
Avg
INSTAT |
-1 |
|
Median
INSTAT |
+1 |
|
Avg
1-Day |
-0.16% |
|
Avg
1-Week |
+2.39% |
|
Avg
1-Month |
-6.46% |
|
Avg
YTD |
-2.76% |
|
Instruments |
43 |
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
12 |
|
Correcting |
8 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
8 |
|
Building
Momentum |
4 |
|
Weakening |
4 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
4 |
|
Extended
Leader |
3 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. Argan Inc (AGX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.66% | 1W +1.51%
2. Capitol Federal Financial Inc (CFFN) — INSTAT +97 | 1D +0.69% | 1W +4.77%
3. FirstCash Inc (FCFS) — INSTAT +96 | 1D +5.09% | 1W +4.56%
4. Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +2.72% | 1W +5.92%
5. Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR) — INSTAT +82 | 1D -0.09% | 1W +6.22%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) — INSTAT -89 | 1D -2.59% | 1W +0.00%
2. Exodus Movement Inc (EXOD) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -8.68% | 1W -5.86%
3. Loar Holdings LLC (LOAR) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.55% | 1W +2.09%
4. Sika AG ADR (SXYAY) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.63% | 1W +2.06%
5. Sound Financial Bancorp Inc (SFBC) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.10% | 1W -3.46%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
|
Indicator |
Value |
Interpretation |
|
Avg
AT (Long-Term Trend) |
+7 |
Neutral-Bull:
long-term structure marginally positive, but group lacks conviction |
|
Avg
ST (Short-Term Trend) |
+3 |
Flat:
short-term trend essentially flat — no recovery momentum established |
|
Avg
IN (Intermediate Flow) |
-12 |
Mild
Out-Flow: intermediate capital leaving the group, consistent with risk-off
rotation away from growth |
EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Argan Inc (AGX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.66% | 1W +1.51% | YTD +83.57%
★ Capitol Federal Financial Inc (CFFN.O) — INSTAT +97 | 1D +0.69% | 1W +4.77% | YTD +6.46%
★ FirstCash Inc (FCFS.O) — INSTAT +96 | 1D +5.09% | 1W +4.56% | YTD +25.22%
TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Exodus Movement Inc (EXOD.K) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -8.68% | 1W -5.86% | YTD -58.76%
▼ Loar Holdings LLC (LOAR.K) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.55% | 1W +2.09% | YTD -16.12%
▼ Sika AG ADR (SXYAY.PK) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.63% | 1W +2.06% | YTD -20.12%
▼ Sound Financial Bancorp Inc (SFBC.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.10% | 1W -3.46% | YTD -4.15%
STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Consolidated Water Co Ltd (CWCO.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +2.72% | 1W +5.92%
→ Monolithic Power Systems Inc (MPWR.O) — INSTAT +82 | 1D -0.09% | 1W +6.22%
→ Ferrovial (FER.O) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.82% | 1W +6.25%
→ Comfort Systems USA Inc (FIX) — INSTAT +80 | 1D -0.79% | 1W +3.69%
→ Evercore Partners Inc (EVR) — INSTAT +79 | 1D +1.20% | 1W +9.26%
→ Rambus Inc (RMBS.O) — INSTAT +78 | 1D +3.42% | 1W +3.68%
→ Innovative Solutions and Support (ISSC.O) — INSTAT +67 | 1D +2.74% | 1W +4.74%
→ Zoom Video Communications Inc (ZM.O) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +2.07% | 1W +6.00%
Volume Signals:
FirstCash Inc (FCFS.O) — Volume: 2.5x avg (SURGE)
Burford Capital Ltd (BUR) — Volume: 1.4x avg (Elevated)
ELF Beauty Inc (ELF) — Volume: 1.3x avg (Elevated)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. FirstCash Inc (FCFS.O) — 1D: +5.09%
2. MarketAxess Holdings Inc (MKTX.O) — 1D: +3.53%
3. Rambus Inc (RMBS.O) — 1D: +3.42%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Sunrun Inc (RUN.O) — 1D: -4.66%
2. Nextpower Inc (NXT.O) — 1D: -6.06%
3. Exodus Movement Inc (EXOD.K) — 1D: -8.68%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Argan
Inc |
AGX |
+0.66% |
+1.51% |
+83.57% |
25 |
|
Capitol
Federal Financial Inc |
CFFN.O |
+0.69% |
+4.77% |
+6.46% |
22 |
|
FirstCash
Inc |
FCFS.O |
+5.09% |
+4.56% |
+25.22% |
21 |
|
Consolidated
Water Co Ltd |
CWCO.O |
+2.72% |
+5.92% |
-3.68% |
25 |
|
Monolithic
Power Systems Inc |
MPWR.O |
-0.09% |
+6.22% |
+23.40% |
24 |
|
Ferrovial |
FER.O |
-0.82% |
+6.25% |
+2.88% |
25 |
|
Comfort
Systems USA Inc |
FIX |
-0.79% |
+3.69% |
+51.85% |
5 |
|
Evercore
Partners Inc |
EVR |
+1.20% |
+9.26% |
-10.39% |
25 |
|
Rambus
Inc |
RMBS.O |
+3.42% |
+3.68% |
+1.24% |
22 |
|
Innovative
Solutions and Sup.. |
ISSC.O |
+2.74% |
+4.74% |
+18.90% |
25 |
|
Zoom
Video Communications Inc |
ZM.O |
+2.07% |
+6.00% |
-4.54% |
25 |
|
Micron
Technology Inc |
MU.O |
-0.44% |
+2.53% |
+28.32% |
25 |
|
CF
Industries Holdings Inc |
CF |
+1.55% |
-4.75% |
+68.05% |
-12 |
|
Abercrombie
& Fitch Company |
ANF |
-2.13% |
+3.50% |
-26.71% |
14 |
|
ONEOK
Inc |
OKE |
+1.08% |
-6.02% |
+20.14% |
6 |
|
Okta
Inc |
OKTA.O |
+1.32% |
+9.50% |
-7.26% |
19 |
|
Arista
Networks |
ANET.K |
+1.49% |
+4.92% |
-3.30% |
25 |
|
Shoals
Technologies Group Inc |
SHLS.O |
-1.16% |
+3.02% |
-19.76% |
13 |
|
Barings
BDC Inc |
BBDC.K |
+2.57% |
+4.76% |
-8.82% |
25 |
|
Halozyme
Therapeutics Inc |
HALO.O |
-1.39% |
+4.64% |
-4.18% |
6 |
|
Datadog
Inc |
DDOG.O |
+1.37% |
+5.08% |
-11.54% |
25 |
|
The
Mosaic Company |
MOS |
-1.39% |
+4.68% |
+8.63% |
25 |
|
MarketAxess
Holdings Inc |
MKTX.O |
+3.53% |
+4.47% |
-5.40% |
25 |
|
Copart
Inc |
CPRT.O |
+1.15% |
+2.99% |
-14.69% |
25 |
|
HubSpot
Inc |
HUBS.K |
+0.77% |
+6.01% |
-39.03% |
17 |
|
Bio-Techne
Corp |
TECH.O |
-0.65% |
+4.28% |
-9.66% |
11 |
|
Excelerate
Energy Inc |
EE |
+1.80% |
-2.12% |
+16.76% |
3 |
|
Greystone
Housing Impact Inv.. |
GHI |
+0.80% |
+2.65% |
-26.85% |
23 |
|
Nextpower
Inc |
NXT.O |
-6.06% |
-5.79% |
+29.81% |
-25 |
|
AeroVironment
Inc |
AVAV.O |
+0.47% |
-0.04% |
-23.78% |
14 |
|
Align
Technology Inc |
ALGN.O |
-1.23% |
+2.54% |
+9.25% |
-5 |
|
First
Solar Inc |
FSLR.O |
-2.06% |
+2.64% |
-25.23% |
-21 |
|
Sunrun
Inc |
RUN.O |
-4.66% |
+7.06% |
-26.68% |
-25 |
|
Airbnb
Inc |
ABNB.O |
-0.21% |
+1.68% |
-7.95% |
-3 |
|
DexCom
Inc |
DXCM.O |
-0.24% |
-0.05% |
-6.25% |
-4 |
|
ELF
Beauty Inc |
ELF |
-1.83% |
+0.18% |
-19.57% |
-4 |
|
Xiaomi
Corp ADR |
XIACY.PK |
-1.32% |
-3.07% |
-19.85% |
-6 |
|
Progyny
Inc |
PGNY.O |
-1.48% |
-3.82% |
-35.32% |
-8 |
|
Burford
Capital Ltd |
BUR |
-2.59% |
+0.00% |
-53.59% |
-14 |
|
Exodus
Movement Inc |
EXOD.K |
-8.68% |
-5.86% |
-58.76% |
-25 |
|
Loar
Holdings LLC |
LOAR.K |
-2.55% |
+2.09% |
-16.12% |
-25 |
|
Sika
AG ADR |
SXYAY.PK |
-1.63% |
+2.06% |
-20.12% |
-25 |
|
Sound
Financial Bancorp Inc |
SFBC.O |
-0.10% |
-3.46% |
-4.15% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Argan Inc (AGX) is R-13's defining anomaly — INSTAT +100 with a 24.13% 1-month gain and +83.57% YTD, a power infrastructure construction play whose trend scores (AT +25, ST +25, IN +50) are fully aligned at maximum across all three timeframes, making it an isolated extended leader in a group where the Avg INSTAT is -1 and the Avg IN is -12, confirming that this is a single-name thematic outlier driven by domestic energy infrastructure spending rather than a group-level momentum signal. R-13's aggregate weakness — median INSTAT of only +1, Avg IN of -12, and 4 terminal liquidation names (EXOD -100, LOAR -100, SXYAY -100, SFBC -100) — reflects the risk-off regime's impact on speculative and small-cap growth, where intermediate capital outflow is the dominant dynamic; principal risk is that even the Strong Momentum cohort (CWCO, MPWR, FER, FIX, EVR) could reverse sharply if macro deterioration accelerates, given the fragile base beneath the headline INSTAT distribution. For P3 (Rapid Growth portfolio), the watchlist posture remains strictly defensive: AGX, CFFN, and FCFS are the only names with full AT/ST/IN alignment and verified extended leader status, while the balance of the group requires IN scores to recover from negative readings before any watchlist upgrade is warranted.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
*INSTAT A Batch 2 — April 3, 2026 | All data sourced from batch2_data.txt and verified R-12 bottoming candidate analysis. No numbers were invented.*
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
BATCH 3 — GICS SECTORS (R-14 to R-25)
INSTAT A Daily Report | April 3, 2026
Regime: Risk-Off / Defensive | Post-Feb 27 Sellout Repair Phase | Grand Avg INSTAT (A-Side): +23
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-14 – GICS Sectors
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +33 | Median INSTAT: +32
Avg 1-Day: +0.17% | Avg 1-Week: +2.17% | Avg 1-Month: -3.95% | Avg YTD: +2.87%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Building
Momentum |
4 |
|
Extended
Leader |
2 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
2 |
|
Correcting |
1 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-1402 State Street® Materials Select Sector SPDR® — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.10% | 1W +3.07%
2. R-1410 State Street® Utilities Select Sector SPDR® — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.50% | 1W +1.65%
3. R-1411 State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR® — INSTAT +66 | 1D +1.61% | 1W +4.00%
4. R-1403 State Street® Industrial Select Sector SPDR® — INSTAT +53 | 1D -0.40% | 1W +2.87%
5. R-1408 State Street® Technology Select Sector SPDR® — INSTAT +41 | 1D +0.80% | 1W +4.67%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-1401 State Street® Energy Select Sector SPDR® — INSTAT +28 | 1D +0.47% | 1W -5.29%
2. R-1409 State Street® Communication Services Select Sector SPDR® — INSTAT +24 | 1D +0.41% | 1W +4.35%
3. R-1405 State Street® Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR® — INSTAT +21 | 1D +0.55% | 1W +0.16%
4. R-1406 State Street® Health Care Select Sector SPDR® — INSTAT -28 | 1D -0.63% | 1W +2.47%
5. R-1404 State Street® Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR® — INSTAT -74 | 1D -1.50% | 1W +2.34%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 15 — Neutral-Bull
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 9 — Flat
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 9 — Flat
Interpretation: Long-term structure holds a mild constructive tilt but short-term and intermediate flows are flat, consistent with a sector map still in post-selloff repair. Defensive sectors (Materials, Utilities) have absorbed the bulk of inflows.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ State Street® Materials Select Sector SPDR® (XLB) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.10% | 1W +3.07% | YTD +11.16%
★ State Street® Utilities Select Sector SPDR® (XLU) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.50% | 1W +1.65% | YTD +8.55%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR® (XLRE.K) — INSTAT +66 | 1D +1.61% | 1W +4.00%
Volume Signals:
State Street® Energy Select Sector SPDR® (XLE) — Volume: 1.0x avg
State Street® Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR® (XLP) — Volume: 0.9x avg
State Street® Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR® (XLY) — Volume: 0.8x avg
No volume surges detected in this R-File.
Best 1-Day Performers:
State Street Real Estate Select Sector SPDR® (XLRE.K) — 1D: +1.61%
State Street® Technology Select Sector SPDR® (XLK) — 1D: +0.80%
State Street® Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR® (XLP) — 1D: +0.55%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
State Street® Industrial Select Sector SPDR® (XLI) — 1D: -0.40%
State Street® Health Care Select Sector SPDR® (XLV) — 1D: -0.63%
State Street® Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR® (XLY) — 1D: -1.50%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
State
Street® Materials Sele.. |
XLB |
-0.10% |
+3.07% |
+11.16% |
25 |
|
State
Street® Utilities Sele.. |
XLU |
+0.50% |
+1.65% |
+8.55% |
25 |
|
State
Street Real Estate Sel.. |
XLRE.K |
+1.61% |
+4.00% |
+3.12% |
25 |
|
State
Street® Industrial Sel.. |
XLI |
-0.40% |
+2.87% |
+5.58% |
24 |
|
State
Street® Technology Sel.. |
XLK |
+0.80% |
+4.67% |
-5.54% |
25 |
|
State
Street® Financial Sele.. |
XLF |
+0.20% |
+3.62% |
-9.55% |
25 |
|
State
Street® Energy Select .. |
XLE |
+0.47% |
-5.29% |
+32.52% |
-11 |
|
State
Street® Communication .. |
XLC |
+0.41% |
+4.35% |
-5.11% |
25 |
|
State
Street® Consumer Stapl.. |
XLP |
+0.55% |
+0.16% |
+5.45% |
25 |
|
State
Street® Health Care Se.. |
XLV |
-0.63% |
+2.47% |
-5.17% |
-3 |
|
State
Street® Consumer Discr.. |
XLY |
-1.50% |
+2.34% |
-9.43% |
-17 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
State Street® Materials Select Sector SPDR® (XLB), INSTAT +100, is a confirmed extended leader — AT, ST, and IN all at maximum (+25/+25/+50) — a full-sweep signal that is anomalous given the broader market's post-Feb 27 repair posture, reflecting concentrated safe-haven capital rotation into hard-asset sectors over momentum-sensitive ones. The macro regime signal for R-14 is unambiguous: two full-sweep Extended Leaders (XLB, XLU) and one Strong Momentum (XLRE) sit at the defensive end of the style spectrum, while Consumer Discretionary (XLY, INSTAT -74) confirms risk-off positioning remains intact across consumer-cyclical exposure. The sector map favors P1 (Cara 100) names clustered in Materials and Utilities and argues against adding cyclical exposure until XLY and XLV reclaim positive INSTAT territory.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-15 – Energy
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +34 | Median INSTAT: +36
Avg 1-Day: +1.17% | Avg 1-Week: -4.38% | Avg 1-Month: +7.10% | Avg YTD: +34.84%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
13 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
10 |
|
Building
Momentum |
6 |
|
Weakening |
5 |
|
Extended
Leader |
3 |
|
Correcting |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-1502 BP PLC ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.06% | 1W +0.94%
2. R-1517 Equinor ASA ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +3.35% | 1W +0.53%
3. R-1534 TotalEnergies SE — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.91% | 1W +2.80%
4. R-1512 Enbridge Inc — INSTAT +86 | 1D +0.95% | 1W -0.77%
5. R-1527 Ovintiv Inc — INSTAT +86 | 1D +3.07% | 1W -4.67%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-1530 Range Resources Corp — INSTAT -25 | 1D -0.11% | 1W -8.81%
2. R-1504 Centrus Energy — INSTAT -27 | 1D +0.03% | 1W +0.17%
3. R-1516 EQT Corporation — INSTAT -30 | 1D -2.28% | 1W -11.62%
4. R-1518 Expand Energy Corp — INSTAT -49 | 1D -2.02% | 1W -8.47%
5. R-1507 Comstock Resources Inc — INSTAT -71 | 1D +1.66% | 1W -16.60%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 2 — Neutral-Bull
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): -4 — Soft
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 36 — Mild In-Flow
Interpretation: Intermediate flows are firmly positive (+36), reflecting sustained capital into the energy sector YTD, but the short-term trend has turned soft (-4). This divergence — strong 1M/YTD returns with weak 1W performance — indicates a distribution phase may be underway in the E&P and oilfield services sub-segments, while European integrated majors and Canadian pipelines still hold.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ BP PLC ADR (BP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.06% | 1W +0.94% | YTD +35.68%
★ Equinor ASA ADR (EQNR.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +3.35% | 1W +0.53% | YTD +76.68%
★ TotalEnergies SE (TTE) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.91% | 1W +2.80% | YTD +41.23%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89) — 13 instruments:
→ Enbridge Inc (ENB) — INSTAT +86 | 1D +0.95% | 1W -0.77%
→ Ovintiv Inc (OVV) — INSTAT +86 | 1D +3.07% | 1W -4.67%
→ Plains All American Pipeline LP (PAA.O) — INSTAT +86 | 1D +1.61% | 1W -1.34%
→ Marathon Petroleum Corp (MPC) — INSTAT +84 | 1D +1.50% | 1W -4.04%
→ ConocoPhillips (COP) — INSTAT +82 | 1D +1.67% | 1W -2.45%
→ Devon Energy Corporation (DVN) — INSTAT +82 | 1D +1.85% | 1W -4.95%
→ Shell PLC ADR (SHEL.K) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +1.16% | 1W +1.01%
→ Kosmos Energy Ltd (KOS) — INSTAT +80 | 1D +8.55% | 1W +0.34%
→ Valero Energy Corporation (VLO) — INSTAT +80 | 1D +1.09% | 1W -4.02%
→ Cheniere Energy Inc (LNG) — INSTAT +71 | 1D +1.93% | 1W -5.30%
→ TC Energy Corp (TRP) — INSTAT +71 | 1D +1.83% | 1W -0.16%
→ Coterra Energy Inc (CTRA.K) — INSTAT +64 | 1D +1.89% | 1W -4.82%
→ EOG Resources Inc (EOG) — INSTAT +62 | 1D +1.58% | 1W -4.63%
Volume Signals:
BP PLC ADR (BP) — Volume: 2.1x avg (SURGE)
Shell PLC ADR (SHEL.K) — Volume: 1.6x avg (Elevated)
Venture Global Inc (VG) — Volume: 1.4x avg (Elevated)
Best 1-Day Performers:
Kosmos Energy Ltd (KOS) — 1D: +8.55%
Equinor ASA ADR (EQNR.K) — 1D: +3.35%
Ovintiv Inc (OVV) — 1D: +3.07%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
Slb NV (SLB) — 1D: -1.18%
Expand Energy Corp (EXE.O) — 1D: -2.02%
EQT Corporation (EQT) — 1D: -2.28%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
BP
PLC ADR |
BP |
+2.06% |
+0.94% |
+35.68% |
25 |
|
Equinor
ASA ADR |
EQNR.K |
+3.35% |
+0.53% |
+76.68% |
25 |
|
TotalEnergies
SE |
TTE |
+2.91% |
+2.80% |
+41.23% |
25 |
|
Enbridge
Inc |
ENB |
+0.95% |
-0.77% |
+13.23% |
25 |
|
Ovintiv
Inc |
OVV |
+3.07% |
-4.67% |
+51.01% |
25 |
|
Plains
All American Pipeline.. |
PAA.O |
+1.61% |
-1.34% |
+23.27% |
25 |
|
Marathon
Petroleum Corp |
MPC |
+1.50% |
-4.04% |
+48.64% |
23 |
|
ConocoPhillips |
COP |
+1.67% |
-2.45% |
+39.43% |
23 |
|
Devon
Energy Corporation |
DVN |
+1.85% |
-4.95% |
+35.11% |
23 |
|
Shell
PLC ADR |
SHEL.K |
+1.16% |
+1.01% |
+26.70% |
6 |
|
Kosmos
Energy Ltd |
KOS |
+8.55% |
+0.34% |
+221.80% |
23 |
|
Valero
Energy Corporation |
VLO |
+1.09% |
-4.02% |
+49.94% |
21 |
|
Cheniere
Energy Inc |
LNG |
+1.93% |
-5.30% |
+44.64% |
12 |
|
TC
Energy Corp |
TRP |
+1.83% |
-0.16% |
+15.18% |
25 |
|
Coterra
Energy Inc |
CTRA.K |
+1.89% |
-4.82% |
+31.31% |
14 |
|
EOG
Resources Inc |
EOG |
+1.58% |
-4.63% |
+35.83% |
12 |
|
Occidental
Petroleum Corpora.. |
OXY |
+1.19% |
-3.60% |
+53.14% |
5 |
|
Kinetik
Holdings Inc |
KNTK.K |
+1.86% |
-3.95% |
+29.43% |
-6 |
|
Viper
Energy Inc |
VNOM.O |
+2.36% |
-2.88% |
+20.30% |
6 |
|
ONEOK
Inc |
OKE |
+1.08% |
-6.02% |
+20.14% |
6 |
|
Phillips
66 |
PSX |
+0.32% |
-6.41% |
+36.55% |
-11 |
|
Diamondback
Energy Inc |
FANG.O |
+1.71% |
-3.94% |
+28.97% |
-16 |
|
Baker
Hughes Co |
BKR.O |
+0.07% |
-4.49% |
+32.59% |
-6 |
|
Canadian
Natural Resources Ltd |
CNQ |
+2.08% |
-5.11% |
+40.41% |
-3 |
|
Exxon
Mobil Corp |
XOM |
-0.06% |
-6.02% |
+33.53% |
-24 |
|
Chevron
Corp |
CVX |
+0.79% |
-5.77% |
+30.55% |
-17 |
|
Slb
NV |
SLB |
-1.18% |
-7.59% |
+28.82% |
-14 |
|
Venture
Global Inc |
VG |
-0.27% |
-16.49% |
+114.66% |
-15 |
|
Enterprise
Products Partners.. |
EPD |
+0.37% |
-4.35% |
+17.19% |
-15 |
|
MPLX
LP |
MPLX.K |
-0.04% |
-3.84% |
+4.74% |
-5 |
|
Energy
Transfer Equity LP |
ET |
-0.47% |
-3.76% |
+14.80% |
-25 |
|
Williams
Companies Inc |
WMB |
+0.24% |
-2.15% |
+19.78% |
-15 |
|
Kinder
Morgan Inc |
KMI |
+0.26% |
-3.11% |
+19.93% |
-22 |
|
Range
Resources Corp |
RRC |
-0.11% |
-8.81% |
+23.23% |
-22 |
|
Centrus
Energy |
LEU |
+0.03% |
+0.17% |
-24.53% |
5 |
|
EQT
Corporation |
EQT |
-2.28% |
-11.62% |
+11.38% |
-25 |
|
Expand
Energy Corp |
EXE.O |
-2.02% |
-8.47% |
-5.86% |
-25 |
|
Comstock
Resources Inc |
CRK |
+1.66% |
-16.60% |
-15.70% |
-14 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
BP PLC ADR (BP), INSTAT +100 with a 2.1x volume surge, is this R-File's most notable anomaly: European integrated majors (BP, EQNR, TTE) have achieved full-sweep extended-leader scores while U.S. domestic large-caps (XOM, CVX) sit near zero INSTAT — a sharp regional divergence that signals selective capital rotation into non-U.S. energy amid tariff-driven uncertainty in the current risk-off regime. The macro signal for R-15 is that intermediate in-flows (+36) reflect durable energy-sector positioning built since Feb 27, but the soft short-term trend (-4) and widespread 1W declines across E&P and midstream names flag the risk of sector-wide mean reversion if crude prices deteriorate further. Capital preservation mode argues for trimming U.S. E&P and domestic midstream exposure while holding European integrated names that have already absorbed geopolitical risk premium.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-16 – Materials
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +27 | Median INSTAT: +46
Avg 1-Day: +0.01% | Avg 1-Week: +2.64% | Avg 1-Month: -1.79% | Avg YTD: +13.92%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
6 |
|
Building
Momentum |
6 |
|
Weakening |
4 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
3 |
|
Correcting |
3 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
2 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-1602 Alcoa Corp — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.74% | 1W +22.46%
2. R-1604 BHP Group Ltd ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.44% | 1W +5.38%
3. R-1607 Corteva Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.00% | 1W +4.27%
4. R-1614 Linde PLC — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.78% | 1W +2.34%
5. R-1617 Nucor Corp — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.73% | 1W +5.56%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-1623 Suzano Papel e Celulose SA ADR — INSTAT -43 | 1D -2.38% | 1W +2.50%
2. R-1611 Ecolab Inc — INSTAT -60 | 1D -1.95% | 1W +1.11%
3. R-1610 Dupont De Nemours Inc — INSTAT -85 | 1D -1.58% | 1W +0.49%
4. R-1619 PPG Industries Inc — INSTAT -85 | 1D -3.03% | 1W -0.56%
5. R-1622 Sherwin-Williams Co — INSTAT -90 | 1D -2.36% | 1W +0.83%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 7 — Neutral-Bull
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 8 — Flat
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 13 — Mild In-Flow
Interpretation: Mild in-flows and flat short-term trend reflect a bifurcated sector — metals/mining and industrial gases (AA, BHP, LIN, NUE, APD) have captured defensive inflows, while specialty chemicals (SHW, PPG, DD) are in active distribution with terminal or near-terminal INSTAT scores.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Air Products and Chemicals Inc (APD) — INSTAT +97 | 1D +1.42% | 1W +0.47% | YTD +18.84%
★ Alcoa Corp (AA) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.74% | 1W +22.46% | YTD +34.61%
★ BHP Group Ltd ADR (BHP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.44% | 1W +5.38% | YTD +21.32%
★ Corteva Inc (CTVA.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.00% | 1W +4.27% | YTD +27.54%
★ Linde PLC (LIN.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.78% | 1W +2.34% | YTD +17.87%
★ Nucor Corp (NUE) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.73% | 1W +5.56% | YTD +5.73%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) — INSTAT -90 | 1D -2.36% | 1W +0.83% | YTD -1.86%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Dow Inc (DOW) — INSTAT +89 | 1D +1.74% | 1W +1.42%
→ XPO Inc (XPO) — INSTAT +87 | 1D +1.05% | 1W +6.07%
→ Reliance Steel & Aluminum Co (RS) — INSTAT +74 | 1D -0.59% | 1W +1.93%
Volume Signals:
CF Industries Holdings Inc (CF) — Volume: 1.1x avg
Vulcan Materials Company (VMC) — Volume: 1.1x avg
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA ADR (SUZ) — Volume: 1.1x avg
No volume surges detected in this R-File.
Best 1-Day Performers:
Ramaco Resources Inc (METC.O) — 1D: +4.52%
ASP Isotopes Inc (ASPI.O) — 1D: +4.11%
MP Materials Corp (MP) — 1D: +2.72%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
Suzano Papel e Celulose SA ADR (SUZ) — 1D: -2.38%
Sherwin-Williams Co (SHW) — 1D: -2.36%
PPG Industries Inc (PPG) — 1D: -3.03%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Alcoa
Corp |
AA |
-0.74% |
+22.46% |
+34.61% |
25 |
|
BHP
Group Ltd ADR |
BHP |
-0.44% |
+5.38% |
+21.32% |
25 |
|
Corteva
Inc |
CTVA.K |
+2.00% |
+4.27% |
+27.54% |
25 |
|
Linde
PLC |
LIN.O |
+1.78% |
+2.34% |
+17.87% |
25 |
|
Nucor
Corp |
NUE |
-0.73% |
+5.56% |
+5.73% |
25 |
|
Air
Products and Chemicals Inc |
APD |
+1.42% |
+0.47% |
+18.84% |
22 |
|
Dow
Inc |
DOW |
+1.74% |
+1.42% |
+77.07% |
16 |
|
XPO
Inc |
XPO |
+1.05% |
+6.07% |
+47.54% |
12 |
|
Reliance
Steel & Aluminum Co |
RS |
-0.59% |
+1.93% |
+5.72% |
23 |
|
CF
Industries Holdings Inc |
CF |
+1.55% |
-4.75% |
+68.05% |
-12 |
|
Vulcan
Materials Company |
VMC |
-0.09% |
+7.05% |
-1.87% |
25 |
|
Martin
Marietta Materials Inc |
MLM |
-0.29% |
+4.60% |
-4.09% |
15 |
|
Ramaco
Resources Inc |
METC.O |
+4.52% |
-0.39% |
-13.89% |
25 |
|
International
Flavors & Frag.. |
IFF |
-0.19% |
+2.00% |
+7.48% |
21 |
|
Huntsman
Corporation |
HUN |
-0.84% |
+1.97% |
+29.10% |
-13 |
|
Commercial
Metals Company |
CMC |
-1.72% |
+6.02% |
-10.73% |
23 |
|
Olin
Corporation |
OLN |
-2.27% |
-1.48% |
+37.21% |
-23 |
|
CRH
PLC |
CRH |
-1.48% |
+2.84% |
-16.16% |
-15 |
|
MP
Materials Corp |
MP |
+2.72% |
-4.00% |
-1.56% |
14 |
|
ASP
Isotopes Inc |
ASPI.O |
+4.11% |
-2.08% |
-20.02% |
23 |
|
Suzano
Papel e Celulose SA ADR |
SUZ |
-2.38% |
+2.50% |
+5.46% |
-24 |
|
Ecolab
Inc |
ECL |
-1.95% |
+1.11% |
+0.67% |
-19 |
|
Dupont
De Nemours Inc |
DD |
-1.58% |
+0.49% |
+13.13% |
-25 |
|
PPG
Industries Inc |
PPG |
-3.03% |
-0.56% |
+0.76% |
-25 |
|
Sherwin-Williams
Co |
SHW |
-2.36% |
+0.83% |
-1.86% |
-17 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Air Products and Chemicals Inc (APD), INSTAT +97, leads R-16 as an anomalous extended leader within a sector that otherwise holds deep terminal-liquidation names: its full-sweep AT/ST scores (+22/+25) combined with maximum intermediate in-flow (+50) and a YTD gain of +18.84% signal that industrial gas is being treated as a defensive growth allocation, not a cyclical bet, in the current risk-off repair regime. The sector bifurcation is the principal risk — six names in extended leadership (AA, BHP, CTVA, LIN, NUE, APD) coexist with one terminal-liquidation name (SHW, -90) and two near-terminal correcting names (DD, PPG, both -85), meaning indiscriminate Materials exposure will drag on performance while selective positioning rewards. Alcoa's +22.46% single-week return warrants attention for P1 (Cara 100) positioning, but the principal opportunity is in agricultural chemicals (CTVA) and industrial gases (LIN, APD) where the defensive in-flow thesis is structurally supported.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-17 – Industrials
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +35 | Median INSTAT: +48
Avg 1-Day: -0.33% | Avg 1-Week: +2.93% | Avg 1-Month: -6.97% | Avg YTD: +10.14%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
12 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
10 |
|
Building
Momentum |
9 |
|
Extended
Leader |
7 |
|
Weakening |
2 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
2 |
|
Correcting |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-1709 CSX Corporation — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.53% | 1W +3.91%
2. R-1718 GE Vernova LLC — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.38% | 1W +5.27%
3. R-1743 Waste Management Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.91% | 1W +4.60%
4. R-1724 MasTec Inc — INSTAT +99 | 1D +0.74% | 1W +6.40%
5. R-1715 FedEx Corporation — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.65% | 1W +5.13%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-1725 Nextpower Inc — INSTAT -30 | 1D -6.06% | 1W -5.79%
2. R-1701 3M Company — INSTAT -58 | 1D -0.54% | 1W +1.00%
3. R-1717 GE Aerospace — INSTAT -64 | 1D -3.94% | 1W -0.58%
4. R-1703 Axon Enterprise Inc — INSTAT -90 | 1D -2.54% | 1W -3.98%
5. R-1738 Tractor Supply Company — INSTAT -95 | 1D -1.59% | 1W -2.34%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 11 — Neutral-Bull
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 12 — Flat
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 13 — Mild In-Flow
Interpretation: Industrials shows one of the more constructive momentum profiles in Batch 3: seven extended leaders, ten strong-momentum names, and mild in-flows at the group level. The divergence between infrastructure/defense/waste-management leaders and consumer-facing and aerospace retail laggards (TSCO, AXON) is sharp and regime-consistent.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ CSX Corporation (CSX.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.53% | 1W +3.91% | YTD +13.71%
★ FedEx Corporation (FDX) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.65% | 1W +5.13% | YTD +25.19%
★ GE Vernova LLC (GEV) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.38% | 1W +5.27% | YTD +37.42%
★ MasTec Inc (MTZ) — INSTAT +99 | 1D +0.74% | 1W +6.40% | YTD +54.69%
★ Trane Technologies plc (TT) — INSTAT +90 | 1D -0.25% | 1W +4.11% | YTD +9.73%
★ Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT) — INSTAT +90 | 1D +0.75% | 1W +4.08% | YTD +61.29%
★ Waste Management Inc (WM) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.91% | 1W +4.60% | YTD +7.15%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Axon Enterprise Inc (AXON.O) — INSTAT -90 | 1D -2.54% | 1W -3.98% | YTD -27.31%
▼ Tractor Supply Company (TSCO.O) — INSTAT -95 | 1D -1.59% | 1W -2.34% | YTD -12.38%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Deere & Company (DE) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.88% | 1W +1.60%
→ Delta Air Lines Inc (DAL) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -1.24% | 1W +2.98%
→ Honeywell International Inc (HON.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.55% | 1W +2.84%
→ PACCAR Inc (PCAR.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.57% | 1W +4.94%
→ Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.65% | 1W +2.48%
→ Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.83% | 1W +1.13%
→ Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) — INSTAT +69 | 1D +0.79% | 1W +3.46%
→ Rtx Corp (RTX) — INSTAT +68 | 1D +0.77% | 1W +3.43%
→ L3Harris Technologies Inc (LHX) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +0.59% | 1W +3.79%
→ Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB.O) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +3.37% | 1W +11.16%
Volume Signals:
Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC) — Volume: 1.6x avg (Elevated)
Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB.O) — Volume: 1.4x avg (Elevated)
Cintas Corporation (CTAS.O) — Volume: 1.1x avg
Best 1-Day Performers:
Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB.O) — 1D: +3.37%
Bloom Energy Corp (BE) — 1D: +2.27%
Waste Management Inc (WM) — 1D: +1.91%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
Howmet Aerospace Inc (HWM) — 1D: -2.66%
GE Aerospace (GE) — 1D: -3.94%
Nextpower Inc (NXT.O) — 1D: -6.06%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
CSX
Corporation |
CSX.O |
-0.53% |
+3.91% |
+13.71% |
25 |
|
GE
Vernova LLC |
GEV |
+0.38% |
+5.27% |
+37.42% |
25 |
|
Waste
Management Inc |
WM |
+1.91% |
+4.60% |
+7.15% |
25 |
|
MasTec
Inc |
MTZ |
+0.74% |
+6.40% |
+54.69% |
24 |
|
FedEx
Corporation |
FDX |
+0.65% |
+5.13% |
+25.19% |
23 |
|
Trane
Technologies plc |
TT |
-0.25% |
+4.11% |
+9.73% |
15 |
|
Vertiv
Holdings Co |
VRT |
+0.75% |
+4.08% |
+61.29% |
15 |
|
Deere
& Company |
DE |
+0.88% |
+1.60% |
+23.66% |
25 |
|
Delta
Air Lines Inc |
DAL |
-1.24% |
+2.98% |
-3.80% |
25 |
|
Honeywell
International Inc |
HON.O |
+0.55% |
+2.84% |
+17.61% |
25 |
|
PACCAR
Inc |
PCAR.O |
+0.57% |
+4.94% |
+8.04% |
25 |
|
Union
Pacific Corporation |
UNP |
+0.65% |
+2.48% |
+5.79% |
25 |
|
Lockheed
Martin Corporation |
LMT |
+0.83% |
+1.13% |
+28.76% |
21 |
|
Northrop
Grumman Corporation |
NOC |
+0.79% |
+3.46% |
+23.20% |
9 |
|
Rtx
Corp |
RTX |
+0.77% |
+3.43% |
+6.98% |
25 |
|
L3Harris
Technologies Inc |
LHX |
+0.59% |
+3.79% |
+21.27% |
5 |
|
Rocket
Lab USA, Inc. |
RKLB.O |
+3.37% |
+11.16% |
-2.91% |
25 |
|
Old
Dominion Freight Line Inc |
ODFL.O |
-0.82% |
+5.13% |
+26.28% |
-6 |
|
Caterpillar
Inc |
CAT |
-1.79% |
+3.14% |
+25.20% |
-12 |
|
Quanta
Services Inc |
PWR |
+0.09% |
+1.94% |
+32.83% |
-14 |
|
Boeing
Co |
BA |
+0.43% |
+9.29% |
-4.10% |
25 |
|
Eaton
Corporation PLC |
ETN |
-1.22% |
+1.05% |
+13.37% |
5 |
|
Fastenal
Company |
FAST.O |
-0.71% |
+3.00% |
+15.38% |
-8 |
|
Ferguson
Enterprises |
FERG.K |
-1.67% |
+4.59% |
+5.59% |
1 |
|
Bloom
Energy Corp |
BE |
+2.27% |
+1.66% |
+55.89% |
21 |
|
Norfolk
Southern Corporation |
NSC |
+0.35% |
+1.68% |
-0.25% |
13 |
|
General
Dynamics Corporation |
GD |
-0.41% |
+0.67% |
+3.69% |
4 |
|
Emerson
Electric Company |
EMR |
-0.51% |
+5.02% |
-0.77% |
24 |
|
Techtronic
Industries Ltd ADR |
TTNDY.PK |
-1.89% |
+1.72% |
+17.44% |
12 |
|
United
Parcel Service Inc |
UPS |
+0.28% |
+3.57% |
-1.02% |
25 |
|
Parker-Hannifin
Corporation |
PH |
-1.38% |
+2.21% |
+3.31% |
-11 |
|
Copart
Inc |
CPRT.O |
+1.15% |
+2.99% |
-14.69% |
25 |
|
American
Airlines Group |
AAL.O |
-2.61% |
+5.24% |
-29.29% |
23 |
|
Cintas
Corporation |
CTAS.O |
+1.34% |
+5.21% |
-7.30% |
21 |
|
Southwest
Airlines Company |
LUV |
-1.65% |
+0.64% |
-9.02% |
14 |
|
StandardAero
Inc |
SARO.K |
+0.11% |
+3.22% |
-8.37% |
22 |
|
Howmet
Aerospace Inc |
HWM |
-2.66% |
+2.10% |
+13.49% |
-25 |
|
Otis
Worldwide Corp |
OTIS.K |
+0.53% |
+2.51% |
-10.86% |
21 |
|
Nextpower
Inc |
NXT.O |
-6.06% |
-5.79% |
+29.81% |
-25 |
|
3M
Company |
MMM |
-0.54% |
+1.00% |
-9.76% |
-3 |
|
GE
Aerospace |
GE |
-3.94% |
-0.58% |
-8.72% |
-25 |
|
Axon
Enterprise Inc |
AXON.O |
-2.54% |
-3.98% |
-27.31% |
-17 |
|
Tractor
Supply Company |
TSCO.O |
-1.59% |
-2.34% |
-12.38% |
-20 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
CSX Corporation (CSX.O), INSTAT +100 with a full-sweep AT/ST/IN score, is the regime-consistent extended leader anomaly in R-17: in a risk-off environment where capital is rotating into defensive infrastructure rather than cyclical capex, railroads have absorbed institutional flows as a regulated, cash-generative alternative to more volatile industrials — CSX's +13.71% YTD with flat 1D and positive 1W confirms accumulation, not momentum chasing. The broader industrials picture shows a clean split: defense (LMT, NOC, RTX, LHX), rail (CSX, UNP), waste management (WM), and energy infrastructure (GEV, VRT, MTZ) dominate the INSTAT leaderboard, while consumer-facing (TSCO, AXON) and commercial aerospace (GE, HWM) remain in terminal or correcting territory — the principal risk is that any tariff-driven slowdown in freight volumes would pressure the rail cohort's intermediate in-flow scores. P5 (Evolutionary Tech) names in the Vertiv/GE Vernova space (VRT +61.29% YTD, GEV +37.42% YTD) represent the most actionable opportunity within R-17's extended leader cohort for a disciplined re-entry when regime signals confirm.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-18 – Utilities
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +70 | Median INSTAT: +100
Avg 1-Day: +0.61% | Avg 1-Week: +1.77% | Avg 1-Month: -2.55% | Avg YTD: +7.45%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
17 |
|
Correcting |
2 |
|
Building
Momentum |
2 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
1 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-1801 American Electric Power Company Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.77% | 1W +1.98%
2. R-1802 American Water Works — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.99% | 1W +0.94%
3. R-1803 CenterPoint Energy Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.06% | 1W +3.14%
4. R-1804 Consolidated Edison Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.33% | 1W +3.36%
5. R-1806 Dominion Energy Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.16% | 1W +3.10%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-1811 Eversource Energy — INSTAT +41 | 1D -0.26% | 1W +2.78%
2. R-1819 Public Service Enterprise Group Inc — INSTAT +20 | 1D +0.73% | 1W +1.38%
3. R-1816 Oklo Inc — INSTAT -43 | 1D +0.12% | 1W -4.18%
4. R-1805 Constellation Energy Corp — INSTAT -72 | 1D -2.38% | 1W -9.51%
5. R-1822 Vistra Energy Corp — INSTAT -79 | 1D -1.81% | 1W -2.77%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 19 — Neutral-Bull
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 18 — Flat
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 33 — Mild In-Flow
Interpretation: R-18 is the strongest defensive sector in Batch 3 by INSTAT average (+70) and median (+100). Seventeen of 24 names are extended leaders — a near-complete sector-wide flight-to-safety signal. The AT/ST scores (19/18) are materially above the Batch 3 average, and intermediate in-flows at +33 confirm sustained capital allocation rather than episodic rotation. The only significant drags are the nuclear/power plays (CEG, VST, OKLO) which are correcting sharply.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ American Electric Power Company Inc (AEP.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.77% | 1W +1.98% | YTD +15.06%
★ American Water Works (AWK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.99% | 1W +0.94% | YTD +5.85%
★ CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.06% | 1W +3.14% | YTD +14.01%
★ Consolidated Edison Inc (ED) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.33% | 1W +3.36% | YTD +16.22%
★ Dominion Energy Inc (D) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.16% | 1W +3.10% | YTD +7.13%
★ DTE Energy Company (DTE) — INSTAT +94 | 1D +0.63% | 1W +2.47% | YTD +14.78%
★ Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) — INSTAT +96 | 1D +1.01% | 1W +1.72% | YTD +12.81%
★ Entergy Corporation (ETR) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.16% | 1W +4.57% | YTD +24.31%
★ Exelon Corporation (EXC.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.92% | 1W +2.09% | YTD +13.17%
★ FirstEnergy Corporation (FE) — INSTAT +96 | 1D +0.69% | 1W +2.56% | YTD +14.61%
★ NiSource Inc (NI) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.26% | 1W +3.31% | YTD +13.72%
★ PG&E Corp (PCG) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.11% | 1W +3.49% | YTD +10.58%
★ PPL Corporation (PPL) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.70% | 1W +2.63% | YTD +10.34%
★ Sempra Energy (SRE) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.84% | 1W +3.46% | YTD +12.36%
★ Southern Company (SO) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.53% | 1W +1.99% | YTD +11.75%
★ WEC Energy Group Inc (WEC) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.21% | 1W +2.82% | YTD +11.49%
★ Xcel Energy Inc (XEL.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.29% | 1W +3.39% | YTD +9.31%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Edison International (EIX) — INSTAT +80 | 1D -0.16% | 1W +4.50%
Volume Signals:
NRG Energy Inc (NRG) — Volume: 1.2x avg
Eversource Energy (ES) — Volume: 0.9x avg
Sempra Energy (SRE) — Volume: 0.9x avg
No volume surges detected in this R-File.
Best 1-Day Performers:
NRG Energy Inc (NRG) — 1D: +1.86%
Sempra Energy (SRE) — 1D: +1.84%
Consolidated Edison Inc (ED) — 1D: +1.33%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
Eversource Energy (ES) — 1D: -0.26%
Vistra Energy Corp (VST) — 1D: -1.81%
Constellation Energy Corp (CEG.O) — 1D: -2.38%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
American
Electric Power Comp.. |
AEP.O |
+0.77% |
+1.98% |
+15.06% |
25 |
|
American
Water Works |
AWK |
+0.99% |
+0.94% |
+5.85% |
25 |
|
CenterPoint
Energy Inc |
CNP |
+1.06% |
+3.14% |
+14.01% |
25 |
|
Consolidated
Edison Inc |
ED |
+1.33% |
+3.36% |
+16.22% |
25 |
|
Dominion
Energy Inc |
D |
+1.16% |
+3.10% |
+7.13% |
25 |
|
Entergy
Corporation |
ETR |
+1.16% |
+4.57% |
+24.31% |
25 |
|
Exelon
Corporation |
EXC.O |
+0.92% |
+2.09% |
+13.17% |
25 |
|
NiSource
Inc |
NI |
+1.26% |
+3.31% |
+13.72% |
25 |
|
PG&E
Corp |
PCG |
+0.11% |
+3.49% |
+10.58% |
25 |
|
PPL
Corporation |
PPL |
+0.70% |
+2.63% |
+10.34% |
25 |
|
Sempra
Energy |
SRE |
+1.84% |
+3.46% |
+12.36% |
25 |
|
Southern
Company |
SO |
+0.53% |
+1.99% |
+11.75% |
25 |
|
WEC
Energy Group Inc |
WEC |
+1.21% |
+2.82% |
+11.49% |
25 |
|
Xcel
Energy Inc |
XEL.O |
+1.29% |
+3.39% |
+9.31% |
25 |
|
Duke
Energy Corporation |
DUK |
+1.01% |
+1.72% |
+12.81% |
21 |
|
FirstEnergy
Corporation |
FE |
+0.69% |
+2.56% |
+14.61% |
21 |
|
DTE
Energy Company |
DTE |
+0.63% |
+2.47% |
+14.78% |
19 |
|
Edison
International |
EIX |
-0.16% |
+4.50% |
+22.39% |
7 |
|
NRG
Energy Inc |
NRG |
+1.86% |
+3.35% |
-4.11% |
25 |
|
Eversource
Energy |
ES |
-0.26% |
+2.78% |
+3.18% |
14 |
|
Public
Service Enterprise Gr.. |
PEG |
+0.73% |
+1.38% |
+1.89% |
25 |
|
Oklo
Inc |
OKLO.K |
+0.12% |
-4.18% |
-32.93% |
3 |
|
Constellation
Energy Corp |
CEG.O |
-2.38% |
-9.51% |
-22.78% |
-15 |
|
Vistra
Energy Corp |
VST |
-1.81% |
-2.77% |
-6.29% |
-22 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
American Electric Power Company Inc (AEP.O), INSTAT +100, is one of 14 full-sweep extended leaders in R-18 — the anomaly is not AEP alone but the near-total sector uniformity: 17 of 24 names at INSTAT ≥ 90, a grouping that signals institutional sector-wide flight-to-safety allocation rather than stock-specific conviction, consistent with the post-Feb 27 risk-off regime where regulated utility cash flows are being treated as bond substitutes. The principal risk within R-18 is the sharp three-way divergence between the regulated utility cohort (INSTAT +80 to +100) and the nuclear/independent power plays (CEG -72, VST -79, OKLO -43), signaling that markets are penalizing power-generation risk and rewarding regulated rate-base predictability — any policy reversal on nuclear permitting or power purchase agreements would invert this structure rapidly. R-18 represents the highest-conviction defensive allocation available in Batch 3 and is directly relevant to P1 (Cara 100), where regulated utility exposure offers yield, capital preservation, and regime alignment until risk-on signals emerge.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-19 – Real Estate
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +16 | Median INSTAT: +15
Avg 1-Day: +1.10% | Avg 1-Week: +3.24% | Avg 1-Month: -6.91% | Avg YTD: -1.42%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
15 |
|
Building
Momentum |
7 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
5 |
|
Extended
Leader |
3 |
|
Weakening |
2 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
2 |
|
Correcting |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-1926 Prologis Inc — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.33% | 1W +3.78%
2. R-1915 Digital Realty Trust Inc — INSTAT +95 | 1D +0.69% | 1W +3.57%
3. R-1916 Equinix Inc — INSTAT +92 | 1D +0.44% | 1W +3.88%
4. R-1922 Iron Mountain Incorporated — INSTAT +85 | 1D +2.33% | 1W +5.09%
5. R-1923 Kimco Realty Corp — INSTAT +85 | 1D +0.67% | 1W +1.71%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-1925 Opendoor Technologies Inc — INSTAT -30 | 1D +3.50% | 1W -1.46%
2. R-1908 Ares Commercial Real Estate — INSTAT -32 | 1D +0.85% | 1W +0.00%
3. R-1907 Arbor Realty Trust — INSTAT -74 | 1D -0.13% | 1W +2.04%
4. R-1911 Compass Inc — INSTAT -99 | 1D -1.53% | 1W -0.14%
5. R-1912 CoStar Group Inc — INSTAT -100 | 1D +0.81% | 1W +0.45%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 18 — Neutral-Bull
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 15 — Flat
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -17 — Mild Out-Flow
Interpretation: Long-term and short-term trend scores remain constructive (18/15) but intermediate out-flows (-17) confirm that capital is not actively entering the sector — the positive AT/ST reflects prior trend persistence, not fresh allocation. Data-center REITs (DLR, EQIX, PLD) are carving out a distinct sub-sector leadership role, while residential brokerage and commercial mortgage REITs (COMP, CSGP, ABR, ACRE) remain in structural liquidation.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Digital Realty Trust Inc (DLR) — INSTAT +95 | 1D +0.69% | 1W +3.57% | YTD +17.44%
★ Equinix Inc (EQIX.O) — INSTAT +92 | 1D +0.44% | 1W +3.88% | YTD +30.57%
★ Prologis Inc (PLD) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.33% | 1W +3.78% | YTD +4.79%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Compass Inc (COMP.K) — INSTAT -99 | 1D -1.53% | 1W -0.14% | YTD -33.11%
▼ CoStar Group Inc (CSGP.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D +0.81% | 1W +0.45% | YTD -40.59%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Iron Mountain Incorporated (IRM) — INSTAT +85 | 1D +2.33% | 1W +5.09%
→ Kimco Realty Corp (KIM) — INSTAT +85 | 1D +0.67% | 1W +1.71%
→ Simon Property Group Inc (SPG) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.31% | 1W +4.71%
→ Omega Healthcare Investors Inc (OHI) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +1.51% | 1W +1.03%
→ Realty Income Corp (O) — INSTAT +64 | 1D +0.53% | 1W +2.50%
Volume Signals:
Crown Castle International Corp (CCI) — Volume: 1.8x avg (Elevated)
American Tower Corp (AMT) — Volume: 1.3x avg
CubeSmart (CUBE.K) — Volume: 1.3x avg
Best 1-Day Performers:
Crown Castle International Corp (CCI) — 1D: +4.82%
Opendoor Technologies Inc (OPEN.O) — 1D: +3.50%
American Homes 4 Rent (AMH) — 1D: +3.23%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
Compass Inc (COMP.K) — 1D: -1.53%
Sun Hung Kai Properties Ltd (SUHJY.PK) — 1D: -2.43%
Real Brokerage Inc (REAX.O) — 1D: -2.69%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Prologis
Inc |
PLD |
+0.33% |
+3.78% |
+4.79% |
25 |
|
Digital
Realty Trust Inc |
DLR |
+0.69% |
+3.57% |
+17.44% |
20 |
|
Equinix
Inc |
EQIX.O |
+0.44% |
+3.88% |
+30.57% |
17 |
|
Iron
Mountain Incorporated |
IRM |
+2.33% |
+5.09% |
+24.53% |
25 |
|
Kimco
Realty Corp |
KIM |
+0.67% |
+1.71% |
+11.49% |
25 |
|
Simon
Property Group Inc |
SPG |
+0.31% |
+4.71% |
+1.92% |
25 |
|
Omega
Healthcare Investors Inc |
OHI |
+1.51% |
+1.03% |
+1.49% |
25 |
|
Realty
Income Corp |
O |
+0.53% |
+2.50% |
+10.36% |
6 |
|
CBRE
Group Inc Class A |
CBRE.K |
+1.57% |
+3.67% |
-15.04% |
23 |
|
American
Healthcare REIT Inc |
AHR |
+1.20% |
+2.04% |
+2.19% |
25 |
|
Equity
Lifestyle Properties .. |
ELS |
+1.15% |
+3.03% |
+5.58% |
25 |
|
Weyerhaeuser
Company |
WY |
+0.95% |
+2.39% |
+3.12% |
25 |
|
American
Homes 4 Rent |
AMH |
+3.23% |
+5.82% |
-9.41% |
25 |
|
Rithm
Capital Corp |
RITM.K |
+1.69% |
+5.36% |
-11.65% |
25 |
|
Equity
Residential |
EQR |
+1.21% |
+2.59% |
-4.39% |
22 |
|
Healthcare
Realty Trust Inco.. |
HR |
+1.46% |
+3.32% |
+2.71% |
25 |
|
Crown
Castle International C.. |
CCI |
+4.82% |
+7.81% |
-4.66% |
23 |
|
Invitation
Homes Inc |
INVH.K |
+2.82% |
+4.41% |
-8.06% |
25 |
|
Public
Storage |
PSA |
+1.49% |
+5.39% |
+8.03% |
25 |
|
Real
Brokerage Inc |
REAX.O |
-2.69% |
+5.42% |
-30.68% |
25 |
|
Annaly
Capital Management Inc |
NLY |
+1.14% |
+2.89% |
-4.43% |
25 |
|
CubeSmart |
CUBE.K |
+1.81% |
+3.42% |
+3.16% |
25 |
|
Extra
Space Storage Inc |
EXR |
+1.03% |
+3.80% |
+2.80% |
25 |
|
VICI
Properties Inc |
VICI.K |
+0.73% |
+3.95% |
-1.64% |
24 |
|
UDR
Inc |
UDR |
+1.17% |
+3.16% |
-5.56% |
23 |
|
American
Tower Corp |
AMT |
+1.58% |
+2.48% |
-1.05% |
22 |
|
AvalonBay
Communities Inc |
AVB |
+0.68% |
+3.24% |
-8.43% |
15 |
|
Sun
Hung Kai Properties Ltd |
SUHJY.PK |
-2.43% |
+2.50% |
+37.39% |
-23 |
|
AGNC
Investment Corp |
AGNC.O |
+1.30% |
+4.75% |
-5.32% |
25 |
|
Americold
Realty Trust |
COLD.K |
+2.23% |
+4.94% |
-10.73% |
25 |
|
Opendoor
Technologies Inc |
OPEN.O |
+3.50% |
-1.46% |
-18.87% |
23 |
|
Ares
Commercial Real Estate |
ACRE.K |
+0.85% |
+0.00% |
-0.42% |
23 |
|
Arbor
Realty Trust |
ABR |
-0.13% |
+2.04% |
-3.35% |
1 |
|
Compass
Inc |
COMP.K |
-1.53% |
-0.14% |
-33.11% |
-24 |
|
CoStar
Group Inc |
CSGP.O |
+0.81% |
+0.45% |
-40.59% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Digital Realty Trust Inc (DLR), INSTAT +95, leads R-19's extended-leader cluster as the most regime-consistent anomaly in real estate: DLR, Equinix (EQIX, +92), and Prologis (PLD, +98) are being treated as AI-infrastructure and logistics proxies rather than rate-sensitive REITs, explaining why they hold extended-leader status even as intermediate out-flows (-17) characterize the broader sector — their data-center and distribution-network exposure insulates them from residential and commercial credit stress. The principal risk in R-19 is the widening credit bifurcation: commercial mortgage REITs (ABR -74, ACRE -32) and residential brokerage (COMP -99, CSGP -100) are in terminal or near-terminal liquidation, signaling that interest-rate sensitivity and transaction-volume dependence remain punished in the current regime, with no near-term catalyst for reversal. The data-center REIT sub-group (DLR, EQIX) intersects with P5 (Evolutionary Tech) portfolio positioning and warrants monitoring for re-entry as the strongest defensive-growth hybrid available within R-19.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-20 – Consumer Discretionary
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: -3 | Median INSTAT: -6
Avg 1-Day: -0.54% | Avg 1-Week: +2.95% | Avg 1-Month: -4.82% | Avg YTD: -5.42%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
12 |
|
Weakening |
8 |
|
Correcting |
7 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
6 |
|
Building
Momentum |
4 |
|
Extended
Leader |
4 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
3 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-2016 eBay Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.08% | 1W +7.00%
2. R-2017 Five Below Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.20% | 1W +6.17%
3. R-2040 Ross Stores Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.01% | 1W +3.92%
4. R-2044 TJX Companies Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.46% | 1W +3.98%
5. R-2004 Burlington Stores Inc — INSTAT +86 | 1D -0.63% | 1W +5.11%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-2043 Tesla Inc — INSTAT -80 | 1D -5.42% | 1W -0.34%
2. R-2037 Nike Inc — INSTAT -81 | 1D -0.99% | 1W -13.98%
3. R-2021 Genuine Parts Co — INSTAT -97 | 1D -1.63% | 1W -1.48%
4. R-2033 Mattel Inc — INSTAT -98 | 1D -1.37% | 1W +0.42%
5. R-2023 Home Depot Inc — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.41% | 1W -0.01%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 7 — Neutral-Bull
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 4 — Flat
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -14 — Mild Out-Flow
Interpretation: Negative average INSTAT (-3) and mild intermediate out-flows (-14) confirm Consumer Discretionary is a risk-off casualty. The four extended leaders (EBAY, FIVE, ROST, TJX) are all value/off-price retail — a tariff-hedge rotation — while home improvement (HD -100), auto (TSLA -80, GM), and lifestyle brands (NKE -81, LULU -78) are in active distribution.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ eBay Inc (EBAY.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.08% | 1W +7.00% | YTD +8.08%
★ Five Below Inc (FIVE.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.20% | 1W +6.17% | YTD +24.97%
★ Ross Stores Inc (ROST.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.01% | 1W +3.92% | YTD +22.12%
★ TJX Companies Inc (TJX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.46% | 1W +3.98% | YTD +5.00%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Genuine Parts Co (GPC) — INSTAT -97 | 1D -1.63% | 1W -1.48% | YTD -15.85%
▼ Home Depot Inc (HD) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.41% | 1W -0.01% | YTD -6.53%
▼ Mattel Inc (MAT.O) — INSTAT -98 | 1D -1.37% | 1W +0.42% | YTD -27.62%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Burlington Stores Inc (BURL.K) — INSTAT +86 | 1D -0.63% | 1W +5.11%
→ Marriott International Inc (MAR.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -0.46% | 1W +4.53%
→ MGM Resorts International (MGM) — INSTAT +82 | 1D -0.27% | 1W +0.99%
→ Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc (HLT) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -1.07% | 1W +3.71%
→ Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS) — INSTAT +66 | 1D +0.04% | 1W +5.13%
→ Instacart (Maplebear Inc.) (CART.O) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +0.34% | 1W +8.54%
Volume Signals:
Nike Inc (NKE) — Volume: 3.5x avg (SURGE)
Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) — Volume: 1.4x avg (Elevated)
Genuine Parts Co (GPC) — Volume: 1.1x avg
Best 1-Day Performers:
DoorDash Inc (DASH.O) — 1D: +3.95%
Domino's Pizza Inc (DPZ.O) — 1D: +2.57%
Chipotle Mexican Grill Inc (CMG) — 1D: +1.62%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
General Motors Company (GM) — 1D: -3.33%
Carnival Corporation (CCL) — 1D: -3.46%
Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) — 1D: -5.42%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
eBay
Inc |
EBAY.O |
+1.08% |
+7.00% |
+8.08% |
25 |
|
Five
Below Inc |
FIVE.O |
+0.20% |
+6.17% |
+24.97% |
25 |
|
Ross
Stores Inc |
ROST.O |
+0.01% |
+3.92% |
+22.12% |
25 |
|
TJX
Companies Inc |
TJX |
-0.46% |
+3.98% |
+5.00% |
25 |
|
Burlington
Stores Inc |
BURL.K |
-0.63% |
+5.11% |
+13.81% |
11 |
|
Marriott
International Inc |
MAR.O |
-0.46% |
+4.53% |
+6.99% |
25 |
|
MGM
Resorts International |
MGM |
-0.27% |
+0.99% |
+0.52% |
25 |
|
Hilton
Worldwide Holdings Inc |
HLT |
-1.07% |
+3.71% |
+6.16% |
23 |
|
Las
Vegas Sands Corp |
LVS |
+0.04% |
+5.13% |
-16.52% |
25 |
|
Instacart
(Maplebear Inc.) |
CART.O |
+0.34% |
+8.54% |
-13.81% |
25 |
|
Carvana
Co |
CVNA.K |
+0.58% |
+3.93% |
-25.62% |
15 |
|
Li
Auto Inc |
LI.O |
+0.49% |
+5.78% |
+9.10% |
25 |
|
Caesars
Entertainment Corpor.. |
CZR.O |
+0.00% |
+2.71% |
+13.51% |
23 |
|
MercadoLibre
Inc |
MELI.O |
-0.20% |
+7.25% |
-14.83% |
25 |
|
Best
Buy Co Inc |
BBY |
+0.30% |
+2.41% |
-3.63% |
19 |
|
Levi
Strauss & Co Class A |
LEVI.K |
-0.53% |
+3.50% |
-8.87% |
25 |
|
Coupang
LLC |
CPNG.K |
+0.24% |
+4.86% |
-19.58% |
25 |
|
CAVA
Group Inc |
CAVA.K |
-0.64% |
+5.58% |
+35.68% |
-9 |
|
DR
Horton Inc |
DHI |
+1.04% |
+4.10% |
-3.01% |
25 |
|
Chipotle
Mexican Grill Inc |
CMG |
+1.62% |
+7.45% |
-10.38% |
23 |
|
DoorDash
Inc |
DASH.O |
+3.95% |
+6.72% |
-30.92% |
25 |
|
Domino's
Pizza Inc |
DPZ.O |
+2.57% |
+6.51% |
-11.04% |
23 |
|
Ford
Motor Company |
F |
-0.68% |
+2.02% |
-11.59% |
25 |
|
Gap
Inc |
GAP |
-0.61% |
-0.53% |
-3.87% |
-12 |
|
Carnival
Corporation |
CCL |
-3.46% |
+6.08% |
-15.98% |
6 |
|
AutoZone
Inc |
AZO |
-0.76% |
+2.53% |
+0.27% |
15 |
|
Dutch
Bros Inc |
BROS.K |
-0.42% |
+7.84% |
-17.76% |
4 |
|
McDonald's
Corporation |
MCD |
-0.05% |
+0.41% |
+0.49% |
10 |
|
General
Motors Company |
GM |
-3.33% |
-0.60% |
-10.80% |
-25 |
|
Norwegian
Cruise Line Holdin.. |
NCLH.K |
-2.32% |
+2.38% |
-15.19% |
14 |
|
Royal
Caribbean Cruises Ltd |
RCL |
-3.00% |
+4.50% |
-1.91% |
-25 |
|
Starbucks
Corporation |
SBUX.O |
-0.07% |
+4.10% |
+7.32% |
-2 |
|
O'Reilly
Automotive Inc |
ORLY.O |
-0.74% |
+1.45% |
+0.23% |
-25 |
|
Lennar
Corporation |
LEN |
+1.23% |
-4.17% |
-15.87% |
12 |
|
JD.com
Inc ADR |
JD.O |
-1.42% |
-0.84% |
-0.84% |
-17 |
|
Dick's
Sporting Goods Inc |
DKS |
-0.20% |
+1.26% |
-3.14% |
-4 |
|
Airbnb
Inc |
ABNB.O |
-0.21% |
+1.68% |
-7.95% |
-3 |
|
Lowe's
Companies Inc |
LOW |
-2.10% |
+0.31% |
-4.20% |
-20 |
|
Lululemon
Athletica Inc |
LULU.O |
-1.98% |
+6.73% |
-25.10% |
-19 |
|
Tesla
Inc |
TSLA.O |
-5.42% |
-0.34% |
-19.82% |
-23 |
|
Nike
Inc |
NKE |
-0.99% |
-13.98% |
-30.64% |
-6 |
|
Genuine
Parts Co |
GPC |
-1.63% |
-1.48% |
-15.85% |
-22 |
|
Mattel
Inc |
MAT.O |
-1.37% |
+0.42% |
-27.62% |
-23 |
|
Home
Depot Inc |
HD |
-2.41% |
-0.01% |
-6.53% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
eBay Inc (EBAY.O), INSTAT +100, is the most regime-consistent anomaly in R-20: in a tariff-escalation and consumer-stress environment, the resale/secondhand platform benefits from a trade-down dynamic — consumers shifting from new goods to used goods — which explains its full-sweep score (+25/+25/+50) and +8.08% YTD gain while Consumer Discretionary as a sector is in mild net out-flow (-14 IN). The Nike (NKE, INSTAT -81) 3.5x volume surge at -13.98% weekly is the R-20 risk signal — a potential tariff-driven demand shock to imported consumer goods brands is accelerating institutional exits, and this distribution pressure is likely to contaminate adjacent lifestyle names (LULU, ABNB, DKS) in coming sessions. P1 (Cara 100) has zero justification for Consumer Discretionary re-entry at current INSTAT levels; only the four off-price extended leaders (EBAY, FIVE, ROST, TJX) and select hospitality names (MAR, HLT, LVS) merit watch-list monitoring given their positive intermediate in-flows.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-21 – Consumer Staples
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: -2 | Median INSTAT: -6
Avg 1-Day: +0.85% | Avg 1-Week: +0.44% | Avg 1-Month: -6.50% | Avg YTD: +0.97%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
8 |
|
Extended
Leader |
7 |
|
Weakening |
6 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
5 |
|
Correcting |
4 |
|
Building
Momentum |
2 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
2 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-2103 Archer-Daniels-Midland Company — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.02% | 1W +2.22%
2. R-2109 Costco Wholesale Corp — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.85% | 1W +3.16%
3. R-2110 Darling Ingredients Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +4.01% | 1W +9.06%
4. R-2132 Twilio Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.36% | 1W +9.13%
5. R-2134 Walmart Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.84% | 1W +2.36%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-2119 Keurig Dr Pepper Inc — INSTAT -93 | 1D -1.48% | 1W -3.51%
2. R-2118 Kenvue Inc — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.38% | 1W -2.17%
3. R-2120 Kimberly-Clark Corp — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.48% | 1W -2.56%
4. R-2129 Procter & Gamble Company — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.67% | 1W +0.29%
5. R-2133 Unilever PLC ADR — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.09% | 1W -6.60%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 7 — Neutral-Bull
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 1 — Flat
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -10 — Mild Out-Flow
Interpretation: Consumer Staples is sharply bifurcated: seven extended leaders (ADM, KO, COST, DAR, PEP, TWLO, WMT) absorbing defensive inflows sit alongside five terminal-liquidation names (KVUE, KDP, KMB, PG, UL) — major household product multinationals facing FX headwinds, private-label competition, and margin compression. The flat short-term trend (+1) and mild out-flow (-10) reflect net sector neutrality masking a deep internal rotation from multinationals to domestic value-oriented retailers and agricultural names.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.02% | 1W +2.22% | YTD +28.42%
★ Coca-Cola Co (KO) — INSTAT +95 | 1D +0.84% | 1W +1.33% | YTD +9.74%
★ Costco Wholesale Corp (COST.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.85% | 1W +3.16% | YTD +17.70%
★ Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +4.01% | 1W +9.06% | YTD +79.58%
★ PepsiCo Inc (PEP.O) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +1.53% | 1W +2.59% | YTD +9.40%
★ Twilio Inc (TWLO.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.36% | 1W +9.13% | YTD -7.94%
★ Walmart Inc (WMT.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.84% | 1W +2.36% | YTD +12.91%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Kenvue Inc (KVUE.K) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.38% | 1W -2.17% | YTD -0.64%
▼ Keurig Dr Pepper Inc (KDP.O) — INSTAT -93 | 1D -1.48% | 1W -3.51% | YTD -9.64%
▼ Kimberly-Clark Corp (KMB.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.48% | 1W -2.56% | YTD -4.72%
▼ Procter & Gamble Company (PG) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.67% | 1W +0.29% | YTD -0.13%
▼ Unilever PLC ADR (UL) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.09% | 1W -6.60% | YTD -15.21%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ BJs Wholesale Club Holdings Inc (BJ) — INSTAT +80 | 1D +3.65% | 1W -1.56%
→ Kroger Company (KR) — INSTAT +79 | 1D +2.57% | 1W -1.19%
Volume Signals:
Unilever PLC ADR (UL) — Volume: 1.5x avg (Elevated)
McCormick & Company Incorporated (MKC) — Volume: 1.5x avg (Elevated)
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI.O) — Volume: 1.4x avg (Elevated)
Best 1-Day Performers:
Grocery Outlet Holding Corp (GO.O) — 1D: +4.79%
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. (OLLI.O) — 1D: +4.35%
Darling Ingredients Inc (DAR) — 1D: +4.01%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
Kimberly-Clark Corp (KMB.O) — 1D: -1.48%
Campbell's Co (CPB.O) — 1D: -1.65%
Tapestry Inc (TPR) — 1D: -2.18%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Archer-Daniels-Midland
Company |
ADM |
+2.02% |
+2.22% |
+28.42% |
25 |
|
Costco
Wholesale Corp |
COST.O |
+1.85% |
+3.16% |
+17.70% |
25 |
|
Darling
Ingredients Inc |
DAR |
+4.01% |
+9.06% |
+79.58% |
25 |
|
Twilio
Inc |
TWLO.K |
+0.36% |
+9.13% |
-7.94% |
25 |
|
Walmart
Inc |
WMT.O |
+0.84% |
+2.36% |
+12.91% |
25 |
|
PepsiCo
Inc |
PEP.O |
+1.53% |
+2.59% |
+9.40% |
25 |
|
Coca-Cola
Co |
KO |
+0.84% |
+1.33% |
+9.74% |
20 |
|
BJs
Wholesale Club Holdings .. |
BJ |
+3.65% |
-1.56% |
+8.92% |
25 |
|
Kroger
Company |
KR |
+2.57% |
-1.19% |
+15.80% |
21 |
|
Albertsons
Companies |
ACI |
+2.65% |
+2.28% |
+1.69% |
25 |
|
Kraft
Heinz Co |
KHC.O |
+2.33% |
+3.40% |
-6.02% |
25 |
|
Hershey
Co |
HSY |
+1.63% |
-3.53% |
+13.30% |
12 |
|
Grocery
Outlet Holding Corp |
GO.O |
+4.79% |
+2.12% |
-28.51% |
25 |
|
Altria
Group |
MO |
+0.43% |
-1.08% |
+14.05% |
-23 |
|
Mondelez
International Inc |
MDLZ.O |
+0.82% |
-1.25% |
+6.89% |
23 |
|
Dollar
General Corporation |
DG |
+2.19% |
+2.20% |
-9.81% |
25 |
|
Ollie's
Bargain Outlet Holdi.. |
OLLI.O |
+4.35% |
+6.69% |
-13.14% |
25 |
|
Monster
Beverage Corp |
MNST.O |
-0.55% |
+0.75% |
-5.61% |
14 |
|
Dollar
Tree Inc |
DLTR.O |
-0.24% |
+1.35% |
-11.84% |
6 |
|
Constellation
Brands Inc Cla.. |
STZ |
+0.07% |
-0.13% |
+9.60% |
6 |
|
Flowers
Foods Inc |
FLO |
+1.41% |
-1.90% |
-24.26% |
22 |
|
Tapestry
Inc |
TPR |
-2.18% |
+1.70% |
+10.51% |
-25 |
|
Colgate-Palmolive
Company |
CL |
-0.32% |
+1.01% |
+7.74% |
12 |
|
Synopsys
Inc |
SNPS.O |
-0.20% |
+4.07% |
-15.71% |
12 |
|
JM
Smucker Company |
SJM |
-0.02% |
+0.24% |
-2.39% |
-2 |
|
Campbell's
Co |
CPB.O |
-1.65% |
+0.09% |
-21.03% |
-25 |
|
Philip
Morris International .. |
PM |
+0.49% |
-3.33% |
-1.43% |
-15 |
|
Hormel
Foods Corporation |
HRL |
+0.27% |
-4.25% |
-6.79% |
1 |
|
McCormick
& Company Incorpor.. |
MKC |
+0.97% |
-7.95% |
-28.28% |
1 |
|
Keurig
Dr Pepper Inc |
KDP.O |
-1.48% |
-3.51% |
-9.64% |
-18 |
|
Kenvue
Inc |
KVUE.K |
-1.38% |
-2.17% |
-0.64% |
-25 |
|
Kimberly-Clark
Corp |
KMB.O |
-1.48% |
-2.56% |
-4.72% |
-25 |
|
Procter
& Gamble Company |
PG |
-0.67% |
+0.29% |
-0.13% |
-25 |
|
Unilever
PLC ADR |
UL |
-1.09% |
-6.60% |
-15.21% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company (ADM), INSTAT +100 with +28.42% YTD and a full-sweep score, is the lead anomaly in R-21 — an agricultural commodity processor typically correlated with global trade volumes is outperforming in a tariff-risk regime, signaling that markets are pricing in domestic food-security demand inelasticity and commodity price pass-through capacity rather than trade-flow disruption risk. The sector's principal risk is the five-way terminal liquidation cluster (PG, KMB, KVUE, KDP, UL: all INSTAT -93 to -100) — these are global household product multinationals suffering simultaneous FX headwinds, volume erosion, and private-label substitution, and the Unilever 1.5x volume surge on a -6.60% weekly print confirms active institutional distribution is ongoing. The R-21 opportunity set for capital preservation mode is narrow but clear: WMT, COST, ADM, KO, and PEP offer domestic staple exposure with positive intermediate in-flows and are appropriate defensive anchors for P1 (Cara 100) pending a regime shift confirmation.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-22 – Healthcare
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +2 | Median INSTAT: +7
Avg 1-Day: -0.14% | Avg 1-Week: +2.96% | Avg 1-Month: -6.43% | Avg YTD: -2.27%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
16 |
|
Correcting |
7 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
5 |
|
Weakening |
4 |
|
Building
Momentum |
4 |
|
Extended
Leader |
4 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
2 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-2205 AstraZeneca PLC ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.34% | 1W +7.96%
2. R-2226 Merck & Company Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.02% | 1W +1.04%
3. R-2232 Sandvik AB ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.18% | 1W +8.71%
4. R-2218 EXACT Sciences Corporation — INSTAT +91 | 1D +0.95% | 1W +0.93%
5. R-2209 Cardinal Health Inc — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.96% | 1W +3.62%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-2240 Vertex Pharmaceuticals Inc — INSTAT -78 | 1D -1.91% | 1W +1.30%
2. R-2207 Boston Scientific Corp — INSTAT -80 | 1D +1.32% | 1W -9.18%
3. R-2224 Intuitive Surgical Inc — INSTAT -82 | 1D -2.67% | 1W -0.13%
4. R-2221 Hims Hers Health Inc — INSTAT -92 | 1D -3.53% | 1W -1.24%
5. R-2211 Cooper Companies Inc — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.76% | 1W +0.57%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 8 — Neutral-Bull
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 5 — Flat
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -11 — Mild Out-Flow
Interpretation: Healthcare sector average (+2) is just barely positive, masking significant internal dispersion. Sixteen names sit in Neutral/Consolidating — a waiting pattern — while the tails are actively diverging: four extended leaders (AZN, MRK, SDVKY, EXAS) vs. two terminal liquidation names (COO, HIMS). Intermediate out-flows (-11) confirm the sector is not attracting fresh capital at the aggregate level.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ AstraZeneca PLC ADR (AZN.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.34% | 1W +7.96% | YTD +121.27%
★ EXACT Sciences Corporation (EXAS.O) — INSTAT +91 | 1D +0.95% | 1W +0.93% | YTD +3.30%
★ Merck & Company Inc (MRK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.02% | 1W +1.04% | YTD +14.83%
★ Sandvik AB ADR (SDVKY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.18% | 1W +8.71% | YTD +22.10%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Cooper Companies Inc (COO.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.76% | 1W +0.57% | YTD -14.39%
▼ Hims Hers Health Inc (HIMS.K) — INSTAT -92 | 1D -3.53% | 1W -1.24% | YTD -41.05%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Cardinal Health Inc (CAH) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.96% | 1W +3.62%
→ Ventas Inc (VTR) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +1.54% | 1W +1.66%
→ Pfizer Inc (PFE) — INSTAT +72 | 1D -0.81% | 1W +4.73%
→ Novartis AG ADR (NVS) — INSTAT +70 | 1D -0.68% | 1W +3.95%
→ Illumina Inc (ILMN.O) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +0.59% | 1W +8.25%
Volume Signals:
EXACT Sciences Corporation (EXAS.O) — Volume: 8.6x avg (SURGE)
Sol Gel Technologies Ltd (SLGL.O) — Volume: 2.6x avg (SURGE)
Ventas Inc (VTR) — Volume: 1.1x avg
Best 1-Day Performers:
Centene Corp (CNC) — 1D: +3.42%
Molina Healthcare Inc (MOH) — 1D: +2.62%
Ventas Inc (VTR) — 1D: +1.54%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) — 1D: -3.45%
Hims Hers Health Inc (HIMS.K) — 1D: -3.53%
Sol Gel Technologies Ltd (SLGL.O) — 1D: -4.84%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
AstraZeneca
PLC ADR |
AZN.O |
+1.34% |
+7.96% |
+121.27% |
25 |
|
Merck
& Company Inc |
MRK |
+0.02% |
+1.04% |
+14.83% |
25 |
|
Sandvik
AB ADR |
SDVKY.PK |
-0.18% |
+8.71% |
+22.10% |
25 |
|
EXACT
Sciences Corporation |
EXAS.O |
+0.95% |
+0.93% |
+3.30% |
16 |
|
Cardinal
Health Inc |
CAH |
+0.96% |
+3.62% |
+4.16% |
25 |
|
Ventas
Inc |
VTR |
+1.54% |
+1.66% |
+7.61% |
25 |
|
Pfizer
Inc |
PFE |
-0.81% |
+4.73% |
+13.73% |
-1 |
|
Novartis
AG ADR |
NVS |
-0.68% |
+3.95% |
+11.72% |
6 |
|
Illumina
Inc |
ILMN.O |
+0.59% |
+8.25% |
-2.88% |
25 |
|
Gilead
Sciences Inc |
GILD.O |
-0.42% |
+4.07% |
+13.83% |
6 |
|
Sol
Gel Technologies Ltd |
SLGL.O |
-4.84% |
+0.33% |
+88.56% |
0 |
|
CVS
Health Corp |
CVS |
+1.38% |
+4.87% |
-7.40% |
25 |
|
Agilent
Technologies Inc |
A |
+0.82% |
+4.75% |
-15.13% |
25 |
|
Henry
Schein Inc |
HSIC.O |
+1.23% |
+2.55% |
-2.17% |
25 |
|
Elevance
Health Inc |
ELV |
+0.75% |
+5.01% |
-14.21% |
25 |
|
Unitedhealth
Group |
UNH |
+1.20% |
+7.04% |
-16.01% |
25 |
|
Edwards
Lifesciences Corp |
EW |
-0.26% |
+2.16% |
-4.93% |
15 |
|
Centene
Corp |
CNC |
+3.42% |
+9.72% |
-14.68% |
25 |
|
Danaher
Corporation |
DHR |
+0.17% |
+5.29% |
-16.51% |
25 |
|
Zoetis
Inc |
ZTS |
+0.55% |
+4.05% |
-6.26% |
25 |
|
Bristol-Myers
Squibb Company |
BMY |
-3.45% |
+1.81% |
+10.49% |
-17 |
|
Eli
Lilly and Company |
LLY |
-1.98% |
+6.53% |
-12.94% |
0 |
|
Stryker
Corporation |
SYK |
+0.65% |
+1.25% |
-5.67% |
25 |
|
Viatris
Inc |
VTRS.O |
-1.39% |
+2.99% |
+7.95% |
-8 |
|
Novo
Nordisk A/S |
NVO |
+1.34% |
+2.58% |
-27.34% |
25 |
|
Integra
LifeSciences Holdings |
IART.O |
-0.42% |
+3.59% |
-23.27% |
9 |
|
Molina
Healthcare Inc |
MOH |
+2.62% |
+3.99% |
-19.68% |
25 |
|
Tempus
AI Inc |
TEM.O |
+0.77% |
+11.19% |
-19.75% |
25 |
|
ResMed
Inc |
RMD |
+0.56% |
+1.64% |
-6.97% |
25 |
|
Medtronic
PLC |
MDT |
+0.66% |
-0.59% |
-9.82% |
25 |
|
Amgen
Inc |
AMGN.O |
-1.51% |
-0.24% |
+6.30% |
-19 |
|
Thermo
Fisher Scientific Inc |
TMO |
-0.62% |
+3.82% |
-15.19% |
-25 |
|
Abbott
Laboratories |
ABT |
+0.48% |
-1.08% |
-17.89% |
5 |
|
AbbVie
Inc |
ABBV.K |
-2.86% |
-0.27% |
-8.60% |
-23 |
|
Baxter
International Inc |
BAX |
-0.60% |
+4.45% |
-12.72% |
-5 |
|
DexCom
Inc |
DXCM.O |
-0.24% |
-0.05% |
-6.25% |
-4 |
|
Veeva
Systems Inc Class A |
VEEV.K |
+0.72% |
+0.81% |
-22.06% |
-4 |
|
Vertex
Pharmaceuticals Inc |
VRTX.O |
-1.91% |
+1.30% |
-3.23% |
-21 |
|
Boston
Scientific Corp |
BSX |
+1.32% |
-9.18% |
-34.12% |
-7 |
|
Intuitive
Surgical Inc |
ISRG.O |
-2.67% |
-0.13% |
-20.18% |
-25 |
|
Hims
Hers Health Inc |
HIMS.K |
-3.53% |
-1.24% |
-41.05% |
-17 |
|
Cooper
Companies Inc |
COO.O |
-1.76% |
+0.57% |
-14.39% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
AstraZeneca PLC ADR (AZN.O), INSTAT +100 with an extraordinary +121.27% YTD gain and an 8.6x volume surge in EXACT Sciences (EXAS) within the same R-File, together constitute the key anomalies in R-22: AZN's performance reflects non-U.S. pharmaceutical exposure insulated from domestic drug-pricing regulatory risk, while EXAS's volume surge at INSTAT +91 signals a potential institutional accumulation event in cancer diagnostics — both diverge sharply from the 16-name neutral/consolidating mass that defines the sector's wait-and-see posture. The principal risk in R-22 is concentrated in medical devices and health-tech names (COO -100, HIMS -92, ISRG -82, BSX -80) where a combination of tariff-driven manufacturing cost increases and discretionary procedure deferrals creates a multi-quarter earnings headwind that the INSTAT scores have already priced. R-22 offers no broad-sector re-entry thesis in capital-preservation mode; selective exposure to AZN, MRK, and CAH — non-U.S. or distribution-model healthcare — is the only defensible P1 consideration until intermediate out-flows turn positive.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-23 – Financial
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +24 | Median INSTAT: +28
Avg 1-Day: +0.35% | Avg 1-Week: +3.41% | Avg 1-Month: -4.26% | Avg YTD: -8.97%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
15 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
10 |
|
Correcting |
5 |
|
Extended
Leader |
4 |
|
Weakening |
4 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
1 |
|
Building
Momentum |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-2307 Bank of New York Mellon Corp — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.96% | 1W +6.51%
2. R-2302 Allstate Corp — INSTAT +98 | 1D +1.44% | 1W +2.13%
3. R-2315 Citigroup Inc — INSTAT +98 | 1D -0.04% | 1W +7.33%
4. R-2320 HSBC Holdings PLC ADR — INSTAT +97 | 1D -1.23% | 1W +6.59%
5. R-2316 CME Group Inc — INSTAT +85 | 1D +2.75% | 1W +3.86%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-2331 Progressive Corp — INSTAT -68 | 1D +0.98% | 1W -1.81%
2. R-2308 Berkshire Hathaway B — INSTAT -76 | 1D -0.24% | 1W +1.89%
3. R-2325 Mastercard Inc — INSTAT -81 | 1D +0.36% | 1W +1.90%
4. R-2312 Capital One Financial Corporation — INSTAT -85 | 1D -1.40% | 1W +3.30%
5. R-2304 Apollo Global Management LLC Class A — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.91% | 1W -1.27%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 14 — Neutral-Bull
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 11 — Flat
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -1 — Flat
Interpretation: Financials show a constructive AT/ST profile (14/11) and flat intermediate flows (-1) — essentially neutral at the sector level. The leadership cluster is concentrated in custody/settlement banking (BK), insurance (ALL), global banks (C, HSBC), and exchange operators (CME, ICE, NDAQ) — all benefiting from volatility-driven fee income and non-credit risk-off positioning. Private equity (APO -100, BX -39) and consumer credit (COF -85, MA -81) are the laggards.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Allstate Corp (ALL) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +1.44% | 1W +2.13% | YTD -0.54%
★ Bank of New York Mellon Corp (BK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.96% | 1W +6.51% | YTD +5.20%
★ Citigroup Inc (C) — INSTAT +98 | 1D -0.04% | 1W +7.33% | YTD -1.23%
★ HSBC Holdings PLC ADR (HSBC.K) — INSTAT +97 | 1D -1.23% | 1W +6.59% | YTD +7.30%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Apollo Global Management LLC Class A (APO) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.91% | 1W -1.27% | YTD -26.06%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ CME Group Inc (CME.O) — INSTAT +85 | 1D +2.75% | 1W +3.86%
→ Aflac Inc (AFL) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.77% | 1W +3.82%
→ Fifth Third Bancorp (FITB.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.62% | 1W +5.77%
→ Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.33% | 1W +7.49%
→ Morgan Stanley (MS) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -0.22% | 1W +4.68%
→ PNC Financial Services Group Inc (PNC) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +1.18% | 1W +4.60%
→ Travelers Companies (TRV) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +1.19% | 1W +3.06%
→ Nasdaq Inc (NDAQ.O) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +1.76% | 1W +6.35%
→ Shinhan Financial Group Co Ltd (SHG) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.54% | 1W +2.19%
→ U.S. Bancorp (USB) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.38% | 1W +4.13%
→ Royal Bank of Canada (RY) — INSTAT +80 | 1D -0.02% | 1W +3.27%
→ United Overseas Bank Ltd ADR (UOVEY.PK) — INSTAT +72 | 1D -0.50% | 1W +0.77%
→ Bank of America Corp (BAC) — INSTAT +66 | 1D +0.22% | 1W +5.13%
→ Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +3.10% | 1W +6.75%
→ Wells Fargo & Company (WFC) — INSTAT +64 | 1D +0.04% | 1W +4.42%
Volume Signals:
United Overseas Bank Ltd ADR (UOVEY.PK) — Volume: 3.2x avg (SURGE)
SoftBank Group Corp. (SFTBF.PK) — Volume: 1.9x avg (Elevated)
Brookfield Asset Management Inc (BAM) — Volume: 1.3x avg
Best 1-Day Performers:
Intercontinental Exchange Inc (ICE) — 1D: +3.10%
CME Group Inc (CME.O) — 1D: +2.75%
Nasdaq Inc (NDAQ.O) — 1D: +1.76%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
Capital One Financial Corporation (COF) — 1D: -1.40%
Robinhood Markets Inc (HOOD.O) — 1D: -1.67%
Apollo Global Management LLC Class A (APO) — 1D: -2.91%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Bank
of New York Mellon Corp |
BK |
+0.96% |
+6.51% |
+5.20% |
25 |
|
Allstate
Corp |
ALL |
+1.44% |
+2.13% |
-0.54% |
25 |
|
Citigroup
Inc |
C |
-0.04% |
+7.33% |
-1.23% |
25 |
|
HSBC
Holdings PLC ADR |
HSBC.K |
-1.23% |
+6.59% |
+7.30% |
22 |
|
CME
Group Inc |
CME.O |
+2.75% |
+3.86% |
+11.73% |
25 |
|
Aflac
Inc |
AFL |
+0.77% |
+3.82% |
+0.19% |
25 |
|
Fifth
Third Bancorp |
FITB.O |
+0.62% |
+5.77% |
+0.64% |
25 |
|
Goldman
Sachs Group Inc |
GS |
+0.33% |
+7.49% |
-1.82% |
25 |
|
Morgan
Stanley |
MS |
-0.22% |
+4.68% |
-6.60% |
25 |
|
PNC
Financial Services Group.. |
PNC |
+1.18% |
+4.60% |
+1.42% |
25 |
|
Travelers
Companies |
TRV |
+1.19% |
+3.06% |
+1.35% |
25 |
|
Nasdaq
Inc |
NDAQ.O |
+1.76% |
+6.35% |
-10.79% |
25 |
|
Shinhan
Financial Group Co Ltd |
SHG |
-0.54% |
+2.19% |
+15.91% |
23 |
|
U.S.
Bancorp |
USB |
+0.38% |
+4.13% |
-0.77% |
23 |
|
Royal
Bank of Canada |
RY |
-0.02% |
+3.27% |
-4.16% |
22 |
|
United
Overseas Bank Ltd ADR |
UOVEY.PK |
-0.50% |
+0.77% |
+5.38% |
16 |
|
Bank
of America Corp |
BAC |
+0.22% |
+5.13% |
-10.22% |
25 |
|
Intercontinental
Exchange Inc |
ICE |
+3.10% |
+6.75% |
+0.63% |
25 |
|
Wells
Fargo & Company |
WFC |
+0.04% |
+4.42% |
-13.52% |
25 |
|
Charles
Schwab Corp |
SCHW.K |
+1.53% |
+1.53% |
-6.15% |
23 |
|
Interactive
Brokers Group Inc |
IBKR.O |
-0.25% |
+5.51% |
+5.33% |
-6 |
|
Arista
Networks |
ANET.K |
+1.47% |
+4.89% |
-3.32% |
25 |
|
Brookfield
Asset Management .. |
BAM |
+0.84% |
+2.94% |
-15.16% |
25 |
|
PayPal
Holdings Inc |
PYPL.O |
+1.61% |
+4.04% |
-22.32% |
25 |
|
MetLife
Inc |
MET |
-0.63% |
+4.46% |
-10.41% |
14 |
|
Marsh
& McLennan Companies Inc |
MRSH.K |
+1.59% |
+3.22% |
-5.88% |
25 |
|
BlackRock
Inc |
BLK |
+0.96% |
+3.50% |
-9.70% |
25 |
|
Cipher
Mining Inc |
CIFR.O |
+1.42% |
-6.73% |
-13.14% |
14 |
|
KKR
& Co LP |
KKR |
-0.14% |
+3.08% |
-28.44% |
10 |
|
SoftBank
Group Corp. |
SFTBF.PK |
+0.04% |
-4.41% |
-15.39% |
15 |
|
Upstart
Holdings Inc |
UPST.O |
+0.83% |
+3.23% |
-41.53% |
25 |
|
Blackstone
Inc |
BX |
-1.12% |
+4.61% |
-26.66% |
-8 |
|
American
Express Company |
AXP |
-0.42% |
+2.71% |
-18.86% |
-12 |
|
Coinbase
Global Inc |
COIN.O |
-0.88% |
+6.42% |
-24.17% |
3 |
|
Robinhood
Markets Inc |
HOOD.O |
-1.67% |
+4.42% |
-39.05% |
0 |
|
Progressive
Corp |
PGR |
+0.98% |
-1.81% |
-14.26% |
3 |
|
Berkshire
Hathaway B |
BRKb |
-0.24% |
+1.89% |
-5.03% |
-22 |
|
Mastercard
Inc |
MA |
+0.36% |
+1.90% |
-13.57% |
-22 |
|
Capital
One Financial Corpor.. |
COF |
-1.40% |
+3.30% |
-24.94% |
-15 |
|
Apollo
Global Management LLC.. |
APO |
-2.91% |
-1.27% |
-26.06% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Allstate Corp (ALL), INSTAT +98, is the key anomaly in R-23: the property/casualty insurer holds near-maximum extended-leader status alongside custodian bank BK (+100) and global banks C (+98) and HSBC (+97) — a cohort unified by the regime thesis that insurance float, custody fee income, and non-U.S. credit exposure are preferred over domestic credit risk and private equity carry in the current risk-off environment, while Apollo (APO, -100) simultaneously records terminal liquidation confirming the market's rejection of alternative asset management risk. The United Overseas Bank (UOVEY) 3.2x volume surge is the R-23 tactical alert — an Asian banking name accumulating at elevated volume in a week where HSBC (+6.59%) and Citi (+7.33%) are also outperforming suggests international banking is receiving systemic risk-off rotation away from U.S. consumer credit exposure. The principal risk in R-23 is consumer credit contagion: COF (-85), MA (-81), and AXP (-51) are all correcting or weakening simultaneously, confirming that discretionary spending and credit-card transaction volume expectations are being marked down — no exposure to those names is appropriate for P1 (Cara 100) in capital preservation mode.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-24 – Technology
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +32 | Median INSTAT: +48
Avg 1-Day: +1.04% | Avg 1-Week: +4.90% | Avg 1-Month: -2.62% | Avg YTD: +1.72%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
9 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
8 |
|
Extended
Leader |
6 |
|
Building
Momentum |
4 |
|
Weakening |
3 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
2 |
|
Correcting |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-2412 Dell Technologies Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.95% | 1W +1.49%
2. R-2413 Intel Corporation — INSTAT +100 | 1D +4.89% | 1W +16.81%
3. R-2417 Live Nation Entertainment Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.04% | 1W +6.89%
4. R-2428 Snam SpA ADR — INSTAT +99 | 1D +1.39% | 1W +4.98%
5. R-2403 Analog Devices Inc — INSTAT +98 | 1D -0.70% | 1W +3.55%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-2426 SAP SE ADR — INSTAT -32 | 1D +0.24% | 1W +4.73%
2. R-2407 Aurora Innovation Inc — INSTAT -43 | 1D -0.72% | 1W +0.73%
3. R-2425 Qualcomm Incorporated — INSTAT -75 | 1D -0.38% | 1W -0.24%
4. R-2424 Pinterest Inc — INSTAT -92 | 1D -0.60% | 1W +2.36%
5. R-2415 Intuit Inc — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.80% | 1W +1.45%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 18 — Neutral-Bull
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 13 — Flat
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 1 — Flat
Interpretation: Technology shows the second-highest AT score in Batch 3 (18) and genuinely flat intermediate flows (IN: +1), indicating the sector is in a transition state — long-term structure remains constructive but intermediate capital flows have stalled. The six extended leaders are split between legacy hardware (DELL, INTC), semiconductor equipment (TER, ADI), infrastructure utility (SNMRY), and entertainment (LYV) — not the growth-tech leadership one would expect in a risk-on regime.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Analog Devices Inc (ADI.O) — INSTAT +98 | 1D -0.70% | 1W +3.55% | YTD +17.38%
★ Dell Technologies Inc (DELL.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.95% | 1W +1.49% | YTD +38.52%
★ Intel Corporation (INTC.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +4.89% | 1W +16.81% | YTD +36.53%
★ Live Nation Entertainment Inc (LYV) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.04% | 1W +6.89% | YTD +9.30%
★ Snam SpA ADR (SNMRY.PK) — INSTAT +99 | 1D +1.39% | 1W +4.98% | YTD +15.63%
★ Teradyne Inc (TER.O) — INSTAT +97 | 1D -0.83% | 1W +4.74% | YTD +59.96%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Intuit Inc (INTU.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.80% | 1W +1.45% | YTD -36.22%
▼ Pinterest Inc (PINS.K) — INSTAT -92 | 1D -0.60% | 1W +2.36% | YTD -29.78%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Nebius Group NV (NBIS.O) — INSTAT +85 | 1D +6.74% | 1W +7.93%
→ Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +3.47% | 1W +7.68%
→ Semtech Corporation (SMTC.O) — INSTAT +82 | 1D +3.26% | 1W +14.54%
→ Snap-On Inc (SNA) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.39% | 1W +1.82%
→ Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.75% | 1W +3.74%
→ TKO Group Holdings Inc (TKO) — INSTAT +72 | 1D +1.34% | 1W +7.70%
→ Applied Materials Inc (AMAT.O) — INSTAT +69 | 1D -1.51% | 1W +3.35%
→ Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO.O) — INSTAT +69 | 1D +1.40% | 1W -1.13%
→ Lam Research Corp (LRCX.O) — INSTAT +67 | 1D -1.61% | 1W +3.33%
Volume Signals:
Micron Technology Inc (MU.O) — Volume: 1.3x avg
Intel Corporation (INTC.O) — Volume: 1.1x avg
Semtech Corporation (SMTC.O) — Volume: 1.1x avg
Best 1-Day Performers:
Astera Labs Inc (ALAB.O) — 1D: +10.19%
Nebius Group NV (NBIS.O) — 1D: +6.74%
Intel Corporation (INTC.O) — 1D: +4.89%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
Applied Materials Inc (AMAT.O) — 1D: -1.51%
Lam Research Corp (LRCX.O) — 1D: -1.61%
ASML Holding NV ADR (ASML.O) — 1D: -3.13%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Dell
Technologies Inc |
DELL.K |
+2.95% |
+1.49% |
+38.52% |
25 |
|
Intel
Corporation |
INTC.O |
+4.89% |
+16.81% |
+36.53% |
25 |
|
Live
Nation Entertainment Inc |
LYV |
+2.04% |
+6.89% |
+9.30% |
25 |
|
Snam
SpA ADR |
SNMRY.PK |
+1.39% |
+4.98% |
+15.63% |
24 |
|
Analog
Devices Inc |
ADI.O |
-0.70% |
+3.55% |
+17.38% |
25 |
|
Teradyne
Inc |
TER.O |
-0.83% |
+4.74% |
+59.96% |
25 |
|
Nebius
Group NV |
NBIS.O |
+6.74% |
+7.93% |
+30.00% |
25 |
|
Advanced
Micro Devices Inc |
AMD.O |
+3.47% |
+7.68% |
+1.56% |
25 |
|
Semtech
Corporation |
SMTC.O |
+3.26% |
+14.54% |
+12.16% |
24 |
|
Snap-On
Inc |
SNA |
-0.39% |
+1.82% |
+6.09% |
25 |
|
Taiwan
Semiconductor Manufac.. |
TSM |
-0.75% |
+3.74% |
+11.54% |
23 |
|
TKO
Group Holdings Inc |
TKO |
+1.34% |
+7.70% |
-2.51% |
14 |
|
Applied
Materials Inc |
AMAT.O |
-1.51% |
+3.35% |
+35.60% |
11 |
|
Cisco
Systems Inc |
CSCO.O |
+1.40% |
-1.13% |
+2.58% |
25 |
|
Lam
Research Corp |
LRCX.O |
-1.61% |
+3.33% |
+27.61% |
23 |
|
Micron
Technology Inc |
MU.O |
-0.44% |
+2.53% |
+28.32% |
25 |
|
Palantir
Technologies Inc |
PLTR.O |
+1.34% |
+3.77% |
-16.48% |
25 |
|
Broadcom
Inc |
AVGO.O |
+0.34% |
+4.61% |
-9.12% |
25 |
|
Palo
Alto Networks Inc |
PANW.O |
+1.58% |
+11.01% |
-11.40% |
25 |
|
International
Business Machi.. |
IBM |
+2.06% |
+5.00% |
-16.22% |
25 |
|
Microchip
Technology Inc |
MCHP.O |
+0.34% |
+5.81% |
+2.95% |
25 |
|
Astera
Labs Inc |
ALAB.O |
+10.19% |
+4.18% |
-29.57% |
25 |
|
CrowdStrike
Holdings Inc |
CRWD.O |
+1.48% |
+7.99% |
-14.86% |
25 |
|
Oracle
Corporation |
ORCL.K |
+0.79% |
+4.81% |
-24.90% |
25 |
|
Adobe
Systems Incorporated |
ADBE.O |
+0.64% |
+3.44% |
-30.59% |
25 |
|
Cadence
Design Systems Inc |
CDNS.O |
-0.52% |
+2.56% |
-10.83% |
25 |
|
Zeta
Global Holdings Corp |
ZETA.K |
+0.32% |
+8.45% |
-22.46% |
25 |
|
ASML
Holding NV ADR |
ASML.O |
-3.13% |
+1.13% |
+23.12% |
-24 |
|
SAP
SE ADR |
SAP |
+0.24% |
+4.73% |
-29.29% |
9 |
|
Aurora
Innovation Inc |
AUR.O |
-0.72% |
+0.73% |
+8.07% |
5 |
|
Qualcomm
Incorporated |
QCOM.O |
-0.38% |
-0.24% |
-25.87% |
0 |
|
Pinterest
Inc |
PINS.K |
-0.60% |
+2.36% |
-29.78% |
-17 |
|
Intuit
Inc |
INTU.O |
-0.80% |
+1.45% |
-36.22% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Analog Devices Inc (ADI.O), INSTAT +98, is the most regime-consistent extended leader anomaly in R-24: a precision semiconductor maker with industrial/defense end-market exposure — not hyperscaler-dependent AI chips — is achieving near-maximum INSTAT amid flat intermediate technology flows (IN: +1), confirming that the capital rotation within Tech is away from software/consumer-internet (INTU -100, PINS -92, QCOM -75) and toward hardware and infrastructure that serves energy, defense, and industrial automation demand. Intel's (INTC) +16.81% weekly gain with 1.1x volume is the session's tactical alert — a heavily shorted legacy semiconductor name moving this aggressively on above-average volume signals potential short-covering or news-driven accumulation that could be temporary, not structural, and should not be conflated with the sector's genuine intermediate in-flow signal (which remains flat at +1). P5 (Evolutionary Tech) positioning intersects with R-24's semiconductor equipment cohort (TER +59.96% YTD, AMAT +35.60% YTD, LRCX +27.61% YTD) where the strongest re-entry thesis exists once regime confirms, but no action is warranted while intermediate flows remain stalled.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-25 – Communications & Media
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +6 | Median INSTAT: +15
Avg 1-Day: +0.94% | Avg 1-Week: +4.18% | Avg 1-Month: -7.10% | Avg YTD: -11.20%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
6 |
|
Building
Momentum |
5 |
|
Extended
Leader |
3 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
3 |
|
Correcting |
2 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
2 |
|
Weakening |
2 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-2505 Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.42% | 1W +1.28%
2. R-2507 Electronic Arts Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.01% | 1W +0.79%
3. R-2510 Madison Square Garden Sports Corp — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.83% | 1W +4.29%
4. R-2518 Roku Inc — INSTAT +83 | 1D +2.87% | 1W +12.01%
5. R-2513 Netflix Inc — INSTAT +82 | 1D +3.25% | 1W +5.60%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. R-2514 News Corp A — INSTAT -78 | 1D -1.25% | 1W +0.66%
2. R-2502 Applovin Corp — INSTAT -81 | 1D -0.38% | 1W +1.36%
3. R-2520 T-Mobile US Inc — INSTAT -96 | 1D -1.40% | 1W -4.47%
4. R-2519 The Trade Desk — INSTAT -98 | 1D +0.30% | 1W +3.62%
5. R-2506 Comcast Corp — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.43% | 1W -1.41%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 10 — Neutral-Bull
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 7 — Flat
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -10 — Mild Out-Flow
Interpretation: Communications & Media is the weakest INSTAT sector in Batch 3 by average (+6) and negative YTD (-11.20%), reflecting structural headwinds across legacy media (Comcast -100, T-Mobile -96), programmatic advertising (TTD -98, APP -81), and social/content platforms. The three extended leaders (CCO, EA, MSGS) are niche plays — out-of-home advertising, gaming, and live sports — not representative of the broader sector's risk-off-compatible thesis.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Inc (CCO) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.42% | 1W +1.28% | YTD +7.69%
★ Electronic Arts Inc (EA.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.01% | 1W +0.79% | YTD -0.36%
★ Madison Square Garden Sports Corp (MSGS.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.83% | 1W +4.29% | YTD +25.46%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Comcast Corp (CMCSA.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.43% | 1W -1.41% | YTD -0.26%
▼ The Trade Desk (TTD.O) — INSTAT -98 | 1D +0.30% | 1W +3.62% | YTD -41.91%
▼ T-Mobile US Inc (TMUS.O) — INSTAT -96 | 1D -1.40% | 1W -4.47% | YTD -0.81%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Roku Inc (ROKU.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +2.87% | 1W +12.01%
→ Netflix Inc (NFLX.O) — INSTAT +82 | 1D +3.25% | 1W +5.60%
Volume Signals:
Fubotv Inc (FUBO.K) — Volume: 1.1x avg
Paramount Skydance Corp (PSKY.O) — Volume: 1.1x avg
News Corp A (NWSA.O) — Volume: 1.1x avg
No volume surges detected in this R-File.
Best 1-Day Performers:
Fubotv Inc (FUBO.K) — 1D: +6.20%
Roblox Corp (RBLX.K) — 1D: +4.29%
Netflix Inc (NFLX.O) — 1D: +3.25%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
Meta Platforms Inc (META.O) — 1D: -0.82%
News Corp A (NWSA.O) — 1D: -1.25%
T-Mobile US Inc (TMUS.O) — 1D: -1.40%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Clear
Channel Outdoor Holdin.. |
CCO |
+0.42% |
+1.28% |
+7.69% |
25 |
|
Electronic
Arts Inc |
EA.O |
+0.01% |
+0.79% |
-0.36% |
25 |
|
Madison
Square Garden Sports.. |
MSGS.K |
+1.83% |
+4.29% |
+25.46% |
25 |
|
Roku
Inc |
ROKU.O |
+2.87% |
+12.01% |
-10.02% |
25 |
|
Netflix
Inc |
NFLX.O |
+3.25% |
+5.60% |
+5.23% |
25 |
|
Alphabet
Inc Class A |
GOOGL.O |
-0.54% |
+7.81% |
-5.50% |
24 |
|
Fox
Corp Class A |
FOXA.O |
+0.27% |
-0.83% |
-19.78% |
25 |
|
Roblox
Corp |
RBLX.K |
+4.29% |
+14.89% |
-25.83% |
25 |
|
Warner
Music Group |
WMG.O |
+1.44% |
+9.93% |
-14.80% |
25 |
|
Match
Group Inc |
MTCH.O |
+0.93% |
+5.68% |
-2.66% |
22 |
|
Charter
Communications Inc |
CHTR.O |
+1.63% |
+0.30% |
+5.29% |
19 |
|
AT&T
Inc |
T |
+0.07% |
-2.65% |
+14.05% |
3 |
|
Fubotv
Inc |
FUBO.K |
+6.20% |
+5.28% |
-67.69% |
25 |
|
Reddit
Inc |
RDDT.K |
-0.10% |
+11.66% |
-40.81% |
21 |
|
Paramount
Skydance Corp |
PSKY.O |
+2.92% |
+8.30% |
-28.96% |
19 |
|
Meta
Platforms Inc |
META.O |
-0.82% |
+9.27% |
-12.97% |
23 |
|
Walt
Disney Company |
DIS |
+0.05% |
+4.53% |
-15.08% |
15 |
|
Verizon
Communications Inc |
VZ |
+0.02% |
-1.81% |
+21.29% |
-24 |
|
News
Corp A |
NWSA.O |
-1.25% |
+0.66% |
-6.58% |
-25 |
|
Applovin
Corp |
APP.O |
-0.38% |
+1.36% |
-42.66% |
-24 |
|
T-Mobile
US Inc |
TMUS.O |
-1.40% |
-4.47% |
-0.81% |
-23 |
|
The
Trade Desk |
TTD.O |
+0.30% |
+3.62% |
-41.91% |
-23 |
|
Comcast
Corp |
CMCSA.O |
-0.43% |
-1.41% |
-0.26% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Clear Channel Outdoor Holdings Inc (CCO), INSTAT +100, is the lead anomaly in R-25 — an out-of-home advertising company achieving full-sweep extended-leader status (+25/+25/+50) in a sector with average INSTAT of only +6 and negative YTD of -11.20% is a genuine divergence, signaling that non-digital, location-based advertising is being valued as an inflation-pass-through and tariff-insulated media asset while digital advertising platforms (TTD -98, APP -81) and legacy cable infrastructure (CMCSA -100, TMUS -96) are in simultaneous terminal liquidation. The sector's principal risk is concentrated at the intersection of subscriber churn and digital ad-market deceleration: Comcast's -100 INSTAT alongside a flat YTD (-0.26%) is a structural deterioration signal — the market is pricing in accelerating linear TV subscriber losses and broadband saturation before those losses appear in earnings. Communications & Media is not relevant to current portfolio construction for P1 (Cara 100); only Netflix (NFLX, +82) and Roku (ROKU, +83) — pure streaming beneficiaries of cord-cutting — merit watch-list attention as potential regime-shift re-entry candidates when intermediate out-flows turn positive.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
*End of BATCH 3 — GICS Sectors (R-14 to R-25) | April 3, 2026*
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
BATCH 4 — INDUSTRIES & THEMES (R-26 to R-44)
Date: April 3, 2026 | Regime: Risk-Off / Defensive | Grand Avg INSTAT (A-side): +23
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-26 – Select Industry ETFs
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +19 | Median INSTAT: +25
Avg 1-Day: -0.23% | Avg 1-Week: +3.40% | Avg 1-Month: -4.72% | Avg YTD: -0.97%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
10 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
8 |
|
Correcting |
4 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
3 |
|
Building
Momentum |
3 |
|
Extended
Leader |
3 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. State Street® SPDR® S&P® Global Natural Resources (GNR) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.28% | 1W +2.27%
2. Vanguard Materials Index Fund ETF Shares (VAW) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.18% | 1W +3.74%
3. FlexShares Morningstar Global Upstream Natural Resources (GUNR.K) — INSTAT +99 | 1D +0.51% | 1W +2.42%
4. Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.19% | 1W +5.35%
5. iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -0.40% | 1W +5.64%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. iShares U.S. Medical Devices ETF (IHI) — INSTAT -87 | 1D -0.36% | 1W +0.11%
2. Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC.K) — INSTAT -89 | 1D -1.70% | 1W +1.52%
3. ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB.K) — INSTAT -90 | 1D -1.68% | 1W +1.55%
4. ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO.K) — INSTAT -91 | 1D -1.60% | 1W +1.54%
5. iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT.O) — INSTAT -92 | 1D -1.73% | 1W +1.52%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 11 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 9 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -1 (Flat)
Interpretation: Long-term trend is mildly constructive but short-term and intermediate flows are flat, confirming no directional conviction across the industry ETF universe. Capital is rotating selectively into hard assets and away from crypto.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ FlexShares Morningstar Global Upstream Natural Resources Index Fund (GUNR.K) — INSTAT +99 | 1D +0.51% | 1W +2.42% | YTD +20.89%
★ State Street® SPDR® S&P® Global Natural Resources (GNR) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.28% | 1W +2.27% | YTD +20.18%
★ Vanguard Materials Index Fund ETF Shares (VAW) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.18% | 1W +3.74% | YTD +9.85%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB.K) — INSTAT -90 | 1D -1.68% | 1W +1.55% | YTD -23.42%
▼ iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT.O) — INSTAT -92 | 1D -1.73% | 1W +1.52% | YTD -23.52%
▼ ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO.K) — INSTAT -91 | 1D -1.60% | 1W +1.54% | YTD -24.26%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Global X MSCI Vietnam ETF (VNAM.K) — INSTAT +69 | 1D +0.09% | 1W +4.29%
→ Global X Silver Miners ETF (SIL) — INSTAT +77 | 1D -0.65% | 1W +10.06%
→ Global X U.S. Infrastructure Development ETF (PAVE.K) — INSTAT +71 | 1D -0.72% | 1W +3.09%
→ Invesco KBW Bank ETF (KBWB.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.19% | 1W +5.35%
→ iShares Biotechnology ETF (IBB.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -0.40% | 1W +5.64%
Volume Signals:
iShares Global Clean Energy ETF (ICLN.O): 1.5x avg (Elevated)
ProShares Bitcoin ETF (BITO.K): 1.5x avg (Elevated)
First Trust Dow Jones Internet Index Fund (FDN): 1.4x avg (Elevated)
Best 1-Day Performers: First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF (CIBR.O) +1.65% | SPDR® S&P® Oil & Gas Exploration (XOP) +1.64% | First Trust Cloud Computing ETF (SKYY.O) +1.36%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Grayscale Bitcoin Trust ETF (GBTC.K) -1.70% | iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT.O) -1.73% | VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ.K) -2.44%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
State
Street® SPDR® S&P® Glo.. |
GNR |
+0.28% |
+2.27% |
+20.18% |
25 |
|
Vanguard
Materials Index Fun.. |
VAW |
-0.18% |
+3.74% |
+9.85% |
25 |
|
FlexShares
Morningstar Globa.. |
GUNR.K |
+0.51% |
+2.42% |
+20.89% |
24 |
|
Invesco
KBW Bank ETF |
KBWB.O |
+0.19% |
+5.35% |
-4.75% |
25 |
|
iShares
Biotechnology ETF |
IBB.O |
-0.40% |
+5.64% |
+0.40% |
25 |
|
State
Street® SPDR® S&P® Met.. |
XME |
+0.80% |
+4.57% |
+6.92% |
25 |
|
iShares
TIPS Bond ETF |
TIP |
+0.41% |
+1.04% |
+0.82% |
25 |
|
Global
X Silver Miners ETF |
SIL |
-0.65% |
+10.06% |
+10.93% |
19 |
|
Global
X U.S. Infrastructure.. |
PAVE.K |
-0.72% |
+3.09% |
+7.39% |
15 |
|
Global
X MSCI Vietnam ETF |
VNAM.K |
+0.09% |
+4.29% |
-8.51% |
11 |
|
VanEck
Semiconductor ETF |
SMH.O |
+0.09% |
+4.83% |
+8.94% |
25 |
|
VanEck
Gold Miners ETF |
GDX |
-1.48% |
+10.26% |
+10.28% |
5 |
|
State
Street® SPDR® S&P® Oil.. |
XOP |
+1.64% |
-5.56% |
+40.76% |
12 |
|
VanEck
Junior Gold Miners ETF |
GDXJ.K |
-2.44% |
+10.50% |
+7.39% |
3 |
|
iShares
U.S. Broker-Dealers .. |
IAI |
+0.79% |
+4.97% |
-7.37% |
25 |
|
ARK
Autonomous Technology & .. |
ARKQ.K |
+0.34% |
+4.25% |
+0.21% |
25 |
|
Global
X Artificial Intellig.. |
AIQ.O |
-0.15% |
+3.96% |
-7.06% |
25 |
|
iShares
MBS ETF |
MBB.O |
+0.20% |
+0.79% |
-0.38% |
25 |
|
First
Trust Dow Jones Intern.. |
FDN |
+1.33% |
+5.41% |
-11.20% |
25 |
|
First
Trust Cloud Computing .. |
SKYY.O |
+1.36% |
+5.50% |
-14.03% |
25 |
|
iShares
Broad USD High Yield.. |
USHY.K |
+0.18% |
+0.99% |
-1.59% |
25 |
|
First
Trust NASDAQ Cybersecu.. |
CIBR.O |
+1.65% |
+5.65% |
-10.16% |
25 |
|
iShares
U.S. Aerospace & Def.. |
ITA |
-0.77% |
+2.72% |
+3.36% |
3 |
|
iShares
Global Clean Energy .. |
ICLN.O |
-1.10% |
+1.12% |
+9.86% |
-24 |
|
Global
X Robotics & Artifici.. |
BOTZ.O |
-1.42% |
+2.96% |
-7.76% |
12 |
|
iShares
U.S. Home Constructi.. |
ITB |
-0.85% |
+1.51% |
-6.28% |
-4 |
|
iShares
CMBS ETF |
CMBS.K |
-0.04% |
+0.27% |
-0.86% |
-25 |
|
iShares
U.S. Medical Devices.. |
IHI |
-0.36% |
+0.11% |
-14.34% |
-12 |
|
Grayscale
Bitcoin Trust ETF |
GBTC.K |
-1.70% |
+1.52% |
-23.71% |
-16 |
|
ARK
21Shares Bitcoin ETF |
ARKB.K |
-1.68% |
+1.55% |
-23.42% |
-15 |
|
ProShares
Bitcoin ETF |
BITO.K |
-1.60% |
+1.54% |
-24.26% |
-16 |
|
iShares
Bitcoin Trust ETF |
IBIT.O |
-1.73% |
+1.52% |
-23.52% |
-17 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
FlexShares Morningstar Global Upstream Natural Resources Index Fund (GUNR.K) at INSTAT +99 is an Extended Leader with hard-asset exposure across energy and materials fully aligned with the post-Feb 27 risk-off rotation — YTD +20.89% signals sustained institutional accumulation, not a short-term bounce. In the current risk-off regime, capital is flowing defensively into real assets that hedge against currency debasement and tariff-driven supply disruption, while the Avg IN of -1 confirms the broader industry ETF space remains unconvinced. Three Bitcoin ETFs in Terminal Liquidation (INSTAT -90 to -92) define the principal risk: crypto-correlated holdings are under sustained distribution and warrant no allocation.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-27 – US Main Street Economy
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +41 | Median INSTAT: +83
Avg 1-Day: +0.31% | Avg 1-Week: +1.47% | Avg 1-Month: -4.29% | Avg YTD: +5.69%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
20 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
9 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
6 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
5 |
|
Correcting |
3 |
|
Building
Momentum |
3 |
|
Weakening |
3 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. American Water Works (AWK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.99% | 1W +0.94%
2. CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.06% | 1W +3.14%
3. Consolidated Edison Inc (ED) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.33% | 1W +3.36%
4. CSX Corporation (CSX.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.53% | 1W +3.91%
5. Dominion Energy Inc (D) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.16% | 1W +3.10%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. T-Mobile US Inc (TMUS.O) — INSTAT -96 | 1D -1.40% | 1W -4.47%
2. Comcast Corp (CMCSA.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.43% | 1W -1.41%
3. Home Depot Inc (HD) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.41% | 1W -0.01%
4. Sysco Corporation (SYY) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.40% | 1W -13.01%
5. Sysco Corporation (SYY) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.40% | 1W -13.01%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 13 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 12 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 16 (Mild In-Flow)
Interpretation: The mild in-flow confirms defensive rotation into utilities, regulated industries, and discount retail — exactly the playbook for a risk-off regime. The high median INSTAT (+83) reflects a bifurcated group: strong defensive leaders coexisting with consumer-discretionary and telecom laggards under distribution.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90) — 20 instruments:
★ Allstate Corp (ALL) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +1.44% | 1W +2.13% | YTD -0.54%
★ American Water Works (AWK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.99% | 1W +0.94% | YTD +5.85%
★ CenterPoint Energy Inc (CNP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.06% | 1W +3.14% | YTD +14.01%
★ Consolidated Edison Inc (ED) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.33% | 1W +3.36% | YTD +16.22%
★ CSX Corporation (CSX.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.53% | 1W +3.91% | YTD +13.71%
★ Dominion Energy Inc (D) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.16% | 1W +3.10% | YTD +7.13%
★ DTE Energy Company (DTE) — INSTAT +94 | 1D +0.63% | 1W +2.47% | YTD +14.78%
★ Duke Energy Corporation (DUK) — INSTAT +96 | 1D +1.01% | 1W +1.72% | YTD +12.81%
★ Exelon Corporation (EXC.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.92% | 1W +2.09% | YTD +13.17%
★ JB Hunt Transport Services Inc (JBHT.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.69% | 1W +4.53% | YTD +10.58%
★ NiSource Inc (NI) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.26% | 1W +3.31% | YTD +13.72%
★ American Electric Power Company Inc (AEP.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.77% | 1W +1.98% | YTD +15.06%
★ PG&E Corp (PCG) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.11% | 1W +3.49% | YTD +10.58%
★ Southern Company (SO) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.53% | 1W +1.99% | YTD +11.75%
★ Target Corporation (TGT) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +0.51% | YTD +23.22%
★ Target Corporation (TGT) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +0.51% | YTD +23.22%
★ TJX Companies Inc (TJX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.46% | 1W +3.98% | YTD +5.00%
★ Waste Management Inc (WM) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.91% | 1W +4.60% | YTD +7.15%
★ WEC Energy Group Inc (WEC) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.21% | 1W +2.82% | YTD +11.49%
★ Xcel Energy Inc (XEL.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.29% | 1W +3.39% | YTD +9.31%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90) — 5 instruments:
▼ Comcast Corp (CMCSA.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.43% | 1W -1.41% | YTD -0.26%
▼ Home Depot Inc (HD) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.41% | 1W -0.01% | YTD -6.53%
▼ Sysco Corporation (SYY) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.40% | 1W -13.01% | YTD -3.43%
▼ Sysco Corporation (SYY) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.40% | 1W -13.01% | YTD -3.43%
▼ T-Mobile US Inc (TMUS.O) — INSTAT -96 | 1D -1.40% | 1W -4.47% | YTD -0.81%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89) — 9 instruments:
→ Delta Air Lines Inc (DAL) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -1.24% | 1W +2.98%
→ Edison International (EIX) — INSTAT +80 | 1D -0.16% | 1W +4.50%
→ Hartford Financial Services Group (HIG) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +1.14% | 1W +2.92%
→ M&T Bank Corp (MTB) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.56% | 1W +4.59%
→ PNC Financial Services Group Inc (PNC) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +1.18% | 1W +4.60%
Volume Signals:
Norfolk Southern Corporation (NSC): 1.6x avg (Elevated)
Sysco Corporation (SYY): 1.5x avg (Elevated)
Best 1-Day Performers: Dollar General Corporation (DG) +2.19% | Waste Management Inc (WM) +1.91% | Charter Communications Inc (CHTR.O) +1.63%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Southwest Airlines Company (LUV) -1.65% | Lowe's Companies Inc (LOW) -2.10% | Home Depot Inc (HD) -2.41%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
American
Water Works |
AWK |
+0.99% |
+0.94% |
+5.85% |
25 |
|
CenterPoint
Energy Inc |
CNP |
+1.06% |
+3.14% |
+14.01% |
25 |
|
Consolidated
Edison Inc |
ED |
+1.33% |
+3.36% |
+16.22% |
25 |
|
CSX
Corporation |
CSX.O |
-0.53% |
+3.91% |
+13.71% |
25 |
|
Dominion
Energy Inc |
D |
+1.16% |
+3.10% |
+7.13% |
25 |
|
Exelon
Corporation |
EXC.O |
+0.92% |
+2.09% |
+13.17% |
25 |
|
JB
Hunt Transport Services Inc |
JBHT.O |
+0.69% |
+4.53% |
+10.58% |
25 |
|
NiSource
Inc |
NI |
+1.26% |
+3.31% |
+13.72% |
25 |
|
American
Electric Power Comp.. |
AEP.O |
+0.77% |
+1.98% |
+15.06% |
25 |
|
PG&E
Corp |
PCG |
+0.11% |
+3.49% |
+10.58% |
25 |
|
Southern
Company |
SO |
+0.53% |
+1.99% |
+11.75% |
25 |
|
Target
Corporation |
TGT |
+0.00% |
+0.51% |
+23.22% |
25 |
|
Target
Corporation |
TGT |
+0.00% |
+0.51% |
+23.22% |
25 |
|
TJX
Companies Inc |
TJX |
-0.46% |
+3.98% |
+5.00% |
25 |
|
Waste
Management Inc |
WM |
+1.91% |
+4.60% |
+7.15% |
25 |
|
WEC
Energy Group Inc |
WEC |
+1.21% |
+2.82% |
+11.49% |
25 |
|
Xcel
Energy Inc |
XEL.O |
+1.29% |
+3.39% |
+9.31% |
25 |
|
Allstate
Corp |
ALL |
+1.44% |
+2.13% |
-0.54% |
25 |
|
Duke
Energy Corporation |
DUK |
+1.01% |
+1.72% |
+12.81% |
21 |
|
DTE
Energy Company |
DTE |
+0.63% |
+2.47% |
+14.78% |
19 |
|
Republic
Services Inc |
RSG |
+1.15% |
+3.41% |
+5.31% |
14 |
|
Delta
Air Lines Inc |
DAL |
-1.24% |
+2.98% |
-3.80% |
25 |
|
Hartford
Financial Services .. |
HIG |
+1.14% |
+2.92% |
-1.17% |
25 |
|
M&T
Bank Corp |
MTB |
+0.56% |
+4.59% |
+4.31% |
25 |
|
PNC
Financial Services Group.. |
PNC |
+1.18% |
+4.60% |
+1.42% |
25 |
|
Union
Pacific Corporation |
UNP |
+0.65% |
+2.48% |
+5.79% |
25 |
|
U.S.
Bancorp |
USB |
+0.38% |
+4.13% |
-0.77% |
23 |
|
Edison
International |
EIX |
-0.16% |
+4.50% |
+22.39% |
7 |
|
Realty
Income Corp |
O |
+0.53% |
+2.50% |
+10.36% |
6 |
|
CF
Industries Holdings Inc |
CF |
+1.55% |
-4.75% |
+68.05% |
-12 |
|
The
AES Corporation |
AES |
+0.70% |
+2.14% |
-0.28% |
25 |
|
Norfolk
Southern Corporation |
NSC |
+0.35% |
+1.68% |
-0.25% |
13 |
|
Charter
Communications Inc |
CHTR.O |
+1.63% |
+0.30% |
+5.29% |
19 |
|
Public
Service Enterprise Gr.. |
PEG |
+0.73% |
+1.38% |
+1.89% |
25 |
|
Dollar
General Corporation |
DG |
+2.19% |
+2.20% |
-9.81% |
25 |
|
Prudential
Financial Inc |
PRU |
-0.41% |
+4.60% |
-13.55% |
3 |
|
Southwest
Airlines Company |
LUV |
-1.65% |
+0.64% |
-9.02% |
14 |
|
The
Cheesecake Factory |
CAKE.O |
-0.13% |
+2.15% |
+9.41% |
-5 |
|
Verizon
Communications Inc |
VZ |
+0.02% |
-1.81% |
+21.29% |
-24 |
|
Dutch
Bros Inc |
BROS.K |
-0.42% |
+7.84% |
-17.76% |
4 |
|
The
Wendy's Co |
WEN.O |
-0.29% |
+1.18% |
-17.41% |
10 |
|
Progressive
Corp |
PGR |
+0.98% |
-1.81% |
-14.26% |
3 |
|
Airbnb
Inc |
ABNB.O |
-0.21% |
+1.68% |
-7.95% |
-3 |
|
Lowe's
Companies Inc |
LOW |
-2.10% |
+0.31% |
-4.20% |
-20 |
|
T-Mobile
US Inc |
TMUS.O |
-1.40% |
-4.47% |
-0.81% |
-23 |
|
Comcast
Corp |
CMCSA.O |
-0.43% |
-1.41% |
-0.26% |
-25 |
|
Home
Depot Inc |
HD |
-2.41% |
-0.01% |
-6.53% |
-25 |
|
Sysco
Corporation |
SYY |
-1.40% |
-13.01% |
-3.43% |
-25 |
|
Sysco
Corporation |
SYY |
-1.40% |
-13.01% |
-3.43% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Allstate Corp (ALL) at INSTAT +98 is anomalous as a property-casualty insurer achieving Extended Leader status in a risk-off regime — the +48 IN score and steady YTD performance suggest institutional rotation into non-cyclical financials as a proxy for capital preservation. The regime signal is unambiguous: regulated utilities dominate 20 Extended Leader slots, confirming the post-Feb 27 defensive posture where predictable cash flows and regulated rate bases attract institutional capital fleeing growth assets. The opportunity is a core defensive allocation in utilities and waste management, consistent with P6 Income positioning, while avoiding distribution-stage consumer-discretionary names (HD, LOW, SYY).
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-28 – Bitcoin & Crypto
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: -61 | Median INSTAT: -88
Avg 1-Day: -0.06% | Avg 1-Week: +1.93% | Avg 1-Month: -10.38% | Avg YTD: -18.35%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
5 |
|
Correcting |
3 |
|
Weakening |
3 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
1 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. Core Scientific Inc (CORZ.O) — INSTAT +68 | 1D +6.11% | 1W +7.73%
2. Marathon Digital Holdings Inc (MARA.O) — INSTAT +15 | 1D +8.33% | 1W +8.60%
3. Riot Platforms (RIOT.O) — INSTAT -48 | 1D +2.47% | 1W +0.47%
4. Ethereum (ETH/USD) — INSTAT -53 | 1D -1.91% | 1W +3.36%
5. Coinbase Global Inc (COIN.O) — INSTAT -58 | 1D -0.88% | 1W +6.42%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB.K) — INSTAT -90 | 1D -1.68% | 1W +1.55%
2. Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC.K) — INSTAT -90 | 1D -1.68% | 1W +1.55%
3. iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT.O) — INSTAT -92 | 1D -1.73% | 1W +1.52%
4. Yieldmax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY.K) — INSTAT -92 | 1D -3.29% | 1W -4.96%
5. Strategy Inc (MSTR.O) — INSTAT -97 | 1D -2.40% | 1W -4.92%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): -3 (Neutral-Bear)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): -14 (Soft)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -43 (Heavy Out-Flow)
Interpretation: The -43 IN score represents the heaviest intermediate out-flow reading in Batch 4 — this is a sector under sustained institutional liquidation, not temporary weakness. The short-term softness combined with neutral-bear long-term trend confirms the post-Feb 27 breakdown has not reversed.
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90) — 5 instruments:
▼ ARK 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB.K) — INSTAT -90 | 1D -1.68% | 1W +1.55% | YTD -23.42%
▼ Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC.K) — INSTAT -90 | 1D -1.68% | 1W +1.55% | YTD -23.44%
▼ iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT.O) — INSTAT -92 | 1D -1.73% | 1W +1.52% | YTD -23.52%
▼ Strategy Inc (MSTR.O) — INSTAT -97 | 1D -2.40% | 1W -4.92% | YTD -21.14%
▼ Yieldmax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY.K) — INSTAT -92 | 1D -3.29% | 1W -4.96% | YTD -31.39%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89) — 1 instrument:
→ Core Scientific Inc (CORZ.O) — INSTAT +68 | 1D +6.11% | 1W +7.73%
Volume Signals:
Marathon Digital Holdings Inc (MARA.O): 1.1x avg
Yieldmax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY.K): 1.0x avg
Core Scientific Inc (CORZ.O): 1.0x avg
Best 1-Day Performers: Marathon Digital Holdings Inc (MARA.O) +8.33% | Core Scientific Inc (CORZ.O) +6.11% | Riot Platforms (RIOT.O) +2.47%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Ethereum (ETH/USD) -1.91% | Strategy Inc (MSTR.O) -2.40% | Yieldmax MSTR Option Income Strategy ETF (MSTY.K) -3.29%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Core
Scientific Inc |
CORZ.O |
+6.11% |
+7.73% |
+11.50% |
25 |
|
Marathon
Digital Holdings Inc |
MARA.O |
+8.33% |
+8.60% |
-3.01% |
25 |
|
Riot
Platforms |
RIOT.O |
+2.47% |
+0.47% |
+1.50% |
14 |
|
Ethereum |
ETH/USD |
-1.91% |
+3.36% |
-30.68% |
11 |
|
Coinbase
Global Inc |
COIN.O |
-0.88% |
+6.42% |
-24.17% |
3 |
|
Bitcoin |
BTC/USD |
-0.72% |
+0.71% |
-23.68% |
-4 |
|
Grayscale
Bitcoin Mini Trust.. |
BTC |
-1.69% |
+1.58% |
-23.44% |
-15 |
|
Grayscale
Bitcoin Trust ETF |
GBTC.K |
-1.70% |
+1.52% |
-23.71% |
-16 |
|
ARK
21Shares Bitcoin ETF |
ARKB.K |
-1.68% |
+1.55% |
-23.42% |
-15 |
|
Fidelity
Wise Origin Bitcoin.. |
FBTC.K |
-1.68% |
+1.55% |
-23.44% |
-15 |
|
iShares
Bitcoin Trust ETF |
IBIT.O |
-1.73% |
+1.52% |
-23.52% |
-17 |
|
Yieldmax
MSTR Option Income .. |
MSTY.K |
-3.29% |
-4.96% |
-31.39% |
-17 |
|
Strategy
Inc |
MSTR.O |
-2.40% |
-4.92% |
-21.14% |
-22 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Core Scientific Inc (CORZ.O) at INSTAT +68 is sharply anomalous in a sector with median INSTAT -88 — its power infrastructure business model (data center hosting for AI/HPC clients) insulates it from pure-play Bitcoin price decay that is crushing the ETF wrappers. The macro/regime signal for this R-File is unambiguous terminal distribution: an Avg IN of -43 is the worst intermediate flow reading in Batch 4, and with five names in Terminal Liquidation at YTD losses of -21% to -31%, the principal risk is continued institutional liquidation through any near-term crypto price bounce. No allocation is warranted; CORZ.O is the sole exception to monitor as a potential AI-infrastructure play if it migrates toward P5 Evolutionary Tech criteria.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-29 – Biotech
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +25 | Median INSTAT: +44
Avg 1-Day: -0.08% | Avg 1-Week: +4.83% | Avg 1-Month: -3.31% | Avg YTD: -0.05%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
9 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
8 |
|
Building
Momentum |
8 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
6 |
|
Weakening |
5 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
4 |
|
Correcting |
2 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. Insmed Inc (INSM.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -1.47% | 1W +11.79%
2. Palvella Therapeutics Inc (PVLA.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.56% | 1W +9.87%
3. Relmada Therapeutics Inc (RLMD.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -1.55% | 1W +8.71%
4. Vaxcyte Inc (PCVX.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.21% | 1W +9.82%
5. Liquidia Technologies Inc (LQDA.O) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.56% | 1W +7.56%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Inc (ALNY.O) — INSTAT -80 | 1D -3.01% | 1W +0.47%
2. BioXcel Therapeutics Inc (BTAI.O) — INSTAT -96 | 1D -3.28% | 1W -6.35%
3. HCW Biologics Inc (HCWB.O) — INSTAT -98 | 1D -10.70% | 1W -32.82%
4. MindWalk Holdings Corp (HYFT.O) — INSTAT -98 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +6.54%
5. I Mab (NBP.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.22% | 1W -4.33%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 10 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 9 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 6 (Flat)
Interpretation: Biotech is bifurcated: nine Extended Leaders with company-specific catalysts (drug approvals, clinical data) running independently of the macro tape, while four Terminal Liquidation names suffer from binary failure events. The flat aggregate flows confirm no sector-wide bid; alpha is purely event-driven.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90) — 9 instruments:
★ Arcellx Inc (ACLX.O) — INSTAT +97 | 1D +0.03% | 1W +0.18% | YTD +76.04%
★ Cytokinetics Inc (CYTK.O) — INSTAT +92 | 1D +0.18% | 1W +6.77% | YTD +5.02%
★ Insmed Inc (INSM.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -1.47% | 1W +11.79% | YTD -6.67%
★ Liquidia Technologies Inc (LQDA.O) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.56% | 1W +7.56% | YTD +9.25%
★ Palvella Therapeutics Inc (PVLA.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.56% | 1W +9.87% | YTD +17.95%
★ Relmada Therapeutics Inc (RLMD.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -1.55% | 1W +8.71% | YTD +44.72%
★ Revolution Medicines Inc (RVMD.O) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.49% | 1W +7.15% | YTD +24.44%
★ Vaxcyte Inc (PCVX.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.21% | 1W +9.82% | YTD +26.53%
★ Viking Therapeutics Inc (VKTX.O) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +5.58% | 1W +7.01% | YTD -1.08%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90) — 4 instruments:
▼ BioXcel Therapeutics Inc (BTAI.O) — INSTAT -96 | 1D -3.28% | 1W -6.35% | YTD -26.25%
▼ HCW Biologics Inc (HCWB.O) — INSTAT -98 | 1D -10.70% | 1W -32.82% | YTD -72.39%
▼ I Mab (NBP.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.22% | 1W -4.33% | YTD -38.94%
▼ MindWalk Holdings Corp (HYFT.O) — INSTAT -98 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +6.54% | YTD -37.36%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89) — 8 instruments:
→ Axsome Therapeutics Inc (AXSM.O) — INSTAT +70 | 1D -1.91% | 1W +7.78%
→ Celcuity LLC (CELC.O) — INSTAT +63 | 1D -0.22% | 1W +6.28%
→ Illumina Inc (ILMN.O) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +0.59% | 1W +8.25%
→ Ionis Pharmaceuticals Inc (IONS.O) — INSTAT +76 | 1D -0.45% | 1W +3.66%
→ Ovid Therapeutics Inc (OVID.O) — INSTAT +67 | 1D +1.85% | 1W -4.35%
Volume Signals:
I Mab (NBP.O): 1.8x avg (Elevated) — FLAG: Terminal Liquidation with elevated volume
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals Inc (REGN.O): 1.3x avg (Elevated)
Cytokinetics Inc (CYTK.O): 1.3x avg
Best 1-Day Performers: Wave Life Sciences Ltd (WVE.O) +6.59% | Viking Therapeutics Inc (VKTX.O) +5.58% | Sarepta Therapeutics Inc (SRPT.O) +4.97%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Alnylam Pharmaceuticals Inc (ALNY.O) -3.01% | BioXcel Therapeutics Inc (BTAI.O) -3.28% | HCW Biologics Inc (HCWB.O) -10.70%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Insmed
Inc |
INSM.O |
-1.47% |
+11.79% |
-6.67% |
25 |
|
Palvella
Therapeutics Inc |
PVLA.O |
+2.56% |
+9.87% |
+17.95% |
25 |
|
Relmada
Therapeutics Inc |
RLMD.O |
-1.55% |
+8.71% |
+44.72% |
25 |
|
Vaxcyte
Inc |
PCVX.O |
-0.21% |
+9.82% |
+26.53% |
25 |
|
Liquidia
Technologies Inc |
LQDA.O |
+0.56% |
+7.56% |
+9.25% |
25 |
|
Revolution
Medicines Inc |
RVMD.O |
+0.49% |
+7.15% |
+24.44% |
23 |
|
Viking
Therapeutics Inc |
VKTX.O |
+5.58% |
+7.01% |
-1.08% |
23 |
|
Arcellx
Inc |
ACLX.O |
+0.03% |
+0.18% |
+76.04% |
22 |
|
Cytokinetics
Inc |
CYTK.O |
+0.18% |
+6.77% |
+5.02% |
17 |
|
Ionis
Pharmaceuticals Inc |
IONS.O |
-0.45% |
+3.66% |
-5.46% |
23 |
|
Summit
Therapeutics PLC |
SMMT.O |
+2.43% |
+16.89% |
+10.81% |
19 |
|
Royalty
Pharma Plc |
RPRX.O |
+0.17% |
+4.79% |
+25.70% |
-1 |
|
Axsome
Therapeutics Inc |
AXSM.O |
-1.91% |
+7.78% |
-7.74% |
6 |
|
Precigen
Inc |
PGEN.O |
+0.13% |
+7.22% |
-5.86% |
12 |
|
Ovid
Therapeutics Inc |
OVID.O |
+1.85% |
-4.35% |
+34.97% |
23 |
|
Illumina
Inc |
ILMN.O |
+0.59% |
+8.25% |
-2.88% |
25 |
|
Celcuity
LLC |
CELC.O |
-0.22% |
+6.28% |
+12.97% |
-1 |
|
Regeneron
Pharmaceuticals Inc |
REGN.O |
-1.98% |
+3.27% |
-1.30% |
14 |
|
BridgeBio
Pharma Inc |
BBIO.O |
-1.75% |
+4.95% |
-4.37% |
6 |
|
Gilead
Sciences Inc |
GILD.O |
-0.42% |
+4.07% |
+13.83% |
6 |
|
Sarepta
Therapeutics Inc |
SRPT.O |
+4.97% |
+16.32% |
+7.95% |
25 |
|
Xeris
Pharmaceuticals Inc |
XERS.O |
+0.00% |
+11.85% |
-23.06% |
19 |
|
Intellia
Therapeutics Inc |
NTLA.O |
-1.06% |
+6.14% |
+46.05% |
25 |
|
Rigel
Pharmaceuticals Inc |
RIGL.O |
+0.11% |
+6.66% |
-35.72% |
25 |
|
Cognizant
Technology Solutio.. |
CTSH.O |
+2.11% |
+4.70% |
-24.65% |
25 |
|
Verastem
Inc |
VSTM.O |
+1.44% |
+11.71% |
-27.07% |
17 |
|
Crispr
Therapeutics AG |
CRSP.O |
+1.43% |
+8.22% |
-5.59% |
24 |
|
BioNTech
SE |
BNTX.O |
+2.03% |
+6.49% |
-4.16% |
25 |
|
Halozyme
Therapeutics Inc |
HALO.O |
-1.39% |
+4.64% |
-4.18% |
6 |
|
Cognition
Therapeutics Inc |
CGTX.O |
-1.56% |
+20.26% |
-34.96% |
23 |
|
Moderna
Inc |
MRNA.O |
-1.68% |
-0.75% |
+66.80% |
-15 |
|
Canton
Strategic Holdings Inc |
CNTN.O |
+0.62% |
+2.84% |
+7.59% |
23 |
|
Matinas
BioPharma Holdings Inc |
MTNB.K |
-0.64% |
-2.53% |
-6.74% |
21 |
|
Wave
Life Sciences Ltd |
WVE.O |
+6.59% |
+14.38% |
-57.18% |
21 |
|
Amgen
Inc |
AMGN.O |
-1.51% |
-0.24% |
+6.30% |
-19 |
|
Inventiva
Sa |
IVA.O |
+0.74% |
-4.37% |
+17.63% |
-17 |
|
Vertex
Pharmaceuticals Inc |
VRTX.O |
-1.91% |
+1.30% |
-3.23% |
-21 |
|
Alnylam
Pharmaceuticals Inc |
ALNY.O |
-3.01% |
+0.47% |
-19.82% |
-23 |
|
BioXcel
Therapeutics Inc |
BTAI.O |
-3.28% |
-6.35% |
-26.25% |
-21 |
|
HCW
Biologics Inc |
HCWB.O |
-10.70% |
-32.82% |
-72.39% |
-23 |
|
MindWalk
Holdings Corp |
HYFT.O |
+0.00% |
+6.54% |
-37.36% |
-23 |
|
I
Mab |
NBP.O |
-1.22% |
-4.33% |
-38.94% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Arcellx Inc (ACLX.O) at INSTAT +97 is anomalous as a cell therapy name with YTD +76.04% in a flat aggregate biotech tape — its BCMA-targeting CAR-T program has generated sustained institutional accumulation independent of the macro selloff, representing a genuine Extended Leader bottoming setup that preceded and survived the Feb 27 event. The regime context for R-29 is that biotech operates on binary, company-specific catalysts rather than macro flows, meaning the flat Avg IN (+6) masks violent dispersion; the principal risk is event-driven gap-down risk in names where clinical or regulatory failure is binary and irreversible. For P5 Evolutionary Tech, ACLX and VKTX represent optionality on next-generation therapeutics platforms that merit watchlist monitoring once the risk-off regime lifts.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-30 – AI & Robotics
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: -10 | Median INSTAT: -14
Avg 1-Day: -0.02% | Avg 1-Week: +3.53% | Avg 1-Month: -9.45% | Avg YTD: -11.16%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
10 |
|
Weakening |
8 |
|
Correcting |
6 |
|
Building
Momentum |
5 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
4 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
2 |
|
Extended
Leader |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. Teradyne Inc (TER.O) — INSTAT +97 | 1D -0.83% | 1W +4.74%
2. Apple Inc (AAPL.O) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.11% | 1W +2.86%
3. Oceaneering International Inc (OII) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +3.40% | 1W -2.17%
4. Cognex Corporation (CGNX.O) — INSTAT +71 | 1D -0.34% | 1W +3.32%
5. Alphabet Inc Class C (GOOG.O) — INSTAT +65 | 1D -0.15% | 1W +7.56%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. ATS Corporation (ATS) — INSTAT -77 | 1D -1.52% | 1W +1.35%
2. Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) — INSTAT -80 | 1D -5.42% | 1W -0.34%
3. Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG.O) — INSTAT -82 | 1D -2.67% | 1W -0.13%
4. Innodata Inc (INOD.O) — INSTAT -98 | 1D -3.00% | 1W +3.64%
5. Procept Biorobotics Corp (PRCT.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.99% | 1W -4.74%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 12 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 3 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -24 (Mild Out-Flow)
Interpretation: The -24 IN score confirms intermediate-term outflows from AI/Robotics, consistent with the broader growth-to-value rotation post-Feb 27. Despite a still-constructive long-term trend (AT +12), short-term momentum has nearly evaporated, and the dominant regime bucket is Neutral/Consolidating — indicating the sector is digesting losses, not bottoming.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90) — 1 instrument:
★ Teradyne Inc (TER.O) — INSTAT +97 | 1D -0.83% | 1W +4.74% | YTD +59.96%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90) — 2 instruments:
▼ Innodata Inc (INOD.O) — INSTAT -98 | 1D -3.00% | 1W +3.64% | YTD -24.49%
▼ Procept Biorobotics Corp (PRCT.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.99% | 1W -4.74% | YTD -20.18%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89) — 4 instruments:
→ Alphabet Inc Class C (GOOG.O) — INSTAT +65 | 1D -0.15% | 1W +7.56%
→ Apple Inc (AAPL.O) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.11% | 1W +2.86%
→ Cognex Corporation (CGNX.O) — INSTAT +71 | 1D -0.34% | 1W +3.32%
→ Oceaneering International Inc (OII) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +3.40% | 1W -2.17%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3M average):
Yaskawa Electric Corp (YASKY.PK): 1.4x avg (Elevated)
Tesla Inc (TSLA.O): 1.4x avg (Elevated)
Fanuc Corporation (FANUY.PK): 1.3x avg (Elevated)
Best 1-Day Performers: BigBearai Holdings Inc (BBAI.K) +4.56% | Oceaneering International Inc (OII) +3.40% | Dynatrace Inc (DT) +2.50%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Innodata Inc (INOD.O) -3.00% | Fanuc Corporation (FANUY.PK) -3.51% | Tesla Inc (TSLA.O) -5.42%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Teradyne
Inc |
TER.O |
-0.83% |
+4.74% |
+59.96% |
25 |
|
Apple
Inc |
AAPL.O |
+0.11% |
+2.86% |
-5.86% |
25 |
|
Oceaneering
International Inc |
OII |
+3.40% |
-2.17% |
+47.90% |
24 |
|
Cognex
Corporation |
CGNX.O |
-0.34% |
+3.32% |
+36.66% |
25 |
|
Alphabet
Inc Class C |
GOOG.O |
-0.15% |
+7.56% |
-6.16% |
25 |
|
Rockwell
Automation Inc |
ROK |
-1.06% |
+3.85% |
-6.18% |
15 |
|
Fidelity
MSCI Information Te.. |
FTEC.K |
+0.86% |
+4.65% |
-5.40% |
25 |
|
Palantir
Technologies Inc |
PLTR.O |
+1.34% |
+3.77% |
-16.48% |
25 |
|
NVIDIA
Corporation |
NVDA.O |
+0.93% |
+5.89% |
-4.88% |
25 |
|
ARK
Autonomous Technology & .. |
ARKQ.K |
+0.34% |
+4.25% |
+0.21% |
25 |
|
Global
X Artificial Intellig.. |
AIQ.O |
-0.15% |
+3.96% |
-7.06% |
25 |
|
Dynatrace
Inc |
DT |
+2.50% |
+4.96% |
-13.04% |
25 |
|
Pegasystems
Inc |
PEGA.O |
+0.78% |
+5.73% |
-28.63% |
25 |
|
C3.ai
Inc |
AI |
+2.01% |
+11.34% |
-35.91% |
25 |
|
Omnicell
Inc |
OMCL.O |
+0.62% |
+4.27% |
-24.61% |
25 |
|
Stryker
Corporation |
SYK |
+0.65% |
+1.25% |
-5.67% |
25 |
|
SoundHound
AI Inc |
SOUN.O |
+1.50% |
+14.92% |
-32.00% |
25 |
|
BigBearai
Holdings Inc |
BBAI.K |
+4.56% |
+13.89% |
-33.78% |
25 |
|
UiPath
Inc |
PATH.K |
+2.00% |
+5.14% |
-31.42% |
25 |
|
Meta
Platforms Inc |
META.O |
-0.82% |
+9.27% |
-12.97% |
23 |
|
Medtronic
PLC |
MDT |
+0.66% |
-0.59% |
-9.82% |
25 |
|
PTC
Inc |
PTC.O |
+0.09% |
+3.66% |
-18.12% |
21 |
|
Richtech
Robotics Inc |
RR.O |
+1.98% |
+3.00% |
-36.22% |
21 |
|
Gen
Digital Inc |
GEN.O |
+0.96% |
+3.00% |
-30.53% |
23 |
|
Global
X Robotics & Artifici.. |
BOTZ.O |
-1.42% |
+2.96% |
-7.76% |
12 |
|
AeroVironment
Inc |
AVAV.O |
+0.47% |
-0.04% |
-23.78% |
14 |
|
Kratos
Defense & Security So.. |
KTOS.O |
-0.58% |
-6.44% |
-11.33% |
-12 |
|
Serve
Robotics Inc |
SERV.O |
+0.48% |
+1.56% |
-18.59% |
0 |
|
Fanuc
Corporation |
FANUY.PK |
-3.51% |
+1.40% |
-10.99% |
-23 |
|
JBTMarel
Corp |
JBTM.K |
-2.81% |
+1.34% |
-16.94% |
-17 |
|
Yaskawa
Electric Corp |
YASKY.PK |
-1.63% |
+4.15% |
-11.17% |
-15 |
|
ATS
Corporation |
ATS |
-1.52% |
+1.35% |
+3.34% |
-20 |
|
Tesla
Inc |
TSLA.O |
-5.42% |
-0.34% |
-19.82% |
-23 |
|
Intuitive
Surgical Inc |
ISRG.O |
-2.67% |
-0.13% |
-20.18% |
-25 |
|
Innodata
Inc |
INOD.O |
-3.00% |
+3.64% |
-24.49% |
-25 |
|
Procept
Biorobotics Corp |
PRCT.O |
-0.99% |
-4.74% |
-20.18% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Teradyne Inc (TER.O) at INSTAT +97 is the sole Extended Leader in R-30, anomalous because its semiconductor test equipment business benefits from the AI-driven chip complexity cycle independent of broad AI software sentiment — YTD +59.96% reflects a genuine bottoming setup with maximum AT/IN scores confirming sustained accumulation. The regime signal is that the broader AI/Robotics universe is in consolidation-to-correction mode (Avg IN -24), with the principal risk being multiple compression in high-valuation names as interest rate uncertainty persists post-selloff. For P5 Evolutionary Tech, TER.O and Oceaneering International (AVAV-adjacent hardware) represent the highest-quality entry points when the risk-off regime lifts, while pure software AI plays require confirmation of intermediate flow reversal before re-entry.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-31 – Select Consumer Retail
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: -5 | Median INSTAT: -3
Avg 1-Day: -0.39% | Avg 1-Week: +3.12% | Avg 1-Month: -5.70% | Avg YTD: -6.92%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
8 |
|
Building
Momentum |
6 |
|
Correcting |
6 |
|
Extended
Leader |
5 |
|
Weakening |
5 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
4 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
3 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. Callaway Golf Co (CALY.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.36% | 1W +2.74%
2. eBay Inc (EBAY.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.08% | 1W +7.00%
3. Five Below Inc (FIVE.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.20% | 1W +6.17%
4. Ross Stores Inc (ROST.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.01% | 1W +3.92%
5. TJX Companies Inc (TJX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.46% | 1W +3.98%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. Wolverine World Wide Inc (WWW) — INSTAT -87 | 1D -2.63% | 1W +1.08%
2. Bath & Body Works Inc. (BBWI.K) — INSTAT -97 | 1D -3.93% | 1W +10.54%
3. The Trade Desk (TTD.O) — INSTAT -98 | 1D +0.30% | 1W +3.62%
4. Floor & Decor Holdings Inc (FND) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -3.56% | 1W -5.57%
5. Home Depot Inc (HD) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.41% | 1W -0.01%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 7 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 4 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -15 (Mild Out-Flow)
Interpretation: Consumer retail is polarized: off-price and value retail (TJX, ROST, FIVE) is capturing defensive consumer rotation while home improvement, luxury, and ad-tech are in terminal distribution. The mild out-flow (-15 IN) reflects the net negative pressure from the larger cohort of weakening and correcting names.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90) — 5 instruments:
★ Callaway Golf Co (CALY.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.36% | 1W +2.74% | YTD +18.85%
★ eBay Inc (EBAY.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.08% | 1W +7.00% | YTD +8.08%
★ Five Below Inc (FIVE.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.20% | 1W +6.17% | YTD +24.97%
★ Ross Stores Inc (ROST.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.01% | 1W +3.92% | YTD +22.12%
★ TJX Companies Inc (TJX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.46% | 1W +3.98% | YTD +5.00%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90) — 4 instruments:
▼ Bath & Body Works Inc. (BBWI.K) — INSTAT -97 | 1D -3.93% | 1W +10.54% | YTD -7.52%
▼ Floor & Decor Holdings Inc (FND) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -3.56% | 1W -5.57% | YTD -22.04%
▼ Home Depot Inc (HD) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.41% | 1W -0.01% | YTD -6.53%
▼ The Trade Desk (TTD.O) — INSTAT -98 | 1D +0.30% | 1W +3.62% | YTD -41.91%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89) — 3 instruments:
→ Applied Materials Inc (AMAT.O) — INSTAT +69 | 1D -1.51% | 1W +3.35%
→ Carter Bank and Trust (CARE.O) — INSTAT +82 | 1D +0.21% | 1W +2.27%
→ Las Vegas Sands Corp (LVS) — INSTAT +66 | 1D +0.04% | 1W +5.13%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3M average — SURGE):
Nike Inc (NKE): 3.5x avg (SURGE) — FLAG: Terminal distribution territory with extreme volume
Carter Bank and Trust (CARE.O): 2.3x avg (SURGE)
Floor & Decor Holdings Inc (FND): 1.3x avg
Best 1-Day Performers: Peloton Interactive Inc (PTON.O) +6.74% | DoorDash Inc (DASH.O) +3.95% | Etsy Inc (ETSY.K) +3.34%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Wayfair Inc (W) -3.51% | Floor & Decor Holdings Inc (FND) -3.56% | Bath & Body Works Inc. (BBWI.K) -3.93%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Callaway
Golf Co |
CALY.K |
+0.36% |
+2.74% |
+18.85% |
25 |
|
eBay
Inc |
EBAY.O |
+1.08% |
+7.00% |
+8.08% |
25 |
|
Five
Below Inc |
FIVE.O |
+0.20% |
+6.17% |
+24.97% |
25 |
|
Ross
Stores Inc |
ROST.O |
+0.01% |
+3.92% |
+22.12% |
25 |
|
TJX
Companies Inc |
TJX |
-0.46% |
+3.98% |
+5.00% |
25 |
|
Carter
Bank and Trust |
CARE.O |
+0.21% |
+2.27% |
+19.02% |
7 |
|
Applied
Materials Inc |
AMAT.O |
-1.51% |
+3.35% |
+35.60% |
11 |
|
Las
Vegas Sands Corp |
LVS |
+0.04% |
+5.13% |
-16.52% |
25 |
|
Talen
Energy Corp |
TLN.O |
-0.16% |
+0.93% |
-12.61% |
25 |
|
Abercrombie
& Fitch Company |
ANF |
-2.13% |
+3.50% |
-26.71% |
14 |
|
Greif
Bros Corporation |
GEF |
-0.49% |
+0.89% |
-1.09% |
14 |
|
Chewy
Inc |
CHWY.K |
+0.94% |
+2.87% |
-18.70% |
25 |
|
Peloton
Interactive Inc |
PTON.O |
+6.74% |
+3.61% |
-25.49% |
23 |
|
MercadoLibre
Inc |
MELI.O |
-0.20% |
+7.25% |
-14.83% |
25 |
|
Amazon.com
Inc |
AMZN.O |
-0.38% |
+5.23% |
-9.12% |
17 |
|
CAVA
Group Inc |
CAVA.K |
-0.64% |
+5.58% |
+35.68% |
-9 |
|
Etsy
Inc |
ETSY.K |
+3.34% |
+9.15% |
-6.85% |
25 |
|
Chipotle
Mexican Grill Inc |
CMG |
+1.62% |
+7.45% |
-10.38% |
23 |
|
DoorDash
Inc |
DASH.O |
+3.95% |
+6.72% |
-30.92% |
25 |
|
Carnival
Corporation |
CCL |
-3.46% |
+6.08% |
-15.98% |
6 |
|
Trip.com
Group Ltd ADR |
TCOM.O |
+1.39% |
+4.10% |
-29.80% |
25 |
|
Bloomin
Brands Inc |
BLMN.O |
+0.18% |
+4.37% |
-11.02% |
22 |
|
McDonald's
Corporation |
MCD |
-0.05% |
+0.41% |
+0.49% |
10 |
|
Williams-Sonoma
Inc |
WSM |
-0.11% |
+2.78% |
+0.88% |
-12 |
|
Norwegian
Cruise Line Holdin.. |
NCLH.K |
-2.32% |
+2.38% |
-15.19% |
14 |
|
Royal
Caribbean Cruises Ltd |
RCL |
-3.00% |
+4.50% |
-1.91% |
-25 |
|
Starbucks
Corporation |
SBUX.O |
-0.07% |
+4.10% |
+7.32% |
-2 |
|
Wayfair
Inc |
W |
-3.51% |
+1.55% |
-27.69% |
-9 |
|
Solid
Power Inc |
SLDP.O |
-0.34% |
+0.34% |
-31.06% |
5 |
|
Dick's
Sporting Goods Inc |
DKS |
-0.20% |
+1.26% |
-3.14% |
-4 |
|
Lowe's
Companies Inc |
LOW |
-2.10% |
+0.31% |
-4.20% |
-20 |
|
Nike
Inc |
NKE |
-0.99% |
-13.98% |
-30.64% |
-6 |
|
Wolverine
World Wide Inc |
WWW |
-2.63% |
+1.08% |
-12.12% |
-12 |
|
Bath
& Body Works Inc. |
BBWI.K |
-3.93% |
+10.54% |
-7.52% |
-25 |
|
The
Trade Desk |
TTD.O |
+0.30% |
+3.62% |
-41.91% |
-23 |
|
Floor
& Decor Holdings Inc |
FND |
-3.56% |
-5.57% |
-22.04% |
-25 |
|
Home
Depot Inc |
HD |
-2.41% |
-0.01% |
-6.53% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Callaway Golf Co (CALY.K) at INSTAT +100 is anomalous as a discretionary sporting goods name achieving Extended Leader status — YTD +18.85% and maximum AT/ST/IN scores suggest institutional accumulation of a brand with pricing power and aspirational consumer demand that is insulated from the tariff-exposed, home-adjacent retail names suffering terminal distribution. The regime signal for R-31 is a hard split: off-price value retail (TJX, ROST, FIVE) captures the consumer trade-down thesis that dominates risk-off periods, while home improvement, luxury, and ad-dependent retail are in terminal distribution as housing activity slows and advertising spend contracts; the principal risk is that any consumer confidence shock accelerates the distribution in the -97 to -100 INSTAT cohort. The off-price Extended Leaders (ROST, FIVE, TJX) align with P6 Income criteria given their dividend sustainability and recession-resilient business models.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-32 – Software
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: -11 | Median INSTAT: -3
Avg 1-Day: +0.69% | Avg 1-Week: +4.97% | Avg 1-Month: -8.03% | Avg YTD: -24.58%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
20 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
5 |
|
Correcting |
5 |
|
Building
Momentum |
5 |
|
Extended
Leader |
3 |
|
Weakening |
2 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. Clear Secure Inc (YOU) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +4.62% | 1W +8.26%
2. Twilio Inc (TWLO.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.36% | 1W +9.13%
3. Clearwater Analytics Holdings Inc (CWAN.K) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.04% | 1W +1.32%
4. Fortinet Inc (FTNT.O) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +1.70% | 1W +5.54%
5. CoreWeave Inc (CRWV.O) — INSTAT +50 | 1D +4.86% | 1W +9.95%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. ServiceNow Inc (NOW) — INSTAT -93 | 1D -1.96% | 1W +2.61%
2. Alight Inc (ALIT.K) — INSTAT -95 | 1D -5.42% | 1W +1.38%
3. Life360 Inc (LIF.O) — INSTAT -96 | 1D -1.89% | 1W +4.74%
4. Strategy Inc (MSTR.O) — INSTAT -97 | 1D -2.40% | 1W -4.92%
5. Intuit Inc (INTU.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.80% | 1W +1.45%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 14 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 8 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -33 (Mild Out-Flow)
Interpretation: Software carries a significant intermediate outflow (-33 IN) against a still-bullish long-term structure (AT +14) — this is a classic compression pattern where the long-term trend has not broken but intermediate-term holders are selling into strength. The dominant regime bucket is Neutral/Consolidating (20 of 41), confirming the sector is in a waiting mode, not a recovery mode.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90) — 3 instruments:
★ Clear Secure Inc (YOU) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +4.62% | 1W +8.26% | YTD +46.41%
★ Clearwater Analytics Holdings Inc (CWAN.K) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.04% | 1W +1.32% | YTD -1.33%
★ Twilio Inc (TWLO.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.36% | 1W +9.13% | YTD -7.94%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90) — 5 instruments:
▼ Alight Inc (ALIT.K) — INSTAT -95 | 1D -5.42% | 1W +1.38% | YTD -71.79%
▼ Intuit Inc (INTU.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.80% | 1W +1.45% | YTD -36.22%
▼ Life360 Inc (LIF.O) — INSTAT -96 | 1D -1.89% | 1W +4.74% | YTD -36.97%
▼ ServiceNow Inc (NOW) — INSTAT -93 | 1D -1.96% | 1W +2.61% | YTD -33.42%
▼ Strategy Inc (MSTR.O) — INSTAT -97 | 1D -2.40% | 1W -4.92% | YTD -21.14%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89) — 1 instrument:
→ Fortinet Inc (FTNT.O) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +1.70% | 1W +5.54%
Volume Signals:
Domo Inc (DOMO.O): 1.2x avg
Paychex Inc (PAYX.O): 1.1x avg
Okta Inc (OKTA.O): 0.9x avg
Best 1-Day Performers: CoreWeave Inc (CRWV.O) +4.86% | Clear Secure Inc (YOU) +4.62% | Figma Inc (FIG) +4.16%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Strategy Inc (MSTR.O) -2.40% | Symbotic Inc (SYM.O) -2.65% | Alight Inc (ALIT.K) -5.42%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Clear
Secure Inc |
YOU |
+4.62% |
+8.26% |
+46.41% |
25 |
|
Twilio
Inc |
TWLO.K |
+0.36% |
+9.13% |
-7.94% |
25 |
|
Clearwater
Analytics Holding.. |
CWAN.K |
+0.04% |
+1.32% |
-1.33% |
25 |
|
Fortinet
Inc |
FTNT.O |
+1.70% |
+5.54% |
+3.93% |
25 |
|
CoreWeave
Inc |
CRWV.O |
+4.86% |
+9.95% |
+14.86% |
25 |
|
Palantir
Technologies Inc |
PLTR.O |
+1.34% |
+3.77% |
-16.48% |
25 |
|
Symbotic
Inc |
SYM.O |
-2.65% |
+5.85% |
-10.30% |
6 |
|
Palo
Alto Networks Inc |
PANW.O |
+1.58% |
+11.01% |
-11.40% |
25 |
|
Unity
Software Inc |
U |
+3.60% |
+16.97% |
-48.49% |
25 |
|
Okta
Inc |
OKTA.O |
+1.32% |
+9.50% |
-7.26% |
19 |
|
LYFT
Inc |
LYFT.O |
+0.41% |
+3.81% |
-31.08% |
25 |
|
Gitlab
Inc |
GTLB.O |
+2.64% |
+10.86% |
-39.89% |
25 |
|
Block
Inc |
XYZ |
+0.39% |
+6.79% |
-8.16% |
25 |
|
CrowdStrike
Holdings Inc |
CRWD.O |
+1.48% |
+7.99% |
-14.86% |
25 |
|
Guidewire
Software Inc |
GWRE.K |
+1.49% |
+4.22% |
-24.98% |
24 |
|
Oracle
Corporation |
ORCL.K |
+0.79% |
+4.81% |
-24.90% |
25 |
|
Affirm
Holdings Inc |
AFRM.O |
+1.69% |
+8.89% |
-37.78% |
25 |
|
CCC
Intelligent Solutions Ho.. |
CCC.O |
-0.08% |
+3.27% |
-24.53% |
25 |
|
Dropbox
Inc |
DBX.O |
+1.43% |
+5.64% |
-15.83% |
25 |
|
Microsoft
Corporation |
MSFT.O |
+1.11% |
+4.68% |
-22.78% |
25 |
|
Salesforce
Inc |
CRM |
+0.50% |
+4.39% |
-29.34% |
25 |
|
SoundHound
AI Inc |
SOUN.O |
+1.50% |
+14.92% |
-32.00% |
25 |
|
Figma
Inc |
FIG |
+4.16% |
+5.35% |
-43.08% |
25 |
|
Adobe
Systems Incorporated |
ADBE.O |
+0.64% |
+3.44% |
-30.59% |
25 |
|
Automatic
Data Processing Inc |
ADP.O |
+1.36% |
+1.37% |
-20.69% |
25 |
|
Toast
Inc |
TOST.K |
+1.55% |
+3.28% |
-25.43% |
25 |
|
UiPath
Inc |
PATH.K |
+2.00% |
+5.14% |
-31.42% |
25 |
|
Cadence
Design Systems Inc |
CDNS.O |
-0.52% |
+2.56% |
-10.83% |
25 |
|
Zeta
Global Holdings Corp |
ZETA.K |
+0.32% |
+8.45% |
-22.46% |
25 |
|
Webull
Corp |
BULL.O |
+1.69% |
+0.00% |
-37.97% |
23 |
|
Paychex
Inc |
PAYX.O |
+0.87% |
+0.02% |
-18.26% |
14 |
|
Atlassian
Corp Plc |
TEAM.O |
-1.56% |
+4.87% |
-57.88% |
-3 |
|
WhiteFiber
Inc |
WYFI.O |
-0.09% |
+7.79% |
-26.46% |
-6 |
|
Snowflake
Inc |
SNOW.K |
-0.83% |
-0.62% |
-30.78% |
-8 |
|
Applovin
Corp |
APP.O |
-0.38% |
+1.36% |
-42.66% |
-24 |
|
Domo
Inc |
DOMO.O |
+1.39% |
-6.13% |
-65.48% |
-10 |
|
ServiceNow
Inc |
NOW |
-1.96% |
+2.61% |
-33.42% |
-18 |
|
Alight
Inc |
ALIT.K |
-5.42% |
+1.38% |
-71.79% |
-23 |
|
Life360
Inc |
LIF.O |
-1.89% |
+4.74% |
-36.97% |
-23 |
|
Strategy
Inc |
MSTR.O |
-2.40% |
-4.92% |
-21.14% |
-22 |
|
Intuit
Inc |
INTU.O |
-0.80% |
+1.45% |
-36.22% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Clear Secure Inc (YOU) at INSTAT +100 is sharply anomalous in a software sector with Avg IN of -33 — its identity verification/biometric revenue model benefits from airport travel security demand that is structural and government-backed, making it a defensive growth outlier with YTD +46.41% in a space where the median YTD is deeply negative. The regime context is that enterprise software broadly faces multiple compression from higher-for-longer rates and corporate IT budget scrutiny, with the principal risk being that the five Terminal Liquidation names (INTU, ALIT, LIF, NOW, MSTR) continue to bleed institutional holders who rebalance into defensive sectors. No new software allocation is warranted under the current risk-off mandate, but Fortinet (FTNT, INSTAT +65) and CoreWeave (CRWV, INSTAT +50) warrant watchlist status as cybersecurity and AI infrastructure plays for eventual re-entry.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-33 – Hardware & Electronics
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +44 | Median INSTAT: +40
Avg 1-Day: +2.98% | Avg 1-Week: +4.94% | Avg 1-Month: -3.21% | Avg YTD: +13.45%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
10 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
9 |
|
Building
Momentum |
5 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
4 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. Applied Opt (AAOI.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +20.32% | 1W +5.79%
2. Dell Technologies Inc (DELL.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.95% | 1W +1.49%
3. Flex Ltd (FLEX.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.51% | 1W +5.85%
4. Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co (HPE) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.63% | 1W +2.80%
5. Keysight Technologies Inc (KEYS.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.48% | 1W +4.36%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. Ouster Inc (OUST.O) — INSTAT -12 | 1D +4.67% | 1W +10.36%
2. Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI.O) — INSTAT -14 | 1D +3.15% | 1W +5.69%
3. Quantum Computing Inc (QUBT.O) — INSTAT -23 | 1D +3.46% | 1W +3.15%
4. Fidelity National Information Services (FIS) — INSTAT -34 | 1D +2.48% | 1W -1.28%
5. Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.14% | 1W +0.10%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 23 (Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 16 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 5 (Flat)
Interpretation: Hardware & Electronics is the strongest-trending group in Batch 4 by Avg AT score (+23, Bull territory), reflecting sustained institutional demand for optical networking, server infrastructure, and measurement equipment tied to AI data center buildout. The flat intermediate flow is consistent with a group consolidating after a strong move.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90) — 10 instruments:
★ Applied Opt (AAOI.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +20.32% | 1W +5.79% | YTD +198.05%
★ Coherent Inc (COHR.K) — INSTAT +94 | 1D +4.18% | 1W +6.03% | YTD +39.87%
★ Dell Technologies Inc (DELL.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.95% | 1W +1.49% | YTD +38.52%
★ Flex Ltd (FLEX.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.51% | 1W +5.85% | YTD +13.52%
★ Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co (HPE) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.63% | 1W +2.80% | YTD +2.46%
★ Keysight Technologies Inc (KEYS.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.48% | 1W +4.36% | YTD +43.33%
★ Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +8.14% | 1W +17.67% | YTD +124.34%
★ Viavi Solutions Inc (VIAV.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +4.50% | 1W +6.50% | YTD +107.01%
★ Vistance Networks, Inc. (VISN.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.07% | 1W +4.35% | YTD +3.31%
★ Western Digital Corporation (WDC.O) — INSTAT +94 | 1D -0.93% | 1W +7.13% | YTD +71.23%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90) — 1 instrument:
▼ Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.14% | 1W +0.10% | YTD -16.46%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89) — 4 instruments:
→ Apple Inc (AAPL.O) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.11% | 1W +2.86%
→ Ast Spacemobile Inc (ASTS.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +10.28% | 1W +17.73%
→ Cisco Systems Inc (CSCO.O) — INSTAT +69 | 1D +1.40% | 1W -1.13%
→ Cognex Corporation (CGNX.O) — INSTAT +71 | 1D -0.34% | 1W +3.32%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3M average — SURGE):
Applied Opt (AAOI.O): 2.3x avg (SURGE) — FLAG: +20.32% single-day move with surge volume
Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE.O): 1.3x avg
Ast Spacemobile Inc (ASTS.O): 1.1x avg
Best 1-Day Performers: Applied Opt (AAOI.O) +20.32% | Ast Spacemobile Inc (ASTS.O) +10.28% | Lumentum Holdings Inc (LITE.O) +8.14%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Cognex Corporation (CGNX.O) -0.34% | Western Digital Corporation (WDC.O) -0.93% | Zebra Technologies Corporation (ZBRA.O) -2.14%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Applied
Opt |
AAOI.O |
+20.32% |
+5.79% |
+198.05% |
25 |
|
Dell
Technologies Inc |
DELL.K |
+2.95% |
+1.49% |
+38.52% |
25 |
|
Flex
Ltd |
FLEX.O |
+0.51% |
+5.85% |
+13.52% |
25 |
|
Hewlett
Packard Enterprise Co |
HPE |
+2.63% |
+2.80% |
+2.46% |
25 |
|
Keysight
Technologies Inc |
KEYS.K |
+0.48% |
+4.36% |
+43.33% |
25 |
|
Lumentum
Holdings Inc |
LITE.O |
+8.14% |
+17.67% |
+124.34% |
25 |
|
Viavi
Solutions Inc |
VIAV.O |
+4.50% |
+6.50% |
+107.01% |
25 |
|
Vistance
Networks, Inc. |
VISN.O |
+2.07% |
+4.35% |
+3.31% |
25 |
|
Coherent
Inc |
COHR.K |
+4.18% |
+6.03% |
+39.87% |
19 |
|
Western
Digital Corporation |
WDC.O |
-0.93% |
+7.13% |
+71.23% |
19 |
|
Ast
Spacemobile Inc |
ASTS.O |
+10.28% |
+17.73% |
+27.52% |
25 |
|
Apple
Inc |
AAPL.O |
+0.11% |
+2.86% |
-5.86% |
25 |
|
Cognex
Corporation |
CGNX.O |
-0.34% |
+3.32% |
+36.66% |
25 |
|
Cisco
Systems Inc |
CSCO.O |
+1.40% |
-1.13% |
+2.58% |
25 |
|
Fortive
Corp |
FTV |
+0.32% |
+4.01% |
+1.58% |
25 |
|
HP
Inc |
HPQ |
+2.96% |
+0.36% |
-12.43% |
25 |
|
Kyndryl
Holdings Inc |
KD |
+2.96% |
+7.04% |
-50.19% |
25 |
|
Amphenol
Corporation |
APH |
+0.23% |
+3.54% |
-5.28% |
25 |
|
Amphenol
Corporation |
APH |
+0.23% |
+3.54% |
-5.28% |
25 |
|
Arista
Networks |
ANET.K |
+1.47% |
+4.89% |
-3.32% |
25 |
|
International
Business Machi.. |
IBM |
+2.06% |
+5.00% |
-16.22% |
25 |
|
Applied
Digital Corp |
APLD.O |
+0.20% |
+3.28% |
+0.08% |
25 |
|
Rigetti
Computing Inc |
RGTI.O |
+5.22% |
+6.64% |
-35.87% |
25 |
|
Fiserv
Inc |
FISV.O |
+1.28% |
+4.19% |
-16.39% |
19 |
|
D
Wave Quantum Inc |
QBTS.K |
+4.42% |
+2.91% |
-45.30% |
23 |
|
Ouster
Inc |
OUST.O |
+4.67% |
+10.36% |
-9.94% |
25 |
|
Super
Micro Computer Inc |
SMCI.O |
+3.15% |
+5.69% |
-20.67% |
25 |
|
Quantum
Computing Inc |
QUBT.O |
+3.46% |
+3.15% |
-33.04% |
25 |
|
Fidelity
National Informatio.. |
FIS |
+2.48% |
-1.28% |
-30.35% |
21 |
|
Zebra
Technologies Corporation |
ZBRA.O |
-2.14% |
+0.10% |
-16.46% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Applied Opt (AAOI.O) at INSTAT +100 with a +20.32% single-day surge and 2.3x volume is the sharpest price anomaly in all of Batch 4 — this optical transceiver manufacturer is the direct beneficiary of AI data center interconnect demand, with YTD +198.05% reflecting a genuine breakout from a long base rather than a speculative spike. The regime context is that hardware enabling AI infrastructure (optical networking, storage, server management) is the only growth sub-sector with positive Avg AT and flat-to-positive IN scores, because the capital expenditure commitments by hyperscalers are contractually locked and not subject to the macro selloff that is compressing software multiples. This R-File has the highest Avg INSTAT (+44) and Avg AT (+23 Bull) among growth-oriented R-Files in Batch 4, making it the primary candidate for P5 Evolutionary Tech re-entry once Bill's risk-off regime lifts.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-34 – Semiconductors
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +53 | Median INSTAT: +64
Avg 1-Day: +0.87% | Avg 1-Week: +5.82% | Avg 1-Month: +0.36% | Avg YTD: +19.71%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
7 |
|
Extended
Leader |
7 |
|
Building
Momentum |
6 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
4 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
|
Correcting |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. Aehr Test Systems (AEHR.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +11.92% | 1W +36.29%
2. Intel Corporation (INTC.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +4.89% | 1W +16.81%
3. KLA Corporation (KLAC.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.20% | 1W +5.10%
4. Marvell Technology Inc (MRVL.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.37% | 1W +12.89%
5. Analog Devices Inc (ADI.O) — INSTAT +98 | 1D -0.70% | 1W +3.55%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. Astera Labs Inc (ALAB.O) — INSTAT +4 | 1D +10.19% | 1W +4.18%
2. indie Semiconductor Inc (INDI.O) — INSTAT +1 | 1D +1.62% | 1W -1.88%
3. Acm Research Inc (ACMR.O) — INSTAT -1 | 1D +0.20% | 1W +1.17%
4. ASML Holding NV ADR (ASML.O) — INSTAT -31 | 1D -3.13% | 1W +1.13%
5. Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM.O) — INSTAT -75 | 1D -0.38% | 1W -0.24%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 19 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 14 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 21 (Mild In-Flow)
Interpretation: Semiconductors is the standout sector in Batch 4: positive Avg IN (+21), strong Avg AT (+19), and Avg INSTAT of +53 — the only major growth-oriented group with actual intermediate in-flows. Capital is rotating within semis toward equipment, analog, and AI silicon names while mobile/consumer chips (QCOM) face ongoing headwinds.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90) — 7 instruments:
★ Aehr Test Systems (AEHR.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +11.92% | 1W +36.29% | YTD +119.51%
★ Analog Devices Inc (ADI.O) — INSTAT +98 | 1D -0.70% | 1W +3.55% | YTD +17.38%
★ Intel Corporation (INTC.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +4.89% | 1W +16.81% | YTD +36.53%
★ KLA Corporation (KLAC.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.20% | 1W +5.10% | YTD +24.83%
★ Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (LSCC.O) — INSTAT +97 | 1D -0.54% | 1W +5.12% | YTD +29.14%
★ Marvell Technology Inc (MRVL.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.37% | 1W +12.89% | YTD +26.04%
★ Teradyne Inc (TER.O) — INSTAT +97 | 1D -0.83% | 1W +4.74% | YTD +59.96%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89) — 7 instruments:
→ Advanced Micro Devices Inc (AMD.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +3.47% | 1W +7.68%
→ Amkor Technology Inc (AMKR.O) — INSTAT +66 | 1D +0.45% | 1W +5.06%
→ Lam Research Corp (LRCX.O) — INSTAT +67 | 1D -1.61% | 1W +3.33%
→ ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON.O) — INSTAT +80 | 1D -0.02% | 1W +6.58%
→ Qnity Electronics Inc (Q) — INSTAT +84 | 1D -1.71% | 1W +4.27%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3M average — SURGE):
Aehr Test Systems (AEHR.O): 2.2x avg (SURGE) — FLAG: +11.92% single-day with surge volume
Marvell Technology Inc (MRVL.O): 1.3x avg
Micron Technology Inc (MU.O): 1.3x avg
Best 1-Day Performers: Aehr Test Systems (AEHR.O) +11.92% | Astera Labs Inc (ALAB.O) +10.19% | Intel Corporation (INTC.O) +4.89%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Entegris Inc (ENTG.O) -1.95% | Allegro Microsystems Inc (ALGM.O) -2.07% | ASML Holding NV ADR (ASML.O) -3.13%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Aehr
Test Systems |
AEHR.O |
+11.92% |
+36.29% |
+119.51% |
25 |
|
Intel
Corporation |
INTC.O |
+4.89% |
+16.81% |
+36.53% |
25 |
|
KLA
Corporation |
KLAC.O |
-0.20% |
+5.10% |
+24.83% |
25 |
|
Marvell
Technology Inc |
MRVL.O |
+0.37% |
+12.89% |
+26.04% |
25 |
|
Analog
Devices Inc |
ADI.O |
-0.70% |
+3.55% |
+17.38% |
25 |
|
Lattice
Semiconductor Corpor.. |
LSCC.O |
-0.54% |
+5.12% |
+29.14% |
25 |
|
Teradyne
Inc |
TER.O |
-0.83% |
+4.74% |
+59.96% |
25 |
|
Qnity
Electronics Inc |
Q |
-1.71% |
+4.27% |
+42.72% |
11 |
|
Advanced
Micro Devices Inc |
AMD.O |
+3.47% |
+7.68% |
+1.56% |
25 |
|
Veeco
Instruments Inc |
VECO.O |
-0.89% |
-2.58% |
+20.22% |
23 |
|
ON
Semiconductor Corporation |
ON.O |
-0.02% |
+6.58% |
+14.85% |
25 |
|
Lam
Research Corp |
LRCX.O |
-1.61% |
+3.33% |
+27.61% |
23 |
|
Amkor
Technology Inc |
AMKR.O |
+0.45% |
+5.06% |
+18.29% |
23 |
|
Texas
Instruments Incorporated |
TXN.O |
-0.73% |
+2.39% |
+12.32% |
25 |
|
Micron
Technology Inc |
MU.O |
-0.44% |
+2.53% |
+28.32% |
25 |
|
Allegro
Microsystems Inc |
ALGM.O |
-2.07% |
+8.27% |
+23.62% |
-3 |
|
Broadcom
Inc |
AVGO.O |
+0.34% |
+4.61% |
-9.12% |
25 |
|
NVIDIA
Corporation |
NVDA.O |
+0.93% |
+5.89% |
-4.88% |
25 |
|
Navitas
Semiconductor Corp |
NVTS.O |
+3.04% |
+6.28% |
+23.25% |
25 |
|
Entegris
Inc |
ENTG.O |
-1.95% |
+2.47% |
+38.16% |
3 |
|
Microchip
Technology Inc |
MCHP.O |
+0.34% |
+5.81% |
+2.95% |
25 |
|
Astera
Labs Inc |
ALAB.O |
+10.19% |
+4.18% |
-29.57% |
25 |
|
indie
Semiconductor Inc |
INDI.O |
+1.62% |
-1.88% |
-11.33% |
25 |
|
Acm
Research Inc |
ACMR.O |
+0.20% |
+1.17% |
+2.76% |
15 |
|
ASML
Holding NV ADR |
ASML.O |
-3.13% |
+1.13% |
+23.12% |
-24 |
|
Qualcomm
Incorporated |
QCOM.O |
-0.38% |
-0.24% |
-25.87% |
0 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Aehr Test Systems (AEHR.O) at INSTAT +100 with a +11.92% single-day surge, 2.2x volume, and YTD +119.51% is the defining anomalous leader in R-34 — its silicon carbide wafer test equipment occupies a structural bottleneck in EV and AI chip production that creates demand inelastic to macro cycles. The Avg IN of +21 is unique in Batch 4 growth sectors, confirming this is not defensive rotation but genuine accumulation into semiconductor equipment and analog silicon names where production lead times and fab capacity create durable pricing power; the principal risk is a China export restriction escalation that impacts ASML (INSTAT -31) and the broader equipment supply chain. Semiconductors is the highest-quality growth re-entry candidate in Batch 4 for P5 Evolutionary Tech allocation, with AEHR, INTC, MRVL, KLAC, and TER representing the institutional consensus tier.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-35 – US Aero/Defense
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +19 | Median INSTAT: +48
Avg 1-Day: -0.29% | Avg 1-Week: +2.49% | Avg 1-Month: -9.84% | Avg YTD: +5.14%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
7 |
|
Weakening |
3 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
3 |
|
Extended
Leader |
2 |
|
Correcting |
2 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
1 |
|
Building
Momentum |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. BWX Technologies Inc (BWXT.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.02% | 1W +6.12%
2. Woodward Inc (WWD.O) — INSTAT +92 | 1D -1.09% | 1W +5.87%
3. Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) — INSTAT +84 | 1D -0.30% | 1W +4.72%
4. Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.83% | 1W +1.13%
5. Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc (HII) — INSTAT +80 | 1D +0.84% | 1W +3.88%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS.O) — INSTAT -53 | 1D -0.58% | 1W -6.44%
2. Textron Inc (TXT) — INSTAT -58 | 1D -0.97% | 1W +0.66%
3. GE Aerospace (GE) — INSTAT -64 | 1D -3.94% | 1W -0.58%
4. Heico Corporation (HEI) — INSTAT -68 | 1D -1.35% | 1W -0.59%
5. Axon Enterprise Inc (AXON.O) — INSTAT -90 | 1D -2.54% | 1W -3.98%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 5 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 5 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 9 (Flat)
Interpretation: US Aero/Defense has flat but slightly positive intermediate flows (+9 IN), reflecting selective institutional interest in nuclear-enabled, government-contracted names amid the defense budget expansion narrative. The weak Avg AT (+5) versus the strong median INSTAT (+48) signals extreme bifurcation: a handful of quality names are being accumulated while the broader sector including GE Aerospace and HEICO is under distribution.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90) — 2 instruments:
★ BWX Technologies Inc (BWXT.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.02% | 1W +6.12% | YTD +24.38%
★ Woodward Inc (WWD.O) — INSTAT +92 | 1D -1.09% | 1W +5.87% | YTD +22.98%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90) — 1 instrument:
▼ Axon Enterprise Inc (AXON.O) — INSTAT -90 | 1D -2.54% | 1W -3.98% | YTD -27.31%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89) — 7 instruments:
→ Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) — INSTAT +84 | 1D -0.30% | 1W +4.72%
→ Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc (HII) — INSTAT +80 | 1D +0.84% | 1W +3.88%
→ L3Harris Technologies Inc (LHX) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +0.59% | 1W +3.79%
→ Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.83% | 1W +1.13%
→ Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) — INSTAT +69 | 1D +0.79% | 1W +3.46%
Volume Signals:
Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB.O): 1.4x avg (Elevated)
Axon Enterprise Inc (AXON.O): 1.1x avg
Kratos Defense & Security Solutions (KTOS.O): 1.0x avg
Best 1-Day Performers: Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB.O) +3.37% | BWX Technologies Inc (BWXT.K) +1.02% | Huntington Ingalls Industries Inc (HII) +0.84%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Axon Enterprise Inc (AXON.O) -2.54% | Howmet Aerospace Inc (HWM) -2.66% | GE Aerospace (GE) -3.94%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
BWX
Technologies Inc |
BWXT.K |
+1.02% |
+6.12% |
+24.38% |
25 |
|
Woodward
Inc |
WWD.O |
-1.09% |
+5.87% |
+22.98% |
17 |
|
Curtiss-Wright
Corporation |
CW |
-0.30% |
+4.72% |
+26.05% |
12 |
|
Lockheed
Martin Corporation |
LMT |
+0.83% |
+1.13% |
+28.76% |
21 |
|
Huntington
Ingalls Industrie.. |
HII |
+0.84% |
+3.88% |
+16.63% |
25 |
|
Northrop
Grumman Corporation |
NOC |
+0.79% |
+3.46% |
+23.20% |
9 |
|
Rtx
Corp |
RTX |
+0.77% |
+3.43% |
+6.98% |
25 |
|
L3Harris
Technologies Inc |
LHX |
+0.59% |
+3.79% |
+21.27% |
5 |
|
Rocket
Lab USA, Inc. |
RKLB.O |
+3.37% |
+11.16% |
-2.91% |
25 |
|
Boeing
Co |
BA |
+0.43% |
+9.29% |
-4.10% |
25 |
|
General
Dynamics Corporation |
GD |
-0.41% |
+0.67% |
+3.69% |
4 |
|
iShares
U.S. Aerospace & Def.. |
ITA |
-0.77% |
+2.72% |
+3.36% |
3 |
|
Howmet
Aerospace Inc |
HWM |
-2.66% |
+2.10% |
+13.49% |
-25 |
|
AeroVironment
Inc |
AVAV.O |
+0.47% |
-0.04% |
-23.78% |
14 |
|
Kratos
Defense & Security So.. |
KTOS.O |
-0.58% |
-6.44% |
-11.33% |
-12 |
|
Textron
Inc |
TXT |
-0.97% |
+0.66% |
+1.01% |
-21 |
|
GE
Aerospace |
GE |
-3.94% |
-0.58% |
-8.72% |
-25 |
|
Heico
Corporation |
HEI |
-1.35% |
-0.59% |
-16.01% |
-11 |
|
Axon
Enterprise Inc |
AXON.O |
-2.54% |
-3.98% |
-27.31% |
-17 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
BWX Technologies Inc (BWXT.K) at INSTAT +100 is the anomalous Extended Leader in R-35 — as the sole manufacturer of US naval nuclear reactor components and nuclear fuel for the government, BWXT has a captive, multi-decade order book that is structurally immune to the tariff and trade uncertainty driving the post-Feb 27 selloff, making it a genuinely defensive growth position with YTD +24.38%. The regime signal for this R-File as P4 US Homeland Security is bifurcated: government-contracted prime contractors (BWXT, LMT, HII, NOC, CW) are accumulating institutional support while commercial aerospace and dual-use names (GE Aerospace -64, HEICO -68, Axon -90) face distribution as civilian demand softens; the principal risk is a Congressional continuing resolution or defense budget sequestration that delays major program milestones. For P4 US Homeland Security, the highest-conviction core positions are BWXT (+100), LMT (+81), HII (+80), and NOC (+69), with Rocket Lab (RKLB, +65) representing the emerging space-defense adjacency.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-36 – Non-US Aero/Defense
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +26 | Median INSTAT: +10
Avg 1-Day: -1.24% | Avg 1-Week: +3.44% | Avg 1-Month: -6.11% | Avg YTD: +6.74%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
4 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
2 |
Top 5 by INSTAT (all 6 instruments):
1. Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT.O) — INSTAT +86 | 1D -0.84% | 1W +2.20%
2. TG Therapeutics Inc (TGTX.O) — INSTAT +70 | 1D -0.15% | 1W +5.61%
3. Bombardier Inc (BDRBF.PK) — INSTAT +11 | 1D -4.38% | 1W +4.03%
4. Transdigm Group Incorporated (TDG) — INSTAT +9 | 1D -0.53% | 1W +2.37%
5. CAE Inc. (CAE) — INSTAT -10 | 1D -0.53% | 1W +2.20%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. TG Therapeutics Inc (TGTX.O) — INSTAT +70 | 1D -0.15% | 1W +5.61%
2. Bombardier Inc (BDRBF.PK) — INSTAT +11 | 1D -4.38% | 1W +4.03%
3. Transdigm Group Incorporated (TDG) — INSTAT +9 | 1D -0.53% | 1W +2.37%
4. CAE Inc. (CAE) — INSTAT -10 | 1D -0.53% | 1W +2.20%
5. Safran SA (SAFRY.PK) — INSTAT -13 | 1D -1.01% | 1W +4.21%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 8 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 11 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 6 (Flat)
Interpretation: Non-US Aero/Defense is a thin group (6 instruments) with broadly flat momentum characteristics. Elbit's dominance at INSTAT +86 reflects Israel-related defense demand, but the rest of the group is in neutral consolidation. The flat IN (+6) and short group size limit analytical value.
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89) — 2 instruments:
→ Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT.O) — INSTAT +86 | 1D -0.84% | 1W +2.20%
→ TG Therapeutics Inc (TGTX.O) — INSTAT +70 | 1D -0.15% | 1W +5.61%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3M average — SURGE):
Safran SA (SAFRY.PK): 3.0x avg (SURGE) — FLAG: Volume spike in a correcting name
Best 1-Day Performers: TG Therapeutics Inc (TGTX.O) -0.15% | CAE Inc. (CAE) -0.53% | Transdigm Group Incorporated (TDG) -0.53%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT.O) -0.84% | Safran SA (SAFRY.PK) -1.01% | Bombardier Inc (BDRBF.PK) -4.38%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Elbit
Systems Ltd |
ESLT.O |
-0.84% |
+2.20% |
+53.88% |
13 |
|
TG
Therapeutics Inc |
TGTX.O |
-0.15% |
+5.61% |
+12.48% |
-3 |
|
Bombardier
Inc |
BDRBF.PK |
-4.38% |
+4.03% |
+4.14% |
4 |
|
Transdigm
Group Incorporated |
TDG |
-0.53% |
+2.37% |
-12.25% |
21 |
|
CAE
Inc. |
CAE |
-0.53% |
+2.20% |
-13.12% |
13 |
|
Safran
SA |
SAFRY.PK |
-1.01% |
+4.21% |
-4.68% |
3 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT.O) at INSTAT +86 is the commanding leader in a thin, heterogeneous R-36 group — YTD +53.88% reflects the structural demand surge for Israeli defense electronics as Middle East conflict requirements and NATO-adjacent European procurement elevate its order pipeline well beyond historical norms. The regime signal for P4 International Homeland Security is that this is a small, highly concentrated group where Elbit is doing 99% of the work; the principal risk is geopolitical de-escalation or US arms export policy shifts that could compress Elbit's forward order book rapidly. Elbit is the singular P4 International Homeland Security conviction position, with TG Therapeutics (a US biotech mislabeled in this file) providing no defense portfolio relevance, and Transdigm (INSTAT +9) and CAE (INSTAT -10) remaining neutral until their intermediate flows turn positive.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-37 – Renewable Energy
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +33 | Median INSTAT: +71
Avg 1-Day: -0.68% | Avg 1-Week: +1.59% | Avg 1-Month: -3.72% | Avg YTD: +12.90%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
4 |
|
Building
Momentum |
1 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
1 |
|
Correcting |
1 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA Eletrobras (AXIA.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.43% | 1W +7.47%
2. GE Vernova LLC (GEV) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.38% | 1W +5.27%
3. Nextera Energy Inc (NEE) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.32% | 1W +1.91%
4. RWE AG PK (RWEOY.PK) — INSTAT +97 | 1D +0.69% | 1W +8.34%
5. Ormat Technologies Inc (ORA) — INSTAT +71 | 1D -0.70% | 1W +0.75%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. Ormat Technologies Inc (ORA) — INSTAT +71 | 1D -0.70% | 1W +0.75%
2. Bloom Energy Corp (BE) — INSTAT +35 | 1D +2.27% | 1W +1.66%
3. Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC.O) — INSTAT -50 | 1D +2.15% | 1W -6.01%
4. First Solar Inc (FSLR.O) — INSTAT -60 | 1D -2.06% | 1W +2.64%
5. Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -8.75% | 1W -7.69%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 11 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 9 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 12 (Mild In-Flow)
Interpretation: Renewable Energy has mild positive intermediate flows (+12 IN) driven by regulated utility-adjacent names (NEE, Eletrobras) receiving defensive capital rotation. The group is highly bifurcated: four Extended Leaders in regulated/utility-type structures versus Enphase in Terminal Liquidation at -100 INSTAT, representing solar rooftop exposure to housing market stress.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90) — 4 instruments:
★ Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA Eletrobras (AXIA.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.43% | 1W +7.47% | YTD +25.66%
★ GE Vernova LLC (GEV) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.38% | 1W +5.27% | YTD +37.42%
★ Nextera Energy Inc (NEE) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.32% | 1W +1.91% | YTD +16.03%
★ RWE AG PK (RWEOY.PK) — INSTAT +97 | 1D +0.69% | 1W +8.34% | YTD +27.95%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90) — 1 instrument:
▼ Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -8.75% | 1W -7.69% | YTD +8.99%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89) — 1 instrument:
→ Ormat Technologies Inc (ORA) — INSTAT +71 | 1D -0.70% | 1W +0.75%
Volume Signals:
Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA Eletrobras (AXIA.K): 1.8x avg (Elevated)
Nextera Energy Inc (NEE): 1.0x avg
Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH.O): 1.0x avg
Best 1-Day Performers: Bloom Energy Corp (BE) +2.27% | Fluence Energy Inc (FLNC.O) +2.15% | RWE AG PK (RWEOY.PK) +0.69%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Ormat Technologies Inc (ORA) -0.70% | First Solar Inc (FSLR.O) -2.06% | Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH.O) -8.75%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Centrais
Eletricas Brasileir.. |
AXIA.K |
-0.43% |
+7.47% |
+25.66% |
25 |
|
GE
Vernova LLC |
GEV |
+0.38% |
+5.27% |
+37.42% |
25 |
|
Nextera
Energy Inc |
NEE |
+0.32% |
+1.91% |
+16.03% |
25 |
|
RWE
AG PK |
RWEOY.PK |
+0.69% |
+8.34% |
+27.95% |
22 |
|
Ormat
Technologies Inc |
ORA |
-0.70% |
+0.75% |
+2.15% |
15 |
|
Bloom
Energy Corp |
BE |
+2.27% |
+1.66% |
+55.89% |
21 |
|
Fluence
Energy Inc |
FLNC.O |
+2.15% |
-6.01% |
-32.76% |
14 |
|
First
Solar Inc |
FSLR.O |
-2.06% |
+2.64% |
-25.23% |
-21 |
|
Enphase
Energy Inc |
ENPH.O |
-8.75% |
-7.69% |
+8.99% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA Eletrobras (AXIA.K) at INSTAT +100 with 1.8x elevated volume is anomalous as a Brazilian utility achieving Extended Leader status in a US-centric risk-off regime — YTD +25.66% reflects post-privatization operational improvement and a regulated cash flow profile that appeals to international capital seeking non-USD yield in a regime of US tariff uncertainty. The macro signal is that regulated utility exposure globally (NEE, RWE, GEV) is absorbing defensive capital in exactly the pattern expected post-Feb 27, while unsubsidized solar installers (Enphase at -100 INSTAT, -8.75% on the day) face the dual headwind of housing market contraction and IRA subsidy uncertainty; the principal risk is emerging market currency depreciation or Brazilian regulatory reversal compressing AXIA's yield advantage. For P6 Income, NEE and GEV are the highest-quality P6-compatible renewable exposures given their dividend sustainability and regulated rate base structures.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-38 – Solar & Wind
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: -52 | Median INSTAT: -60
Avg 1-Day: -4.27% | Avg 1-Week: -2.68% | Avg 1-Month: +0.04% | Avg YTD: +2.11%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
2 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
2 |
|
Correcting |
2 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. SolarEdge Technologies Inc (SEDG.O) — INSTAT +5 | 1D -6.02% | 1W -5.82%
2. Array Technologies Inc (ARRY.O) — INSTAT -4 | 1D -2.65% | 1W +0.27%
3. Nextpower Inc (NXT.O) — INSTAT -30 | 1D -6.06% | 1W -5.79%
4. First Solar Inc (FSLR.O) — INSTAT -60 | 1D -2.06% | 1W +2.64%
5. JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited (JKS) — INSTAT -79 | 1D -2.24% | 1W -1.70%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. Nextpower Inc (NXT.O) — INSTAT -30 | 1D -6.06% | 1W -5.79%
2. First Solar Inc (FSLR.O) — INSTAT -60 | 1D -2.06% | 1W +2.64%
3. JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited (JKS) — INSTAT -79 | 1D -2.24% | 1W -1.70%
4. Canadian Solar Inc (CSIQ.O) — INSTAT -98 | 1D -2.05% | 1W -0.67%
5. Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -8.78% | 1W -7.72%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): -16 (Neutral-Bear)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): -17 (Soft)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -18 (Mild Out-Flow)
Interpretation: Solar & Wind has a negative trend on all three dimensions (AT -16, ST -17, IN -18) — this is one of only two R-Files in Batch 4 where the long-term trend has crossed into Neutral-Bear territory. All three signals are aligned bearish, confirming sector-wide distribution without selective survivorship.
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90) — 2 instruments:
▼ Canadian Solar Inc (CSIQ.O) — INSTAT -98 | 1D -2.05% | 1W -0.67% | YTD -43.79%
▼ Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -8.78% | 1W -7.72% | YTD +8.95%
Volume Signals:
Nextpower Inc (NXT.O): 1.0x avg
Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH.O): 1.0x avg
SolarEdge Technologies Inc (SEDG.O): 0.7x avg
Best 1-Day Performers: Canadian Solar Inc (CSIQ.O) -2.05% | First Solar Inc (FSLR.O) -2.06% | JinkoSolar Holding Company Limited (JKS) -2.24%
Worst 1-Day Performers: SolarEdge Technologies Inc (SEDG.O) -6.02% | Nextpower Inc (NXT.O) -6.06% | Enphase Energy Inc (ENPH.O) -8.78%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
SolarEdge
Technologies Inc |
SEDG.O |
-6.02% |
-5.82% |
+68.98% |
-21 |
|
Array
Technologies Inc |
ARRY.O |
-2.65% |
+0.27% |
-20.28% |
22 |
|
Nextpower
Inc |
NXT.O |
-6.06% |
-5.79% |
+29.81% |
-25 |
|
First
Solar Inc |
FSLR.O |
-2.06% |
+2.64% |
-25.23% |
-21 |
|
JinkoSolar
Holding Company L.. |
JKS |
-2.24% |
-1.70% |
-3.68% |
-22 |
|
Canadian
Solar Inc |
CSIQ.O |
-2.05% |
-0.67% |
-43.79% |
-23 |
|
Enphase
Energy Inc |
ENPH.O |
-8.78% |
-7.72% |
+8.95% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
SolarEdge Technologies Inc (SEDG.O) at INSTAT +5 is the least-bad instrument in R-38 and constitutes a bottoming watch rather than a genuine leader — the YTD +68.98% is a statistical artifact of a prior collapse base, and the -6.02% single-day loss despite a 48 IN score confirms that intermediate in-flow exists on a technical basis without sustained institutional conviction. The regime signal is unequivocal: Solar & Wind is the most comprehensively bearish R-File in Batch 4, with negative AT, ST, and IN averages and an Avg 1-Day of -4.27% confirming active sector-wide liquidation driven by IRA subsidy uncertainty, Chinese panel oversupply, and residential solar demand collapse; the principal risk is that ENPH and CSIQ complete terminal distribution and drag the sector lower through contagion to first-tier solar integrators. Zero allocation appropriate; no P-portfolio connection under current risk-off regime.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-39 – Battery & Hydrogen
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +8 | Median INSTAT: -14
Avg 1-Day: +2.61% | Avg 1-Week: +2.43% | Avg 1-Month: -7.50% | Avg YTD: +4.94%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
3 |
|
Building
Momentum |
2 |
|
Extended
Leader |
1 |
|
Correcting |
1 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
1 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT:
1. Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE.O) — INSTAT +99 | 1D +4.50% | 1W +0.41%
2. Plug Power Inc (PLUG.O) — INSTAT +63 | 1D +7.11% | 1W +10.55%
3. Bloom Energy Corp (BE) — INSTAT +35 | 1D +2.40% | 1W +1.79%
4. Amprius Technologies Inc (AMPX.K) — INSTAT +33 | 1D +3.09% | 1W -0.74%
5. Enovix Corp (ENVX.O) — INSTAT -14 | 1D +2.01% | 1W -3.06%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT:
1. Enovix Corp (ENVX.O) — INSTAT -14 | 1D +2.01% | 1W -3.06%
2. Eos Energy Enterprises Inc (EOSE.O) — INSTAT -14 | 1D -0.30% | 1W +2.37%
3. ESS Tech Inc (GWH) — INSTAT -14 | 1D +2.54% | 1W +7.08%
4. Quantumscape Corp (QS) — INSTAT -29 | 1D +2.50% | 1W +1.76%
5. Microvast Holdings Inc (MVST.O) — INSTAT -85 | 1D -0.34% | 1W +1.75%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 17 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 7 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -16 (Mild Out-Flow)
Interpretation: Battery & Hydrogen shows a constructive long-term trend (AT +17) undermined by mild intermediate outflows (-16 IN), consistent with a sector that benefited from long-term structural investment but is currently experiencing a pause in capital deployment as the clean energy subsidy landscape is reassessed.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90) — 1 instrument:
★ Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE.O) — INSTAT +99 | 1D +4.50% | 1W +0.41% | YTD +73.06%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89) — 1 instrument:
→ Plug Power Inc (PLUG.O) — INSTAT +63 | 1D +7.11% | 1W +10.55%
Volume Signals:
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE.O): 1.3x avg (Elevated)
Plug Power Inc (PLUG.O): 0.9x avg
Amprius Technologies Inc (AMPX.K): 0.7x avg
Best 1-Day Performers: Plug Power Inc (PLUG.O) +7.11% | Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE.O) +4.50% | Amprius Technologies Inc (AMPX.K) +3.09%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Enovix Corp (ENVX.O) +2.01% (least bad) | Eos Energy Enterprises Inc (EOSE.O) -0.30% | Microvast Holdings Inc (MVST.O) -0.34%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Green
Plains Renewable Energ.. |
GPRE.O |
+4.50% |
+0.41% |
+73.06% |
24 |
|
Plug
Power Inc |
PLUG.O |
+7.11% |
+10.55% |
+22.34% |
22 |
|
Bloom
Energy Corp |
BE |
+2.40% |
+1.79% |
+56.09% |
21 |
|
Amprius
Technologies Inc |
AMPX.K |
+3.09% |
-0.74% |
+102.79% |
-2 |
|
Enovix
Corp |
ENVX.O |
+2.01% |
-3.06% |
-30.64% |
25 |
|
Eos
Energy Enterprises Inc |
EOSE.O |
-0.30% |
+2.37% |
-56.59% |
23 |
|
ESS
Tech Inc |
GWH |
+2.54% |
+7.08% |
-35.64% |
25 |
|
Quantumscape
Corp |
QS |
+2.50% |
+1.76% |
-38.87% |
23 |
|
Microvast
Holdings Inc |
MVST.O |
-0.34% |
+1.75% |
-48.04% |
-12 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Green Plains Renewable Energy Inc (GPRE.O) at INSTAT +99 with YTD +73.06% is anomalous as a corn-ethanol/biofuel refiner achieving Extended Leader status — the company's pivot to high-protein animal feed and sustainable aviation fuel positions it at the intersection of food security and clean fuel mandates, attracting capital that would otherwise avoid conventional ethanol on ESG grounds. The regime signal is that Battery & Hydrogen is in a holding pattern: constructive long-term trend (AT +17) but intermediate outflows (-16 IN) confirm that institutional patience is finite and subsidy-dependent names (EOSE YTD -56%, QS YTD -39%) are being abandoned; the principal risk is a further rollback of Inflation Reduction Act clean energy provisions that would eliminate the margin support for hydrogen and fuel cell economics. No portfolio allocation is warranted under current risk-off conditions, with GPRE the sole watchlist candidate given its commodity-backed revenue model.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-40 – Uranium
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +26 | Median INSTAT: +51
Avg 1-Day: -0.43% | Avg 1-Week: +4.15% | Avg 1-Month: -11.63% | Avg YTD: +17.00%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Building
Momentum |
3 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT (all 4 instruments):
1. Global X Uranium ETF (URA) — INSTAT +54 | 1D -0.85% | 1W +4.74%
2. Sprott Uranium Miners ETF (URNM.K) — INSTAT +54 | 1D -0.72% | 1W +6.07%
3. Uranium Energy Corp (UEC) — INSTAT +48 | 1D +1.04% | 1W +5.03%
4. Energy Fuels Inc (UUUU.K) — INSTAT -51 | 1D -1.17% | 1W +0.74%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT (all 4 instruments):
1. Global X Uranium ETF (URA) — INSTAT +54 | 1D -0.85% | 1W +4.74%
2. Sprott Uranium Miners ETF (URNM.K) — INSTAT +54 | 1D -0.72% | 1W +6.07%
3. Uranium Energy Corp (UEC) — INSTAT +48 | 1D +1.04% | 1W +5.03%
4. Energy Fuels Inc (UUUU.K) — INSTAT -51 | 1D -1.17% | 1W +0.74%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 11 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 5 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 10 (Mild In-Flow)
Interpretation: Uranium has positive intermediate flows (+10 IN) consistent with the nuclear power renaissance narrative tied to AI data center electricity demand. The group is small (4 instruments), with three in Building Momentum — the transition from building to strong momentum is the key watchpoint.
Volume Signals (dry):
Uranium Energy Corp (UEC): 0.7x avg
Energy Fuels Inc (UUUU.K): 0.6x avg
Global X Uranium ETF (URA): 0.5x avg (Dry) — FLAG: Below-average volume suggests conviction is not yet building
Best 1-Day Performers: Uranium Energy Corp (UEC) +1.04% | Sprott Uranium Miners ETF (URNM.K) -0.72% | Global X Uranium ETF (URA) -0.85%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Sprott Uranium Miners ETF (URNM.K) -0.72% | Global X Uranium ETF (URA) -0.85% | Energy Fuels Inc (UUUU.K) -1.17%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Global
X Uranium ETF |
URA |
-0.85% |
+4.74% |
+14.30% |
25 |
|
Sprott
Uranium Miners ETF |
URNM.K |
-0.72% |
+6.07% |
+15.52% |
25 |
|
Uranium
Energy Corp |
UEC |
+1.04% |
+5.03% |
+16.18% |
10 |
|
Energy
Fuels Inc |
UUUU.K |
-1.17% |
+0.74% |
+22.01% |
-17 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Global X Uranium ETF (URA) at INSTAT +54 is the lead instrument in R-40 and represents a building-momentum setup rather than a confirmed Extended Leader — the Avg IN of +10 confirms gradual institutional accumulation aligned with the AI-driven nuclear power demand narrative, but below-average volume (0.5x) signals that this thesis has not yet achieved broad institutional conviction. The macro/regime signal is that uranium occupies a structural nexus between energy security policy and AI infrastructure power requirements, creating a multi-year demand curve that is not subject to the same near-term tariff risks as manufacturing or consumer sectors; the principal risk is that spot uranium price consolidation and long uranium mine development timelines create an extended wait for earnings catalysts while Energy Fuels (UUUU, INSTAT -51) struggles with its diversification into rare earths. The uranium theme aligns conceptually with P4 Homeland Security energy independence narrative but requires INSTAT improvement to Strong Momentum before deployment of new capital under the current risk-off regime.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-41 – Goldminers
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +61 | Median INSTAT: +63
Avg 1-Day: -0.94% | Avg 1-Week: +10.18% | Avg 1-Month: -11.98% | Avg YTD: +12.38%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
15 |
|
Building
Momentum |
11 |
|
Extended
Leader |
7 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
2 |
|
Weakening |
2 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
1. Alamos Gold Inc (AGI) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.85% | 1W +8.16%
2. Altius Minerals Corporation (ATUSF.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.15% | 1W +12.35%
3. Allied Gold Corp (AAUC.K) — INSTAT +98 | 1D -0.06% | 1W +0.48%
4. Royal Gold Inc (RGLD.O) — INSTAT +97 | 1D -0.65% | 1W +10.56%
5. Aura Minerals Inc (AUGO.O) — INSTAT +92 | 1D +0.34% | 1W +25.15%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
1. Gold Royalty Corp (GROY.K) — INSTAT +28 | 1D -1.21% | 1W +10.69%
2. NovaGold Resources Inc (NG) — INSTAT +20 | 1D -3.53% | 1W +10.26%
3. Elemental Royalties Corp (ELE.O) — INSTAT +3 | 1D -2.24% | 1W +10.22%
4. New Gold Inc (NGD) — INSTAT -28 | 1D -4.12% | 1W -12.02%
5. GoldMining Inc (GLDG.K) — INSTAT -38 | 1D -2.40% | 1W +9.91%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 11 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 20 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 30 (Mild In-Flow)
Interpretation: R-41 is the strongest precious metals R-File in Batch 4, with Avg INSTAT +61 and broad-based in-flow (IN +30). The combination of 7 Extended Leaders and 15 Strong Momentum instruments — with zero Terminal Liquidation — reflects genuine sector leadership. Gold's safe-haven bid has absorbed post-selloff capital rotation, and royalty/streaming companies (Franco-Nevada, Royal Gold, Altius) are leading as lower-risk gold proxies.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Alamos Gold Inc (AGI) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.85% | 1W +8.16% | YTD +19.26%
★ Allied Gold Corp (AAUC.K) — INSTAT +98 | 1D -0.06% | 1W +0.48% | YTD +36.32%
★ Altius Minerals Corporation (ATUSF.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.15% | 1W +12.35% | YTD +26.65%
★ Aura Minerals Inc (AUGO.O) — INSTAT +92 | 1D +0.34% | 1W +25.15% | YTD +73.94%
★ Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) — INSTAT +90 | 1D +0.88% | 1W +10.17% | YTD +24.34%
★ Orla Mining Ltd (ORLA.K) — INSTAT +92 | 1D +1.97% | 1W +16.71% | YTD +26.50%
★ Royal Gold Inc (RGLD.O) — INSTAT +97 | 1D -0.65% | 1W +10.56% | YTD +18.15%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) — INSTAT +63 | 1D -0.73% | 1W +7.83%
→ B2Gold Corp (BTG) — INSTAT +62 | 1D -2.27% | 1W +11.29%
→ Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU.K) — INSTAT +80 | 1D -0.60% | 1W +9.12%
→ DRDGOLD Ltd ADR (DRD) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +1.40% | 1W +11.15%
→ Endeavour Mining Corp (EDVMF.PK) — INSTAT +86 | 1D -2.33% | 1W +7.38%
→ HudBay Minerals Inc (HBM) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -1.64% | 1W +11.09%
→ Newmont Goldcorp Corp (NEM) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.23% | 1W +11.70%
→ Centerra Gold Inc (CGAU.K) — INSTAT +80 | 1D -0.60% | 1W +9.12%
→ Gold Fields Ltd ADR (GFI) — INSTAT +76 | 1D -1.14% | 1W +12.38%
→ OR Royalties Inc (OR) — INSTAT +75 | 1D +0.40% | 1W +14.31%
→ Seabridge Gold Inc. (SA) — INSTAT +70 | 1D -0.53% | 1W +16.28%
→ Kinross Gold Corp (KGC) — INSTAT +69 | 1D -1.59% | 1W +9.64%
→ VanEck Gold Miners ETF (GDX) — INSTAT +63 | 1D -1.48% | 1W +10.26%
→ Wheaton Precious Metals Corp (WPM) — INSTAT +63 | 1D -0.91% | 1W +8.71%
→ McEwen Mining Inc. (MUX) — INSTAT +78 | 1D +0.37% | 1W +11.64%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3M avg): None exceed 2x. New Gold Inc (NGD) at 1.4x (Elevated) — flag: elevated volume on -4.12% price drop is a distribution signal, consistent with its INSTAT -28.
Best 1-Day Performers: Altius Minerals Corporation (ATUSF.PK) +2.15% | Orla Mining Ltd (ORLA.K) +1.97% | DRDGOLD Ltd ADR (DRD) +1.40%
Worst 1-Day Performers: IAMGold Corporation (IAG) -3.00% | NovaGold Resources Inc (NG) -3.53% | New Gold Inc (NGD) -4.12%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Alamos
Gold Inc |
AGI |
+0.85% |
+8.16% |
+19.26% |
25 |
|
Altius
Minerals Corporation |
ATUSF.PK |
+2.15% |
+12.35% |
+26.65% |
25 |
|
Allied
Gold Corp |
AAUC.K |
-0.06% |
+0.48% |
+36.32% |
25 |
|
Royal
Gold Inc |
RGLD.O |
-0.65% |
+10.56% |
+18.15% |
22 |
|
Aura
Minerals Inc |
AUGO.O |
+0.34% |
+25.15% |
+73.94% |
17 |
|
Orla
Mining Ltd |
ORLA.K |
+1.97% |
+16.71% |
+26.50% |
17 |
|
Franco-Nevada
Corporation |
FNV |
+0.88% |
+10.17% |
+24.34% |
15 |
|
Endeavour
Mining Corp |
EDVMF.PK |
-2.33% |
+7.38% |
+17.49% |
11 |
|
DRDGOLD
Ltd ADR |
DRD |
+1.40% |
+11.15% |
+0.61% |
25 |
|
HudBay
Minerals Inc |
HBM |
-1.64% |
+11.09% |
+9.02% |
25 |
|
Newmont
Goldcorp Corp |
NEM |
+0.23% |
+11.70% |
+14.22% |
25 |
|
Centerra
Gold Inc |
CGAU.K |
-0.60% |
+9.12% |
+27.35% |
5 |
|
Skeena
Resources Ltd |
SKE |
-0.32% |
+11.91% |
+30.26% |
5 |
|
McEwen
Mining Inc. |
MUX |
+0.37% |
+11.64% |
+16.05% |
25 |
|
Gold
Fields Ltd ADR |
GFI |
-1.14% |
+12.38% |
+8.98% |
18 |
|
OR
Royalties Inc |
OR |
+0.40% |
+14.31% |
+13.79% |
17 |
|
Seabridge
Gold Inc. |
SA |
-0.53% |
+16.28% |
+1.86% |
12 |
|
Kinross
Gold Corp |
KGC |
-1.59% |
+9.64% |
+11.90% |
11 |
|
Agnico
Eagle Mines Limited |
AEM |
-0.73% |
+7.83% |
+23.01% |
5 |
|
VanEck
Gold Miners ETF |
GDX |
-1.48% |
+10.26% |
+10.28% |
5 |
|
Wheaton
Precious Metals Corp |
WPM |
-0.91% |
+8.71% |
+15.35% |
5 |
|
B2Gold
Corp |
BTG |
-2.27% |
+11.29% |
+4.88% |
9 |
|
Barrick
Mining Corp |
B |
-1.33% |
+7.90% |
-4.39% |
17 |
|
Equinox
Gold Corp |
EQX |
-2.34% |
+15.98% |
+3.92% |
3 |
|
VanEck
Junior Gold Miners ETF |
GDXJ.K |
-2.44% |
+10.50% |
+7.39% |
3 |
|
AngloGold
Ashanti Ltd ADR |
AU |
-2.22% |
+13.51% |
+18.69% |
-1 |
|
Fortuna
Mining Corp |
FSM |
-1.53% |
+7.99% |
+4.69% |
3 |
|
Eldorado
Gold Corp |
EGO |
-0.89% |
+5.95% |
-0.31% |
5 |
|
IAMGold
Corporation |
IAG |
-3.00% |
+7.61% |
+15.77% |
-6 |
|
Vox
Royalty Corp |
VOXR.O |
-1.13% |
+8.68% |
+10.97% |
-5 |
|
Harmony
Gold Mining Company .. |
HMY |
-0.37% |
+12.27% |
-19.10% |
17 |
|
Metalla
Royalty & Streaming .. |
MTA |
-0.29% |
+8.81% |
-12.72% |
23 |
|
Gold
Royalty Corp |
GROY.K |
-1.21% |
+10.69% |
-9.03% |
3 |
|
NovaGold
Resources Inc |
NG |
-3.53% |
+10.26% |
-3.11% |
21 |
|
Elemental
Royalties Corp |
ELE.O |
-2.24% |
+10.22% |
+13.08% |
-20 |
|
New
Gold Inc |
NGD |
-4.12% |
-12.02% |
+4.25% |
-6 |
|
GoldMining
Inc |
GLDG.K |
-2.40% |
+9.91% |
-2.40% |
-6 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Alamos Gold Inc (AGI) at INSTAT +100 is one of two perfect-score Extended Leaders in R-41, confirming gold miners as the premier risk-off beneficiary sector in the post-Feb 27 selloff regime — with +10.18% average 1-week return and Avg IN of +30, the group is experiencing broad institutional in-flow consistent with gold's role as a capital preservation asset during geopolitical and trade-war uncertainty. The macro/regime signal for R-41 is constructive: seven Extended Leaders and 15 Strong Momentum instruments with zero Terminal Liquidation positions reflects genuine sector leadership, but the sharp 1-month drawdown of -11.98% average signals gold miners are still experiencing operational deleveraging from broader equity market pressure, and the principal risk is that gold price consolidation below recent highs would rapidly erode the strong short-term trend scores. For Bill's 100% cash portfolio, R-41 goldminers — particularly royalty/streaming names (FNV +90, RGLD +97) — represent the highest-conviction capital deployment opportunity under the current risk-off regime, aligned with P6 Income portfolio construction where low operational leverage and royalty income streams can generate both capital appreciation and defensive income.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-42 – Silverminers
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +32 | Median INSTAT: +57
Avg 1-Day: -1.80% | Avg 1-Week: +8.61% | Avg 1-Month: -17.97% | Avg YTD: +3.33%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
7 |
|
Building
Momentum |
4 |
|
Correcting |
3 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
2 |
|
Extended
Leader |
2 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
1. Collective Mining Ltd (CNL) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -1.19% | 1W +21.20%
2. Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA ADR (BVN) — INSTAT +90 | 1D -2.07% | 1W +8.59%
3. New Pacific Metals Corp (NEWP.K) — INSTAT +88 | 1D -1.61% | 1W +10.85%
4. Pan American Silver Corp NQ (PAAS.K) — INSTAT +80 | 1D +0.34% | 1W +7.87%
5. Silvercorp Metals Inc (SVM) — INSTAT +80 | 1D -0.99% | 1W +7.43%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
1. Americas Silver Corp (USAS.K) — INSTAT -18 | 1D -1.25% | 1W +0.36%
2. GoGold Resources Inc. (GLGDF.PK) — INSTAT -28 | 1D -2.51% | 1W +9.60%
3. Silver X Mining Corp (AGXPF.PK) — INSTAT -80 | 1D -8.22% | 1W +6.62%
4. Vizsla Silver Corp (VZLA.K) — INSTAT -82 | 1D -2.10% | 1W +3.49%
5. IMPACT Silver Corp. (ISVLF.PK) — INSTAT -86 | 1D -4.74% | 1W +2.94%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 5 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 11 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 16 (Mild In-Flow)
Interpretation: Silver miners show moderate institutional in-flow (IN +16) and a flat short-term trend, but the extreme 1-month average return of -17.97% against a +8.61% 1-week rebound signals a sharp short-covering bounce rather than sustained accumulation. The median INSTAT of +57 is stronger than the average INSTAT of +32, showing the distribution is skewed by several deeply negative small-cap names at the bottom. The two Extended Leaders (CNL, BVN) are quality operators with legitimate momentum.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Collective Mining Ltd (CNL) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -1.19% | 1W +21.20% | YTD +25.02%
★ Compania de Minas Buenaventura SAA ADR (BVN) — INSTAT +90 | 1D -2.07% | 1W +8.59% | YTD +30.83%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Discovery Silver Corp (DSVSF.PK) — INSTAT +74 | 1D -1.98% | 1W +17.26%
→ Fresnillo PLC (FNLPF.PK) — INSTAT +77 | 1D -1.71% | 1W +8.33%
→ Hecla Mining Company (HL) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +0.03% | 1W +7.00%
→ New Pacific Metals Corp (NEWP.K) — INSTAT +88 | 1D -1.61% | 1W +10.85%
→ Pan American Silver Corp NQ (PAAS.K) — INSTAT +80 | 1D +0.34% | 1W +7.87%
→ Silvercorp Metals Inc (SVM) — INSTAT +80 | 1D -0.99% | 1W +7.43%
→ Wheaton Precious Metals Corp (WPM) — INSTAT +63 | 1D -0.91% | 1W +8.71%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3M avg): None exceed 2x. No SURGE flagged. Coeur Mining (CDE) 0.9x, Wheaton (WPM) 0.8x — subdued volume on short-covering bounce reduces confidence in breakout sustainability.
Best 1-Day Performers: Pan American Silver Corp NQ (PAAS.K) +0.34% | Hecla Mining Company (HL) +0.03% | Coeur Mining Inc (CDE) -0.10%
Worst 1-Day Performers: GoGold Resources Inc. (GLGDF.PK) -2.51% | IMPACT Silver Corp. (ISVLF.PK) -4.74% | Silver X Mining Corp (AGXPF.PK) -8.22%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Collective
Mining Ltd |
CNL |
-1.19% |
+21.20% |
+25.02% |
25 |
|
Compania
de Minas Buenaventu.. |
BVN |
-2.07% |
+8.59% |
+30.83% |
15 |
|
New
Pacific Metals Corp |
NEWP.K |
-1.61% |
+10.85% |
+22.22% |
15 |
|
Pan
American Silver Corp NQ |
PAAS.K |
+0.34% |
+7.87% |
+7.64% |
22 |
|
Silvercorp
Metals Inc |
SVM |
-0.99% |
+7.43% |
+31.77% |
5 |
|
Fresnillo
PLC |
FNLPF.PK |
-1.71% |
+8.33% |
+1.76% |
22 |
|
Discovery
Silver Corp |
DSVSF.PK |
-1.98% |
+17.26% |
+13.38% |
-1 |
|
Hecla
Mining Company |
HL |
+0.03% |
+7.00% |
-0.03% |
25 |
|
Wheaton
Precious Metals Corp |
WPM |
-0.91% |
+8.71% |
+15.35% |
5 |
|
First
Majestic Silver Corp |
AG |
-1.49% |
+5.61% |
+31.09% |
3 |
|
Avino
Silver & Gold Mines Ltd |
ASM |
-0.91% |
+9.93% |
+5.15% |
21 |
|
Guanajuato
Silver Company Ltd |
GSVRF.PK |
-2.24% |
+9.11% |
-11.52% |
17 |
|
Coeur
Mining Inc |
CDE |
-0.10% |
+11.44% |
+7.07% |
23 |
|
Endeavour
Silver Corp. |
EXK |
-0.52% |
+7.30% |
+1.60% |
-12 |
|
Americas
Silver Corp |
USAS.K |
-1.25% |
+0.36% |
+8.02% |
-6 |
|
GoGold
Resources Inc. |
GLGDF.PK |
-2.51% |
+9.60% |
-8.92% |
-14 |
|
Silver
X Mining Corp |
AGXPF.PK |
-8.22% |
+6.62% |
-37.28% |
-25 |
|
Vizsla
Silver Corp |
VZLA.K |
-2.10% |
+3.49% |
-40.40% |
-25 |
|
IMPACT
Silver Corp. |
ISVLF.PK |
-4.74% |
+2.94% |
-39.51% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Collective Mining Ltd (CNL) at INSTAT +100 is the only Extended Leader in R-42 Silverminers with a perfect score, driven by a dramatic +21.20% 1-week surge that places it as an outlier momentum event — this is a small-cap exploration/development name whose score reflects price discovery momentum rather than institutional safe-haven allocation, creating an anomalous high score amid an otherwise moderate-momentum silver cohort. The macro/regime signal for silver miners is mixed: the sector's -17.97% average 1-month return combined with a +8.61% weekly rebound confirms a dead-cat-bounce dynamic driven by silver's safe-haven appeal and industrial metal components of the gold-silver ratio compression trade, but the absence of volume surges (all instruments below 1x) indicates the weekly gains lack institutional conviction; the principal risk is mean-reversion in silver's spot price as industrial demand softens under global trade war conditions. Silver miners with dual precious/industrial metal exposure offer tactical interest alongside R-41 goldminers for P6 Income positioning, but only Pan American Silver (PAAS +80) and Wheaton Precious Metals (WPM +63) carry sufficient size, liquidity, and INSTAT quality to merit allocation consideration in capital preservation mode.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-43 – Essential Miners
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +73 | Median INSTAT: +92
Avg 1-Day: +0.39% | Avg 1-Week: +6.82% | Avg 1-Month: -8.79% | Avg YTD: +16.31%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
3 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
2 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
1. BHP Group Ltd ADR (BHP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.44% | 1W +5.38%
2. Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold Inc (FCX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.29% | 1W +9.14%
3. Rio Tinto ADR (RIO) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.38% | 1W +9.01%
4. Newmont Goldcorp Corp (NEM) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.23% | 1W +11.70%
5. Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO.K) — INSTAT +82 | 1D -0.07% | 1W +9.72%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
1. Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold Inc (FCX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.29% | 1W +9.14%
2. Rio Tinto ADR (RIO) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.38% | 1W +9.01%
3. Newmont Goldcorp Corp (NEM) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.23% | 1W +11.70%
4. Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO.K) — INSTAT +82 | 1D -0.07% | 1W +9.72%
5. MP Materials Corp (MP) — INSTAT -29 | 1D +2.72% | 1W -4.00%
*(Note: Only 6 instruments; top/bottom overlap is expected.)*
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 23 (Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 19 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 31 (Mild In-Flow)
Interpretation: R-43 Essential Miners is the second-strongest R-File in Batch 4 by Avg INSTAT (+73) after R-41, and the only R-File showing a Bull long-term trend (AT +23). Three of six instruments are Extended Leaders with INSTAT +100, and Intermediate Flow of +31 confirms sustained institutional accumulation in copper/diversified miners. The sharp 1-month drawdown (-8.79%) against YTD gains of +16.31% confirms this cohort sold off alongside markets post-Feb 27 but is recovering strongly, led by the copper supply deficit and China stimulus narratives.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ BHP Group Ltd ADR (BHP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.44% | 1W +5.38% | YTD +21.32%
★ Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold Inc (FCX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.29% | 1W +9.14% | YTD +20.85%
★ Rio Tinto ADR (RIO) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.38% | 1W +9.01% | YTD +18.02%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Newmont Goldcorp Corp (NEM) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.23% | 1W +11.70%
→ Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO.K) — INSTAT +82 | 1D -0.07% | 1W +9.72%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90): None.
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3M avg): None. Newmont (NEM) 0.8x, FCX 0.8x, Southern Copper (SCCO) 0.7x — below-average volume is a notable flag given the strong INSTAT scores, suggesting institutional participants are holding rather than actively adding.
Best 1-Day Performers: MP Materials Corp (MP) +2.72% | Freeport-McMoran Copper & Gold Inc (FCX) +0.29% | Newmont Goldcorp Corp (NEM) +0.23%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Southern Copper Corporation (SCCO.K) -0.07% | Rio Tinto ADR (RIO) -0.38% | BHP Group Ltd ADR (BHP) -0.44%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
BHP
Group Ltd ADR |
BHP |
-0.44% |
+5.38% |
+21.32% |
25 |
|
Freeport-McMoran
Copper & Go.. |
FCX |
+0.29% |
+9.14% |
+20.85% |
25 |
|
Rio
Tinto ADR |
RIO |
-0.38% |
+9.01% |
+18.02% |
25 |
|
Newmont
Goldcorp Corp |
NEM |
+0.23% |
+11.70% |
+14.22% |
25 |
|
Southern
Copper Corporation |
SCCO.K |
-0.07% |
+9.72% |
+25.00% |
24 |
|
MP
Materials Corp |
MP |
+2.72% |
-4.00% |
-1.56% |
14 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
BHP Group Ltd ADR (BHP) at INSTAT +100 leads R-43 Essential Miners as one of three perfect-score Extended Leaders in the group, and represents the strongest sector-level INSTAT average (+73) in all of Batch 4's materials-related R-Files — the combination of AT +23 (Bull), IN +31 (institutional in-flow), and YTD gains of +21% across BHP, FCX (+20.85%), and RIO (+18.02%) confirms copper and diversified miners as primary beneficiaries of the global infrastructure and electrification demand wave despite the post-Feb 27 risk-off selloff. The macro/regime signal is that essential miners occupy a structural demand position — copper for electrification, iron ore for infrastructure — that is insulated from the consumer discretionary and software valuation compression driving the broader market correction, but the principal risk is that a Chinese economic slowdown or a sharp drop in commodity spot prices (particularly copper) could quickly reverse the institutional accumulation trend, as evidenced by MP Materials (INSTAT -29) showing rare earth price fragility independent of the copper narrative. R-43 represents the highest-quality materials allocation candidate for Bill's current 100% cash portfolio, with BHP, FCX, and RIO warranting priority watchlist placement for the next confirmed risk-on rotation signal.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-44 – Asia & Europe Majors in US
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +32 | Median INSTAT: +69
Avg 1-Day: -0.00% | Avg 1-Week: +3.95% | Avg 1-Month: -3.05% | Avg YTD: +4.30%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
14 |
|
Extended
Leader |
13 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
7 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
6 |
|
Building
Momentum |
5 |
|
Weakening |
5 |
|
Correcting |
2 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
1. AstraZeneca PLC ADR (AZN.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.34% | 1W +7.96%
2. BHP Group Ltd ADR (BHP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.44% | 1W +5.38%
3. BP PLC ADR (BP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.06% | 1W +0.94%
4. Equinor ASA ADR (EQNR.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +3.35% | 1W +0.53%
5. GSK plc DRC (GSK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.25% | 1W +5.29%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
1. Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR (HMC) — INSTAT -94 | 1D -0.66% | 1W -0.78%
2. Icici Bank Limited ADR (IBN) — INSTAT -98 | 1D -0.43% | 1W +1.23%
3. Alcon AG (ALC) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.26% | 1W +1.66%
4. Diageo PLC ADR (DEO) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.76% | 1W -1.01%
5. Unilever PLC ADR (UL) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.09% | 1W -6.60%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 12 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 12 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 9 (Flat)
Interpretation: R-44 is a large, diverse R-File of 52 instruments spanning European energy majors, Asian financials, and global pharma. The bimodal distribution — 13 Extended Leaders against 6 Terminal Liquidations — reflects the dramatic divergence between European energy and pharma beneficiaries of the risk-off regime versus Indian and Japanese banks, consumer staples (Diageo, Unilever), and auto (Honda, Toyota) experiencing structural headwinds. Average Intermediate Flow of +9 is neutral but masks significant cross-sector divergence.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Anheuser Busch Inbev NV ADR (BUD) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.75% | 1W +5.52% | YTD +11.34%
★ ASE Industrial Holding Co Ltd ADR (ASX) — INSTAT +98 | 1D -0.89% | 1W +3.63% | YTD +38.39%
★ AstraZeneca PLC ADR (AZN.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.34% | 1W +7.96% | YTD +121.27%
★ BHP Group Ltd ADR (BHP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.44% | 1W +5.38% | YTD +21.32%
★ BP PLC ADR (BP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.06% | 1W +0.94% | YTD +35.68%
★ Eni SpA ADR (E) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +4.05% | 1W +3.40% | YTD +50.50%
★ Equinor ASA ADR (EQNR.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +3.35% | 1W +0.53% | YTD +76.68%
★ GSK plc DRC (GSK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.25% | 1W +5.29% | YTD +15.60%
★ HSBC Holdings PLC ADR (HSBC.K) — INSTAT +97 | 1D -1.23% | 1W +6.59% | YTD +7.30%
★ Mizuho Financial Group Inc ADR (MFG) — INSTAT +93 | 1D -2.63% | 1W +6.95% | YTD +11.48%
★ National Grid PLC ADR (NGG) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.32% | 1W +7.41% | YTD +13.76%
★ Nokia Corp ADR (NOK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +6.65% | 1W +10.53% | YTD +36.32%
★ Rio Tinto ADR (RIO) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.38% | 1W +9.01% | YTD +18.02%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Alcon AG (ALC) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.26% | 1W +1.66% | YTD -5.39%
▼ Diageo PLC ADR (DEO) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.76% | 1W -1.01% | YTD -15.01%
▼ HDFC Bank Limited ADR (HDB) — INSTAT -94 | 1D -0.28% | 1W +1.97% | YTD -32.05%
▼ Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR (HMC) — INSTAT -94 | 1D -0.66% | 1W -0.78% | YTD -18.08%
▼ Icici Bank Limited ADR (IBN) — INSTAT -98 | 1D -0.43% | 1W +1.23% | YTD -14.06%
▼ Unilever PLC ADR (UL) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.09% | 1W -6.60% | YTD -15.21%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ ArcelorMittal SA ADR (MT) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -2.05% | 1W +6.65%
→ argenx NV ADR (ARGX.O) — INSTAT +73 | 1D +0.44% | 1W +7.96%
→ Banco Bilbao Viscaya Argentaria SA ADR (BBVA.K) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.46% | 1W +7.35%
→ Banco Santander SA ADR (SAN) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -1.38% | 1W +7.14%
→ Barclays PLC ADR (BCS) — INSTAT +79 | 1D -0.14% | 1W +7.71%
→ Garmin Ltd (GRMN.K) — INSTAT +84 | 1D +0.03% | 1W +3.25%
→ ING Group NV ADR (ING) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.93% | 1W +7.14%
→ Lloyds Banking Group PLC ADR (LYG) — INSTAT +68 | 1D -0.19% | 1W +7.87%
→ Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc ADR (MUFG.K) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -1.24% | 1W +7.04%
→ Natwest Group PLC (NWG) — INSTAT +73 | 1D -1.67% | 1W +7.15%
→ Novartis AG ADR (NVS) — INSTAT +70 | 1D -0.68% | 1W +3.95%
→ Shell PLC ADR (SHEL.K) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +1.16% | 1W +1.01%
→ Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.72% | 1W +3.76%
→ Banco Santander SA ADR (SAN) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -1.38% | 1W +7.14%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3M avg):
BP PLC ADR (BP): 2.1x avg (SURGE) — FLAG: Volume surge on +2.06% day confirms accumulation; consistent with Extended Leader INSTAT +100
Nokia Corp ADR (NOK): 1.9x avg (Elevated) — FLAG: Near-SURGE volume on +6.65% day confirms breakout conviction
Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR (HMC): 1.6x avg (Elevated) — FLAG: Elevated volume on Terminal Liquidation name (-94) likely reflects distribution/forced selling
Best 1-Day Performers: Nokia Corp ADR (NOK) +6.65% | Eni SpA ADR (E) +4.05% | Equinor ASA ADR (EQNR.K) +3.35%
Worst 1-Day Performers: Mizuho Financial Group Inc ADR (MFG) -2.63% | ASML Holding NV ADR (ASML.O) -3.13% | Arm Holdings ADR (ARM.O) -3.86%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
AstraZeneca
PLC ADR |
AZN.O |
+1.34% |
+7.96% |
+121.27% |
25 |
|
BHP
Group Ltd ADR |
BHP |
-0.44% |
+5.38% |
+21.32% |
25 |
|
BP
PLC ADR |
BP |
+2.06% |
+0.94% |
+35.68% |
25 |
|
Equinor
ASA ADR |
EQNR.K |
+3.35% |
+0.53% |
+76.68% |
25 |
|
GSK
plc DRC |
GSK |
+1.25% |
+5.29% |
+15.60% |
25 |
|
National
Grid PLC ADR |
NGG |
+1.32% |
+7.41% |
+13.76% |
25 |
|
Nokia
Corp ADR |
NOK |
+6.65% |
+10.53% |
+36.32% |
25 |
|
Rio
Tinto ADR |
RIO |
-0.38% |
+9.01% |
+18.02% |
25 |
|
Anheuser
Busch Inbev NV ADR |
BUD |
+0.75% |
+5.52% |
+11.34% |
25 |
|
ASE
Industrial Holding Co Lt.. |
ASX |
-0.89% |
+3.63% |
+38.39% |
23 |
|
Eni
SpA ADR |
E |
+4.05% |
+3.40% |
+50.50% |
23 |
|
HSBC
Holdings PLC ADR |
HSBC.K |
-1.23% |
+6.59% |
+7.30% |
22 |
|
Mizuho
Financial Group Inc ADR |
MFG |
-2.63% |
+6.95% |
+11.48% |
22 |
|
Garmin
Ltd |
GRMN.K |
+0.03% |
+3.25% |
+17.16% |
9 |
|
Banco
Santander SA ADR |
SAN |
-1.38% |
+7.14% |
-2.73% |
25 |
|
Mitsubishi
UFJ Financial Gro.. |
MUFG.K |
-1.24% |
+7.04% |
+10.21% |
25 |
|
ArcelorMittal
SA ADR |
MT |
-2.05% |
+6.65% |
+16.13% |
23 |
|
Banco
Bilbao Viscaya Argenta.. |
BBVA.K |
+0.46% |
+7.35% |
-5.96% |
25 |
|
ING
Group NV ADR |
ING |
-0.93% |
+7.14% |
-5.14% |
23 |
|
Shell
PLC ADR |
SHEL.K |
+1.16% |
+1.01% |
+26.70% |
6 |
|
Taiwan
Semiconductor Manufac.. |
TSM |
-0.72% |
+3.76% |
+11.57% |
23 |
|
Barclays
PLC ADR |
BCS |
-0.14% |
+7.71% |
-14.34% |
23 |
|
Chubb
Ltd |
CB |
+0.36% |
+2.90% |
+5.19% |
0 |
|
argenx
NV ADR |
ARGX.O |
+0.44% |
+7.96% |
-11.24% |
17 |
|
Natwest
Group PLC |
NWG |
-1.67% |
+7.15% |
-12.63% |
17 |
|
Novartis
AG ADR |
NVS |
-0.68% |
+3.95% |
+11.72% |
6 |
|
Lloyds
Banking Group PLC ADR |
LYG |
-0.19% |
+7.87% |
-1.70% |
12 |
|
Arm
Holdings ADR |
ARM.O |
-3.86% |
+3.43% |
+36.38% |
4 |
|
Orix
Corp Ads |
IX |
-1.38% |
+2.60% |
+2.77% |
23 |
|
Sanofi
ADR |
SNY.O |
+0.27% |
+2.31% |
-1.24% |
23 |
|
Accenture
plc |
ACN |
+2.17% |
+4.53% |
-24.96% |
25 |
|
British
American Tobacco PLC.. |
BTI |
+0.70% |
+0.87% |
+2.97% |
-5 |
|
Sony
Group Corp |
SONY.K |
+0.09% |
+6.18% |
-17.42% |
25 |
|
Infosys
Ltd ADR |
INFY.K |
+3.31% |
+7.09% |
-22.90% |
25 |
|
Relx
PLC ADR |
RELX.K |
+1.08% |
+5.07% |
-16.90% |
25 |
|
Ferrari
NV |
RACE.K |
-0.69% |
+7.14% |
-7.98% |
5 |
|
Novo
Nordisk A/S |
NVO |
+1.34% |
+2.58% |
-27.34% |
25 |
|
NetEase
Inc |
NTES.O |
+0.13% |
+3.25% |
-18.03% |
25 |
|
Uber
Technologies Inc |
UBER.K |
+0.15% |
+3.82% |
-12.10% |
25 |
|
Deutsche
Bank AG NA O.N. |
DB |
-2.33% |
+4.93% |
-22.80% |
-7 |
|
ASML
Holding NV ADR |
ASML.O |
-3.13% |
+1.13% |
+23.12% |
-24 |
|
Ferroglobe
PLC |
GSM.O |
+2.26% |
-5.35% |
-12.28% |
23 |
|
SAP
SE ADR |
SAP |
+0.24% |
+4.73% |
-29.29% |
9 |
|
Toyota
Motor Corporation ADR |
TM |
-1.27% |
+0.14% |
-3.29% |
-6 |
|
PDD
Holdings Inc DRC |
PDD.O |
-0.91% |
+1.04% |
-11.06% |
-5 |
|
Alibaba
Group Holdings Ltd ADR |
BABA.K |
-1.36% |
-0.52% |
-16.73% |
-6 |
|
HDFC
Bank Limited ADR |
HDB |
-0.28% |
+1.97% |
-32.05% |
-19 |
|
Honda
Motor Co Ltd ADR |
HMC |
-0.66% |
-0.78% |
-18.08% |
-19 |
|
Icici
Bank Limited ADR |
IBN |
-0.43% |
+1.23% |
-14.06% |
-23 |
|
Alcon
AG |
ALC |
-1.26% |
+1.66% |
-5.39% |
-25 |
|
Diageo
PLC ADR |
DEO |
-1.76% |
-1.01% |
-15.01% |
-25 |
|
Unilever
PLC ADR |
UL |
-1.09% |
-6.60% |
-15.21% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
AstraZeneca PLC ADR (AZN.O) at INSTAT +100 and YTD +121.27% is the most anomalous Extended Leader in R-44 and across all of Batch 4 — its price appreciation is driven by a combination of oncology pipeline catalysts and the UK pharma sector's beneficiary status within European equity outperformance relative to US equities post-Feb 27, making it a regime-confirming signal that non-US large-cap healthcare is absorbing global risk-off capital rotation away from US growth equities. The macro/regime signal for R-44 is the sharpest cross-sectional divergence of any R-File in Batch 4: European energy majors (BP +100, Equinor +100, Eni +98, Shell +81) and European banks (BBVA, Barclays, Santander, HSBC +97, ING) are in confirmed Extended Leader / Strong Momentum regimes driven by European fiscal re-armament and energy infrastructure spending, while Indian banks (HDFC -94, ICICI -98), Japanese autos (Honda -94, Toyota -41), and consumer staples (Diageo -100, Unilever -100) are in terminal liquidation — the principal risk is US dollar strength reversing European ADR gains without an underlying fundamental catalyst change. R-44 is the most actionable international R-File for Bill's cash portfolio: European energy (BP, Equinor, Eni), European pharma (AZN, GSK), and European utilities (National Grid +100) all offer capital preservation characteristics with strong INSTAT confirmation, suitable for P6 Income and P5 Evolutionary Tech overlay consideration via Nokia (NOK +100, +6.65% on volume surge).
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
*End of BATCH 4 — INDUSTRIES & THEMES (R-26 to R-44)*
*Report Date: April 3, 2026 | Generated: April 4, 2026*
*All data sourced from batch4_data.txt. Grand Avg INSTAT (A-side): +23.*
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
BATCH 5 — INTERNATIONAL MARKETS (R-45 to R-65)
INSTAT A Daily Report | April 3, 2026
Regime: Risk-Off / Defensive | Bill Cara — 100% Cash since Feb 27, 2026
Grand Avg INSTAT (all A-side R-Files): +23
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-45 – Canada (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in the Americas | Instruments: 32*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +53 | Median INSTAT: +68
Avg 1-Day: +0.20% | Avg 1-Week: +3.55% | Avg 1-Month: -2.88% | Avg YTD: +7.20%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
13 |
|
Extended
Leader |
8 |
|
Building
Momentum |
5 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
3 |
|
Correcting |
2 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-4514 Cenovus Energy Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.87% | 1W -0.97%
R-4529 Teck Resources Ltd Class B — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.66% | 1W +8.84%
R-4508 Cameco Corp — INSTAT +98 | 1D +1.30% | 1W +8.32%
R-4511 Canadian National Railway Co — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.90% | 1W +2.71%
R-4517 Fortis Inc — INSTAT +96 | 1D +0.96% | 1W +2.07%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-4503 Brookfield Asset Management Inc — INSTAT +15 | 1D +0.84% | 1W +2.94%
R-4528 Shopify Inc — INSTAT -14 | 1D -0.23% | 1W +5.72%
R-4521 Lululemon Athletica Inc — INSTAT -78 | 1D -1.98% | 1W +6.73%
R-4504 BCE Inc — INSTAT -87 | 1D -3.66% | 1W -3.17%
R-4526 Rogers Communications Inc — INSTAT -100 | 1D -8.15% | 1W -8.99%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 15 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 17 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 21 (Mild In-Flow)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Long-term structure is mildly constructive but short-term momentum is flat; intermediate flows show mild capital inflow, indicating rotation into select Canadian names rather than broad re-risking.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.87% | 1W -0.97% | YTD +56.97%
★ Teck Resources Ltd Class B (TECK.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.66% | 1W +8.84% | YTD +10.32%
★ Cameco Corp (CCJ) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +1.30% | 1W +8.32% | YTD +23.04%
★ Canadian National Railway Co (CNI) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.90% | 1W +2.71% | YTD +5.39%
★ Fortis Inc (FTS) — INSTAT +96 | 1D +0.96% | 1W +2.07% | YTD +9.38%
★ Imperial Oil Ltd (IMO) — INSTAT +92 | 1D +1.22% | 1W -0.18% | YTD +51.23%
★ Restaurant Brands International Inc (QSR) — INSTAT +92 | 1D +1.97% | 1W +7.22% | YTD +12.24%
★ Franco-Nevada Corporation (FNV) — INSTAT +90 | 1D +0.88% | 1W +10.17% | YTD +24.34%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Rogers Communications Inc (RCI) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -8.15% | 1W -8.99% | YTD -7.16%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) — INSTAT +63 | 1D -0.73% | 1W +7.83%
→ Bank of Montreal (BMO) — INSTAT +67 | 1D -0.59% | 1W +3.39%
→ Brookfield Corp (BN) — INSTAT +64 | 1D +0.37% | 1W +4.85%
→ Bank of Nova Scotia (BNS) — INSTAT +78 | 1D -0.10% | 1W +3.56%
→ Celestica Inc. (CLS) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +2.12% | 1W +5.22%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
Rogers Communications Inc (RCI) — 2.8x avg (SURGE)
BCE Inc (BCE) — 2.3x avg (SURGE)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Cenovus Energy Inc (CVE) +2.87%
2. CGI Inc (GIB) +2.37%
3. Celestica Inc. (CLS) +2.12%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Torex Gold Resources Inc (TORXF.PK) -2.03%
2. BCE Inc (BCE) -3.66%
3. Rogers Communications Inc (RCI) -8.15%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Cenovus
Energy Inc |
CVE |
+2.87% |
-0.97% |
+56.97% |
25 |
|
Teck
Resources Ltd Class B |
TECK.K |
-0.66% |
+8.84% |
+10.32% |
25 |
|
Cameco
Corp |
CCJ |
+1.30% |
+8.32% |
+23.04% |
25 |
|
Canadian
National Railway Co |
CNI |
+0.90% |
+2.71% |
+5.39% |
25 |
|
Fortis
Inc |
FTS |
+0.96% |
+2.07% |
+9.38% |
21 |
|
Imperial
Oil Ltd |
IMO |
+1.22% |
-0.18% |
+51.23% |
17 |
|
Restaurant
Brands Internatio.. |
QSR |
+1.97% |
+7.22% |
+12.24% |
17 |
|
Franco-Nevada
Corporation |
FNV |
+0.88% |
+10.17% |
+24.34% |
15 |
|
Enbridge
Inc |
ENB |
+0.93% |
-0.79% |
+13.21% |
25 |
|
Celestica
Inc. |
CLS |
+2.12% |
+5.22% |
-0.26% |
25 |
|
Manulife
Financial Corp |
MFC |
+0.35% |
+3.78% |
-3.80% |
25 |
|
Royal
Bank of Canada |
RY |
-0.02% |
+3.27% |
-4.16% |
22 |
|
Bank
of Nova Scotia |
BNS |
-0.10% |
+3.56% |
-4.84% |
25 |
|
TC
Energy Corp |
TRP |
+1.83% |
-0.16% |
+15.18% |
25 |
|
Kinross
Gold Corp |
KGC |
-1.59% |
+9.64% |
+11.90% |
11 |
|
Canadian
Imperial Bank Of Co.. |
CM |
+0.01% |
+3.75% |
+6.21% |
25 |
|
Bank
of Montreal |
BMO |
-0.59% |
+3.39% |
+4.96% |
14 |
|
Canadian
Pacific Kansas City.. |
CP |
+1.22% |
+0.95% |
+7.25% |
25 |
|
Brookfield
Corp |
BN |
+0.37% |
+4.85% |
-10.90% |
25 |
|
Torex
Gold Resources Inc |
TORXF.PK |
-2.03% |
+16.23% |
+0.64% |
6 |
|
Agnico
Eagle Mines Limited |
AEM |
-0.73% |
+7.83% |
+23.01% |
5 |
|
Barrick
Mining Corp |
B |
-1.33% |
+7.90% |
-4.39% |
17 |
|
Pembina
Pipeline Corp |
PBA |
+1.99% |
-2.51% |
+17.24% |
25 |
|
Nutrien
Ltd |
NTR |
+1.22% |
-0.24% |
+22.28% |
8 |
|
Waste
Connections Inc |
WCN |
+2.00% |
+6.45% |
-5.29% |
21 |
|
CGI
Inc |
GIB |
+2.37% |
+4.12% |
-19.85% |
23 |
|
Canadian
Natural Resources Ltd |
CNQ |
+2.08% |
-5.11% |
+40.41% |
-3 |
|
Brookfield
Asset Management .. |
BAM |
+0.84% |
+2.94% |
-15.16% |
25 |
|
Shopify
Inc |
SHOP.O |
-0.23% |
+5.72% |
-26.54% |
9 |
|
Lululemon
Athletica Inc |
LULU.O |
-1.98% |
+6.73% |
-25.10% |
-19 |
|
BCE
Inc |
BCE |
-3.66% |
-3.17% |
+2.64% |
-14 |
|
Rogers
Communications Inc |
RCI |
-8.15% |
-8.99% |
-7.16% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Cameco Corp (CCJ) at INSTAT +98 is the standout extended leader in R-45, printing a +23% YTD gain driven by sustained uranium demand and Canada's nuclear positioning — a structural long in a regime where energy security dominates capital allocation decisions. The broad R-45 avg INSTAT of +53 is well above the grand average of +23, confirming Canada as a recipient of risk-off capital rotation into energy, infrastructure, rails, and gold royalties while consumer and telecom names (Rogers -100, BCE -87) face terminal distribution. P1 (Cara 100) holds direct exposure to Canadian names including energy and resource leaders, and the bifurcated signal here — eight extended leaders vs. one terminal liquidation — supports continued selective holding of CVE, IMO, CNR-class names while avoiding domestic consumer/telecom.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-46 – Mexico (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in the Americas | Instruments: 9*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +34 | Median INSTAT: +69
Avg 1-Day: +0.50% | Avg 1-Week: +2.01% | Avg 1-Month: -4.68% | Avg YTD: +0.12%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
3 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
2 |
|
Correcting |
2 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
1 |
|
Building
Momentum |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-4603 Fomento Economico Mexicano — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.45% | 1W +6.67%
R-4609 Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.30% | 1W +0.30%
R-4605 Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste SAB — INSTAT +98 | 1D +1.08% | 1W +5.38%
R-4604 Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico SA — INSTAT +72 | 1D +1.49% | 1W +3.76%
R-4602 Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR — INSTAT +69 | 1D -0.19% | 1W +3.34%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-4602 Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR — INSTAT +69 | 1D -0.19% | 1W +3.34%
R-4607 Industrias Penoles Sab De CV — INSTAT +29 | 1D +5.31% | 1W +10.55%
R-4601 Cemex SAB de CV ADR — INSTAT +1 | 1D -3.11% | 1W +4.47%
R-4608 Vistra Energy Corp — INSTAT -79 | 1D -1.81% | 1W -2.77%
R-4606 Grupo Bimbo, S.A.B. De C.V. — INSTAT -82 | 1D +0.00% | 1W -13.61%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 7 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 8 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 19 (Mild In-Flow)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Long-term and short-term trend scores are tepid (7/8), indicating structural uncertainty; mild intermediate inflow (19) reflects selective positioning in consumer staples and airport infrastructure rather than broad Mexico exposure.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.45% | 1W +6.67% | YTD +13.53%
★ Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV (WMMVF.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.30% | 1W +0.30% | YTD +4.75%
★ Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste SAB de CV (ASR) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +1.08% | 1W +5.38% | YTD +7.39%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (KOF) — INSTAT +69 | 1D -0.19% | 1W +3.34%
→ Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico SAB De (PAC) — INSTAT +72 | 1D +1.49% | 1W +3.76%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
Grupo Aeroportuario del Sureste SAB de CV (ASR) — 2.1x avg (SURGE)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Industrias Penoles Sab De CV (IPOAF.PK) +5.31%
2. Grupo Aeroportuario del Pacifico SAB De (PAC) +1.49%
3. Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX) +1.45%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Coca-Cola Femsa SAB de CV ADR (KOF) -0.19%
2. Vistra Energy Corp (VST) -1.81%
3. Cemex SAB de CV ADR (CX) -3.11%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Fomento
Economico Mexicano |
FMX |
+1.45% |
+6.67% |
+13.53% |
25 |
|
Wal
Mart de Mexico SAB de CV |
WMMVF.PK |
+0.30% |
+0.30% |
+4.75% |
25 |
|
Grupo
Aeroportuario del Sure.. |
ASR |
+1.08% |
+5.38% |
+7.39% |
23 |
|
Grupo
Aeroportuario del Paci.. |
PAC |
+1.49% |
+3.76% |
-4.31% |
14 |
|
Coca-Cola
Femsa SAB de CV ADR |
KOF |
-0.19% |
+3.34% |
+4.28% |
25 |
|
Industrias
Penoles Sab De CV |
IPOAF.PK |
+5.31% |
+10.55% |
-13.19% |
19 |
|
Cemex
SAB de CV ADR |
CX |
-3.11% |
+4.47% |
-2.26% |
-23 |
|
Vistra
Energy Corp |
VST |
-1.81% |
-2.77% |
-6.29% |
-22 |
|
Grupo
Bimbo, S.A.B. De C.V. |
GRBMF.PK |
+0.00% |
-13.61% |
-2.81% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Fomento Economico Mexicano (FMX) at INSTAT +100 is the lead extended leader in R-46, reflecting defensive consumer staples dominance — FEMSA's beverage and retail network provides Mexico-linked revenue with limited macro cyclicality, making it a natural capital destination in a risk-off regime. The R-46 avg INSTAT of +34 (median +69) is bimodal: consumer staples and airport concessions are strongly bid while industrials (Cemex, Bimbo) are in terminal distribution, a split consistent with tariff risk and nearshoring uncertainty weighing on capex-sensitive sectors. No current P1–P7 portfolio exposure is flagged for Mexico, but FMX and ASR represent the best-quality defensive yield proxies in the LatAm Americas allocation if capital deployment resumes.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-47 – South America (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in the Americas | Instruments: 19*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +67 | Median INSTAT: +83
Avg 1-Day: -0.07% | Avg 1-Week: +4.49% | Avg 1-Month: +2.99% | Avg YTD: +17.97%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
8 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
6 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
2 |
|
Building
Momentum |
2 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-4702 America Movil SAB de CV Mm — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.20% | 1W +3.10%
R-4707 Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.43% | 1W +7.47%
R-4708 Companhia de Saneamento Basico do E — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.63% | 1W +5.63%
R-4709 Credicorp Ltd — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.38% | 1W +5.44%
R-4710 Ecopetrol SA ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +4.49% | 1W +0.87%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-4713 Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA — INSTAT +47 | 1D -1.77% | 1W +5.97%
R-4715 MercadoLibre Inc — INSTAT +27 | 1D -0.20% | 1W +7.25%
R-4703 Banco Bradesco SA ADR — INSTAT +6 | 1D -1.81% | 1W +4.96%
R-4714 LATAM Airlines Group SA ADR — INSTAT -16 | 1D -3.17% | 1W +2.50%
R-4704 Banco De Chile — INSTAT -56 | 1D -2.15% | 1W -4.23%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 14 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 17 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 37 (Mild In-Flow)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Intermediate inflow at 37 is the strongest reading across Americas R-files, signaling meaningful capital rotation into South American energy, utilities, and infrastructure — consistent with EM commodity-linked defense in a risk-off global regime.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ America Movil SAB de CV Mm (AMX) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.20% | 1W +3.10% | YTD +23.75%
★ Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA (AXIA.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.43% | 1W +7.47% | YTD +25.66%
★ Companhia de Saneamento Basico do Estado (SBS) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.63% | 1W +5.63% | YTD +27.63%
★ Credicorp Ltd (BAP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.38% | 1W +5.44% | YTD +18.46%
★ Ecopetrol SA ADR (EC) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +4.49% | 1W +0.87% | YTD +51.10%
★ Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR (PBR) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.39% | 1W -1.01% | YTD +73.50%
★ Santos Ltd ADR (SSLZY.PK) — INSTAT +93 | 1D +2.17% | 1W +1.98% | YTD +38.05%
★ Telefonica Brasil SA ADR (VIV) — INSTAT +92 | 1D -0.93% | 1W +5.11% | YTD +35.16%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Ambev SA ADR (ABEV.K) — INSTAT +86 | 1D -1.35% | 1W +4.27%
→ Banco Santander Brasil SA ADR (BSBR.K) — INSTAT +78 | 1D -0.17% | 1W +7.84%
→ Banco Santander Chile (BSAC.K) — INSTAT +78 | 1D -1.31% | 1W +5.39%
→ Embraer SA ADR (EMBJ.K) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.59% | 1W +12.11%
→ Gerdau SA ADR (GGB) — INSTAT +82 | 1D -0.26% | 1W +10.53%
Volume Signals (elevated, no ≥ 2x):
Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA (AXIA.K) — 1.8x avg (Elevated)
Ambev SA ADR (ABEV.K) — 1.7x avg (Elevated)
Gerdau SA ADR (GGB) — 1.3x avg (Elevated)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Ecopetrol SA ADR (EC) +4.49%
2. Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR (PBR) +2.39%
3. Santos Ltd ADR (SSLZY.PK) +2.17%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Banco Bradesco SA ADR (BBD) -1.81%
2. Banco De Chile (BCH) -2.15%
3. LATAM Airlines Group SA ADR (LTM) -3.17%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
America
Movil SAB de CV Mm |
AMX |
+0.20% |
+3.10% |
+23.75% |
25 |
|
Centrais
Eletricas Brasileir.. |
AXIA.K |
-0.43% |
+7.47% |
+25.66% |
25 |
|
Companhia
de Saneamento Basi.. |
SBS |
+0.63% |
+5.63% |
+27.63% |
25 |
|
Credicorp
Ltd |
BAP |
-0.38% |
+5.44% |
+18.46% |
25 |
|
Ecopetrol
SA ADR |
EC |
+4.49% |
+0.87% |
+51.10% |
25 |
|
Petroleo
Brasileiro Petrobra.. |
PBR |
+2.39% |
-1.01% |
+73.50% |
25 |
|
Santos
Ltd ADR |
SSLZY.PK |
+2.17% |
+1.98% |
+38.05% |
18 |
|
Telefonica
Brasil SA ADR |
VIV |
-0.93% |
+5.11% |
+35.16% |
17 |
|
Ambev
SA ADR |
ABEV.K |
-1.35% |
+4.27% |
+18.62% |
13 |
|
Embraer
SA ADR |
EMBJ.K |
+0.59% |
+12.11% |
-2.50% |
25 |
|
Gerdau
SA ADR |
GGB |
-0.26% |
+10.53% |
+2.44% |
24 |
|
Banco
Santander Brasil SA ADR |
BSBR.K |
-0.17% |
+7.84% |
-0.98% |
22 |
|
Banco
Santander Chile |
BSAC.K |
-1.31% |
+5.39% |
+6.85% |
14 |
|
YPF
Sociedad Anonima |
YPF |
+2.05% |
+0.11% |
+25.06% |
6 |
|
Itau
Unibanco Banco Holding SA |
ITUB.K |
-1.77% |
+5.97% |
+16.48% |
-8 |
|
MercadoLibre
Inc |
MELI.O |
-0.20% |
+7.25% |
-14.83% |
25 |
|
Banco
Bradesco SA ADR |
BBD |
-1.81% |
+4.96% |
+10.00% |
-23 |
|
LATAM
Airlines Group SA ADR |
LTM |
-3.17% |
+2.50% |
-8.92% |
-5 |
|
Banco
De Chile |
BCH |
-2.15% |
-4.23% |
-4.11% |
-19 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Petroleo Brasileiro Petrobras SA ADR (PBR) at INSTAT +100 with a YTD return of +73.50% is the standout extended leader in R-47, reflecting Brazil's state-integrated energy and utilities complex as a primary beneficiary of commodity re-pricing in the post-Feb-27 risk-off regime. R-47 carries the highest avg INSTAT of the Americas bloc at +67 with a median of +83, driven by an energy/utilities/telecom cluster that is completely uncorrelated to the global tech selloff — the principal risk is EM currency volatility and Brazil election-cycle fiscal policy reversals. No current P1–P7 holdings in South America are flagged, but PBR, EC, SBS, and VIV represent highest-quality EM defensive exposure for any future capital deployment phase.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-48 – France (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Europe | Instruments: 19*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +17 | Median INSTAT: +17
Avg 1-Day: -0.39% | Avg 1-Week: +4.48% | Avg 1-Month: -3.68% | Avg YTD: -7.46%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
6 |
|
Building
Momentum |
5 |
|
Extended
Leader |
4 |
|
Weakening |
3 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-4810 Engie SA ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.73% | 1W +8.53%
R-4818 TotalEnergies SE — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.91% | 1W +2.80%
R-4819 Vinci SA ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.63% | 1W +5.20%
R-4802 Axa SA ADR — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.90% | 1W +7.43%
R-4816 Sanofi ADR — INSTAT +45 | 1D +0.27% | 1W +2.31%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-4801 Airbus Group NV — INSTAT -18 | 1D -1.42% | 1W +3.76%
R-4805 Compagnie de Saint-Gobain ADR — INSTAT -32 | 1D -1.33% | 1W +3.61%
R-4806 Compagnie Generale des Etablissements — INSTAT -52 | 1D -1.27% | 1W +3.01%
R-4812 Hermes International SA — INSTAT -55 | 1D -0.58% | 1W +3.68%
R-4811 Essilor International SA — INSTAT -92 | 1D -1.75% | 1W -1.41%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 16 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 11 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -10 (Mild Out-Flow)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Mild intermediate outflow (-10) combined with flat short-term trend confirms France is in selective rotation — energy and insurance are attracting inflows while luxury, industrials, and optics are experiencing distribution; macro regime does not support broad France allocation.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Engie SA ADR (ENGIY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.73% | 1W +8.53% | YTD +27.90%
★ TotalEnergies SE (TTE) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.91% | 1W +2.80% | YTD +41.23%
★ Vinci SA ADR (VCISY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.63% | 1W +5.20% | YTD +8.18%
★ Axa SA ADR (AXAHY.PK) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.90% | 1W +7.43% | YTD -2.38%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Essilor International SA (ESLOY.PK) — INSTAT -92 | 1D -1.75% | 1W -1.41% | YTD -30.65%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
Compagnie de Saint-Gobain ADR (CODYY.PK) — 6.1x avg (SURGE)
BNP Paribas SA ADR (BNPQY.PK) — 2.6x avg (SURGE)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. TotalEnergies SE (TTE) +2.91%
2. Engie SA ADR (ENGIY.PK) +1.73%
3. Capgemini SE ADR (CGEMY.PK) +0.98%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Essilor International SA (ESLOY.PK) -1.75%
2. Societe Generale ADR (SCGLY.PK) -2.42%
3. BNP Paribas SA ADR (BNPQY.PK) -2.74%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Engie
SA ADR |
ENGIY.PK |
+1.73% |
+8.53% |
+27.90% |
25 |
|
TotalEnergies
SE |
TTE |
+2.91% |
+2.80% |
+41.23% |
25 |
|
Vinci
SA ADR |
VCISY.PK |
-0.63% |
+5.20% |
+8.18% |
25 |
|
Axa
SA ADR |
AXAHY.PK |
+0.90% |
+7.43% |
-2.38% |
25 |
|
Sanofi
ADR |
SNY.O |
+0.27% |
+2.31% |
-1.24% |
23 |
|
Societe
Generale ADR |
SCGLY.PK |
-2.42% |
+4.84% |
-7.49% |
14 |
|
L'Oreal
Co ADR |
LRLCY.PK |
+0.00% |
+2.85% |
-3.55% |
23 |
|
BNP
Paribas SA ADR |
BNPQY.PK |
-2.74% |
+4.21% |
+1.79% |
12 |
|
Renault
SA |
RNLSY.PK |
-0.57% |
+7.12% |
-15.92% |
25 |
|
Danone
PK |
DANOY.PK |
+0.25% |
+3.96% |
-11.25% |
25 |
|
Capgemini
SE ADR |
CGEMY.PK |
+0.98% |
+8.00% |
-28.68% |
25 |
|
Dassault
Systemes SA |
DASTY.PK |
+0.00% |
+6.92% |
-26.93% |
17 |
|
Credit
Agricole SA PK |
CRARY.PK |
-1.36% |
+4.00% |
-8.05% |
14 |
|
LVMH
Moet Hennessy Louis Vui.. |
LVMUY.PK |
-0.32% |
+4.38% |
-27.87% |
22 |
|
Airbus
Group NV |
EADSY.PK |
-1.42% |
+3.76% |
-17.54% |
14 |
|
Compagnie
de Saint-Gobain ADR |
CODYY.PK |
-1.33% |
+3.61% |
-19.73% |
14 |
|
Compagnie
Generale des Etabl.. |
MGDDY.PK |
-1.27% |
+3.01% |
+3.01% |
-10 |
|
Hermes
International SA |
HESAY.PK |
-0.58% |
+3.68% |
-22.48% |
-5 |
|
Essilor
International SA |
ESLOY.PK |
-1.75% |
-1.41% |
-30.65% |
-17 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
TotalEnergies SE (TTE) at INSTAT +100 with YTD +41.23% is the dominant extended leader in R-48, reflecting that France's energy sector is the primary destination of European capital rotation in the risk-off regime — energy, utilities, and infrastructure (Vinci +100, Engie +100) are all at maximum INSTAT while luxury (LVMH -17, Hermes -55) and opticians (Essilor -92) are in distribution. R-48's avg INSTAT of +17 is held down by severe negative drag from consumer discretionary and luxury names whose YTD losses exceed -20%, confirming France is not a broad allocation candidate — only its energy/insurance/utilities cluster is defensible. For P1 (Cara 100), which has no current France positions, TTE is the highest-conviction reentry candidate when the cash deployment phase begins.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-49 – Germany (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Europe | Instruments: 22*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +13 | Median INSTAT: +12
Avg 1-Day: -0.86% | Avg 1-Week: +4.90% | Avg 1-Month: -3.63% | Avg YTD: -3.26%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
5 |
|
Weakening |
5 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
4 |
|
Extended
Leader |
3 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
2 |
|
Building
Momentum |
2 |
|
Correcting |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-4908 Deutsche Boerse AG ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.72% | 1W +7.74%
R-4910 E.ON SE ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.01% | 1W +6.94%
R-4915 Merck & Company Inc — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.02% | 1W +1.04%
R-4917 Muenchener Rueckver Ges — INSTAT +79 | 1D +0.32% | 1W +4.82%
R-4902 Allianz SE ADR — INSTAT +70 | 1D -0.56% | 1W +5.34%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-4914 Mercedes Benz Group AG DRC — INSTAT -34 | 1D -0.59% | 1W +3.20%
R-4921 Siemens AG ADR — INSTAT -36 | 1D -1.61% | 1W +5.09%
R-4922 Volkswagen AG 1/10 ADR — INSTAT -76 | 1D -1.16% | 1W +1.79%
R-4911 Henkel AG & Co KGAA — INSTAT -92 | 1D -2.90% | 1W -2.41%
R-4901 Adidas AG — INSTAT -100 | 1D -3.60% | 1W -0.81%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 5 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 6 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 2 (Flat)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Germany's trend scores are the weakest of the European bloc (AT 5, ST 6, IN 2), confirming that capital flows are essentially flat and regime bifurcation is severe — exchange/utility/pharma names are bid while autos, consumer, and industrials are in confirmed distribution.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Deutsche Boerse AG ADR (DBOEY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.72% | 1W +7.74% | YTD +12.29%
★ E.ON SE ADR (EONGY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.01% | 1W +6.94% | YTD +20.49%
★ Merck & Company Inc (MRK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.02% | 1W +1.04% | YTD +14.83%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Adidas AG (ADDDF.PK) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -3.60% | 1W -0.81% | YTD -21.16%
▼ Henkel AG & Co KGAA (HENKY.PK) — INSTAT -92 | 1D -2.90% | 1W -2.41% | YTD -8.89%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Allianz SE ADR (ALIZY.PK) — INSTAT +70 | 1D -0.56% | 1W +5.34%
→ BASF SE ADR (BASFY.PK) — INSTAT +64 | 1D -0.40% | 1W -1.20%
→ Brenntag AG ADR (BNTGY.PK) — INSTAT +67 | 1D -1.50% | 1W +1.55%
→ Hensoldt AG ADR (HAGHY.PK) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +22.79%
→ Muenchener Rueckver Ges (MURGY.PK) — INSTAT +79 | 1D +0.32% | 1W +4.82%
Volume Signals (elevated, no ≥ 2x):
Siemens AG ADR (SIEGY.PK) — 1.9x avg (Elevated)
Mercedes Benz Group AG DRC (MBGYY.PK) — 1.4x avg (Elevated)
Porsche Automobile Holding SE (POAHY.PK) — 1.4x avg (Elevated)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. BioNTech SE (BNTX.O) +2.03%
2. E.ON SE ADR (EONGY.PK) +2.01%
3. Deutsche Boerse AG ADR (DBOEY.PK) +1.72%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Bayer AG PK (BAYRY.PK) -2.93%
2. Infineon Technologies AG ADR (IFNNY.PK) -2.93%
3. Adidas AG (ADDDF.PK) -3.60%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Deutsche
Boerse AG ADR |
DBOEY.PK |
+1.72% |
+7.74% |
+12.29% |
25 |
|
E.ON
SE ADR |
EONGY.PK |
+2.01% |
+6.94% |
+20.49% |
25 |
|
Merck
& Company Inc |
MRK |
+0.02% |
+1.04% |
+14.83% |
25 |
|
Muenchener
Rueckver Ges |
MURGY.PK |
+0.32% |
+4.82% |
-4.40% |
21 |
|
Allianz
SE ADR |
ALIZY.PK |
-0.56% |
+5.34% |
-7.78% |
12 |
|
Brenntag
AG ADR |
BNTGY.PK |
-1.50% |
+1.55% |
+13.13% |
5 |
|
Hensoldt
AG ADR |
HAGHY.PK |
+0.00% |
+22.79% |
+9.02% |
7 |
|
BASF
SE ADR |
BASFY.PK |
-0.40% |
-1.20% |
+13.89% |
14 |
|
Rheinmetall
AG ADR |
RNMBY.PK |
-0.80% |
+14.54% |
-1.07% |
5 |
|
Infineon
Technologies AG ADR |
IFNNY.PK |
-2.93% |
+5.92% |
+2.59% |
12 |
|
Bayer
AG PK |
BAYRY.PK |
-2.93% |
+3.11% |
+4.07% |
-25 |
|
BioNTech
SE |
BNTX.O |
+2.03% |
+6.49% |
-4.16% |
25 |
|
Porsche
Automobile Holding SE |
POAHY.PK |
-0.27% |
+4.30% |
-20.87% |
25 |
|
Deutsche
Telekom AG ADR |
DTEGY.PK |
-1.21% |
+0.55% |
+12.26% |
-10 |
|
Deutsche
Bank AG |
DB |
-2.33% |
+4.93% |
-22.80% |
-7 |
|
MTU
Aero Engines AG |
MTUAY.PK |
-2.42% |
+7.27% |
-12.48% |
-2 |
|
SAP
SE ADR |
SAP |
+0.24% |
+4.73% |
-29.29% |
9 |
|
Mercedes
Benz Group AG DRC |
MBGYY.PK |
-0.59% |
+3.20% |
-13.60% |
14 |
|
Siemens
AG ADR |
SIEGY.PK |
-1.61% |
+5.09% |
-12.04% |
-6 |
|
Volkswagen
AG 1/10 ADR |
VWAGY.PK |
-1.16% |
+1.79% |
-15.83% |
-15 |
|
Henkel
AG & Co KGAA |
HENKY.PK |
-2.90% |
-2.41% |
-8.89% |
-17 |
|
Adidas
AG |
ADDDF.PK |
-3.60% |
-0.81% |
-21.16% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Deutsche Boerse AG ADR (DBOEY.PK) at INSTAT +100 with YTD +12.29% is the lead extended leader in R-49, a counter-cyclical exchange operator whose revenue model benefits from elevated volatility and volume in a risk-off regime — precisely the environment of the post-Feb-27 selloff. Germany's avg INSTAT of +13 (median +12) is the weakest of the European country files reviewed to date, with autos (VW -76, Mercedes -34), consumer goods (Adidas -100, Henkel -92), and tech (SAP -32) in distribution — the principal risk is that Germany's export-oriented industrial base is most exposed to tariff escalation and Euro strength. The exchange/utility/reinsurance cluster (DBOEY, EONGY, MRK, MURGY) offers isolated defensive exposure worthy of P1 consideration, but the broader R-49 allocation case is not supported under current capital preservation mandate.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-50 – Italy (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Europe | Instruments: 15*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +50 | Median INSTAT: +68
Avg 1-Day: +0.19% | Avg 1-Week: +5.61% | Avg 1-Month: -0.10% | Avg YTD: +4.41%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
6 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
3 |
|
Building
Momentum |
2 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
2 |
|
Correcting |
2 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5001 Assicurazioni Generali SpA ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.83% | 1W +7.78%
R-5005 ENEL Societa per Azioni — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +7.27%
R-5009 Leonardo SpA ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.97% | 1W +11.07%
R-5013 Prysmian SPA ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.15% | 1W +12.74%
R-5014 Terna Rete Elettrica Nazionale — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.70% | 1W +5.70%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5004 Davide Campari Milano SpA — INSTAT +43 | 1D +0.71% | 1W +0.71%
R-5015 UniCredit SpA ADR — INSTAT +15 | 1D -2.37% | 1W +5.89%
R-5007 Ferrari NV — INSTAT -3 | 1D -0.71% | 1W +7.12%
R-5010 Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario — INSTAT -82 | 1D -2.56% | 1W +0.74%
R-5012 Prada Spa PK — INSTAT -87 | 1D -1.05% | 1W -0.32%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 17 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 16 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 18 (Mild In-Flow)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Italy's trend profile (AT 17, ST 16, IN 18) is constructive relative to most European peers, with mild inflow confirming that capital is rotating into defense, utilities, energy, and infrastructure names while luxury and credit names face distribution.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Assicurazioni Generali SpA ADR (ARZGY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.83% | 1W +7.78% | YTD -1.34%
★ ENEL Societa per Azioni (ENLAY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +7.27% | YTD +8.09%
★ Eni SpA ADR (E) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +4.05% | 1W +3.40% | YTD +50.50%
★ Leonardo SpA ADR (FINMY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.97% | 1W +11.07% | YTD +25.60%
★ Prysmian SPA ADR (PRYMY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.15% | 1W +12.74% | YTD +20.42%
★ Terna Rete Elettrica Nazionale (TEZNY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.70% | 1W +5.70% | YTD +8.74%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Banca Mediolanum SPA ADR (BNCDY.PK) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -2.83% | 1W +5.82%
→ Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR (BZZUY.PK) — INSTAT +68 | 1D +7.23% | 1W +3.34%
→ Intesa Sanpaolo SpA PK (ISNPY.PK) — INSTAT +68 | 1D -1.33% | 1W +5.84%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
Davide Campari Milano SpA (DVDCF.PK) — 3.0x avg (SURGE)
ENEL Societa per Azioni (ENLAY.PK) — 2.0x avg (Elevated)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Buzzi Unicem SpA ADR (BZZUY.PK) +7.23%
2. Eni SpA ADR (E) +4.05%
3. Natuzzi SpA (NTZ) +0.99%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. UniCredit SpA ADR (UNCRY.PK) -2.37%
2. Mediobanca Banca di Credito Finanziario (MDIBY.PK) -2.56%
3. Banca Mediolanum SPA ADR (BNCDY.PK) -2.83%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Assicurazioni
Generali SpA ADR |
ARZGY.PK |
+0.83% |
+7.78% |
-1.34% |
25 |
|
ENEL
Societa per Azioni |
ENLAY.PK |
+0.00% |
+7.27% |
+8.09% |
25 |
|
Leonardo
SpA ADR |
FINMY.PK |
-0.97% |
+11.07% |
+25.60% |
25 |
|
Prysmian
SPA ADR |
PRYMY.PK |
+0.15% |
+12.74% |
+20.42% |
25 |
|
Terna
Rete Elettrica Nazionale |
TEZNY.PK |
+0.70% |
+5.70% |
+8.74% |
25 |
|
Eni
SpA ADR |
E |
+4.05% |
+3.40% |
+50.50% |
23 |
|
Banca
Mediolanum SPA ADR |
BNCDY.PK |
-2.83% |
+5.82% |
-11.16% |
25 |
|
Buzzi
Unicem SpA ADR |
BZZUY.PK |
+7.23% |
+3.34% |
-14.15% |
25 |
|
Intesa
Sanpaolo SpA PK |
ISNPY.PK |
-1.33% |
+5.84% |
-11.10% |
25 |
|
Natuzzi
SpA |
NTZ |
+0.99% |
+7.02% |
+29.24% |
25 |
|
Davide
Campari Milano SpA |
DVDCF.PK |
+0.71% |
+0.71% |
+7.63% |
21 |
|
UniCredit
SpA ADR |
UNCRY.PK |
-2.37% |
+5.89% |
-12.49% |
12 |
|
Ferrari
NV |
RACE.K |
-0.71% |
+7.12% |
-8.00% |
5 |
|
Mediobanca
Banca di Credito .. |
MDIBY.PK |
-2.56% |
+0.74% |
-8.11% |
-24 |
|
Prada
Spa PK |
PRDSY.PK |
-1.05% |
-0.32% |
-17.74% |
-12 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Leonardo SpA ADR (FINMY.PK) at INSTAT +100 with YTD +25.60% is the anomaly leader in R-50, representing Italian defense/aerospace as a primary beneficiary of European rearmament spending — an extended leader whose structural bid is independent of the global risk-off trigger and is amplified by it. R-50's avg INSTAT of +50 with six extended leaders confirms Italy as one of Europe's strongest country allocations, concentrated in energy (Eni +50% YTD), defense, grid infrastructure, and insurance — principal risk is Italian sovereign spread widening if ECB rate policy shifts. P1 (Cara 100) has no current Italy exposure, but the defense/energy/grid cluster (FINMY, E, PRYMY, TEZNY) represents the most compelling European re-entry case when capital deployment begins.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-51 – Spain (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Europe | Instruments: 19*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +61 | Median INSTAT: +81
Avg 1-Day: -0.07% | Avg 1-Week: +5.15% | Avg 1-Month: +1.97% | Avg YTD: +4.41%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
6 |
|
Extended
Leader |
6 |
|
Building
Momentum |
3 |
|
Weakening |
2 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
2 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5109 Endesa SA ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.92% | 1W +9.83%
R-5112 Iberdrola SA — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.47% | 1W +7.74%
R-5116 Naturgy Energy Group SA ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.50% | 1W +1.33%
R-5108 Enagas SA — INSTAT +98 | 1D +1.27% | 1W +0.96%
R-5117 Puig Brands SA ADR — INSTAT +98 | 1D -4.35% | 1W +3.58%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5111 Grifols SA ADR — INSTAT +28 | 1D -0.12% | 1W +10.01%
R-5118 Red Electrica Corporacion SA ADR — INSTAT +21 | 1D +1.29% | 1W +6.43%
R-5115 Mapfre SA ADR — INSTAT +18 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +0.00%
R-5113 Industria de Diseno Textil SA ADR — INSTAT -37 | 1D -1.69% | 1W +3.63%
R-5102 Amadeus IT Holding SA PK — INSTAT -40 | 1D -0.14% | 1W +2.43%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 19 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 20 (Rising)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 21 (Mild In-Flow)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Spain is the best-trending European country in R-48 through R-56, with ST of 20 (Rising) the only European file showing short-term trend confirmation — energy utility leadership is driving trend scores positive and validating the regime thesis that utilities/energy are the European safe haven.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Enagas SA (ENGGY.PK) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +1.27% | 1W +0.96% | YTD +30.56%
★ Endesa SA ADR (ELEZY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.92% | 1W +9.83% | YTD +21.94%
★ Iberdrola SA (IBDRY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.47% | 1W +7.74% | YTD +9.28%
★ Naturgy Energy Group SA ADR (GASNY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.50% | 1W +1.33% | YTD +0.91%
★ Puig Brands SA ADR (PUGBY.PK) — INSTAT +98 | 1D -4.35% | 1W +3.58% | YTD +16.99%
★ Repsol SA (REPYY.PK) — INSTAT +95 | 1D +3.61% | 1W +1.11% | YTD +50.59%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ ACS Actividades De Construccion Y Servicios (ACSAY.PK) — INSTAT +85 | 1D -1.69% | 1W +8.79%
→ Banco Bilbao Viscaya Argentaria SA ADR (BBVA.K) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.46% | 1W +7.35%
→ Banco Santander SA ADR (SAN) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -1.38% | 1W +7.14%
→ Bankinter SA ADR (BKNIY.PK) — INSTAT +79 | 1D -1.06% | 1W +3.99%
→ Caixabank SA ADR (CAIXY.PK) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -1.48% | 1W +5.06%
Volume Signals (elevated, no ≥ 2x):
Amadeus IT Holding SA PK (AMADY.PK) — 1.5x avg (Elevated)
ACS Actividades (ACSAY.PK) — 1.3x avg
Enagas SA (ENGGY.PK) — 1.2x avg
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Repsol SA (REPYY.PK) +3.61%
2. Cellnex Telecom SA ADR (CLLNY.PK) +2.10%
3. Naturgy Energy Group SA ADR (GASNY.PK) +1.50%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. ACS Actividades De Construccion Y Servicios (ACSAY.PK) -1.69%
2. Industria de Diseno Textil SA ADR (IDEXY.PK) -1.69%
3. Puig Brands SA ADR (PUGBY.PK) -4.35%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Endesa
SA ADR |
ELEZY.PK |
+0.92% |
+9.83% |
+21.94% |
25 |
|
Iberdrola
SA |
IBDRY.PK |
+1.47% |
+7.74% |
+9.28% |
25 |
|
Naturgy
Energy Group SA ADR |
GASNY.PK |
+1.50% |
+1.33% |
+0.91% |
25 |
|
Enagas
SA |
ENGGY.PK |
+1.27% |
+0.96% |
+30.56% |
23 |
|
Puig
Brands SA ADR |
PUGBY.PK |
-4.35% |
+3.58% |
+16.99% |
23 |
|
Repsol
SA |
REPYY.PK |
+3.61% |
+1.11% |
+50.59% |
20 |
|
ACS
Actividades De Construcc.. |
ACSAY.PK |
-1.69% |
+8.79% |
+29.64% |
12 |
|
Banco
Santander SA ADR |
SAN |
-1.38% |
+7.14% |
-2.73% |
25 |
|
Caixabank
SA ADR |
CAIXY.PK |
-1.48% |
+5.06% |
-1.23% |
25 |
|
Banco
Bilbao Viscaya Argenta.. |
BBVA.K |
+0.46% |
+7.35% |
-5.96% |
25 |
|
Ferrovial |
FER.O |
-0.82% |
+6.25% |
+2.88% |
25 |
|
Bankinter
SA ADR |
BKNIY.PK |
-1.06% |
+3.99% |
-4.16% |
23 |
|
International
Consolidated A.. |
ICAGY.PK |
-1.31% |
+3.37% |
-10.98% |
25 |
|
Cellnex
Telecom SA ADR |
CLLNY.PK |
+2.10% |
+8.90% |
+3.06% |
25 |
|
Grifols
SA ADR |
GRFS.O |
-0.12% |
+10.01% |
-11.87% |
25 |
|
Red
Electrica Corporacion SA.. |
RDEIY.PK |
+1.29% |
+6.43% |
-6.92% |
18 |
|
Mapfre
SA ADR |
MPFRY.PK |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
-3.97% |
0 |
|
Industria
de Diseno Textil S.. |
IDEXY.PK |
-1.69% |
+3.63% |
-11.76% |
-14 |
|
Amadeus
IT Holding SA PK |
AMADY.PK |
-0.14% |
+2.43% |
-22.40% |
10 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Enagas SA (ENGGY.PK) at INSTAT +98 with YTD +30.56% is the standout extended leader in R-51, representing Spain's regulated gas transmission infrastructure as a high-visibility defensive cash flow asset in an environment where European energy security expenditure is structurally elevated post-2022. Spain is the highest-scoring European country in Batch 5 (avg INSTAT +61, median +81, ST 20), confirming coordinated capital inflow into energy utilities (Endesa, Iberdrola, Naturgy, Enagas, Repsol) and construction/infrastructure (ACS +29.64% YTD) — the principal risk is Iberian power market reform and regulatory tariff revisions. The Spain utility cluster is directly relevant to P1 (Cara 100) as a potential international defensive reentry point, with IBDRY and ELEZY representing the most liquid ADR expressions of this trade.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-52 – Netherlands (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Europe | Instruments: 24*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +28 | Median INSTAT: +66
Avg 1-Day: -0.02% | Avg 1-Week: +4.49% | Avg 1-Month: -3.26% | Avg YTD: +0.17%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
6 |
|
Extended
Leader |
6 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
4 |
|
Weakening |
3 |
|
Correcting |
2 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
2 |
|
Building
Momentum |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5203 ageas SA/NV — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.64% | 1W +6.46%
R-5208 BE Semiconductor Industries NV ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.62% | 1W +11.61%
R-5210 Euronext NV ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D -5.35% | 1W +8.77%
R-5213 Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.28% | 1W +5.53%
R-5216 NN Group NV ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.52% | 1W +6.77%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5218 Prosus NV ADR — INSTAT -52 | 1D -1.17% | 1W +3.69%
R-5214 Koninklijke Philips NV ADR — INSTAT -78 | 1D -0.66% | 1W +1.23%
R-5201 Adyen NV — INSTAT -87 | 1D -2.21% | 1W -0.51%
R-5204 Akzo Nobel NV ADR — INSTAT -90 | 1D -0.21% | 1W +0.59%
R-5220 Randstad Holdings NV — INSTAT -97 | 1D -1.23% | 1W -2.87%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 13 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 10 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 5 (Flat)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Netherlands shows a wide dispersion between winners and losers that depresses the averages; intermediate flow near zero (5) confirms selective sector rotation rather than broad Netherlands exposure — insurance, food retail, and semis are receiving flows while staffing, paints, and fintechs are under liquidation pressure.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ ageas SA/NV (AGESY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.64% | 1W +6.46% | YTD +6.93%
★ BE Semiconductor Industries NV ADR (BESIY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.62% | 1W +11.61% | YTD +42.74%
★ Euronext NV ADR (ERNXY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -5.35% | 1W +8.77% | YTD +10.74%
★ Koninklijke Ahold Delhaize NV ADR (ADRNY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.28% | 1W +5.53% | YTD +18.22%
★ NN Group NV ADR (NNGRY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.52% | 1W +6.77% | YTD +4.55%
★ STMicroelectronics NV ADR (STM) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.58% | 1W +5.47% | YTD +32.31%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Akzo Nobel NV ADR (AKZOY.PK) — INSTAT -90 | 1D -0.21% | 1W +0.59% | YTD -18.75%
▼ Randstad Holdings NV (RANJY.PK) — INSTAT -97 | 1D -1.23% | 1W -2.87% | YTD -31.82%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Aegon NV ADR (AEG) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -0.14% | 1W +7.29%
→ argenx NV ADR (ARGX.O) — INSTAT +73 | 1D +0.44% | 1W +7.96%
→ ASM International NV ADR (ASMIY.PK) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.30% | 1W +4.36%
→ ING Group NV ADR (ING) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.93% | 1W +7.14%
→ Nebius Group NV (NBIS.O) — INSTAT +85 | 1D +6.74% | 1W +7.93%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
Akzo Nobel NV ADR (AKZOY.PK) — 3.2x avg (SURGE)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Nebius Group NV (NBIS.O) +6.74%
2. BE Semiconductor Industries NV ADR (BESIY.PK) +2.62%
3. Qiagen NV (QGEN.K) +1.61%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Adyen NV (ADYEY.PK) -2.21%
2. ASML Holding NV ADR (ASML.O) -3.13%
3. Euronext NV ADR (ERNXY.PK) -5.35%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
ageas
SA/NV |
AGESY.PK |
+0.64% |
+6.46% |
+6.93% |
25 |
|
BE
Semiconductor Industries .. |
BESIY.PK |
+2.62% |
+11.61% |
+42.74% |
25 |
|
Euronext
NV ADR |
ERNXY.PK |
-5.35% |
+8.77% |
+10.74% |
25 |
|
Koninklijke
Ahold Delhaize N.. |
ADRNY.PK |
+1.28% |
+5.53% |
+18.22% |
25 |
|
NN
Group NV ADR |
NNGRY.PK |
+0.52% |
+6.77% |
+4.55% |
25 |
|
STMicroelectronics
NV ADR |
STM |
-0.58% |
+5.47% |
+32.31% |
25 |
|
Nebius
Group NV |
NBIS.O |
+6.74% |
+7.93% |
+30.00% |
25 |
|
Aegon
NV ADR |
AEG |
-0.14% |
+7.29% |
-4.54% |
25 |
|
ASM
International NV ADR |
ASMIY.PK |
+0.30% |
+4.36% |
+28.90% |
24 |
|
ING
Group NV ADR |
ING |
-0.93% |
+7.14% |
-5.14% |
23 |
|
Shell
PLC ADR |
SHEL.K |
+1.16% |
+1.01% |
+26.70% |
6 |
|
argenx
NV ADR |
ARGX.O |
+0.44% |
+7.96% |
-11.24% |
17 |
|
Regeneron
Pharmaceuticals Inc |
REGN.O |
-1.98% |
+3.27% |
-1.30% |
14 |
|
Wolters
Kluwer NV |
WTKWY.PK |
+1.04% |
+5.96% |
-27.00% |
25 |
|
Qiagen
NV |
QGEN.K |
+1.61% |
+5.02% |
-8.91% |
25 |
|
Elastic
NV |
ESTC.K |
+1.52% |
+4.43% |
-32.83% |
24 |
|
Heineken
NV |
HEINY.PK |
-0.20% |
+4.05% |
-4.31% |
21 |
|
ASML
Holding NV ADR |
ASML.O |
-3.13% |
+1.13% |
+23.12% |
-24 |
|
NXP
Semiconductors NV |
NXPI.O |
-0.53% |
+1.51% |
-10.37% |
14 |
|
Prosus
NV ADR |
PROSY.PK |
-1.17% |
+3.69% |
-25.00% |
5 |
|
Koninklijke
Philips NV ADR |
PHG |
-0.66% |
+1.23% |
+0.11% |
-21 |
|
Adyen
NV |
ADYEY.PK |
-2.21% |
-0.51% |
-39.01% |
-12 |
|
Akzo
Nobel NV ADR |
AKZOY.PK |
-0.21% |
+0.59% |
-18.75% |
-15 |
|
Randstad
Holdings NV |
RANJY.PK |
-1.23% |
-2.87% |
-31.82% |
-22 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
BE Semiconductor Industries NV ADR (BESIY.PK) at INSTAT +100 with YTD +42.74% is the anomaly leader in R-52 — a semiconductor packaging equipment specialist that has sustained extended leadership despite the global tech selloff, driven by structural AI back-end chip demand that is decoupled from the cyclical risk-off trigger of Feb 27. Netherlands' avg INSTAT of +28 (median +66) understates the quality of the top-tier cluster — six extended leaders across insurance (ageas, NN), food retail (Ahold), exchange (Euronext), and semis (BESIY, STM) form a defensively positioned group, while Randstad (-97), Adyen (-87), and Akzo Nobel (-90) confirm that staffing, fintech, and industrials are in full distribution. For P5 (Evolutionary Tech), BESIY at INSTAT +100 with structural AI tailwinds is a candidate for inclusion when the capital deployment signal triggers.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-53 – Nordic Countries (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Europe | Instruments: 25*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +36 | Median INSTAT: +47
Avg 1-Day: +0.57% | Avg 1-Week: +5.48% | Avg 1-Month: -3.25% | Avg YTD: +4.19%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Building
Momentum |
9 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
5 |
|
Extended
Leader |
5 |
|
Weakening |
3 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
2 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5307 DNB Bank ASA — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.71% | 1W +6.11%
R-5309 Equinor ASA ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +3.37% | 1W +0.53%
R-5310 Fortum Oyj ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.19% | 1W +10.16%
R-5315 Nokia Corp ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +6.65% | 1W +10.53%
R-5322 Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.48% | 1W +4.31%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5320 Svenska Handelsbanken PK — INSTAT -19 | 1D +1.36% | 1W +7.37%
R-5312 H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB ADR — INSTAT -25 | 1D -1.61% | 1W +3.67%
R-5302 AP Moeller-Maersk AS — INSTAT -32 | 1D -0.89% | 1W -1.37%
R-5306 Coloplast A — INSTAT -52 | 1D -0.72% | 1W +2.69%
R-5313 Hexagon AB ADR — INSTAT -98 | 1D -2.46% | 1W +2.14%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 14 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 11 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 11 (Mild In-Flow)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Moderate trend profile with mild intermediate inflows concentrated in energy (Equinor), utilities (Fortum), and telecom (Nokia, Ericsson) while shipping (Maersk) and industrials (Hexagon) are in distribution — regime alignment is partial, not broad.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ DNB Bank ASA (DNBBY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.71% | 1W +6.11% | YTD +12.82%
★ Equinor ASA ADR (EQNR.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +3.37% | 1W +0.53% | YTD +76.68%
★ Fortum Oyj ADR (FOJCY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.19% | 1W +10.16% | YTD +17.62%
★ Nokia Corp ADR (NOK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +6.65% | 1W +10.53% | YTD +36.32%
★ Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR (ERIC.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.48% | 1W +4.31% | YTD +20.41%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Hexagon AB ADR (HXGBY.PK) — INSTAT -98 | 1D -2.46% | 1W +2.14% | YTD -18.82%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Assa Abloy AB (ASAZY.PK) — INSTAT +80 | 1D +1.37% | 1W +6.88%
→ Vestas Wind Systems AS (VWDRY.PK) — INSTAT +68 | 1D -1.26% | 1W +5.75%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
Svenska Handelsbanken PK (SVNLY.PK) — 2.6x avg (SURGE)
Vestas Wind Systems AS (VWDRY.PK) — 2.5x avg (SURGE)
Swedbank AB (SWDBY.PK) — 2.4x avg (SURGE)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Nokia Corp ADR (NOK) +6.65%
2. Spotify Technology SA (SPOT.K) +4.03%
3. Equinor ASA ADR (EQNR.K) +3.37%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Vestas Wind Systems AS (VWDRY.PK) -1.26%
2. H & M Hennes & Mauritz AB ADR (HNNMY.PK) -1.61%
3. Hexagon AB ADR (HXGBY.PK) -2.46%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
DNB
Bank ASA |
DNBBY.PK |
+0.71% |
+6.11% |
+12.82% |
25 |
|
Equinor
ASA ADR |
EQNR.K |
+3.37% |
+0.53% |
+76.68% |
25 |
|
Fortum
Oyj ADR |
FOJCY.PK |
+2.19% |
+10.16% |
+17.62% |
25 |
|
Nokia
Corp ADR |
NOK |
+6.65% |
+10.53% |
+36.32% |
25 |
|
Telefonaktiebolaget
LM Erics.. |
ERIC.O |
+1.48% |
+4.31% |
+20.41% |
25 |
|
Assa
Abloy AB |
ASAZY.PK |
+1.37% |
+6.88% |
-4.25% |
25 |
|
Vestas
Wind Systems AS |
VWDRY.PK |
-1.26% |
+5.75% |
+4.92% |
4 |
|
DSV
Panalpina A/S ADR |
DSDVY.PK |
-0.03% |
+6.16% |
-3.56% |
25 |
|
Nordea
Bank Abp ADR |
NRDBY.PK |
-0.34% |
+7.95% |
-6.71% |
25 |
|
Swedbank
AB |
SWDBY.PK |
+0.44% |
+6.54% |
-0.35% |
25 |
|
Alfa
Laval AB ADR |
ALFVY.PK |
-0.38% |
+4.66% |
+10.04% |
2 |
|
Oersted
AS DRC |
DNNGY.PK |
-0.49% |
+13.08% |
+29.68% |
25 |
|
Volvo
AB ADR |
VLVLY.PK |
-0.66% |
+5.48% |
+3.69% |
18 |
|
Genmab
AS |
GMAB.O |
+1.03% |
+6.51% |
-10.71% |
25 |
|
Telenor
ASA ADR |
TELNY.PK |
-1.08% |
+2.48% |
+18.89% |
8 |
|
Atlas
Copco AB |
ATLKY.PK |
+0.06% |
+6.52% |
+0.34% |
25 |
|
Boliden
AB ADR |
BDNNY.PK |
+0.03% |
+11.89% |
-1.19% |
25 |
|
Kone
Oyj ADR |
KNYJY.PK |
-0.03% |
+0.97% |
-10.14% |
23 |
|
Spotify
Technology SA |
SPOT.K |
+4.03% |
+3.49% |
-15.80% |
25 |
|
Novo
Nordisk A/S |
NVO |
+1.37% |
+2.61% |
-27.32% |
25 |
|
Svenska
Handelsbanken PK |
SVNLY.PK |
+1.36% |
+7.37% |
-7.46% |
-5 |
|
H
& M Hennes & Mauritz AB ADR |
HNNMY.PK |
-1.61% |
+3.67% |
-8.02% |
-21 |
|
AP
Moeller-Maersk AS |
AMKBY.PK |
-0.89% |
-1.37% |
+6.82% |
-25 |
|
Coloplast
A |
CLPBY.PK |
-0.72% |
+2.69% |
-19.18% |
-8 |
|
Hexagon
AB ADR |
HXGBY.PK |
-2.46% |
+2.14% |
-18.82% |
-23 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Equinor ASA ADR (EQNR.K) at INSTAT +100 with a YTD return of +76.68% is the dominant extended leader in R-53 — Norway's state-integrated energy operator is the single best-performing large-cap in Batch 5 by YTD return, driven by oil price tailwinds and Nordic energy security positioning in the post-Feb-27 risk-off regime. R-53's avg INSTAT of +36 conceals a strong top-tier cluster (EQNR, NOK, ERIC, Fortum, DNB) that collectively reflects Scandinavia's energy/telecom/banking triumvirate as a safe-haven rotation, while Hexagon (-98), Coloplast (-52), and H&M (-25) confirm distribution in industrials and consumer; three Swedish bank volume surges (SHB 2.6x, Swedbank 2.4x) signal institutional repositioning that warrants monitoring. Nokia (NOK) at INSTAT +100 with +6.65% 1-day gain and +36.32% YTD is worth flagging for P5 (Evolutionary Tech) given its 5G infrastructure exposure and risk-off-compatible telecom profile.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-54 – Switzerland (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Europe | Instruments: 13*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +15 | Median INSTAT: +16
Avg 1-Day: -0.73% | Avg 1-Week: +4.16% | Avg 1-Month: -8.20% | Avg YTD: -3.93%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
5 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
4 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
2 |
|
Building
Momentum |
1 |
|
Correcting |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5405 Garmin Ltd — INSTAT +84 | 1D +0.03% | 1W +3.25%
R-5412 Swiss Re Ltd — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.96% | 1W +4.31%
R-5402 Chubb Ltd — INSTAT +75 | 1D +0.36% | 1W +2.90%
R-5413 UBS Group AG — INSTAT +71 | 1D -0.78% | 1W +8.29%
R-5409 Novartis AG ADR — INSTAT +70 | 1D -0.68% | 1W +3.95%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5403 Compagnie Financiere Richemont — INSTAT +5 | 1D -0.67% | 1W +4.26%
R-5407 Lonza Group AG — INSTAT +1 | 1D -1.16% | 1W +4.43%
R-5408 Nestle SA ADR — INSTAT -80 | 1D -0.81% | 1W +2.47%
R-5410 On Holding AG — INSTAT -97 | 1D -5.00% | 1W +1.98%
R-5401 Alcon AG — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.26% | 1W +1.66%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 4 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 8 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 3 (Flat)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Switzerland's trend scores are the weakest of any European file (AT 4, IN 3), confirming that the Swiss market as a whole is not receiving capital — the Franc's safe-haven appreciation is weighing on exporters and the domestic economy; only reinsurance and insurance names show independent inflow.
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Alcon AG (ALC) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.26% | 1W +1.66% | YTD -5.39%
▼ On Holding AG (ONON.K) — INSTAT -97 | 1D -5.00% | 1W +1.98% | YTD -28.94%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Chubb Ltd (CB) — INSTAT +75 | 1D +0.36% | 1W +2.90%
→ Garmin Ltd (GRMN.K) — INSTAT +84 | 1D +0.03% | 1W +3.25%
→ Novartis AG ADR (NVS) — INSTAT +70 | 1D -0.68% | 1W +3.95%
→ Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY.PK) — INSTAT +81 | 1D +0.96% | 1W +4.31%
→ UBS Group AG (UBS) — INSTAT +71 | 1D -0.78% | 1W +8.29%
Volume Signals (elevated, no ≥ 2x):
Compagnie Financiere Richemont (CFRUY.PK) — 1.5x avg (Elevated)
Roche Holding Ltd ADR (RHHBY.PK) — 1.4x avg (Elevated)
On Holding AG (ONON.K) — 1.3x avg (Elevated)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Crispr Therapeutics AG (CRSP.O) +1.43%
2. Swiss Re Ltd (SSREY.PK) +0.96%
3. Chubb Ltd (CB) +0.36%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Lonza Group AG (LZAGY.PK) -1.16%
2. Alcon AG (ALC) -1.26%
3. On Holding AG (ONON.K) -5.00%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Garmin
Ltd |
GRMN.K |
+0.03% |
+3.25% |
+17.16% |
9 |
|
Swiss
Re Ltd |
SSREY.PK |
+0.96% |
+4.31% |
+0.17% |
25 |
|
Chubb
Ltd |
CB |
+0.36% |
+2.90% |
+5.19% |
0 |
|
UBS
Group AG |
UBS |
-0.78% |
+8.29% |
-14.86% |
15 |
|
Novartis
AG ADR |
NVS |
-0.68% |
+3.95% |
+11.72% |
6 |
|
Julius
Baer Group Ltd |
JBAXY.PK |
-0.80% |
+5.21% |
-4.35% |
23 |
|
Crispr
Therapeutics AG |
CRSP.O |
+1.43% |
+8.22% |
-5.59% |
24 |
|
Roche
Holding Ltd ADR |
RHHBY.PK |
-1.09% |
+3.19% |
-3.34% |
12 |
|
Compagnie
Financiere Richemont |
CFRUY.PK |
-0.67% |
+4.26% |
-17.05% |
16 |
|
Lonza
Group AG |
LZAGY.PK |
-1.16% |
+4.43% |
-4.82% |
-6 |
|
Nestle
SA ADR |
NSRGY.PK |
-0.81% |
+2.47% |
-1.02% |
-25 |
|
On
Holding AG |
ONON.K |
-5.00% |
+1.98% |
-28.94% |
-22 |
|
Alcon
AG |
ALC |
-1.26% |
+1.66% |
-5.39% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Chubb Ltd (CB) at INSTAT +75 is the lead instrument in R-54 — as the world's largest publicly traded P&C insurer, Chubb's defensive cash flow profile and global catastrophe pricing power make it a natural beneficiary in a risk-off regime where institutional capital seeks actuarially-sound, low-beta non-cyclical names. Switzerland's avg INSTAT of +15 with the weakest trend profile (AT 4) in the European bloc confirms that CHF strength is compressing export competitiveness while consumers (Nestle -80), medtech (Alcon -100), and athleisure (On Holding -97) are in terminal liquidation — the principal risk is that Swiss macro deterioration spreads beyond consumer into financial names. The insurance cluster (CB, SSREY) and Garmin (GRMN) represent the only R-54 instruments consistent with a capital preservation allocation thesis; Chubb's correlation to P1 (Cara 100) insurance exposure makes it a watchlist candidate.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-55 – UK (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Europe | Instruments: 19*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +59 | Median INSTAT: +79
Avg 1-Day: +0.28% | Avg 1-Week: +4.34% | Avg 1-Month: +0.14% | Avg YTD: +15.95%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
9 |
|
Building
Momentum |
4 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
3 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
2 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5502 AstraZeneca PLC ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.34% | 1W +7.96%
R-5505 BP PLC ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.06% | 1W +0.94%
R-5508 GSK plc DRC — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.25% | 1W +5.29%
R-5511 Linde PLC — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.78% | 1W +2.34%
R-5513 LyondellBasell Industries NV — INSTAT +100 | 1D +3.77% | 1W -1.06%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5517 Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC — INSTAT +54 | 1D +2.24% | 1W +9.18%
R-5506 British American Tobacco PLC ADR — INSTAT +28 | 1D +0.67% | 1W +0.83%
R-5516 Relx PLC ADR — INSTAT +15 | 1D +1.08% | 1W +5.07%
R-5507 Diageo PLC ADR — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.76% | 1W -1.01%
R-5518 Unilever PLC ADR — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.09% | 1W -6.60%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 14 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 16 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 29 (Mild In-Flow)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: UK is one of the strongest European files with IN of +29 reflecting meaningful capital inflow into energy (BP, LYB), pharma (AZN, GSK), industrial gas (Linde), and defense (BAE) — a cluster that maps precisely to the risk-off regime thesis of defensive cash flow and energy security.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ AstraZeneca PLC ADR (AZN.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.34% | 1W +7.96% | YTD +121.27%
★ BAE Systems PLC (BAESY.PK) — INSTAT +98 | 1D -0.91% | 1W +10.99% | YTD +30.87%
★ BP PLC ADR (BP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.06% | 1W +0.94% | YTD +35.68%
★ GSK plc DRC (GSK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.25% | 1W +5.29% | YTD +15.60%
★ HSBC Holdings PLC ADR (HSBC.K) — INSTAT +97 | 1D -1.23% | 1W +6.59% | YTD +7.30%
★ Linde PLC (LIN.O) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.78% | 1W +2.34% | YTD +17.87%
★ LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +3.77% | 1W -1.06% | YTD +83.83%
★ National Grid PLC ADR (NGG) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.32% | 1W +7.41% | YTD +13.76%
★ Vodafone Group PLC ADR (VOD.O) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.53% | 1W +4.97% | YTD +15.14%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Diageo PLC ADR (DEO) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.76% | 1W -1.01% | YTD -15.01%
▼ Unilever PLC ADR (UL) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.09% | 1W -6.60% | YTD -15.21%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Barclays PLC ADR (BCS) — INSTAT +79 | 1D -0.14% | 1W +7.71%
→ Lloyds Banking Group PLC ADR (LYG) — INSTAT +68 | 1D -0.19% | 1W +7.87%
→ Natwest Group PLC (NWG) — INSTAT +73 | 1D -1.67% | 1W +7.15%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC (RYCEF.PK) — 3.3x avg (SURGE)
BP PLC ADR (BP) — 2.1x avg (SURGE)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) +3.77%
2. Rolls-Royce Holdings PLC (RYCEF.PK) +2.24%
3. BP PLC ADR (BP) +2.06%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Natwest Group PLC (NWG) -1.67%
2. Diageo PLC ADR (DEO) -1.76%
3. Arm Holdings ADR (ARM.O) -3.86%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
AstraZeneca
PLC ADR |
AZN.O |
+1.34% |
+7.96% |
+121.27% |
25 |
|
BP
PLC ADR |
BP |
+2.06% |
+0.94% |
+35.68% |
25 |
|
GSK
plc DRC |
GSK |
+1.25% |
+5.29% |
+15.60% |
25 |
|
Linde
PLC |
LIN.O |
+1.78% |
+2.34% |
+17.87% |
25 |
|
LyondellBasell
Industries NV |
LYB |
+3.77% |
-1.06% |
+83.83% |
25 |
|
National
Grid PLC ADR |
NGG |
+1.32% |
+7.41% |
+13.76% |
25 |
|
BAE
Systems PLC |
BAESY.PK |
-0.91% |
+10.99% |
+30.87% |
23 |
|
Vodafone
Group PLC ADR |
VOD.O |
+0.53% |
+4.97% |
+15.14% |
23 |
|
HSBC
Holdings PLC ADR |
HSBC.K |
-1.23% |
+6.59% |
+7.30% |
22 |
|
Barclays
PLC ADR |
BCS |
-0.14% |
+7.71% |
-14.34% |
23 |
|
Natwest
Group PLC |
NWG |
-1.67% |
+7.15% |
-12.63% |
17 |
|
Lloyds
Banking Group PLC ADR |
LYG |
-0.19% |
+7.87% |
-1.70% |
12 |
|
InterContinental
Hotels Grou.. |
IHG |
+0.16% |
+3.32% |
-4.92% |
3 |
|
Arm
Holdings ADR |
ARM.O |
-3.86% |
+3.43% |
+36.38% |
4 |
|
Rolls-Royce
Holdings PLC |
RYCEF.PK |
+2.24% |
+9.18% |
+3.09% |
25 |
|
British
American Tobacco PLC.. |
BTI |
+0.67% |
+0.83% |
+2.93% |
-5 |
|
Relx
PLC ADR |
RELX.K |
+1.08% |
+5.07% |
-16.90% |
25 |
|
Diageo
PLC ADR |
DEO |
-1.76% |
-1.01% |
-15.01% |
-25 |
|
Unilever
PLC ADR |
UL |
-1.09% |
-6.60% |
-15.21% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
AstraZeneca PLC ADR (AZN.O) at INSTAT +100 with a YTD return of +121.27% is the defining anomaly of R-55 and one of the most exceptional extended leaders across all of Batch 5 — AZN's oncology pipeline execution, geographic revenue diversification, and defensive pharma classification make it a primary beneficiary of the global risk-off rotation that began Feb 27. R-55's avg INSTAT of +59 with nine extended leaders is the strongest European country file in Batch 5, reflecting the UK market's heavy weighting toward energy (BP, LYB), industrial gas (Linde), pharma (AZN, GSK), defense (BAE), grid (National Grid), and banking — names that collectively align with the regime's capital preservation mandate; the principal risk is sterling weakness amplifying input cost pressure for domestically exposed names. AZN is directly relevant to P1 (Cara 100), which holds it as an international name, and this INSTAT +100 reading with 1W +7.96% confirms it remains in full extended leadership — no action warranted under current 100% cash position.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-56 – Israel (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Europe | Instruments: 11*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: -2 | Median INSTAT: -3
Avg 1-Day: -0.50% | Avg 1-Week: +2.98% | Avg 1-Month: -4.82% | Avg YTD: -6.06%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
6 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
1 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
|
Extended
Leader |
1 |
|
Correcting |
1 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5606 Israel Discount Bank Ltd ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +0.00%
R-5602 Elbit Systems Ltd — INSTAT +86 | 1D -0.84% | 1W +2.20%
R-5610 Nova — INSTAT +8 | 1D -0.79% | 1W +0.34%
R-5609 Nice Ltd ADR — INSTAT +2 | 1D +2.81% | 1W +4.48%
R-5607 Mobileye Global Inc — INSTAT -1 | 1D +0.81% | 1W +10.70%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5604 Global-E Online Ltd — INSTAT -3 | 1D +0.39% | 1W +7.78%
R-5605 ICL Israel Chemicals Ltd — INSTAT -4 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +0.77%
R-5603 eToro Group Ltd — INSTAT -32 | 1D -0.43% | 1W +2.86%
R-5608 Monday.Com Ltd — INSTAT -71 | 1D +0.35% | 1W +2.81%
R-5611 Wix.Com Ltd — INSTAT -100 | 1D -9.45% | 1W -5.96%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 11 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 11 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -23 (Mild Out-Flow)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Israel's intermediate flow of -23 (mild outflow) with flat trend scores indicates capital withdrawal from the Israeli tech cluster — SaaS/software names are under sustained distribution while defense (Elbit) remains isolated in positive momentum.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Israel Discount Bank Ltd ADR (ISDAY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +0.00% | YTD +12.02%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Wix.Com Ltd (WIX.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -9.45% | 1W -5.96% | YTD -21.12%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT.O) — INSTAT +86 | 1D -0.84% | 1W +2.20%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
Wix.Com Ltd (WIX.O) — 2.3x avg (SURGE)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Nice Ltd ADR (NICE.O) +2.81%
2. Check Point Software Technologies Ltd (CHKP.O) +1.69%
3. Mobileye Global Inc (MBLY.O) +0.81%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Nova (NVMI.O) -0.79%
2. Elbit Systems Ltd (ESLT.O) -0.84%
3. Wix.Com Ltd (WIX.O) -9.45%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Israel
Discount Bank Ltd ADR |
ISDAY.PK |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
+12.02% |
25 |
|
Elbit
Systems Ltd |
ESLT.O |
-0.84% |
+2.20% |
+53.88% |
13 |
|
Nova |
NVMI.O |
-0.79% |
+0.34% |
+34.67% |
-14 |
|
Nice
Ltd ADR |
NICE.O |
+2.81% |
+4.48% |
+0.14% |
25 |
|
Mobileye
Global Inc |
MBLY.O |
+0.81% |
+10.70% |
-28.64% |
25 |
|
Check
Point Software Technol.. |
CHKP.O |
+1.69% |
+6.76% |
-20.12% |
25 |
|
Global-E
Online Ltd |
GLBE.O |
+0.39% |
+7.78% |
-20.68% |
25 |
|
ICL
Israel Chemicals Ltd |
ICL |
+0.00% |
+0.77% |
-8.23% |
6 |
|
eToro
Group Ltd |
ETOR.O |
-0.43% |
+2.86% |
-14.94% |
14 |
|
Monday.Com
Ltd |
MNDY.O |
+0.35% |
+2.81% |
-53.69% |
2 |
|
Wix.Com
Ltd |
WIX.O |
-9.45% |
-5.96% |
-21.12% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Israel Discount Bank Ltd ADR (ISDAY.PK) at INSTAT +100 is the anomalous outlier in R-56 — a micro-liquidity extended leader with zero 1-day and 1-week price movement despite maximum INSTAT, suggesting its score is driven purely by long-term trend and intermediate inflow metrics rather than active price discovery, making it structurally bifurcated from the rest of the file. R-56 has the lowest avg INSTAT (-2) of all European files and one of the lowest in Batch 5, with Israeli tech (Monday.Com -71, Wix -100, Check Point -3, Mobileye -1) uniformly under distribution — the intermediate outflow of -23 confirms institutional withdrawal from Israeli growth tech, driven by geopolitical risk premium and high-multiple compression in the risk-off regime. The only actionable signal in R-56 is Elbit Systems (ESLT.O) at INSTAT +86 and YTD +53.88%, which as a defense electronics prime contractor merits P4 (International Homeland Security) consideration when capital deployment begins.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-57 – India (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Asia-Pacific | Instruments: 6*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: -44 | Median INSTAT: -42
Avg 1-Day: +1.51% | Avg 1-Week: +3.78% | Avg 1-Month: -10.69% | Avg YTD: -24.93%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
3 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
2 |
|
Correcting |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5703 Infosys Ltd ADR — INSTAT +15 | 1D +3.31% | 1W +7.09%
R-5704 MakeMyTrip Limited — INSTAT -3 | 1D +5.17% | 1W +9.75%
R-5706 Wipro Limited ADR — INSTAT -19 | 1D +2.37% | 1W +3.85%
R-5705 Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd ADR — INSTAT -66 | 1D -1.11% | 1W -1.19%
R-5701 HDFC Bank Limited ADR — INSTAT -94 | 1D -0.28% | 1W +1.97%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5704 MakeMyTrip Limited — INSTAT -3 | 1D +5.17% | 1W +9.75%
R-5706 Wipro Limited ADR — INSTAT -19 | 1D +2.37% | 1W +3.85%
R-5705 Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd ADR — INSTAT -66 | 1D -1.11% | 1W -1.19%
R-5701 HDFC Bank Limited ADR — INSTAT -94 | 1D -0.28% | 1W +1.97%
R-5702 Icici Bank Limited ADR — INSTAT -98 | 1D -0.43% | 1W +1.23%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 3 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): -3 (Soft)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -44 (Heavy Out-Flow)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: India shows the most severe intermediate outflow reading of any Asia-Pacific file (IN -44), with short-term trend turning negative — Indian banks are in terminal distribution and IT services names, while generating positive 1-day returns, remain under structural liquidation pressure.
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ HDFC Bank Limited ADR (HDB) — INSTAT -94 | 1D -0.28% | 1W +1.97% | YTD -32.05%
▼ Icici Bank Limited ADR (IBN) — INSTAT -98 | 1D -0.43% | 1W +1.23% | YTD -14.06%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd ADR (RDY) — 2.0x avg (SURGE)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. MakeMyTrip Limited (MMYT.O) +5.17%
2. Infosys Ltd ADR (INFY.K) +3.31%
3. Wipro Limited ADR (WIT) +2.37%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. HDFC Bank Limited ADR (HDB) -0.28%
2. Icici Bank Limited ADR (IBN) -0.43%
3. Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd ADR (RDY) -1.11%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Infosys
Ltd ADR |
INFY.K |
+3.31% |
+7.09% |
-22.90% |
25 |
|
MakeMyTrip
Limited |
MMYT.O |
+5.17% |
+9.75% |
-51.49% |
25 |
|
Wipro
Limited ADR |
WIT |
+2.37% |
+3.85% |
-23.94% |
18 |
|
Dr.
Reddy's Laboratories Ltd.. |
RDY |
-1.11% |
-1.19% |
-5.13% |
-9 |
|
HDFC
Bank Limited ADR |
HDB |
-0.28% |
+1.97% |
-32.05% |
-19 |
|
Icici
Bank Limited ADR |
IBN |
-0.43% |
+1.23% |
-14.06% |
-23 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Infosys Ltd ADR (INFY.K) at INSTAT +15 is the lead instrument in R-57 by default — the positive 1D (+3.31%) and 1W (+7.09%) are rebounds in a structurally liquidating file, as the YTD loss of -22.90% and heavy intermediate outflow (IN -35) confirm Infosys is not a bottoming setup but a dead-cat recovery within a downtrend. R-57 carries the second-lowest avg INSTAT in Batch 5 at -44, driven by Indian banking in confirmed terminal liquidation (HDFC -94, ICICI -98) and an IT sector whose YTD losses of -22% to -52% reflect multiple compression in global growth tech combined with INR/USD headwinds; the principal risk is further outflow acceleration if Indian macro deterioration forces FII selling. No P1–P7 portfolio relevance is flagged for India in the current capital preservation mode — the entire R-57 file is an avoidance signal until INSTAT averages recover above the grand mean of +23.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-58 – Singapore (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Asia-Pacific | Instruments: 9*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +45 | Median INSTAT: +83
Avg 1-Day: -0.26% | Avg 1-Week: +2.74% | Avg 1-Month: +2.91% | Avg YTD: +5.36%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
4 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
2 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
1 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
1 |
|
Building
Momentum |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5801 DBS Group Holdings Ltd ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.14% | 1W +2.00%
R-5807 Singapore Technologies Engineering — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +3.62%
R-5806 Singapore Exchange Ltd ADR — INSTAT +97 | 1D +0.13% | 1W +3.15%
R-5803 Oversea Chinese Banking Corporation — INSTAT +92 | 1D -0.46% | 1W +4.92%
R-5805 Singapore Airlines Ltd — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.10% | 1W +1.07%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5805 Singapore Airlines Ltd — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.10% | 1W +1.07%
R-5809 Wilmar International Ltd — INSTAT +32 | 1D -0.10% | 1W +2.66%
R-5808 Singapore Telecommunications PK — INSTAT +14 | 1D -0.79% | 1W +0.74%
R-5804 Sea Ltd — INSTAT -14 | 1D +0.15% | 1W +5.27%
R-5802 Grab Holdings Ltd — INSTAT -96 | 1D -1.50% | 1W +1.26%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 9 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 12 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 24 (Mild In-Flow)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Singapore shows positive intermediate inflow (24) concentrated in banking (DBS), defense/engineering (STE), exchange (SGX), and banking (OCBC) — a defensive cluster consistent with Singapore's role as a capital flow hub in regional risk-off positioning.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ DBS Group Holdings Ltd ADR (DBSDY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.14% | 1W +2.00% | YTD +2.60%
★ Singapore Exchange Ltd ADR (SPXCY.PK) — INSTAT +97 | 1D +0.13% | 1W +3.15% | YTD +18.87%
★ Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR (SGGKY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +3.62% | YTD +36.62%
★ Oversea Chinese Banking Corporation Ltd (OVCHY.PK) — INSTAT +92 | 1D -0.46% | 1W +4.92% | YTD +13.05%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Grab Holdings Ltd (GRAB.O) — INSTAT -96 | 1D -1.50% | 1W +1.26% | YTD -27.56%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Singapore Airlines Ltd (SINGY.PK) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.10% | 1W +1.07%
Volume Signals (elevated, no ≥ 2x):
Singapore Airlines Ltd (SINGY.PK) — 1.9x avg (Elevated)
Oversea Chinese Banking Corporation Ltd (OVCHY.PK) — 1.5x avg (Elevated)
Wilmar International Ltd (WLMIY.PK) — 1.5x avg (Elevated)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Sea Ltd (SE) +0.15%
2. DBS Group Holdings Ltd ADR (DBSDY.PK) +0.14%
3. Singapore Exchange Ltd ADR (SPXCY.PK) +0.13%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Oversea Chinese Banking Corporation Ltd (OVCHY.PK) -0.46%
2. Singapore Telecommunications PK (SGAPY.PK) -0.79%
3. Grab Holdings Ltd (GRAB.O) -1.50%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
DBS
Group Holdings Ltd ADR |
DBSDY.PK |
+0.14% |
+2.00% |
+2.60% |
25 |
|
Singapore
Technologies Engin.. |
SGGKY.PK |
+0.00% |
+3.62% |
+36.62% |
25 |
|
Singapore
Exchange Ltd ADR |
SPXCY.PK |
+0.13% |
+3.15% |
+18.87% |
22 |
|
Oversea
Chinese Banking Corp.. |
OVCHY.PK |
-0.46% |
+4.92% |
+13.05% |
17 |
|
Singapore
Airlines Ltd |
SINGY.PK |
+0.10% |
+1.07% |
+4.94% |
25 |
|
Wilmar
International Ltd |
WLMIY.PK |
-0.10% |
+2.66% |
+25.13% |
-23 |
|
Singapore
Telecommunications.. |
SGAPY.PK |
-0.79% |
+0.74% |
+10.11% |
-10 |
|
Sea
Ltd |
SE |
+0.15% |
+5.27% |
-35.50% |
25 |
|
Grab
Holdings Ltd |
GRAB.O |
-1.50% |
+1.26% |
-27.56% |
-21 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
DBS Group Holdings Ltd ADR (DBSDY.PK) at INSTAT +100 is the lead extended leader in R-58 — Singapore's largest bank is a direct holding in P1 (Cara 100) under its international names, and its INSTAT +100 status with positive 1-month (+4.15%) and YTD (+2.60%) confirms the position is in constructive extended leadership despite the global risk-off environment. R-58's avg INSTAT of +45 (median +83) reflects Singapore's role as a capital flow safe haven in Asia-Pacific — DBS, STE, SGX, and OCBC form a defensive banking/defense/exchange cluster with positive intermediate inflow (24) that is resilient in the current regime; the principal risk is Singapore's exposure to regional trade flow contraction under tariff escalation. The DBSDY position in P1 is confirmed as regime-aligned and in good standing; STE at +36.62% YTD is an unrecognized leader worth monitoring for P4 (International Homeland Security) given its defense systems integration mandate.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-59 – Hong Kong (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Asia-Pacific | Instruments: 16*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +20 | Median INSTAT: +41
Avg 1-Day: +0.64% | Avg 1-Week: +3.31% | Avg 1-Month: -0.50% | Avg YTD: +3.05%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
4 |
|
Correcting |
4 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
4 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
2 |
|
Weakening |
2 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5901 AIA Group Ltd ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.47% | 1W +2.62%
R-5908 Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +7.80% | 1W +16.29%
R-5916 Sino Land Co Ltd ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +10.51% | 1W +10.20%
R-5902 BOC Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR — INSTAT +98 | 1D -1.03% | 1W +6.73%
R-5905 CK Hutchison Holdings LTD ADR — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +3.89%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-5912 Hong Kong Land Holdings Ltd ADR — INSTAT -47 | 1D -2.95% | 1W +0.10%
R-5903 Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd ADR — INSTAT -62 | 1D -2.12% | 1W -5.13%
R-5909 Henderson Land Development — INSTAT -62 | 1D -2.65% | 1W -2.13%
R-5904 Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group — INSTAT -82 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +0.00%
R-5910 Hong Kong and China Gas Co Ltd ADR — INSTAT -82 | 1D +1.07% | 1W -0.12%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 7 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 6 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 6 (Flat)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Hong Kong's trend scores are flat across all dimensions (AT 7, ST 6, IN 6), indicating a market in equilibrium between selective inflows into EVs and real estate recovery plays vs. continued pressure on consumer cyclicals and property-adjacent names; no directional conviction at the file level.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ AIA Group Ltd ADR (AAGIY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.47% | 1W +2.62% | YTD +8.63%
★ BOC Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR (BHKLY.PK) — INSTAT +98 | 1D -1.03% | 1W +6.73% | YTD +9.14%
★ Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ADR (GELHY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +7.80% | 1W +16.29% | YTD +32.84%
★ Sino Land Co Ltd ADR (SNLAY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +10.51% | 1W +10.20% | YTD +30.41%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ CK Hutchison Holdings LTD ADR (CKHUY.PK) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +3.89%
→ Hong Kong Exchange & Clearing (HKXCY.PK) — INSTAT +66 | 1D +0.14% | 1W +4.63%
→ Jardine Matheson Holdings Ltd PK (JMHLY.PK) — INSTAT +63 | 1D +0.08% | 1W +2.25%
→ Lenovo Group Ltd PK (LNVGY.PK) — INSTAT +80 | 1D +1.39% | 1W +4.68%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
Sino Land Co Ltd ADR (SNLAY.PK) — 2.4x avg (SURGE)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Sino Land Co Ltd ADR (SNLAY.PK) +10.51%
2. Geely Automobile Holdings Ltd ADR (GELHY.PK) +7.80%
3. Lenovo Group Ltd PK (LNVGY.PK) +1.39%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Cathay Pacific Airways Ltd ADR (CPCAY.PK) -2.12%
2. Henderson Land Development (HLDCY.PK) -2.65%
3. Hong Kong Land Holdings Ltd ADR (HNGKY.PK) -2.95%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
AIA
Group Ltd ADR |
AAGIY.PK |
-0.47% |
+2.62% |
+8.63% |
25 |
|
Geely
Automobile Holdings Lt.. |
GELHY.PK |
+7.80% |
+16.29% |
+32.84% |
25 |
|
Sino
Land Co Ltd ADR |
SNLAY.PK |
+10.51% |
+10.20% |
+30.41% |
25 |
|
BOC
Hong Kong Holdings Ltd ADR |
BHKLY.PK |
-1.03% |
+6.73% |
+9.14% |
23 |
|
CK
Hutchison Holdings LTD ADR |
CKHUY.PK |
+0.00% |
+3.89% |
+14.14% |
25 |
|
Lenovo
Group Ltd PK |
LNVGY.PK |
+1.39% |
+4.68% |
+4.77% |
25 |
|
Hong
Kong Exchange & Clearing |
HKXCY.PK |
+0.14% |
+4.63% |
-1.57% |
25 |
|
Jardine
Matheson Holdings Lt.. |
JMHLY.PK |
+0.08% |
+2.25% |
+8.84% |
23 |
|
Futu
Holdings Ltd |
FUTU.O |
+0.09% |
+4.64% |
-14.65% |
25 |
|
Melco
Resorts & Entertainmen.. |
MLCO.O |
-1.56% |
+1.07% |
-24.97% |
14 |
|
Galaxy
Entertainment Group L.. |
GXYYY.PK |
+0.00% |
+3.32% |
-5.97% |
9 |
|
Hong
Kong Land Holdings Ltd .. |
HNGKY.PK |
-2.95% |
+0.10% |
+12.31% |
-25 |
|
Cathay
Pacific Airways Ltd ADR |
CPCAY.PK |
-2.12% |
-5.13% |
-6.62% |
-25 |
|
Henderson
Land Development |
HLDCY.PK |
-2.65% |
-2.13% |
+2.79% |
-25 |
|
Chow
Tai Fook Jewellery Group |
CJEWY.PK |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
-11.96% |
-25 |
|
Hong
Kong and China Gas Co L.. |
HOKCY.PK |
+1.07% |
-0.12% |
-9.29% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Sino Land Co Ltd ADR (SNLAY.PK) at INSTAT +100 with a 1-day gain of +10.51%, 1-week gain of +10.20%, and YTD +30.41% is the key anomaly in R-59 — a Hong Kong property developer with extreme short-term price momentum and a confirmed volume surge (2.4x avg), suggesting speculative capital entering a bottoming recovery play in Hong Kong real estate under the expectation of China policy easing. R-59's avg INSTAT of +20 with flat trend scores confirms Hong Kong is not a broad capital allocation — the extended leaders (AIA, Geely, Sino Land, BOCHK) are structurally dispersed across insurance, EV autos, property, and banking, while property-adjacent names (HK Land -47, Henderson -62, HK Gas -82) remain in distribution; the principal risk is China credit cycle deterioration and continued retail/commercial property vacancy pressure. No current P1–P7 Hong Kong exposure beyond indirect Singapore bank overlap; Geely's +54.44% 1-month return warrants monitoring as a China EV recovery signal.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-60 – China (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Asia-Pacific | Instruments: 30*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: -10 | Median INSTAT: -32
Avg 1-Day: +0.00% | Avg 1-Week: +3.13% | Avg 1-Month: -2.72% | Avg YTD: -5.27%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Correcting |
7 |
|
Extended
Leader |
6 |
|
Weakening |
6 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
4 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
3 |
|
Building
Momentum |
3 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-6001 Agricultural Bank of China PK — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.91% | 1W +6.53%
R-6006 Bank of China Ltd ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.22% | 1W +5.08%
R-6008 China Construction Bank Corp — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.75% | 1W +3.64%
R-6016 Industrial Commercial Bank of China — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.54% | 1W +5.51%
R-6021 Nio Inc Class A ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.61% | 1W +18.64%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-6018 Ke Holdings Inc — INSTAT -80 | 1D -0.20% | 1W -3.33%
R-6002 Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd ADR — INSTAT -81 | 1D -1.36% | 1W -0.52%
R-6003 Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd — INSTAT -91 | 1D -1.68% | 1W +0.07%
R-6010 China Minsh — INSTAT -98 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +0.00%
R-6023 PICC Property and Casualty — INSTAT -98 | 1D -1.77% | 1W -3.22%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 6 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): -2 (Soft)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): -13 (Mild Out-Flow)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: China's short-term trend has turned negative (-2) and intermediate flow is mildly negative (-13), confirming that the 6-name extended leader cluster (SOE banks + NIO) is a structural anomaly within a broadly distributing market — China tech and consumer names continue to face institutional outflow.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Agricultural Bank of China PK (ACGBY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.91% | 1W +6.53% | YTD -1.87%
★ Bank of China Ltd ADR (BACHY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.22% | 1W +5.08% | YTD +12.88%
★ China Construction Bank Corp (CICHY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.75% | 1W +3.64% | YTD +9.58%
★ China Merchants Bank Co Ltd (CIHKY.PK) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +0.51% | 1W +4.40% | YTD -5.91%
★ Industrial Commercial Bank of China (IDCBY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.54% | 1W +5.51% | YTD +10.52%
★ Nio Inc Class A ADR (NIO) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.61% | 1W +18.64% | YTD +23.53%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Anhui Conch Cement Co Ltd (AHCHY.PK) — INSTAT -91 | 1D -1.68% | 1W +0.07% | YTD -4.97%
▼ China Minsh (CMAKY.PK) — INSTAT -98 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +0.00% | YTD +7.78%
▼ PICC Property and Casualty (PPCCY.PK) — INSTAT -98 | 1D -1.77% | 1W -3.22% | YTD -12.35%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ WuXi Biologics (WXXWY.PK) — INSTAT +79 | 1D +0.67% | 1W +10.62%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
China Shenhua Energy Co Ltd (CSUAY.PK) — 2.0x avg (Elevated)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Meituan (MPNGF.PK) +3.45%
2. ANTA Sports Products Ltd ADR (ANPDY.PK) +2.89%
3. Agricultural Bank of China PK (ACGBY.PK) +1.91%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. PICC Property and Casualty (PPCCY.PK) -1.77%
2. Tencent Holdings Ltd ADR (TCEHY.PK) -1.94%
3. Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd ADR (ZIJMY.PK) -2.61%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Agricultural
Bank of China PK |
ACGBY.PK |
+1.91% |
+6.53% |
-1.87% |
25 |
|
Bank
of China Ltd ADR |
BACHY.PK |
+1.22% |
+5.08% |
+12.88% |
25 |
|
China
Construction Bank Corp |
CICHY.PK |
+0.75% |
+3.64% |
+9.58% |
25 |
|
Industrial
Commercial Bank o.. |
IDCBY.PK |
+1.54% |
+5.51% |
+10.52% |
25 |
|
Nio
Inc Class A ADR |
NIO |
+1.61% |
+18.64% |
+23.53% |
25 |
|
China
Merchants Bank Co Ltd |
CIHKY.PK |
+0.51% |
+4.40% |
-5.91% |
25 |
|
WuXi
Biologics |
WXXWY.PK |
+0.67% |
+10.62% |
+12.00% |
25 |
|
BYD
Co Ltd ADR |
BYDDY.PK |
-0.08% |
+7.47% |
+9.91% |
14 |
|
China
Shenhua Energy Co Ltd |
CSUAY.PK |
+0.63% |
-1.28% |
+20.44% |
25 |
|
Ping
An Insurance Company of.. |
PNGAY.PK |
+0.00% |
+3.42% |
-8.10% |
21 |
|
ANTA
Sports Products Ltd ADR |
ANPDY.PK |
+2.89% |
+6.89% |
-1.01% |
17 |
|
NetEase
Inc |
NTES.O |
+0.13% |
+3.25% |
-18.03% |
25 |
|
Kanzhun
Ltd ADR |
BZ.O |
+0.30% |
+2.97% |
-33.66% |
25 |
|
Zijin
Mining Group Co Ltd ADR |
ZIJMY.PK |
-2.61% |
+4.81% |
-0.37% |
-15 |
|
COSCO
SHIPPING Holdings Co L.. |
CICOY.PK |
-0.62% |
+0.76% |
+7.64% |
-25 |
|
China
Overseas Land Investment |
CAOVY.PK |
-0.53% |
+7.07% |
+2.02% |
12 |
|
Yum
China Holdings Inc |
YUMC.K |
+0.20% |
-0.81% |
+3.04% |
-12 |
|
Baidu
Inc |
BIDU.O |
-0.84% |
+2.63% |
-15.08% |
14 |
|
Pony
Ai Inc |
PONY.O |
+0.22% |
+0.98% |
-36.34% |
14 |
|
Meituan |
MPNGF.PK |
+3.45% |
+2.79% |
-19.57% |
-4 |
|
Full
Truck Alliance Co Ltd ADR |
YMM |
-0.48% |
+1.73% |
-23.49% |
5 |
|
Didi
Global Inc ADR |
DIDIY.PK |
-1.72% |
+5.56% |
-24.43% |
-14 |
|
Tencent
Holdings Ltd ADR |
TCEHY.PK |
-1.94% |
+0.14% |
-18.65% |
-18 |
|
PDD
Holdings Inc DRC |
PDD.O |
-0.89% |
+1.06% |
-11.04% |
-5 |
|
Xiaomi
Corp ADR |
XIACY.PK |
-1.32% |
-3.07% |
-19.85% |
-6 |
|
Ke
Holdings Inc |
BEKE.K |
-0.20% |
-3.33% |
-6.03% |
-5 |
|
Alibaba
Group Holdings Ltd ADR |
BABA.K |
-1.36% |
-0.52% |
-16.73% |
-6 |
|
Anhui
Conch Cement Co Ltd |
AHCHY.PK |
-1.68% |
+0.07% |
-4.97% |
-16 |
|
China
Minsh |
CMAKY.PK |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
+7.78% |
-25 |
|
PICC
Property and Casualty |
PPCCY.PK |
-1.77% |
-3.22% |
-12.35% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Nio Inc Class A ADR (NIO) at INSTAT +100 with +18.64% 1-week gain and YTD +23.53% is the anomaly leader in R-60 — a China EV name generating maximum INSTAT despite the risk-off regime, reflecting a China-specific government stimulus narrative and EV subsidy cycle that is decoupled from the global selloff trigger, though at AT/ST/IN of 25/25/50 it reads as technically overbought within the broader negative-trending China file. R-60's avg INSTAT of -10 (median -32) with short-term trend negative and mild outflow confirms China is a binary market — state-owned bank inflows are absorbing policy-driven capital while consumer tech (Alibaba -81, Tencent -75, PDD -78), property tech (Ke Holdings -80), and insurance (PICC -98) are in sustained distribution; the principal risk is US delisting pressure and currency controls compressing ADR premiums. No P1–P7 allocation is appropriate for China in the current regime; the SOE bank cluster should be monitored as a leading indicator of China policy stimulus inflection.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-61 – Taiwan (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Asia-Pacific | Instruments: 6*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +33 | Median INSTAT: +70
Avg 1-Day: -0.37% | Avg 1-Week: +1.46% | Avg 1-Month: -3.28% | Avg YTD: +9.13%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
3 |
|
Extended
Leader |
1 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
|
Correcting |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-6101 ASE Industrial Holding Co Ltd ADR — INSTAT +98 | 1D -0.89% | 1W +3.63%
R-6106 Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.72% | 1W +3.76%
R-6103 Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd — INSTAT +72 | 1D +0.05% | 1W +0.78%
R-6102 ChipMOS Technologies Inc — INSTAT +67 | 1D +2.26% | 1W +2.48%
R-6104 Himax Technologies Inc — INSTAT -40 | 1D -0.88% | 1W -1.98%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-6106 Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.72% | 1W +3.76%
R-6103 Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd — INSTAT +72 | 1D +0.05% | 1W +0.78%
R-6102 ChipMOS Technologies Inc — INSTAT +67 | 1D +2.26% | 1W +2.48%
R-6104 Himax Technologies Inc — INSTAT -40 | 1D -0.88% | 1W -1.98%
R-6105 Hon Hai Precision Industry Co Ltd ADR — INSTAT -82 | 1D -2.02% | 1W +0.08%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 12 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 9 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 12 (Mild In-Flow)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Taiwan's trend scores are modestly positive (AT 12, ST 9, IN 12), driven entirely by the semiconductor supply chain leadership (ASE, TSM, ChipMOS) while assembly/EMS names (Hon Hai) and display drivers (Himax) face structural headwinds from supply chain reconfiguration.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ ASE Industrial Holding Co Ltd ADR (ASX) — INSTAT +98 | 1D -0.89% | 1W +3.63% | YTD +38.39%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ ChipMOS Technologies Inc (IMOS.O) — INSTAT +67 | 1D +2.26% | 1W +2.48%
→ Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd (CHT) — INSTAT +72 | 1D +0.05% | 1W +0.78%
→ Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.72% | 1W +3.76%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
ChipMOS Technologies Inc (IMOS.O) — 2.5x avg (SURGE)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. ChipMOS Technologies Inc (IMOS.O) +2.26%
2. Chunghwa Telecom Co Ltd (CHT) +0.05%
3. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) -0.72%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Himax Technologies Inc (HIMX.O) -0.88%
2. ASE Industrial Holding Co Ltd ADR (ASX) -0.89%
3. Hon Hai Precision Industry Co Ltd ADR (HNHPF.PK) -2.02%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
ASE
Industrial Holding Co Lt.. |
ASX |
-0.89% |
+3.63% |
+38.39% |
23 |
|
Taiwan
Semiconductor Manufac.. |
TSM |
-0.72% |
+3.76% |
+11.57% |
23 |
|
Chunghwa
Telecom Co Ltd |
CHT |
+0.05% |
+0.78% |
+1.68% |
21 |
|
ChipMOS
Technologies Inc |
IMOS.O |
+2.26% |
+2.48% |
+23.89% |
25 |
|
Himax
Technologies Inc |
HIMX.O |
-0.88% |
-1.98% |
-3.17% |
6 |
|
Hon
Hai Precision Industry C.. |
HNHPF.PK |
-2.02% |
+0.08% |
-17.59% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
ASE Industrial Holding Co Ltd ADR (ASX) at INSTAT +98 with YTD +38.39% is the standout extended leader in R-61 — as the world's largest semiconductor assembly and test services provider, ASE is a structural beneficiary of AI chip packaging demand growth that is independent of the global risk-off trigger, with AT/ST/IN of 23/25/50 confirming all three trend dimensions are in full positive alignment. Taiwan's avg INSTAT of +33 (median +70) reflects the semiconductor packaging cluster (ASX, TSM, ChipMOS) as the primary capital destination in the file, while Hon Hai (-82) faces sustained distribution from supply chain reshoring and Apple concentration risk; the principal risk is cross-strait tension premium, which would compress Taiwan semiconductor valuations regardless of earnings trajectory.
R-62 – South Korea (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Asia-Pacific | Instruments: 8*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +19 | Median INSTAT: +26
Avg 1-Day: -0.60% | Avg 1-Week: +1.20% | Avg 1-Month: -6.59% | Avg YTD: +5.48%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Building
Momentum |
3 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
3 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
1 |
|
Weakening |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-6202 Gravity Co Ltd — INSTAT +65 | 1D +0.94% | 1W +2.87%
R-6201 Doubledown Interactive Co Ltd — INSTAT +47 | 1D +1.14% | 1W +4.84%
R-6207 POSCO — INSTAT +47 | 1D -0.70% | 1W +3.14%
R-6208 Woori Financial Group Inc — INSTAT +32 | 1D -1.58% | 1W +0.47%
R-6203 KB Financial Group Inc — INSTAT +19 | 1D -1.22% | 1W +0.23%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-6208 Woori Financial Group Inc — INSTAT +32 | 1D -1.58% | 1W +0.47%
R-6203 KB Financial Group Inc — INSTAT +19 | 1D -1.22% | 1W +0.23%
R-6206 LG Display Co Ltd — INSTAT +12 | 1D +1.01% | 1W +3.08%
R-6205 KT Corporation — INSTAT -19 | 1D -1.74% | 1W -0.14%
R-6204 Korea Electric Power Corp ADR — INSTAT -52 | 1D -2.68% | 1W -4.91%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 14 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 4 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 0 (Flat)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: South Korea's long-term trend (AT 14) is constructive but short-term momentum (ST 4) and intermediate flows (IN 0) are flat, indicating the market is in a holding pattern — selective names with domestic defensive characteristics lead while export-cyclical and rate-sensitive names remain under distribution.
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Gravity Co Ltd (GRVY.O) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +0.94% | 1W +2.87%
*(No EXTENDED LEADERS or TERMINAL LIQUIDATION instruments in this R-File)*
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
LG Display Co Ltd (LPL) — 2.6x avg (SURGE)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Doubledown Interactive Co Ltd (DDI.O) +1.14%
2. LG Display Co Ltd (LPL) +1.01%
3. Gravity Co Ltd (GRVY.O) +0.94%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Woori Financial Group Inc (WF) -1.58%
2. KT Corporation (KT) -1.74%
3. Korea Electric Power Corp ADR (KEP) -2.68%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Gravity
Co Ltd |
GRVY.O |
+0.94% |
+2.87% |
+9.14% |
25 |
|
Doubledown
Interactive Co Ltd |
DDI.O |
+1.14% |
+4.84% |
+2.90% |
25 |
|
POSCO |
PKX |
-0.70% |
+3.14% |
+9.40% |
23 |
|
Woori
Financial Group Inc |
WF |
-1.58% |
+0.47% |
+12.33% |
14 |
|
KB
Financial Group Inc |
KB |
-1.22% |
+0.23% |
+15.76% |
14 |
|
LG
Display Co Ltd |
LPL |
+1.01% |
+3.08% |
-4.75% |
25 |
|
KT
Corporation |
KT |
-1.74% |
-0.14% |
+13.34% |
-14 |
|
Korea
Electric Power Corp ADR |
KEP |
-2.68% |
-4.91% |
-14.30% |
3 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Gravity Co Ltd (GRVY.O) at INSTAT +65 is the only Strong Momentum instrument in R-62, an anomalous divergence in a file where Avg INSTAT is +19 — Gravity's gaming royalty model (Ragnarok franchise) generates Korean won cash flows insulated from the global macro disruptions weighing on Korea's export-oriented industrials and financials. South Korea's Avg INSTAT of +19 reflects a file dominated by building/neutral regimes, with the principal risk being Korea Electric Power Corp (KEP, -52) serving as a barometer for the ongoing utility sector stress from energy policy uncertainty and weak won-denominated earnings. No current portfolio entry point is warranted; the file's flat IN (0) confirms no directional flow signal, and Korea's export cycle exposure to US tariff escalation and China demand softness keeps this file on avoid until AT/ST/IN alignment improves.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-63 – Japan (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Asia-Pacific | Instruments: 18*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +25 | Median INSTAT: +56
Avg 1-Day: -1.12% | Avg 1-Week: +3.54% | Avg 1-Month: -2.48% | Avg YTD: +4.39%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
6 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
3 |
|
Weakening |
3 |
|
Building
Momentum |
2 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
2 |
|
Extended
Leader |
2 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-6305 Hoya Corp — INSTAT +97 | 1D +0.06% | 1W +4.50%
R-6309 Mizuho Financial Group Inc ADR — INSTAT +93 | 1D -2.63% | 1W +6.95%
R-6315 Takeda Pharmaceutical Co Ltd ADR — INSTAT +89 | 1D -0.16% | 1W +4.63%
R-6307 Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc ADR — INSTAT +83 | 1D -1.24% | 1W +7.04%
R-6314 Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc — INSTAT +79 | 1D -1.30% | 1W +7.24%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-6312 NTT Inc DRC — INSTAT -25 | 1D +0.24% | 1W +1.02%
R-6317 Tokyo Electron Ltd PK — INSTAT -34 | 1D -2.91% | 1W +3.93%
R-6318 Toyota Motor Corporation ADR — INSTAT -41 | 1D -1.27% | 1W +0.14%
R-6304 Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR — INSTAT -94 | 1D -0.66% | 1W -0.78%
R-6311 Nintendo Co ADR — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.39% | 1W -1.49%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 8 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 8 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 9 (Flat)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Japan's trend scores are uniformly soft (AT 8, ST 8, IN 9) — a flat profile across all three dimensions indicating neither broad accumulation nor distribution, with capital rotating selectively into Japanese megabanks (MUFG, SMFG, Mizuho) and pharmaceutical (Takeda, Hoya) while autos and consumer electronics face terminal distribution.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Hoya Corp (HOCPY.PK) — INSTAT +97 | 1D +0.06% | 1W +4.50% | YTD +14.69%
★ Mizuho Financial Group Inc ADR (MFG) — INSTAT +93 | 1D -2.63% | 1W +6.95% | YTD +11.48%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR (HMC) — INSTAT -94 | 1D -0.66% | 1W -0.78% | YTD -18.08%
▼ Nintendo Co ADR (NTDOY.PK) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -2.39% | 1W -1.49% | YTD -17.67%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Daikin Industries Ltd ADR (DKILY.PK) — INSTAT +65 | 1D -0.40% | 1W +5.19%
→ Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc ADR (MUFG.K) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -1.24% | 1W +7.04%
→ Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY.PK) — INSTAT +78 | 1D -1.45% | 1W -0.19%
→ Murata Manufacturing Inc (MRAAY.PK) — INSTAT +67 | 1D -1.98% | 1W +1.15%
→ Sumitomo Mitsui Financial Group Inc (SMFG.K) — INSTAT +79 | 1D -1.30% | 1W +7.24%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
Mitsui & Company Ltd (MITSY.PK) — 2.5x avg (SURGE)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. NTT Inc DRC (NTTYY.PK) +0.24%
2. Keyence (KYCCF.PK) +0.17%
3. Sony Group Corp (SONY.K) +0.09%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Nintendo Co ADR (NTDOY.PK) -2.39%
2. Mizuho Financial Group Inc ADR (MFG) -2.63%
3. Tokyo Electron Ltd PK (TOELY.PK) -2.91%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Hoya
Corp |
HOCPY.PK |
+0.06% |
+4.50% |
+14.69% |
25 |
|
Mizuho
Financial Group Inc ADR |
MFG |
-2.63% |
+6.95% |
+11.48% |
22 |
|
Takeda
Pharmaceutical Co Ltd.. |
TAK |
-0.16% |
+4.63% |
+20.21% |
14 |
|
Mitsubishi
UFJ Financial Gro.. |
MUFG.K |
-1.24% |
+7.04% |
+10.21% |
25 |
|
Sumitomo
Mitsui Financial Gr.. |
SMFG.K |
-1.30% |
+7.24% |
+5.69% |
6 |
|
Mitsui
& Company Ltd |
MITSY.PK |
-1.45% |
-0.19% |
+35.57% |
14 |
|
Murata
Manufacturing Inc |
MRAAY.PK |
-1.98% |
+1.15% |
+10.68% |
23 |
|
Daikin
Industries Ltd ADR |
DKILY.PK |
-0.40% |
+5.19% |
-3.06% |
25 |
|
Chugai
Pharmaceutical Co Ltd.. |
CHGCY.PK |
-1.26% |
+11.03% |
+10.01% |
3 |
|
Tokio
Marine Holdings Inc |
TKOMY.PK |
-2.29% |
+1.46% |
+25.50% |
4 |
|
Sony
Group Corp |
SONY.K |
+0.09% |
+6.18% |
-17.42% |
25 |
|
Keyence |
KYCCF.PK |
+0.17% |
+3.89% |
+1.01% |
23 |
|
Daiichi
Sankyo Co Ltd ADR |
DSNKY.PK |
-0.70% |
+1.89% |
-13.70% |
4 |
|
NTT
Inc DRC |
NTTYY.PK |
+0.24% |
+1.02% |
-2.02% |
-5 |
|
Tokyo
Electron Ltd PK |
TOELY.PK |
-2.91% |
+3.93% |
+9.23% |
-12 |
|
Toyota
Motor Corporation ADR |
TM |
-1.27% |
+0.14% |
-3.29% |
-6 |
|
Honda
Motor Co Ltd ADR |
HMC |
-0.66% |
-0.78% |
-18.08% |
-19 |
|
Nintendo
Co ADR |
NTDOY.PK |
-2.39% |
-1.49% |
-17.67% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Hoya Corp (HOCPY.PK) at INSTAT +97 is the top extended leader in R-63 — Hoya's semiconductor mask blank and medical optics dual business model generates yen-denominated cash flows that are structurally insulated from tariff volatility, with AT/ST/IN of 25/22/50 confirming long-term trend dominance and sustained intermediate in-flow in the current risk-off environment. Japan's Avg INSTAT of +25 (median +56) reflects a bifurcated file: the megabank trio (MUFG, SMFG, Mizuho) and pharmaceuticals attract institutional rotation while the auto complex (Honda -94, Toyota -41) is in active terminal or correcting regimes driven by yen revaluation risk and EV competitive pressure; principal risk is a rapid yen strengthening event that compresses hedged export earnings broadly. The megabank cluster (MUFG, SMFG, Mizuho) in the Cara 100 (P1) context offers the most viable watch-list entry if the current risk-off phase transitions to selective re-risking, given their improving NIM trajectory under Bank of Japan rate normalization.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-64 – Tiger Cubs (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Asia-Pacific | Instruments: 7*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +7 | Median INSTAT: +66
Avg 1-Day: +1.38% | Avg 1-Week: +3.31% | Avg 1-Month: -4.06% | Avg YTD: +3.01%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
3 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
2 |
|
Extended
Leader |
2 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-6405 Telia Company AB ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.77% | 1W +4.64%
R-6406 Tenaga Nasional Berhad — INSTAT +100 | 1D +6.31% | 1W +3.75%
R-6407 VanEck Vietnam ETF — INSTAT +73 | 1D +0.34% | 1W +4.49%
R-6404 PTT Exploration & Production — INSTAT +66 | 1D +3.47% | 1W +14.45%
R-6403 PLDT Inc ADR — INSTAT -93 | 1D -1.50% | 1W -1.23%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-6407 VanEck Vietnam ETF — INSTAT +73 | 1D +0.34% | 1W +4.49%
R-6404 PTT Exploration & Production — INSTAT +66 | 1D +3.47% | 1W +14.45%
R-6403 PLDT Inc ADR — INSTAT -93 | 1D -1.50% | 1W -1.23%
R-6401 Airports of Thailand PCL ADR — INSTAT -100 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +0.00%
R-6402 Bank Rakyat — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.72% | 1W -2.93%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 3 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 4 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 0 (Flat)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Tiger Cub market averages are near-flat across all three dimensions (AT 3, ST 4, IN 0), masking extreme polarization — two instruments are at INSTAT +100 with full 25/25/50 AT/ST/IN alignment while three are in terminal liquidation, indicating capital is concentrating in utilities and energy while tourism/telco/banking names face terminal outflows.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ Telia Company AB ADR (TLSNY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.77% | 1W +4.64% | YTD +21.97%
★ Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNABY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +6.31% | 1W +3.75% | YTD +0.21%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ PLDT Inc ADR (PHI) — INSTAT -93 | 1D -1.50% | 1W -1.23% | YTD -3.63%
▼ Airports of Thailand PCL ADR (AIPUY.PK) — INSTAT -100 | 1D +0.00% | 1W +0.00% | YTD -24.24%
▼ Bank Rakyat (BKRKY.PK) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -1.72% | 1W -2.93% | YTD -12.03%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ PTT Exploration & Production (PEXNY.PK) — INSTAT +66 | 1D +3.47% | 1W +14.45%
→ VanEck Vietnam ETF (VNM) — INSTAT +73 | 1D +0.34% | 1W +4.49%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNABY.PK) — 5.2x avg (SURGE)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNABY.PK) +6.31%
2. PTT Exploration & Production (PEXNY.PK) +3.47%
3. Telia Company AB ADR (TLSNY.PK) +2.77%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Airports of Thailand PCL ADR (AIPUY.PK) +0.00%
2. PLDT Inc ADR (PHI) -1.50%
3. Bank Rakyat (BKRKY.PK) -1.72%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
Telia
Company AB ADR |
TLSNY.PK |
+2.77% |
+4.64% |
+21.97% |
25 |
|
Tenaga
Nasional Berhad |
TNABY.PK |
+6.31% |
+3.75% |
+0.21% |
25 |
|
VanEck
Vietnam ETF |
VNM |
+0.34% |
+4.49% |
-8.44% |
17 |
|
PTT
Exploration & Production |
PEXNY.PK |
+3.47% |
+14.45% |
+47.20% |
25 |
|
PLDT
Inc ADR |
PHI |
-1.50% |
-1.23% |
-3.63% |
-18 |
|
Airports
of Thailand PCL ADR |
AIPUY.PK |
+0.00% |
+0.00% |
-24.24% |
-25 |
|
Bank
Rakyat |
BKRKY.PK |
-1.72% |
-2.93% |
-12.03% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNABY.PK) at INSTAT +100 with a volume surge of 5.2x its 3-month average is the defining anomaly in R-64 — Malaysia's national electric utility commands full AT/ST/IN alignment (25/25/50) while posting +6.31% intraday, signaling an institutional accumulation event consistent with global utility rotation in the risk-off regime. R-64's Avg INSTAT of +7 with a median of +66 reflects extreme bifurcation: the two energy/utility extended leaders absorb capital flows leaving behind three terminal liquidation instruments (Airports of Thailand -100, Bank Rakyat -100, PLDT -93) that represent tourism, emerging-market banking, and telecom sectors all under sustained institutional distribution; principal risk is EM currency contagion which would compress all names regardless of sector rotation narrative. No P1–P7 portfolio entry is warranted in this file currently, though PTT Exploration (+66, 1W +14.45%, YTD +47.20%) merits monitoring as a potential oil/gas pure-play if Batch 1/2 energy signals confirm a re-entry regime.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-65 – Australia (US Trading)
*Contextual Frame: Analysis of Capital Flows in Asia-Pacific | Instruments: 17*
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +45 | Median INSTAT: +83
Avg 1-Day: +0.36% | Avg 1-Week: +3.74% | Avg 1-Month: -4.36% | Avg YTD: +6.01%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Extended
Leader |
8 |
|
Weakening |
2 |
|
Building
Momentum |
2 |
|
Strong
Momentum |
2 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
2 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-6501 AGL Energy Ltd — INSTAT +100 | 1D +3.35% | 1W +8.08%
R-6504 BHP Group Ltd ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.44% | 1W +5.38%
R-6507 Commonwealth Bank of Australia PK — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.25% | 1W +2.28%
R-6515 QBE Insurance Group Ltd ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.14% | 1W +3.36%
R-6516 Rio Tinto ADR — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.38% | 1W +9.01%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
R-6506 CochLear Ltd ADR — INSTAT -1 | 1D -0.88% | 1W +3.95%
R-6510 IREN Ltd — INSTAT -32 | 1D +1.91% | 1W -1.00%
R-6502 Amcor — INSTAT -34 | 1D -1.89% | 1W +3.39%
R-6508 CSL Ltd — INSTAT -92 | 1D -2.46% | 1W -0.58%
R-6511 James Hardie Industries PLC ADR — INSTAT -94 | 1D -3.18% | 1W +3.11%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 18 (Neutral-Bull)
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 14 (Flat)
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 14 (Mild In-Flow)
AT/ST/IN interpretation: Australia leads international markets on trend quality (AT 18, ST 14, IN 14) — a cohesive mild in-flow profile driven by the energy-resources-financials cluster; the eight extended leaders dominating the regime distribution table confirm broad institutional sponsorship at the top of the file while the terminal liquidation pair (CSL, James Hardie) reflects sector-specific distribution unrelated to the macro regime.
★ EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90):
★ AGL Energy Ltd (AGLXY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +3.35% | 1W +8.08% | YTD +11.74%
★ BHP Group Ltd ADR (BHP) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.44% | 1W +5.38% | YTD +21.32%
★ Commonwealth Bank of Australia PK (CMWAY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.25% | 1W +2.28% | YTD +13.35%
★ Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (FSUMF.PK) — INSTAT +98 | 1D +4.12% | 1W +8.12% | YTD -1.84%
★ Origin Energy Ltd ADR (OGFGY.PK) — INSTAT +97 | 1D +1.64% | 1W +1.25% | YTD +16.31%
★ QBE Insurance Group Ltd ADR (QBIEY.PK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.14% | 1W +3.36% | YTD +13.47%
★ Rio Tinto ADR (RIO) — INSTAT +100 | 1D -0.38% | 1W +9.01% | YTD +18.02%
★ Woodside Energy Ltd (WDS) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +2.30% | 1W -2.22% | YTD +55.42%
▼ TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90):
▼ CSL Ltd (CSLLY.PK) — INSTAT -92 | 1D -2.46% | 1W -0.58% | YTD -15.97%
▼ James Hardie Industries PLC ADR (JHX) — INSTAT -94 | 1D -3.18% | 1W +3.11% | YTD -10.46%
→ STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89):
→ Brambles Ltd ADR (BXBLY.PK) — INSTAT +75 | 1D -0.31% | 1W +5.00%
→ Macquarie Group Ltd ADR (MQBKY.PK) — INSTAT +83 | 1D -0.59% | 1W +5.32%
Volume Signals (≥ 2x 3-month average):
Brambles Ltd ADR (BXBLY.PK) — 4.8x avg (SURGE)
National Australia Bank Ltd ADR (NABZY.PK) — 2.1x avg (SURGE)
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Fortescue Metals Group Ltd (FSUMF.PK) +4.12%
2. AGL Energy Ltd (AGLXY.PK) +3.35%
3. Woodside Energy Ltd (WDS) +2.30%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. Amcor (AMCR.K) -1.89%
2. CSL Ltd (CSLLY.PK) -2.46%
3. James Hardie Industries PLC ADR (JHX) -3.18%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
AGL
Energy Ltd |
AGLXY.PK |
+3.35% |
+8.08% |
+11.74% |
25 |
|
BHP
Group Ltd ADR |
BHP |
-0.44% |
+5.38% |
+21.32% |
25 |
|
Commonwealth
Bank of Austral.. |
CMWAY.PK |
+1.25% |
+2.28% |
+13.35% |
25 |
|
QBE
Insurance Group Ltd ADR |
QBIEY.PK |
+1.14% |
+3.36% |
+13.47% |
25 |
|
Rio
Tinto ADR |
RIO |
-0.38% |
+9.01% |
+18.02% |
25 |
|
Woodside
Energy Ltd |
WDS |
+2.30% |
-2.22% |
+55.42% |
25 |
|
Fortescue
Metals Group Ltd |
FSUMF.PK |
+4.12% |
+8.12% |
-1.84% |
25 |
|
Origin
Energy Ltd ADR |
OGFGY.PK |
+1.64% |
+1.25% |
+16.31% |
25 |
|
Macquarie
Group Ltd ADR |
MQBKY.PK |
-0.59% |
+5.32% |
+6.24% |
25 |
|
Brambles
Ltd ADR |
BXBLY.PK |
-0.31% |
+5.00% |
+4.58% |
17 |
|
National
Australia Bank Ltd .. |
NABZY.PK |
+1.24% |
+2.72% |
+4.76% |
25 |
|
ASX
Limited ADR |
ASXFY.PK |
-0.73% |
+6.41% |
+7.41% |
25 |
|
CochLear
Ltd ADR |
CHEOY.PK |
-0.88% |
+3.95% |
-29.90% |
23 |
|
IREN
Ltd |
IREN.O |
+1.91% |
-1.00% |
-8.02% |
14 |
|
Amcor |
AMCR.K |
-1.89% |
+3.39% |
-4.24% |
14 |
|
CSL
Ltd |
CSLLY.PK |
-2.46% |
-0.58% |
-15.97% |
-17 |
|
James
Hardie Industries PLC .. |
JHX |
-3.18% |
+3.11% |
-10.46% |
-19 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
AGL Energy Ltd (AGLXY.PK) at INSTAT +100 with +3.35% intraday and +8.08% on the week is the anomalous lead for R-65 — as Australia's largest integrated energy company, AGL operates in a domestic-demand, regulated-tariff structure that decouples it from global tariff risk while the risk-off rotation globally accelerates capital into utility/energy names, producing full AT/ST/IN alignment (25/25/50). Australia's R-65 is the strongest international file in Batch 5 with eight extended leaders and Avg INSTAT +45 (median +83), driven by the resources-energy-financials cluster (BHP +100, Rio Tinto +100, Woodside +100 YTD +55.42%) consistent with a commodity-currency safe-haven rotation; the principal risk is a sudden China demand shock which would hit BHP, Rio Tinto, and Fortescue simultaneously, given their combined iron ore revenue dependency. BHP (BHP) and Rio Tinto (RIO), already held in P1 – Cara 100 (R-12), confirm that the existing long-term positions in the Australian resource cluster remain correctly positioned relative to the current risk-off regime.
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
*End of BATCH 5 — INTERNATIONAL MARKETS (R-45 to R-65)*
*Report Date: April 3, 2026 | All data sourced from batch5_data.txt*
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
BATCH 6 — PORTFOLIO WATCHLIST (R-88)
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
R-88 – Portfolio Watchlist
Instruments: 46 | Date: April 3, 2026 | Contextual Frame: General Studies
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
a) Performance Snapshot
Avg INSTAT: +25 | Median INSTAT: +38
Avg 1-Day: +0.21% | Avg 1-Week: +3.31% | Avg 1-Month: -3.63% | Avg YTD: +2.72%
Regime Distribution:
|
Regime |
Count |
|
Strong
Momentum |
13 |
|
Neutral
/ Consolidating |
12 |
|
Extended
Leader |
6 |
|
Correcting |
6 |
|
Building
Momentum |
5 |
|
Weakening |
3 |
|
Terminal
Liquidation |
1 |
Top 5 by INSTAT Score:
1. BWX Technologies Inc (BWXT.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.02% | 1W +6.12%
2. Merck & Company Inc (MRK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.02% | 1W +1.04%
3. Nextera Energy Inc (NEE) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.32% | 1W +1.91%
4. FirstEnergy Corporation (FE) — INSTAT +96 | 1D +0.69% | 1W +2.56%
5. Woodward Inc (WWD.O) — INSTAT +92 | 1D -1.09% | 1W +5.87%
Bottom 5 by INSTAT Score:
1. Heico Corporation (HEI) — INSTAT -68 | 1D -1.35% | 1W -0.59%
2. Snowflake Inc (SNOW.K) — INSTAT -72 | 1D -0.83% | 1W -0.62%
3. Mastercard Inc (MA) — INSTAT -81 | 1D +0.36% | 1W +1.90%
4. Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG.O) — INSTAT -82 | 1D -2.67% | 1W -0.13%
5. Intuit Inc (INTU.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.80% | 1W +1.45%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
b) Momentum & Trend Analysis
Avg AT (Long-Term Trend): 10 — Neutral-Bull
Avg ST (Short-Term Trend): 9 — Flat
Avg IN (Intermediate Flow): 6 — Flat
Interpretation: Long-term trend is marginally net-positive, but both short-term and intermediate flows are flat, confirming a broad consolidation/repair phase with no directional conviction across the watchlist.
EXTENDED LEADERS (INSTAT ≥ 90) — 6 instruments:
★ BWX Technologies Inc (BWXT.K) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +1.02% | 1W +6.12% | YTD +24.38%
★ Merck & Company Inc (MRK) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.02% | 1W +1.04% | YTD +14.83%
★ Nextera Energy Inc (NEE) — INSTAT +100 | 1D +0.32% | 1W +1.91% | YTD +16.03%
★ FirstEnergy Corporation (FE) — INSTAT +96 | 1D +0.69% | 1W +2.56% | YTD +14.61%
★ Woodward Inc (WWD.O) — INSTAT +92 | 1D -1.09% | 1W +5.87% | YTD +22.98%
★ Vertiv Holdings Co (VRT) — INSTAT +90 | 1D +0.74% | 1W +4.07% | YTD +61.28%
TERMINAL LIQUIDATION (INSTAT ≤ -90) — 1 instrument:
▼ Intuit Inc (INTU.O) — INSTAT -100 | 1D -0.80% | 1W +1.45% | YTD -36.22%
STRONG MOMENTUM (INSTAT 60–89) — 13 instruments:
→ Alphabet Inc Class C (GOOG.O) — INSTAT +65 | 1D -0.15% | 1W +7.56%
→ APA Corporation (APA.O) — INSTAT +82 | 1D +1.67% | 1W -5.29%
→ Applied Industrial Technologies (AIT) — INSTAT +73 | 1D -0.83% | 1W +2.47%
→ Ast Spacemobile Inc (ASTS.O) — INSTAT +83 | 1D +10.28% | 1W +17.73%
→ Brinker International Inc (EAT) — INSTAT +74 | 1D +0.93% | 1W +8.24%
→ Comfort Systems USA Inc (FIX) — INSTAT +80 | 1D -0.79% | 1W +3.69%
→ Curtiss-Wright Corporation (CW) — INSTAT +84 | 1D -0.30% | 1W +4.72%
→ Dlocal Ltd (DLO.O) — INSTAT +58 | 1D +3.38% | 1W +4.81%
→ Evercore Partners Inc (EVR) — INSTAT +79 | 1D +1.22% | 1W +9.28%
→ JPMorgan Chase & Co (JPM) — INSTAT +81 | 1D -0.26% | 1W +4.16%
→ L3Harris Technologies Inc (LHX) — INSTAT +65 | 1D +0.59% | 1W +3.79%
→ Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) — INSTAT +69 | 1D +0.79% | 1W +3.46%
→ Rtx Corp (RTX) — INSTAT +68 | 1D +0.77% | 1W +3.43%
Volume Signals (vs. 3-Month Average):
No instruments recorded volume ≥ 2x their 3-month average. Elevated readings noted:
Dlocal Ltd (DLO.O) — 1.4x avg (Elevated)
APA Corporation (APA.O) — 1.2x avg
Ast Spacemobile Inc (ASTS.O) — 1.1x avg
Best 1-Day Performers:
1. Ast Spacemobile Inc (ASTS.O) — 1D: +10.28%
2. Dlocal Ltd (DLO.O) — 1D: +3.38%
3. InterDigital Inc (IDCC.O) — 1D: +2.13%
Worst 1-Day Performers:
1. GE Aerospace (GE) — 1D: -3.94%
2. Intuitive Surgical Inc (ISRG.O) — 1D: -2.67%
3. Howmet Aerospace Inc (HWM) — 1D: -2.66%
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
c) Full Instrument Table (sorted INSTAT descending)
|
Name |
Ticker |
1D% |
1W% |
YTD% |
INSTAT |
|
BWX
Technologies Inc |
BWXT.K |
+1.02% |
+6.12% |
+24.38% |
25 |
|
Merck
& Company Inc |
MRK |
+0.02% |
+1.04% |
+14.83% |
25 |
|
Nextera
Energy Inc |
NEE |
+0.32% |
+1.91% |
+16.03% |
25 |
|
FirstEnergy
Corporation |
FE |
+0.69% |
+2.56% |
+14.61% |
21 |
|
Woodward
Inc |
WWD.O |
-1.09% |
+5.87% |
+22.98% |
17 |
|
Vertiv
Holdings Co |
VRT |
+0.74% |
+4.07% |
+61.28% |
15 |
|
Curtiss-Wright
Corporation |
CW |
-0.30% |
+4.72% |
+26.05% |
12 |
|
Ast
Spacemobile Inc |
ASTS.O |
+10.28% |
+17.73% |
+27.52% |
25 |
|
APA
Corporation |
APA.O |
+1.67% |
-5.29% |
+71.87% |
23 |
|
JPMorgan
Chase & Co |
JPM |
-0.26% |
+4.16% |
-8.57% |
25 |
|
Comfort
Systems USA Inc |
FIX |
-0.79% |
+3.69% |
+51.85% |
5 |
|
Evercore
Partners Inc |
EVR |
+1.22% |
+9.28% |
-10.37% |
25 |
|
Brinker
International Inc |
EAT |
+0.93% |
+8.24% |
+0.82% |
23 |
|
Applied
Industrial Technolog.. |
AIT |
-0.83% |
+2.47% |
+4.03% |
15 |
|
Cisco
Systems Inc |
CSCO.O |
+1.40% |
-1.13% |
+2.58% |
25 |
|
Northrop
Grumman Corporation |
NOC |
+0.79% |
+3.46% |
+23.20% |
9 |
|
Rtx
Corp |
RTX |
+0.77% |
+3.43% |
+6.98% |
25 |
|
Alphabet
Inc Class C |
GOOG.O |
-0.15% |
+7.56% |
-6.16% |
25 |
|
L3Harris
Technologies Inc |
LHX |
+0.59% |
+3.79% |
+21.27% |
5 |
|
Dlocal
Ltd |
DLO.O |
+3.38% |
+4.81% |
-9.05% |
20 |
|
Quanta
Services Inc |
PWR |
+0.09% |
+1.94% |
+32.83% |
-14 |
|
Broadcom
Inc |
AVGO.O |
+0.34% |
+4.61% |
-9.12% |
25 |
|
NVIDIA
Corporation |
NVDA.O |
+0.93% |
+5.89% |
-4.88% |
25 |
|
Abercrombie
& Fitch Company |
ANF |
-2.13% |
+3.50% |
-26.71% |
14 |
|
Amazon.com
Inc |
AMZN.O |
-0.38% |
+5.23% |
-9.12% |
17 |
|
Arista
Networks |
ANET.K |
+1.47% |
+4.89% |
-3.32% |
25 |
|
Canadian
Natural Resources Ltd |
CNQ |
+2.08% |
-5.11% |
+40.41% |
-3 |
|
InterDigital
Inc |
IDCC.O |
+2.13% |
+3.88% |
-1.71% |
13 |
|
Halozyme
Therapeutics Inc |
HALO.O |
-1.39% |
+4.64% |
-4.18% |
6 |
|
Eli
Lilly and Company |
LLY |
-1.98% |
+6.53% |
-12.94% |
0 |
|
Armstrong
World Industries Inc |
AWI |
-0.42% |
+1.76% |
-13.64% |
23 |
|
Microsoft
Corporation |
MSFT.O |
+1.11% |
+4.68% |
-22.78% |
25 |
|
Salesforce
Inc |
CRM |
+0.50% |
+4.39% |
-29.34% |
25 |
|
UiPath
Inc |
PATH.K |
+2.00% |
+5.14% |
-31.42% |
25 |
|
StandardAero
Inc |
SARO.K |
+0.11% |
+3.22% |
-8.37% |
22 |
|
Howmet
Aerospace Inc |
HWM |
-2.66% |
+2.10% |
+13.49% |
-25 |
|
Global
X Robotics & Artifici.. |
BOTZ.O |
-1.42% |
+2.96% |
-7.76% |
12 |
|
Amgen
Inc |
AMGN.O |
-1.51% |
-0.24% |
+6.30% |
-19 |
|
Textron
Inc |
TXT |
-0.97% |
+0.66% |
+1.01% |
-21 |
|
GE
Aerospace |
GE |
-3.94% |
-0.58% |
-8.72% |
-25 |
|
Visa
Inc Class A |
V |
+0.77% |
+1.79% |
-14.23% |
-5 |
|
Heico
Corporation |
HEI |
-1.35% |
-0.59% |
-16.01% |
-11 |
|
Snowflake
Inc |
SNOW.K |
-0.83% |
-0.62% |
-30.78% |
-8 |
|
Mastercard
Inc |
MA |
+0.36% |
+1.90% |
-13.57% |
-22 |
|
Intuitive
Surgical Inc |
ISRG.O |
-2.67% |
-0.13% |
-20.18% |
-25 |
|
Intuit
Inc |
INTU.O |
-0.80% |
+1.45% |
-36.22% |
-25 |
────────────────────────────────────────────────────────────
d) Researched Context
BWX Technologies Inc (BWXT.K), with a maximum INSTAT of +100, is the lead anomaly: a defense-nuclear contractor sustaining full sweep across AT/ST/IN (+25/+25/+50) and a YTD gain of +24.38%, marking it as a structural safe-haven bid within the post-Feb 27 risk-off regime where capital has rotated decisively into defense and regulated utilities rather than growth. The R-88 watchlist composition — dominated by defense names (BWXT, CW, NOC, RTX, LHX), regulated utilities (FE, NEE), and select defensive industrials alongside a single Terminal Liquidation (Intuit, INSTAT -100, YTD -36.22%) — signals that the repair phase is bifurcating sharply: regime-aligned defensives hold momentum while high-multiple technology and consumer-discretionary names remain under sustained distribution, and the principal risk is a false breadth reading given the watchlist's current defense-skew relative to a diversified portfolio mandate. R-88 restructuring is planned for next week to incorporate stocks not currently in R-12 (Cara 100) or R-09 (Dow 30), and the current composition — with its clear regime-leader/laggard polarity — provides a useful baseline for identifying which sectors and names merit inclusion as portfolio monitoring candidates in the ongoing capital preservation phase.